Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

The plan also has strong echoes of Munich 1938 about it ('peace in our time' and all that) - a worthless piece of paper. The parts where Russia gives assurances that it won't invade Ukraine in future are laughable, as if this sham of a plan has even the slightest credibility.

UK, France, Poland, and Germany should invade Ukraine . 3 day operation. Problem solved .

Give up a huge chunk of their country,limit army and leave themselves wide open to another attack. No NATO protection.

Once Trump got back in this was always going this way.

Joining NATO will soon be seen as essential to other countries.

Ukraine's statement at the UN security council last night. Confirmed receipt of Trumps plan and listed it's concerns they have already.

Reports Zelensky uncovered a plan by the Trump WH to humiliate him in Turkey but announcing the so called peace plan conceding all of Russia's demands, resulting in Zelensky putting forward a plan of his own. This reportedly (according to Ben Meisalas of Meidas) resulted in the meeting with Witkoff being cancelled and General Kellogg either resigning or being forced out.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has pledged "long range fires" for Ukraine but dodged a question on whether he would send Taurus.

Also, the US says it wants Germany to take over the position of NATO Supreme Commander in Europe. This came as a shock as the US traditionally holds that position. Germany said it sees things differently.

UK police have busted a billion dollar operation funding Russia, reports Sky. RTE Radio 1 claimed its linked to the Kinahan cartel, and that it was laundering money through the cartel to get around sanctions.

Under the Ukrainian constitution, territories cannot be ceded. The Trump plan proposals Russia "rents" these territories.

Analysts agree that any referendum on ceding these territories would be defeated. Sky News reporting "outrage" in Ukraine at the proposals.

Trump is also very ungrateful for the untold sums Europe has spent integrating 4.5 million Ukrainian refugees. He has pulled this $350 bn figure as an imagined amount the US has given Ukraine, when in fact Europe has given more. His politics is largely about grievances, including this imagined one.

About 50 Russians under the cover of fog made it into Novopavlivka but then Ukrainian F16s bombed a concentration of Russians near the nearby village of Filya. Ukrainians then captured Russian armoured vehicles. Fighting is ongoing but they have prevented more Russian reinforcements.

The Russian assault on Novopavlivka began under the cover of dense fog, which prevented either side from fully relying on drones. Exploiting this rare window, Russian forces quickly set up a pontoon crossing between Yalta and Dachne and transported roughly ten armored vehicles across the river. Because the fog was extremely thick, Ukrainian surveillance detected the maneuver too late, allowing the Russians to disperse troops in the central and southern parts of the village. Russian analysts immediately glorified the event, claiming absurdly that the same vehicles not only made a successful 2-way trip with no losses, but also immediately picked up more troops upon the return and made the second 2-way trip undetected. Novopavlivka holds great tactical value, and if Russia captures it, its troops could push toward Mezhova from the south and severely weaken Ukraine’s defensive flank west of the Pokrovsk direction. This area has very few settlements suitable for establishing firm defensive lines, meaning any Russian advance north of Novopavlivka could unfold quickly. That is why the fog-aided Russian breakthrough created initial concern, but the truth of what happened differs from the Russian narrative.The Russians managed to make only one crossing, and even that came with losses, as while the fog limited drone visibility, Ukrainian operators still managed to detect and strike Russian equipment. Geolocated footage shows Russian tanks and armored vehicles being immobilized before the fog lifted fully and later destroyed once visibility improved. Even so, Russia succeeded in landing a limited number of troops who immediately scattered across houses, small shelters, and farm structures. Ukrainian infantry began clearing operations immediately, working building by building and street by street to root out infiltrators.Soon after, Ukrainian forces released another geolocated video from Novopavlivka, showing the elimination of the Russian equipment that had managed to slip into the village. One armored vehicle and several Russians, initially lucky enough to evade immediate detection, were spotted and destroyed by drone-dropped grenades. While Russian sources claimed that over 100 soldiers infiltrated the settlement, judging that their second cross indeed happened, Ukrainian officers estimated that no more than 50 made it inside. Ukrainian soldiers captured two Russians from a destroyed BMP-2 and even managed to seize a working BMP-1 as a trophy, using the fog as cover to their advantage this time. From these engagements alone, 15 Russian soldiers were killed, while more footage indicates that at least 25 out of the roughly 50 infiltrators have been eliminated or captured, meaning that in reality Russians made only 1 trip with 50% losses, not 2 trips with zero losses.Ukrainian drone operators continued to hunt the remaining infiltrators, destroying seven more Russians hiding among the houses in Novopavlivka. West of the village, at a nearby farm, Russian troops attempted to establish a foothold, but they were spotted by drones. Once Ukrainian operators struck them from the air with FPV drones, two Ukrainian marines moved in and cleared the site. This perfectly illustrates how battles unfold now, with tiny assault teams determining the fate of several square kilometers, while drones guide every step.To prevent the Russians from exploiting the fog again, Ukrainian forces also struck the rear where new troops were gathering. A Ukrainian F-16 carried out a bombing mission against Russian concentration points in the village of Filiya, destroying several buildings with soldiers inside. Simultaneously, Russian reinforcements attempting to cross the Vovcha River near Yalta got stuck in heavy mud. What could have become a breakthrough instead became a traffic jam of four armored vehicles, all of which were destroyed by Ukrainian FPV and Vampire drones moments later.Overall, despite the surprise of the initial fog-assisted crossing, Ukrainian defenders demonstrated resilience and adaptability. The battle for Novopavlivka is far from over, as Russian troops remain scattered inside the settlement, hiding and trying to build positions. Yet the Ukrainian response has blunted the momentum of the attack and prevented reinforcement waves. Because Novopavlivka's location is so important, both sides understand the stakes, and more clashes...

The reality of what's going on is that every single ruzzian assault ends in a utter rout where they lose huge numbers of men and tanks.

Ukraine is winning and attempts by the fat orange man to bail ruzzia out will fail.

What's very striking about the 'plan' is that there are virtually zero concessions from the Russians - just some vague assurances that they won't invade the unoccupied part of Ukraine in future. All of the sections about demilitarising Ukraine are bonkers, as if Ukraine invaded Russia in February 2022 and not the other way around. A person who had been living on a remote Pacific island for the last three and a half years reading it would assume that Ukraine must have attacked Russia at the start and poses a very serious and long term threat to the Russians.

The oligarchs around this WH just want to get back to doing business in Russia, especially on fossil fuels, rare earth minerals. Its greed.

Sky defence analyst Clarke calling it a "terrible terrible document " and says as it stands it's a non-starter. Says it's possible diplomats will "firm it up", but that it is "foolish" and EU officials say it reads "like a Kremlin wishlist".

It also contains signs Trump does not see the US as part of NATO, such as the provision on the US 'mediating between NATO and Russia". Also dismisses Trump wanting this signed by Thanksgiving to Christmas.

It also says that normal trade relations with Russia will be restored. He had no right to make that promise on behalf of Europe.

It also says that out of the $100bn in frozen Russian assets used to rebuild Ukraine, 50% would go to the US

More on what the so called security guarantee would look like. After the failure of the 1994 one I dont find it convincing.

The security guarantees proposal declares that any major Russian attack across a new armistice line

“shall be regarded as an attack threatening the peace and security of the transatlantic community.”

Participating US and NATO states — including France, UK, Germany, Poland and Finland — would act “in concert,” potentially with military force.

A joint NATO-Ukraine mechanism would investigate violations.

A Joint Monitoring Commission (European-led, U.S. included) would oversee compliance.

The proposed deal also bans foreign diplomats planes from landing in Ukraine. Sounds like an attempt to turn it into a Soviet style satellite country.