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General Irish politics discussion thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,075 ✭✭✭antimatterx




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,602 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    He cycles to the Dept. of Finance?

    I live in his constituency and have never seen him on a bike even in a photo.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 45,387 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    from 2013: PressReader.com - Digital Newspaper & Magazine Subscriptions

    I think it is more a case of Mr. Flynt not understanding the unvouched expenses setup which is available to all TDs.

    Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/ .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,015 ✭✭✭Bishop of hope


    FG will be weakened without him though. He has been their Mr dependable throught their govt formations. Viewed by many as the leader behind the scenes.

    Anyway, I wish him well in his new career.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,602 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    Ray McAdam, currently Lord Mayor of Dublin, has always been Pascal's constituency side-kick and I expect he will be running for the seat in any by-election.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,267 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt


    Ah that's okay so……unvouched expenses = dip your hands into taxpayers pockets, no receipts required. All supported by Paschal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,267 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt


    He did it at least once with a cameraman there to take a picture. After that he arranged for himself to have access to a free Merc with driver…..so probably no need for a bike.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,267 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt


    McAdam has no chance. Donohoe himself could only get elected on the 55th count or whatever whlst rarely reaching the quota.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    image.png

    With 3 of the 4 seats going to left-wing opposition candidates and opposition parties having a massive advantage always in by-elections this is nailed on to go to them. That means that the government will lose a seat, eroding their majority slightly.

    It's also going to be a tremendous bun-fight between those left-wing parties for that seat.

    Gerry Hutch may run again but with the higher quota required to win a by-election he hasn't a hope of winning.

    Be interesting to see if Neasa Hourigan runs again. I can't imagine Gary Gannon or Marie Sherlock are going to be super enthused to see a candidate from either of their parties getting elected.

    Janice Boylan didn't do great last time out….will SF run her again I wonder.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,915 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    Clare Daly will no doubt run again, under the illusion that Connolly's election will translate to support for her also.

    Looking forward to her rants at the media in the count centre when she fails.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,786 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    For this, and future by-elections, I can see a Catherine Connolly situation where the left parties who already have constituency seats will unite behind one candidate to get them over the line. Then when it comes around to the next general election parties won't be trying to deal with trying to get an extra sitting TD over the line but still have a candidate for voters to give their lower preferences to

    At least that would be the smart thing to do

    In the case of this by-election SF, Labour and SD should endorse a combined independent candidate, get him/her over the line and then there's a candidate for their transfers to go at the next regular election. That's the suggestion I'd be making to their directors of elections if I had a chance



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,025 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    Simon Harris as new minister for finance.

    Maybe it was always likely, but SH does amaze me. How does he continue to fail upwards? He's useless!

    He just about did the bare minimum of what was expected of him - just - in avoiding a wipeout for FG in the GE. Showed on the campaign trail that he possessed zero charisma or substance and in debates looked like a child playing dress up next to MM, even MLMcD.

    His stewardship and brand of the health service was so toxic and inept that he purposely was kept away from the front and centre during the GE campaign in 2020. Achieved absolutely nothing in any other ministerial post.

    Talks out of both sides of his mouth. Never says anything that isn't as meaningless sound bite... Rewrites history constantly, talks about political inaction and disfunction as he's an uninvolved observer. Such an insipid character.

    I think of our current generation of "major" politicians, he's by far the least inspiring and close to the most inept... Minister for Finance... Soon to be Taoiseach, again…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,581 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    Simple Sickly Simon with a new job and ministry to ruin, along with another pension, what a joke.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,025 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    I don't like being unduly harsh on public figures.. Obviously trying to run the country is very difficult and you can't do everything or please everybody.

    But I do think SH is objectively bad...It genuinely boggles my mind that is in the position that he's in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,103 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Pascal seemed arguably the most competent of the lot in the Dáil which is reflective of his role in the Eurogroup.

    Simon Harris as Finance Minister doesn't fill me with confidence.

    Jennifer Carroll MacNeill has apparently been on manoeuvres for the party leadership so maybe staying in health is keeping her at a distance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,602 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    "55th count" LOL

    Last two GEs he was comfortably elected. In 2020 elected on 9th count.

    "Rarely reaching the quota"

    You clearly don't understand our voting system. 2024 he was well over the quota on 10th count.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    You don't get an extra pension every time you get a new ministerial role



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,813 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    You all know I'm an FG member. I supported Coveney over Varadkar and I was ambivalent about Harris.

    He has made more errors in leadership than successes, and thats not a great recipe for entering the Finance portfolio.

    I'm also not thrilled with McEntee in FA T&D, I think she was just finding her feet in Education and had the potential to do good things there.

    As for JCMN, I know her personally, she relishes taking on Health, and wild horses would not have dragged her away from it yet. She is determined with every fibre of her being to destroy the intransigent blob of Boards and senior mandarins are the cause of most of the sclerosis in Health. If she can advance that, she'll be ready for any other job down the line, party leader, Tánaiste, Taoiseach, whatever.

    And so, in my view, it should have been Chartered Accountant and other major economic portfolio holder Peter Burke into Finance, moved Patrick O'Donovan into Enterprise and brought Hildegarde Naughton into cabinet in Culture and Sport, while leaving the Tánaiste in his current portfolio, which needs continuity and momentum ahead of the EU Presidency in 7 months time.

    If Harris misses some steps in Finance, and I think he is likely to, it will hasten his end as party leader, and will be gone well ahead of the next major elections.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 41,075 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    That's just the vagaries of PR, sometimes you get fewer seats than the FPV would indicate, sometimes more. Small parties are especially prone to this.

    SDs are killing them with younger voters, where is the next generation of Labour TDs going to come from?

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,038 ✭✭✭For Petes Sake


    They do understand.

    The whole questioning of it is a clear attempt to undermine our democracy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,038 ✭✭✭For Petes Sake


    I wonder is the decision by Harris to take on Finance partly influenced by his own personal circumstances. Him and his family have been through a lot in the last year or so. Possible he wanted to take on a domestic portfolio to limit the foreign travel before he gets back into the big job in a couple of years time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,075 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    I'm also a FG memeber and echo your views. I can't believe SH and HME and both the top dogs with top jobs.

    I'm just so unimpressed with how the party looks and who's in it. No heavyweights.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,075 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    It's to keep people with leadership ambitions in their box. Look at MM sending McGrath away to Europe and not promoting Jim O'Callaghan in 2020. They're all at it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,038 ✭✭✭For Petes Sake


    I don't believe Paschal ever truly wanted the leadership.

    He might have thought about it when Varadkar stepped down, but you can't convince me that the old stock of the PP just went for Harris at the level they did without contemplating if Paschal wanted it.



  • Administrators Posts: 56,251 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    IMO the main reason Harris got the FG leadership was that Donohoe didn't go for it.

    Politicians like Donohoe are a rare breed, he had total command of his brief and was a rock solid performer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,017 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    He's a real loss to FG and arguably the country. His stewardship of our finances while not earth shattering has been stable and sensible and his being head of Eurogroup was an added vote of confidence

    Simon Harris and Jack Chambers in charge of our finances is not the most inspiring , is it ?

    @Larbre34 very honest appraisal there , fair dues .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,353 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    Agreed - doubling expenditure in 10 years definitely falls under the headings of stable & sensible. Or 54% over 5 years if that's more your bag with more to come next year

    Ffs people really need to get real. Prudent Pascal, FF & FG are centrist etc. Maybe open your eyes and looks at a few statistics



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,813 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I would disagree with it not being earthshattering.

    I think its because 'Prudent Paschal' is quite a calm and very methodical person, somewhat autistic in nature, and he has never blown his own trumpet, avoided the leadership wrangles etc, that people often overlook the scale of what he has achieved.

    Just three years out of the Troika bailout, he stewarded the public finances back into current surplus. And since then he has been involved in 10 budgets as either or both economic Ministers, which have grown the exchequer from 50 to 120 billion Euros, skyrocketed GDP, GNI*, employment rates and household wealth; slashed the national debt from its peak of 123% of GDP to 31% at the end of this year, which he did DESPITE underpinning the entire economy on exchequer IOUs during two and a half years of COVID!

    He ALSO did all that under the spectre of Brexit chaos and global geopolitical upheaval, runaway inflation and energy market earthquakes, while championing policies which actually turned both crises largely to Ireland's advantage AND writing huge cheques for every household in the country to get rebates on their bills.

    He established two sovereign wealth funds in the name of the people, exited the last vestige of State ownership of the Banks post-crash, and signed off on a Two Hundred Billion Euro national investment plan over the next 15 years.

    And he did so by being absolutely spot-on in his judgement of whether budgets should be cautious or expansionsary. Only last month he was still telling his cabinet colleagues, you can either shave a few quid off taxes for middle income earners OR cut VAT to hospitality, but not both, not while he's in the job.

    I mean, just imagine getting through all those years and not succumbing to the huge political pressure inherent in the Irish system to spend it if you have it. In the process, he has broken our opioid like dependency on pro-cyclical economics and left things on a more sustainable footing than they ever have been before.

    Not earthshattering? If you compared his achievements to those of the economy of any large open democracy, you'd put him on Mount f**king Rushmore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,915 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    History will look back on him as one of the better ministers, in any brief, that the State has had.

    Can still remember first encountering him when he was canvassing at a bus stop on the Navan Road for the 2007 election.

    That election he polled 4th on FPVs, and Mary Lou polled 5th, but both lost out on the final seat to Cyprian Brady (remember him, and his equally gormless brother?) who benefited from Bertie’s transfers.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,294 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Cyprian got 2.7% FPV from under 1000 votes, quite possibly the lowest FPV% and vote total to get elected to the Dáil.

    2400 transfers on count 1 from Bertie, and 2400 when Mary Fitzpatrick (almost certainly the FF candidate for this BE) went out got him up.



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