Presidential Election 2025

Your really assuming that people are invested in this election. I'd say most are only vaguely aware of the campaign and many are completely uninterested in it.

Connolly's momentum is largely down to apathy and no one really caring about Heather.

Those voting for Connolly will go out and vote.

To jmcc and anyone else,

I can tell you as a FG member and canvasser, there is absolutely no panic here about polling or anything else.

As far as we're concerned, when you strip out all the noise and ephemera, its Humphreys 51%, Connolly 49%, and thats before the undecideds are apportioned, and frankly we'd expect to get those 2:1 in Humphreys favour.

And so I'm confident Heather Humphreys will be the next president of Ireland by something like 60:40, or greater.

Only 43.9% of the electorate voted in 2018. That was apathy. It will be interesting to see if the turnout is lower in this election. What makes it different is that Connolly is a strong anti-FFG and anti-establishment candidate. It all comes down to turnout. With FF out of the race and the polling showing Connolly as leader, voter apathy might affect the Humphreys campaign because of the perception that Connolly is unbeatable. The majority of the electorate didn't even bother voting last time.

Oh I haven't lost any, thanks for your concern though. The NPP and the likes of you have though. The current recipient is an odios person - she has championed Israel's slaughter in Gaza - peace my a@se!! The NPP was given to the butcher of Cambodia (and elsewhere), Henry Kissinger, FFS - as Christopher Hitchen's once said - “Henry Kissinger should have the door shut in his face by every decent person and should be shamed, ostracised, and excluded.” You're in very good company ilk!

As a poster who has slammed CC in the main but has reservations of seen HH even getting sight of the finish line while CC collects her prize, (in other words I’m not by any stretch a CC supporter but I am a realist also)-I don’t know what to make of this post.

Where is your rationale that HH will romp home 60:40?
I would admit that CC’s final lead will be less than what polls indicate right now -but 60:40 to HH is just madness. CC’s lead is massive relatively speaking - HH’s transfers “guarantees” have essentially collapsed - the people most likely to stay away are FF supporters - HH needs these to win. SF young supporters will be out in their droves for this along with much of the left .

Much as I have no love for CC, I couldn’t possibly agree with your assessment - if HH does end up winning, assuming a massive conversion from the “don’t knows”- it will still be by a few % points at most

It was, no FF candidate, no FG candidate and a go nowhere SF candidate. And a largely well liked president. and considered an "unbeatable" candidate who had the support of both FF and FG.

Connolly maybe a strong anti-FG and anti-est candidate for the left. Heather's problem is her voter base aren't all that pushed and from the centre and the right she has anti-establishment people who won't vote for her, along with many old time FFer who will never vote for an FGer.

I suspect the majority of the electorate aren't invested in this election and a high proportion won't go to vote lower than 2018! I think they will be lucky to reach 40% turnout.

But everything could change in the next 2 weeks… highly unlikely.

Someone will be eating their hat with these predictions.

“There's another debate on RTE Radio 1 at 13:00 with David McCullagh.”

I’ll take a listen thanks.

“but if they had any sense they would be hammering the message for the next 2 weeks that CC is anti-EU.”

In fairness that’s the one point I have heard been made about HH-ie pro EU- maybe it needs to become an election slogan or something - and better to campaign on a positive (pro EU) than a negative (CC anti EU)

HHs campaign just seems so lazy. No effort put in. I got her flyer through the door and it was just all vague happy clappy cliches, nothing original or personal to her.

'A President for All'

Do me a favour.

”Lazy” is not a bad description. I’d be in agreement with that - that and some sort of entitlement to the position like what we might have seen in the 70s 80s or something -CC turns me off in so many ways but I don’t “warm” to HH either - I’m voting least worst but they’re both appalling candidates

Your analysis may be based on unsound data. Wait until the Irish Times publishes its poll closer to the election date.

durty stuff from Heather: "he (paul murphy) locked joan burton in her caaar"

Heather going on all out attack against CC in the debate - accusing her of all sorts (an obvious pre-arranged plan from her handlers).

I agree with HH on Radio 1 now about CCs alignment with Mick Wallace and Clare Daly.