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Presidential Election.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,573 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    And you're vaguely making a claim that you're incapable of backing up. If Steen was so confident in growing support for her views, she'd have run in the general election. Instead we get a publicity stunt from a few people who stand no chance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    The influence of the Church started collapsing in the 70s, that is why the Pope visited here in 79. He came to reaffirm the faith, but it was gone. Their influence was gone by the 80s and especially 90s. They were still around, making a rackett, evening banning the odd movie here and there, but they were irrelevant to the youth who had turned from them completely.

    It is my view that this wave of Progressive Policies are much more damaging than anything the clergy did. We just aren't allowed to talk about the issues in public yet. We all knew about the Church sex abuse scandals (and political corruption) in the 80s it wasn't until the 90s it was discussed in mainstream media. The media and politicians are always behind the people….but they think it is the other way around. That is why it is so predictable. Any funny. We've already seen the mass deletion of Pronouns on Linedin over the last year….a lotta embarrassed folk out there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,627 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Voters vote on self-interest and then on clientelism. The party supporters think that their parties are the best. The reality is that much of the vote is a floating vote and will shift between parties. That is why FG got 76 seats in 2011. Labour 37 and FF 20. In 2016, Labour collapsed to 7 seats. In 2024, FF was the largest party at 48 seats, SF won 39 seats and FG 38. Much of the Labour vote in 2011 was a borrowed FF vote. The core support of the parties is typically much smaller than the support printed in opinion polls. They generally redistribute the Don't Knows on the basis of how those voters voted in the previous election.

    There is a conservative vote and it too probably voted against those referenda. Refernda are also closer in nature to presidential elections as there is typically one outcome in a presidential election. Due to the diminished party support figures, a presidential candidate has to be able to appeal to votes across party boundaries. The time when FF and FG could get over 80% of the vote and FF could nominate a candidate for the presidency with the certainty that they would win is long gone.

    Ireland may not be a conservative country but there is a conservative vote. This paradox might be confusing if you simply think of the electorate as being party supporters. Steen, if she gets on the ballot, could be a candidate that could attract conservative votes. The last opinion poll had the Don't Knows at 28%. That was higher than the support for either of the two leading candidates. (Connolly and Humphreys.)

    Regards…jmcc

    Regards…jmcc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    What are you on about? I'm saying I think she will do better than many on boards think IF she manages to get a nomination. Running in a GE is completely different to a National Campaign. This is getting ridiculous.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,555 ✭✭✭spakman


    I'd have some sympathy for the view that the media in Ireland adopt a collective opinion on some topics, and anyone who voices a 'controversial' opinion to the contrary is rarely heard.

    But that's not the same as saying anyone who is anti mainstream is somehow right.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 32,766 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It is my view that this way of Progressive Policies are much more damaging than anything the clergy did.

    I think that is going to be a hard bloody sell in Ireland. Personally, as much as I have some issues with "progressive policies" I think it is the height of absurdity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,928 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    The abuse scandals are still coming to light. Every year there are more revelations. The church clearly hasn't reformed or opened up their records. I consider the Roman organisation a criminal entity and the state are still often afraid to take them on. They will never have power over ordinary Irish people again.

    Yes we follow the Americans in some ways but not in this instance. They never had the church control or abuse at the warped levels we had. They are also very gullible and easily led.

    Q. Has same sex marriage impacted your life in some way? You sound a little unhinged about it.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,041 ✭✭✭✭castletownman


    Between Gavin and Pat Gilroy, Brolly is a bigger fan-boy of those two than any MAGA Republican.

    Never seen arse-licking like it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    Look how popular they are in the USA today…where they came from. Now, will the USA turn back to these policies, influenced by how wonderfully they are working out here….or will we eventually ditch the ideology. The smart money has to be on the latter. I'm always amazed at how shallow Irish people can be that they can't see what is going to happen next. We've been though this before.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,108 ✭✭✭wildgreen


    The people voting will look for someone with their values and everything is political e.g. housing budget, education budget, foreign affairs relations.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 32,766 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Ireland is not the USA.

    Also "progressive policies" did not remotely come from the USA. They have just taken them, and as is their wont, run to the extremes on them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    Ireland is a backwater. We are the one's who run to extremes with our ideology that we adopt from more powerful cultures.. We did it with Catholicism and today with our Progressive ideology. We haven't changed a bit. Just have waaaaaay more mental health issues.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,573 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    You didn't actually answer his post. You're claiming progressive policies are more damaging than the stranglehold the church had over Ireland which included sexual abuse and physical abuse cover-ups that continue to come to light... It's incredibly disrespectful towards those who were victims of it tbh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    "Has same sex marriage impacted your life in some way? You sound a little unhinged about it."

    No where have I mentioned same sex marriage. You are unhinged sir.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,928 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    What are the progressive policies that you object to then? You mentioned Norris. Iona objected to them all. You're a little all over the shop. What age are you ?

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,573 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Erm, you pretty clearly implied that the same sex marriage and repeal referendum were part of some radical plot by "the Feminist/NGO class", you reference the years and everything... Based on your last few posts,I don't think you can accuse others of being unhinged. 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    I have no issue with same sex marriage or the repeal referendum whatso ever. The NGO class however didn't stop there did they.

    You have accused me of being impacted by same sex marriage, and called me unhinged. Arguing with a Progressive is like arguing with a child, it is all emotive nonsense. It's no wonder Progressives are riddled with mental health issues.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,928 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    You aren't capable of identifying what poster said what.

    Ok so spit it out man...what progressive policies are you against?!? Those 2 referendums last year were quite meaningless, I doubt many can recall what they were about.

    So what's your beef? How are we "radicalised"?

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    You keep adding to your post.

    I mentioned Norris because he was front runner in a Presidential Election before his support collapsed once the race began in earnest. Honestly dude, you should hit the hay. this is getting the better of you.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,928 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    I asked a question above. Stop playing silly games and tell us all what progressive politics are driving you dotty? Go on, thrill is with your brave new world.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    How about starting with looking at how you are behaving.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,928 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Ah ffs. Own your little rant. Spit it out. It's an anonymous forum. I am all ears. What progressive policies? What have the NGOs done to you ? Why are we radicalised?? Otherwise you're just rambling...

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,573 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    By the NGO class, do you mean the citizens of Ireland? Cause I remember those two referendums. They were largely pushed by members of the public who did on the ground campaigning.

    I didn't call you anything btw. Looking back, you have engaged in lots of name calling though. I think I'm gonna leave you to it for now cause you seem intent on derailing the thread into conspiracy theories and such...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,783 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Neither Harris or Martin are popular at councillor or grassroots level. They are both endorsing candidates which will leave Kelly and Kelligher out in the cold, which will put noses out of joint as there already is a concerning gap between the ground soldiers and leadership, so it wouldn't surprise me to see a few rogue councils out there.

    Sounds like a lot of wishful thinking by someone desperately casting around for a plausible scenario by which Steen or a similar figure might get on the ballot. By all accounts Humphreys is widely popular with her party's grassroots and Kelleher isn't particularly so I see little scope for discontent over their party's choice of presidential candidate to be the casus belli for a councilor-level revolt against the leaderships of either party.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 879 ✭✭✭Morris Garren


    I'm also intrigued by what the basis for your disdain for 'progressive policies' 'feminists' and the 'NGO Class' etc is. You make a number of sweeping assertions about Irish people, Irish history, and Irish politics and I agree with some of them, especially those points that are demonstrably true from history, eg the collapse in influence of the Catholic Church, etc. But when pressed on the detail, you resort to ad nominem type stuff, instead of justifying the point. To me, that's exactly what happens when fanatical and fundamentalist types are scrutinised-- no real substance but lots of ranting and shouting about being 'right'. So, which progressive policies of late have you found most damaging to Ireland and can you outline what disaster is coming down the line for us? And how will this impact the Presidency for the next 7 years?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,032 ✭✭✭✭Galwayguy35


    If Connolly wins she can ask Assad over for tea.

    Gemma O Doherty as well



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,594 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    An extraordinary reply to a pretty straightforward and factual post- what’s your game anyway?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭Mike Murdock


    You decry "Progressive" politics/posters, but when pushed to explain what Progressive politics you dislike, you resort to emotive "Man not Ball" one-line responses.

    So, what Progressive issues or ideology do you not like?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,631 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    I am not elaborating because one, this is not the thread. Two, we are not allowed talk about some of the more extreme Progressive Policies (as I have mentioned). Three, I know exactly how it goes, as soon as a topic is even alluded to the zealots come after you, badgering, misrepresenting, engaging in dishonest emotive arguments etc. We are in another cycle and will be some time yet before we here in Ireland can openly discuss a lot of the topics, you can plainly see how the radicalized behave on here. But just like the 70s and 80s, just because serious social policies aren't being discussed in open public discourse, doesn't mean we don't have serious social problems that need to be openly discussed.

    But let me be clear, I have nothing but utter disdain for most of the Progressive ideology and policies.

    I have no doubt I will be ridiculed for even saying as much, but being ridiculed by a Progressive is fun for me. I listened to a conversation with Peader Tobin recently, where he discussed a private conversation with a long serving Senior Government Minister, he asked why this chap couldn't talk publicly about (a particular social topic), he said he there was no way he could, he would be castigated, this was a senior Government minister. Steen would have no problem discussing any of those social topics, probably why she won't get nomination or if she does she will be attacked by the bought and paid for media. I am repeating myself at this stage, I don't have much more to offer on the topic of Steen.

    That is Ireland in 2025, it was last like this in the 1970s.



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