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Presidential Election 2025

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,983 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    What do you mean?
    To have an arbitrary block just because certain parties hold a balance of power in LA's, is the point?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,368 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    The only other option would presumably be get a certain number of signatures of registered voters and/or a deposit. What would be a fair threshold to allow somebody onto the ballot? Dáil is 30 signatures (or €500), Local is 15 signatures (or €100), Europe is 60 signatures (or €1,800).

    Dáil & local seem fine based on the size of the electorate there. Europe is way too easy to get nominated for.

    There are 43 Dáil constituencies, so if we multiplied the criteria for Dáil by 43 we'd get 1,290 signatures or €21,500 deposit. If we did it based on local electoral areas (166 LEAs) we'd get 2,490 signatures or €16,600. If we did it on Euros we'd only need 180 signatures or €5,400.

    I don't like the idea of sidestepping signatures by having money, so scrap the deposit rule. If we go by the current nominating rules you need either 20 Oireachtas members out of 234 (8.54% of the members) or 4 of the 31 councils (12.9% of the councils). Let's split the difference and say you need 10% of the expected voting populace to nominate you based on the previous election results. So in 2018 there were 1,492,338 votes cast, if we had 10% of that you'd need to be nominated by 149,234 people. That would have put you 3rd in the count in 2018 (Michael D got 822k votes, Peter Casey got 342K, Sean Gallagher got 94k votes).

    It should be really hard to get nominated for president - so if you are unable to attract 10% of the public OR 8.5% of Oireachtas members OR 13% of the local councils then why should you run. If we did want to change the nominating procedure then I'd suggest that.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 30,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It is not an "arbitrary" block. It was the block envisaged in the Constitution.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,663 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    It was designed that way when the Constitution was drafted, and that Consitution was voted on and approved by the people.

    We've only had 3 elections out of 14 which featured candidates on the ballot that have come via the County Council route - that's a design of the system not a bug.

    If there was a non-party candidate with genuine strong popular appeal trying to get a nomination, then they'd ultimately get onto the ballot.

    Elected politicians are always thinking about the next election. If there was a non-party candidate with a genuine groundswell of support behind them then they'd find some combination of small parties, rebels and independents in the Oireachtas, or there would be enough councillors who would defy party whips for future personal popularity to get them a council or two, and then popular opinion would pressure parties into relaxing the whip to get the remaining required councils over the line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,663 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    I think something like that would be a good idea - but it would need safeguards built into it to prevent abuse.

    Wouldn't take much imagination to foresee a "prominent Irish sportsperson" magicing up signatures of dubious provinence if such a route was open.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,983 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The block can be enforced as a result of an arbitrary set of circumstances.





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,983 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I have never been of the opinion that the Constitution is a 'fixed' thing. It should always be evolving especially to fix issues and problems arising.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,368 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Certain parties, voted on by the public. The public who know (or should know) that the councillors play a role in nominating presidential candidates.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,710 ✭✭✭Downlinz


    Aontu wrote to five councils exploring the possibility of FF & FG councillors abstaining from the nomination process so that they may at least have the possibility of supporting an independent candidate to appear on the ballot. They were told by FG in response their councillors would vote against any candidate proposed while FF dismissed the suggestion.

    Fine Gael’s group leader on Fingal County Council, Aoibhinn Tormey, told The Irish Times her party would not abstain and would vote against nominating potential candidates that might appear at the local authority.

    She said: “We are fully committed to supporting Mairead McGuinness to be the next president of Ireland, so any vote to the contrary would not be consistent with that position”.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,983 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Yes.

    But here is one member of the public who thinks that a route should not be blocked just because of a temporary holding of the balance of power. By any party or set of party's.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 30,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The results of elections are not "arbitrary".

    This is nothing but the constitutional provision acting as envisioned. You are tying yourself in knots to make it out to be the fault of some parties as opposed to just how the constitution was set up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,815 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Since when is the democratic will of the people an "arbitrary set of circumstances"??

    Sounds like something out of 1930s Europe.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 30,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    If there was a non-party candidate with genuine strong popular appeal trying to get a nomination, then they'd ultimately get onto the ballot.

    I'm not entirely sure that is true to be honest. I think the bar of 20 members of the Oireachtas is too high, albeit the proliferation of independents is making it easier to take that route as well. In theory I suppose you could also move to a total number of councillors (like 60) rather than county councils.

    Either way, I wouldn't expect a referendum on those changes to pass.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    That's the challenge.

    How do you validate these public nominations?

    Absent the creation of some kind of US style "Primary" system , how would you ensure that the nominations were real?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,983 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I think the bar of 20 members of the Oireachtas is too high

    I think you are right here. When this set of circumstances arises it is too high a hurdle to get over.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,368 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    But you are 1, the majority has voted (consistently and disappointingly) for the parties that are "blocking"…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,663 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    You'd have to have some sort of extended lead-in before an election - say a 4 week period or similar - where 1) any candidates seeking a nomination via signatures would need to formally declare themselves as such and then 2) where any registered voter seeking to support a nomination would have to present themselves in person to register their signature and support and where their identity and eligibility to sign could be validated.

    In reality - it's hugely impractical and I'm not sure how it could actually work - but it's a principle that I'd be broadly in favour of IF there was a way of making it work.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    When you say "This set of circumstances arises" you mean - Every single election?

    Has there ever been a scenario where the vast majority of elected officials across the Dail, Senate and County councils have not been made up by at most 4 parties??

    You act like this is something new and nefarious that has never happened before.

    Last time out was an exception to the norm because Higgins self nominated and was an absolute lock to win so most of the main parties didn't bother to run candidates so their people had a choice to vote for someone else, so we got a few extra no hopers on the ballot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,663 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    And there's no indication that there's anything resembling widespread opinion that the current rules are an issue or a problem - other than you thinking you've found another avenue to throw some bile at FF and FG.

    We've had 11 of 14 possible presidential elections (now approaching 12 of 15) where no candidate was able to avail of the Council route for nomination. If there was any sort of widespread feeling in the country that this was a problem in the system then there would have been some sort of campaign for change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,983 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I am somebody who believes the President doesn't need to be from a political party.

    I think there should be a route for people who don't necessarily have to be answerable for one political party or another nor necessarily needs the support of one political party or other and should not be stopped by political parties closing ranks.

    Simple as that.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,368 ✭✭✭✭dulpit




  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    They aren't "closing ranks" though are they??

    They are choosing their own candidate , how is that "closing ranks"??

    In 2018 , most of them didn't have their own candidate , so they voted for other candidates and several of them got on the ballot.

    So the system is working as it's supposed to..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,983 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,815 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Let's hear it.

    Propose a route that is simple, cost-effective and delivers suitably qualified candidates.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,895 ✭✭✭PGE1970


    At the moment, anyone can stand as a candidate in a general election once they are over 18 and lodge a deposit. In some constituencies, there have been over twenty candidates.

    Can you imagine the length of the ballot sheet if absolutely everyone who wanted to stand paid up and put their name down? For a national election, there has to be some way of filtering candidates to a manageable amount.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Again , explain how you imagine that might work in practice?

    Removing the party whip from the current process doesn't get you anything at all really.

    If the party you represent is running a candidate , you are almost certainly going to vote for them whip or not. If they don't run a candidate you'll pick someone else or sit it out if you don't see anything you like - Which is what happened in 2018.

    The other option is an effective free for all where we end up with dozens of pointless no-bodies on the ballot that just increases costs and workload for absolutely zero democratic benefit.

    So , as others have asked do you have ANY suggestions for an alternative method that is viable and actually benefits the nation?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,983 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    At the moment, anyone can stand as a candidate in a general election

    You are standing because you want to be a politician.

    The only route for a non-political candidate is via LA's.

    That in itself is semi political, in that politicians are making the choice.
    And this time political parties are controlling the process either accidentally or deliberately.

    All I am asking is, should that be looked at as it seems to me there is a block there that was not intended by the constitution.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 30,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    21 technically. I find the age bars on any political position utterly bizarre and counter-democratic but there you go, we had the option to get rid of the most egregious and didn't so people are clearly ok with it.

    There has to be some bar quite clearly. I would be fine with a petition level bar (a high one) but it is not without its own problems.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,868 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    People not nominating someone they won't support is not a "block".



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,202 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    To me this is entirely reasonable for FG as they have always been intent on running their own candidate. If FF were not to do likewise things would get interesting. I think an argument could be made for Martin his councillors off the leash to facilitate other candidates "in the interests of democracy".



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