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Northern Ireland 2125?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Now who is making stuff up? A United Ireland will face all the challenges any other sovereign entity will face from now into 2125 and beyond. Nobody is being 'romantic' or claiming a 'utopia' is upon us.

    Maybe ask questions when you are mature enough to accept the answers?

    The GFA is a 'process' to a UI of some form if a 50+1 majority vote for it, it has the promised legislative weight of two sovereign governments behind it (belligerent Unionists still have to cope with that reality) and is recognised as a binding international agreement (tested to it's limits during Brexit etc) it is therefore not a 'fantasy' like your 'motherland satellite' is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Gives out about people talking about 'history', falls back on 'history' himself. 😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    this just sounds like brexit all over again. Brexit is Brexit - don’t need to consider the detail.
    united ireland is united ireland - don’t need to consider the detail.

    I think you know that any discussion on what the reality looks like, sends the polling figures south.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Keep the 20+% of Catholics who express a pro-UK position in opinion polls onside and positively sell the merits of the Union to the undecided section, and NI will continue to exist for a good while yet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Any discussion that tries to scare people you mean.

    There is plenty of reasonable discussion and different views.

    How many more like Linda Ervine and Wallace Thompson there are in the Unionist community and how many of those who now identify themselves as 'Northern Irish' are on a journey similar to Ervine and Thompson is an unknown.

    Post edited by FrancieBrady on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    A 'stay in the UK' opinion, in the absence of any plan for a UI is not the same as a 'pro UK' opinion.

    You are reading too much into current polling in other words.

    The poll that will matter will be the one after a White Paper/Plan is produced by the Irish government.

    See what happened Scottish Independence opinion polling after the White Paper was presented - 32% in favour went to 50% and beyond for a time, prompting the British and indeed Ulster Unionists to panic and get to Scotland to try to persuade and make promises…false promises as it turned out, but that's another debate.
    It should be noted the British have said they will leave it to 'the people of Ireland to decide their fate, without outside impediment.'

    So they won't be coming to try to persuade as Gordon Brown and others did in Scotland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,768 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    You must be talking about a different Graham Norton, because he was referring to the time when he was growing up in Cork, which was mostly 1970's and perhaps very early 1980s, as he was 17 in April 1980. Not 1980s/1990s as you claim. Also, your tiktok link on what you claim Graham Norton said does not work. However yesterday you made things up about what he said: you are probably doing the same today.

    You then divert and cherry pick two sentences out of a book by Ian D'Alton, as if that proves anything. Ian d'Alton, as someone else said once, is one of those appeasing southern Irish protestants who sees no evil -and of course that is very acceptable to, and goes down very well with, the Catholic majority. Not surprised you quote him and give him a pat on the head, because that is what both of you want. Even the first bit hints the 26 counties was not a cosy house for all: "It wasn't always easy, and the very Catholic ethos of the State was often jarring and uncomfortable…" 

    If that is the most positive thing your can find, it only supports Norton's experience over a generation later. D'Alton say precious little for example about the Fethard on Sea boycott, Co. Wexford.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 690 ✭✭✭michael-henry-mcivor


    The IRA war removed the 1920 government of Ireland act-

    Act(s of Union got the boot- but U will never hear a Republican bragging about that in the media-

    In 1981 the rusted Iron lady give in to the hunger- Strikers and IRA prisoners got to wear their own clothes instead of the hated brit prison uniform-/-they got 50 per cent remission which turned a 20 year sentence into a ten year one- your post about Siobhon O'Hanlon tells that she got a 7 year sentence in which she served 3 and half years- that was 50 per cent remission which was one of the hunger- Strikers 5 demands-

    Republicans did not jump in front of the media bragging that thatcher surrendered-

    That's the way the movement operates- take the win and go for the next one-

    Let the loser brag-



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ok Francie, it seems i’m talking to you again. Current polling is all we have to go on. You can’t honestly ask me to predict the future of a poll result even if the Irish government brings out this plan or whatever it will be. As i’ve said before i’m constitutionally neutral on all this so l’m open to be persuaded otherwise, so put your best salesmans hat on and pitch me the merits of UI.

    Re Scotland: in the actual poll that counted the yes side lost by 10%. The main political party advocating Scottish independence, the SNP, threw its toys out of the pram, demanded indyref2, and when it didn’t get that, decided to wrap itself up in gender identity politics with the result that it got thumped in the last general election for being seen as being out of touch with the electorate. It’ll be at least 20 years before there’s another attempt to get independence campaign off the ground again IMHO.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Here it is on Instagram

    https://www.instagram.com/reel/DKFwyFpNQUI/

    There are 18 essays by different Protestants in his book AND Ian D'Alton quotes a Protestant Bishop in 1944.

    18 Protestants telling a very different story of their lives V your one Protestant, telling a different story to different interviewers at different times as he is co-incidentally selling a different book or comedy routine.

    I will let people judge for themselves what is going on, IMO while I like Norton and his career, he is gilding the lily for PR purposes.

    Here's another eminent Munster-man whose grandfather signed the Ulster Covenant writing a commendation for another D'Alton book

     “This richly textured, erudite and mischievously subversive book decisively establishes Ian d’Alton as the laureate of southern Irish Protestant history in the modern period . . . an indispensable guide, and a delight to read.” 

     

    Roy Foster, Emeritus Professor of Irish History, University of Oxford 




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    well Starmer has already said his Labour Party would be campaigning to keep ni in the union - not that we need him of course



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    No interest in trying to sell you something to be honest. I am happy it is selling itself.

    If you are not familiar with the panic from London and Belfast among Unionists over the Scottish polling figures and the false promises made to persuade that 10% that's your knowledge gap to the fore again. Not for me to do your due diligence.

    The problem for the British government is they won't be able to lie the next time there is a poll on Scottish Independence. And there will be a next time,



    The problem facing Unionists is the British have already said they will not put impediments in the way of the Irish deciding their fates.

    Back to you reading 20+ catholic support for the status quo and confusing that for a 'pro Union' opinion.

    If you, again, do your due diligence, and look at all the opinions given in that opinion poll, you will notice that majorities in both jurisdictions favour referendums in the next 10 years.

    That is people saying we may favour the status quo or we 'don't know' but we want referendums because we want to see the Plan for a UI.

    The only opinion poll that will matter is the one taken after we see that Plan. And that is as close as a change of party leader or a party entering coalition.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Have you not learned the lesson about promises UK PM's make?

    Stammer might have his opinion btw and various interested MP's will make their views public, but the British government won't be offering inducements to try to persuade. 'It is for the people of the island of Ireland to decide their fate without outside impediment'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    in fairness to francie, his revisionist fantasy usually has a thread of truth running through it. You on the other hand just make up nonsense. The hunger strikers stuff is a classic example

    Post edited by downcow on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,768 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Can your beloved Ian D'Alton be the same Ian D'Alton who did a fierce scathing attack, some would call it a hatchet job on Robin Bury's book about Irish Protestants 'Buried Lives' in the Irish Times without mentioning there was a big conflict of interest - that he himself, Ian D'Alton had a soft book - quite agreeable to your viewpoint FrancieBrady - on southern Protestants coming out a week or two later? 

    D'alton was right about one thing though: southern Irish Protestants had to "keep their heads down", and we see this where as soon as someone even in modern times like Graham Norton says something about his experience growing up in Ireland, or mixed marriages where the Priests in the past put huge pressure on the kids to be brought up Catholic, which you perceive to be a negative reflection on the country, you dismiss his opinion. You make up things about him, claim he is not consistent, claim he is changing his story about his upbringing because he has a vested interest in selling books ( even though his books have nothing to do about politics or religion) and then divert to what someone else said, someone who has a vested interest in pushing his book about politics / religion.

    Post edited by Francis McM on


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Francie, would you please stop talking down to other posters and telling them they have ‘knowledge gaps’ etc. It’s incredibly condescending tbf. The ‘panic’ (your words, not mine) must have worked then since the yes side lost by 10%. I was talking to a few Scottish people after it, and they said the yes side fell down on their economic argument. It’ll be the same here i suspect if a poll is called and the campaign starts. Whoever presents the best economic case could be the front runner imo.

    Re the timing of a border poll: I’ve no problem whatsoever whenever it’s held.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,424 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    That’s like me gathering up a few catholics from north down together to try to convince you that catholics had it great in no in the 60s. But sure you know that anyhow



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Yes, Brown's passionate pleas and economic scaremongering got them over the line.
    Polls moved over 5 pts after he rushed to Scotland to give his speech.

    After being plucked out of the EU when they didn't want to leave and the problems that caused the English-centric Westminster parliament will have difficulty doing that again.

    I notice you sidestepped looking at that opinion in it's totality. Fair enough.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    “Yes, Brown's passionate pleas and economic scaremongering got them over the line. 
    Polls moved over 5 pts after he rushed to Scotland to give his speech. 

    After being plucked out of the EU when they didn't want to leave and the problems that caused the English-centric Westminster parliament will have difficulty doing that again.”

    So it’s Scottish independence revisionism now instead of republican where you eventually admit the yes side lost?

    “I notice you sidestepped looking at that opinion in it's totality. Fair enough.”

    Stop shifting the goalposts again. You talked about the timing of a border poll to which i responded.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Ian D'Alton who did a fierce scathing attack,

    😁

    People can judge for themselves if it is 'scathing and fierce or an 'attack' or an honest, backed up review of a book that was criticised by others too for it's myopic point of view.

    Here and there, indeed, Bury recognises that there are other stories to be told, other angles to be explored.

    In discussing attacks on Protestants in 1921 he notes that they were not the only outsiders targeted: tramps, vagrants and Redmondites were also in the cross hairs of republican guns.

    In a long description of the Bandon Valley massacre, in April 1922, his emphasis is on attack and flight, but he does acknowledge that although between 100 and 200 Protestants fled from Cork after the killings, some eventually returned.

    While excoriating compulsory Irish and (rightly) demonstrating that most Irish Protestants thought it a nonsense, he mentions, in contrast, that two Anglican archbishops of Dublin, George Otto Simms and Donald Caird, were language enthusiasts.

    He admits sometimes that the narrative of almost relentless marginalisation and intolerance is overdramatised.

    Bury makes great play of perceived discrimination against Protestants, almost up to the present.

    He devotes much space to mixed-marriage child-custody cases, such as Tilson (1950) and Fethard-on-Sea (1957). There is an entire chapter on the proposal for, and subsequent cancellation of, an Orange parade in Dublin in 2000.

    He is particularly critical of the Church of Ireland role in that controversy. However, why so much attention is given to this is puzzling; apart from the Border counties, Orangeism in the Republic has about as much relevance to the vast majority of Protestants as a bicycle has for a fish. Freemasonry is probably more significant, yet it is barely mentioned.

    In an epilogue Bury examines Protestant reaction to the 1916 rebellion, pointing out that, unsurprisingly, prominent Protestants universally condemned it at the time – and that some still do.

    Those opinions may differ in quantum, but they were (and are) found on the Catholic side too. He goes on to criticise the Church of Ireland’s inability to hold services on Easter Sunday 2016 in Dublin city because of the centenary celebrations. Yet, in a bureaucratic world, that was as much about traffic control and “health and safety” issues as anything else.

    Full review is here:



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I never denied they lost.

    Will you stop! 😂

    p.s. I 'talked' about you missing the implications of the whole opinion poll…you know that persistent knowledge gap, you don't like being mentioned.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ahem, to what i responded too:

    “you will notice that majorities in both jurisdictions favour referendums in the next 10 years”.

    So stop the attempts at petty squabbling, thanks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,768 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Do you not think that Ian D'Alton should at least have mentioned there was a conflict of interest in him reviewing Robin Bury's book about Irish Protestants 'Buried Lives' in the Irish Times

    D'Alton reviewed the book without mentioning that he himself, Ian D'Alton had a soft book on southern Protestants coming out a week or two later? 

    Not surprisingly, D'Alton gave Robin Burys book a very harsh review in the Irish Times ( although Bury's book was well received by lots of people, who found it accurate ) while a short time later D'Altons own book got a glowing review in the republican Irish Times?

    The message is clear from you: protestants should keep their head down if they say something your republican ears do not want to hear; you attack them when they do not, and God help us all if there was every a U.I. the way you rewrite history.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Wow aren't you the clever one.
    Pluck a sentence out of a point and pretend that was all there was to respond to.

    Feck sake, such dis-ingenuous posting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    From the article Francis

    Ian d'Alton is coediting a book of essays, to be published by Cork University Press, on the southern Protestant accommodation with Ireland between the 1920s and the 1960s

    I notice that a 'fierce scathing attack' has been downplayed to 'harsh',
    Small mercies I suppose.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Francie, post your own opinions, and not attempt to do it for others, cheers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    What?

    You plucked a sentence from a point and decided that was all you wanted to address.

    I couldn't care less and didn't ask you when you wanted a poll.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,768 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    You cannot even get that bit right. It said "very harsh", not "harsh." In the printed edition of the paper, there was no mention of conflict of interest. Now answer the question:

    Do you not think AT THE TIME OF REVIEW that Ian D'Alton should at least have mentioned there was a conflict of interest in him reviewing Robin Bury's book about Irish Protestants 'Buried Lives' in the Irish Times?

    ( Context : D'Alton reviewed the book without mentioning that he himself, Ian D'Alton had a soft book on southern Protestants coming out a week or two later. Not surprisingly, D'Alton gave Robin Burys book a very harsh review in the Irish Times ( although Bury's book was well received by lots of people, who found it accurate ) while a short time later D'Altons own book got a glowing review in the republican Irish Times ).



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You:  “you will notice that majorities in both jurisdictions favour referendums in the next 10 years”

    Me: “Re the timing of a border poll: I’ve no problem whatsoever whenever it’s held.”

    YOU picked this out. I commented on it.

    “didn't ask you when you wanted a poll.”

    You’re right you didn’t, because i never said i “wanted” one.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,270 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


     In the printed edition of the paper, there was no mention of conflict of interest.

    😁😁 Can you back that up please?

    What 'conflict of interest' was there only one invented by you.

    When people are asked to review books they are more often than not other fiction writers or writers, expert in the same field as the book is writing about. Several times in the review D'Alton mentioned he is also a Protestant living in Ireland. And he is an acknowledged expert in the same subject matter.

    There aren't many reviews of Bury's book but here's another one that takes his myopic view to task;

    Bury’s narrative asserts that IRA attacks on individual Protestants during the 1919–23 War of Independence and Civil War were sectarian. Southern Protestant testimony rejecting this perception is ignored, alongside other contrary evidence.

    As noted also by D'Alton:

    Reasons for departure, but not return, interest Bury.


    ….

    Protestants retained control of the commanding heights of the southern Irish economy, in banking, insurance, manufacturing, retail and the building trade.

    This is largely because no one thought too much about taking it from them.

    Had that happened the author would have had more to complain about.

    Despite what the author intimates, there were never more than ineffectual efforts at questioning this sectarian system of ownership, control and discrimination, which lasted into the 1960s

    This is a fascinating book of interesting contradictions, in need of a proofreader.

    Buried lives: the Protestants of southern Ireland – History Ireland



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