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A "storm" showing up on the charts Monday next @19.00 hrs

  • 18-08-2025 02:16PM
    #1
    amandstu
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,332 ✭✭✭


    963.png

    I just noticed this on the met,ie chart

    This is a long way away (a whole week) and obviously nothing could come of it in that it could weaken or not come to land.

    Is 963 a particularly worry level of pressure ?(I think Eowyn was 943- so a lot lower, with the record in these parts at something like 936)

    I assume it is one to watch ?



Comments

  • #2
    Dow99
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 284 ✭✭Dow99


    Remnants of Hurricane Erin



  • #3
    amandstu
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,332 ✭✭✭amandstu


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123732981#Comment_123732981

    I see the Examiner thinks it will not be too major for us

    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-41689284.html

    "

    Hurricane Erin is not expected to bring a major impact to Ireland as it currently moves across the Caribbean.

    "

    Is it just guesstimates as early on as this?(seems that it might bring up warm air,anyway)



  • #4
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,191 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    GFS current track scenario takes remnant low southeast from 25W to Biscay and it all eventually falls apart over France and Channel regions. Would result in 18-20 C southeast to east wind moderate rain scenario for parts of Ireland if true. Earlier guidance was showing remnants of Erin passing north of Ireland with a somewhat warmer outcome but similar rainfalls except over a larger portion of the north mainly. Model guidance could easily return to that scenario. Erin is just east of the Bahamas now and beginning to recurve to the west and later north of Bermuda, which won't get the full impact but may see cat-1 wind gusts (the centre of Erin may be cat-4 at the time).

    I suppose with a name like Erin, this remnant low should approach Ireland at some point. A headline like ERIN DEVASTATES CORNWALL would be rather ironic.



  • #5
    Dow99
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 284 ✭✭Dow99


    With the Electric Picnic festival the weekend of the 29th to 31st is it likely to arrive to Ireland for that time?



  • #6
    Jim_Hodge
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,394 ✭✭✭✭Jim_Hodge


    BBC report

    Will UK feel effects of Hurricane Erin? - BBC Weather



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  • #7
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,191 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Note the 18z GFS showed Erin's collapse much faster and so the remnant was unable to reach Europe, being beaten to the pass by a garden-variety N Atlantic low breaking down the block instead. Then for that Electric Picnic weekend, a second round of unsettled Atlantic frontal weather is shown. Very speculative at this time range, the main points being that zonal flow is scheduled to replace the current blocking pattern, Erin becoming a casualty by showing up in the wrong place at the wrong time to participate. Something entirely different will probably happen though.



  • #8
    skinny90
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭skinny90


    doesn’t look like it will affect Ireland minus the showers



  • #9
    AMKC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,142 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123734601#Comment_123734601

    Let's hope so.

    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



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