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Presidential Election 2025

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 39,742 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Every election since the foundation of the state.

    We have never had a left-led government, never mind a far-left government, so we can conclude that most voters do not like far-left stances.

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I regard Irish academia as broadly left-leaning as do most analysts.

    Why didn't you say that then?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,416 ✭✭✭pureza


    Have a read of the threads,the consensus is against Daly and Wallace,to put it mildly

    Glibly ignore that if you wish,makes no odds



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,648 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    she is a genuinely good person

    That might well be true but goodness ≠ charisma and from what I have seen so far she doesn't have much of the latter. And I think she will need it to win over sufficient voters not on the same page ideologically…



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 11,080 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    Really? And yet they:

    • Voted to retain the PR system against the wishes of FF, while giving them their biggest majority in the Dail
    • The voted to retain the PR system a second time
    • The voted twice to retain the Senate, dispite the main parties supporting the proposal
    • The rejected the proposal to reduce the limited for the office of President

    On top of this an Irish president has had to intervene on three occasions to defend the constitution against the Dail and the government, including having to invoke their powers as C-IN-C the defence forces. That is not lost on the voters.

    In a past life, I have campaigned in Galway, Mayo, Cork and Dublin and I'd say you very much underestimate how politically aware and concerned the average voter actually is. Which should not be surprising: we have direct democracy and that means we split the "What" from the "Who" and it leads to a very different type of voter.

    Above all, the voters want a safe pair of hands in that office, someone with political experience who will defend the constitution, the decisions they (the voters) make at referenda and will support the Dail to the extent that it's legislation is constitutional. And at this stage Mairead McGuinness is the best of a poor lot in meeting the criteria, it's hers to loose.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Has McGuinness demonstrated that she can stand outside party affiliation and have an independent thought?

    I think that is a huge requirement in this role and what has contributed to the success of the current and some previous presidents.
    Maybe McGuinness can be independent from government but where has she shown this?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,330 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Its also not even about goodness equaling charisma or other campaigning requirements, look at Joan Freeman she is in my opinion absolutely a good person however we discovered during her campaign that she is also myopically naive, I would argue Connolly also falls into this goodness = naivety category, for instance in her objections to arming Ukraine which she seems to believe would stop people dying but it more than likely would just mean Ukraine getting annihilated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    for instance in her objections to arming Ukraine

    I think that is you being myopic tbh or only seeing and hearing what you want to.

    She isn't suggesting Ukraine be left unarmed, that is more ridiculous 'reds under the bed' slanting.

    She is suggesting that equal resources be put into getting a ceasefire (again, not as has been ridiculously suggested 'that Ukraine should ceasefire) so that a negotiated settlement can be explored.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,896 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    On top of this an Irish president has had to intervene on three occasions to defend the constitution against the Dail and the government, including having to invoke their powers as C-IN-C the defence forces. That is not lost on the voters.

    I have seen comments similar to this a number of times. What were the 3 occasions when a president had to intervene? I genuinely have no idea what this claim refers to…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,849 ✭✭✭MFPM


    The last time I checked neither of those people are candidates in this election, as for consensus, I'm not sure how you've measured said 'consensus' however even if it were true, what a consensus of handful of anonymous posters tells us about anything is beyond me?

    None of this distraction answers the point about the 'huge numbers of people who don't like a candidate with her associations'....



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,849 ✭✭✭MFPM


    That's shifting the goal-posts and your post is quite simplistic and facile.

    Now back to what you said..

    'huge numbers of people who don't like a candidate with her associations'

    Where's your evidence for this statement?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,416 ✭✭✭pureza


    your question was answered up thread

    Neither Wallace or Daly got reelected

    Proof enough of what people in Ireland think of politicians associating with Sharia law types



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Labour, The Greens and Fine Gael all lost votes and seats in that election.

    Who were they 'associating' with? 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,507 ✭✭✭ilkhanid


    Equal resources? What is that supposed to mean? What exactly is the government here supposed to do? Is she completely unaware that Putain has spurned all attempts at a ceasefire?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,648 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


     have an independent thought?

    I think that is a huge requirement in this role

    That's a personal opinion of yours that may not be shared by a significant chunk of the electorate, particularly the centrist and right-leaning cohort that McGuinness is pitching to. Perhaps there is a sizeable cohort out there who would like to revert to the pre-Robinson apolitical style of president who is seen and not heard…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    No.
    In all conflicts/wars that is not unusual.

    I am assuming that she means via diplomacy, by the front and back door as these things are usually done. VIA UN effort and that we should be using our voices and whatever diplomatic resources we have there to seek a ceasefire.

    Think whatever you want of that but do not slant it to mean she thinks Ukraine should ceasefire on it's own or that Ukraine should bot be armed.

    That's spinning a 'reds under the beds' narrative.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I think

    Yes it is an opinion.

    I am not sensing the electorate want a different style of presidency to the one the incumbent has. Maybe they do want to revert, we'll find out if any candidate is offering that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,416 ✭✭✭pureza


    Hyperbole is nice but not a good rebuttal to a decent point

    Wallace and Daly collapsed their vote last election due in the main to their associations

    The only one of the three biggest parties that lost votes at the last election was yours



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,648 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Well I can't see McGuinness entirely repudiating the innovations of the last three presidencies but she may suggest MDH pushed the envelope too hard on occasion…I'd be pretty sure she will be at least implicitly indicating that a McG presidency will be less of a soapbox for the incumbent's personal views than a Connolly one…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You made a claim that they lost their seats due to who they 'associated with'.
    In the same election (not a different one) I asked you who the other parties who lost seats and votes were 'associating with' that caused their loses.

    Don't you have that level of detail on them too?

    *'The Shinners' is not the answer being asked for here.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,349 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Labour lost seats in neither recent election that Daly/Wallace failed to retain or return in.

    2024 Euros was 0→1, 2024 Dáil was 7→11.

    FG also gained some seats (3) in the 2024 Dáil.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,416 ✭✭✭pureza


    Are you making a claim that there was some other reason Wallace and Daly’s vote collapsed?

    It better be more hole less than the one you made about the party you advocate against most on this site losing votes in the last election when in fact they gained votes vs the previous (unlike Wallace and Daly)

    Let’s stick with like for like shall we? Instead of pretending Wallace and Daly’s association with brutal dictatorship’s and Connolly’s isn’t a millstone



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,876 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Lets be clear here, the presidency of Michael D. Higgins is not all that different to those of Mary Robinson and Mary McAleese.

    What has changed is the geopolitical environment in which his terms of office have taken place.

    In her time in office, Mary Robinson went to Somalia and came back and addressed the UN and the media about the starvation and the genocide which was underway and got deeply involved in the blame game against global powers for feet dragging and total inaction.

    Mary McAleese got stuck into the Catholic church over child abuse and institutional misogyny, and the complicity of various national governments, all over the world, again through cover-up, feet dragging and downright inaction.

    Michael D. Higgins' sensibilities are practically identical to Mary Robinson's, but because he is speaking out in a deeply divided world, against a very divisive nation like Israel, when so much of the old western hemisphere has swung to the right, his position just appears more stark, when really it comes down to the same thing, stopping conflict and feeding and sheltering the innocents caught up.

    And so I doubt very much that a Mairéad McGuinness presidency will present that much differently - particularly because Michael D has opened a few doors that won't easily be closed again. The only difference is that McGuinness will likely be much more tactical in her interventions and work with Foreign Affairs and the Taoiseach on her public pronouncements.

    So really, either way, the electorate aren't going to get a hugely different style of presidency between McGuinness and Connolly. They will just have to choose whether that is to be carried out by a skilled European parliamentarian, diplomat and official, with peerless substance and hugely effective communications style, or a left winger of very chequered background who has no charisma, is a poor communicator, and has very questionable associations in her political past.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Are you making a claim that there was some other reason Wallace and Daly’s vote collapsed?

    YOU made the claim.
    I don't know why they lost votes, they are not in my constituency.

    And they aren't running for President btw.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,416 ✭✭✭pureza


    I don’t disagree with anything there

    However Fine Gael do have a track record in elections of banana skin creation,slips and falls

    It would be a near miracle for them if this one is any different

    Ergo taking a McGuinness presidency as read would be foolish



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Seems there are some here saying that a candidate (I presume McGuinness) will be offering an older style of presidency - a seen and not heard one.

    I think that would be a disastrous thing to offer, but we'll see.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,849 ✭✭✭MFPM


    My Question wasn't answered it was dodged by shifting the goal posts.

    I'm not getting into the 2024 euro elections or your simplistic take on the outcome of same, they're irrelevant now.

    Now back to my question.....over to you once more.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,507 ✭✭✭ilkhanid


    Diplomacy? Our pitiful diplomatic resources were appropriate in a world where soft power and influence still meant something. Those days are gone. Anybody who thinks that Putain is going to listen to us is delusional. Or Trump. We're a minnow in a world of sharks and handwringing and pleas aren't going to cut it anymore. Our interventions will be as significant as they were and will make as much difference as they did in 1939.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,638 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Nobody is suggesting we talk to Putin.

    What our abilities are to influence are a subject for elsewhere.

    The point is that what Connolly suggests is not done as a favour to Putin or the world that Putin envisages or wants.
    That is not what motivates her.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,147 ✭✭✭✭expectationlost


    Or saying things that suit the government and the prevailing orthodoxy more.



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