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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Interesting data.

    Amsterdam average salary is 800 euro higher, with rents basically the same.

    Are personal tax rates a lot lower in the Netherlands?

    I think my question is still unanswered. Which political party in Ireland would oversee more new housing built or a reduction in prices and costs.

    Hopefully the extra cash put into the development plan will help, but we do need to get to 50k homes a year asap.

    The Tariff impact is still to be determined, but I think the days of large MNC investment are now behind us.

    Any material shift of MNC employment away from Ireland will bring the house of cards and house prices crashing down but lets hope we can avoid that happening.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭SpoonyMcSpoon


    The MNC investment crashed before Trump with housing and infrastructure issues - FG spin around budget time to blame global uncertainty will be pathetic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,619 ✭✭✭fliball123


    What needs to be done is we need a rush build of modular homes (it the prefabs are good enough for our kids to go to school in then they are good enough for people to live in) these have a 50 years + shelve life. Get them built en-mass at a much cheaper price point than what any developer will do. Transition anyone who is on the housing list and in social homes and refugees into these and also allow renters to get in on them too and then when we have caught up with the current demand then we can build houses but keeping a good % of the new housing stock in under the Irish government's control so they can use it as they see fit and with out any pressure or the developers dictating price, taxes and incentives. Put manners on developers put a huge penalty on land that has not been built on over time so say first 2 years are free but if you have not got your act together and started to build in that time they must pay 10% (penalty) of the cost of the land in year 3. Then up that by 10% every year (so year 4 it becomes 20% penalty and so on) until they have built or sold the land on. This has been a huge issue that the gov have been done nothing to address it and the builders are licking their lips.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,340 ✭✭✭The Student


    Do you not still need water, waste, power, infrastructure etc?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 305 ✭✭babyducklings1


    The housing crisis is so so bad. On local Facebook page huge money for tiny places. It just needs to be said. How can anyone afford these huge sums?

    Also people with mortgage approval being outbid by big amounts. It’s beyond insane and people are desperately stressed by all of this. Does anyone in government actually care sbout what people are going through? There are real people desperately suffering. The I’m alright Jack brigade won’t care but loads of people are really suffering. It’s wrong.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭SpoonyMcSpoon


    It is renters versus homeowners and young versus old. That is how Irish society splits its elites versus non-elites. A catastrophic social failure which impacts family planning, mental health and sustainability. Thinking that house prices can be pumped up in isolation to other parts of the economy has been selfish and neglectful which unfortunately has destroyed the growth trajectory for the country and the economy. Today, it is reported that Amazon has pulled the plug on a new project in Dublin which would have created 500 jobs due to infrastructure inadequacies - this is just a symptom of the wider, fundamental and critical problems faced. It is now an uphill battle to pivot the economy and ensure future prosperity due to the housing market ball and chain holding the economy back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 355 ✭✭Lofidelity


    Yeah, thats the way it is. The economy is growing faster than we can cope with. But the government wont admit there is a problem. We dont have the water, sewage, electricity to keep up with demand and its not an easy fix.

    If those 500 Amazon jobs went ahead, where would they live? These are probably skilled jobs. A large percentage would probably come from overseas and need a home. David McWilliams has broken the taboo on this issue recently.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Plenty of them would already live in Ireland and yes some would come from abroad, but it would be a low number and they would help secure the investment that Amazon made in the country.

    Its academic now in this case, but wishing away high paid jobs is the last thing the country should be doing.

    We still build 600 new homes every week, despite what the doomsayers may say.

    200 skilled staff paying high tax would be a net positive for the country and wouldnt add a significant strain to the housing demand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 355 ✭✭Lofidelity


    Nobody is wishing away jobs. But wishing for more housing isnt working either. Economic growth needs to be reigned in until we get infrastructure under control. We need breathing room.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Economic growth doesnt need to be reigned in, it is already slowing very naturally.

    Inviting a recession on purpose isnt going to help anyone.

    Without growth, we dont have the funds to pay for the infrastucture we need in the long term.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,154 ✭✭✭greenfield21


    What growth are we even talking about, the whole economy is completely skewed by US MNCs. If the economy is slowing then that means US pharma and tech are slowing hiring or cutting back. Then immigration can definitely come down and will have little impact on the economy.

    I know no one wants to talk about it but let's be real, Ireland's whole economy is built of a handful of companies corporate tax receipts, not immigration or the domestic real economy, are what's keeping the country a float.

    All of this is the same nonsense Pascal Donohoe came out in that clip on social media where he was asked about David McWilliams article on Immigration. The usual rubbish about a growing economy and GDP. Yet the reality is these grifters wasted so much free money they have been handed. Nobody in the media seems to be willing to talk about reality, which is we've completely squandered a windfall of coporate tax receipts, such a shame.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,965 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I wonder are we prepared for what is coming

    20250726_133009.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    MNCs are only 14% of the workforce and that includes irish born staff.

    Irish born represent the largest nationaility in the MNC workforce, so they arent coming here looking for houses.

    A decrease in MNC investment or jobs isnt going to have any real effect to the immigration levels. Its not those workers that are coming here in big numbers.

    You are correct that MNC workers pay for everything however. Almost 90% of our Corporation Tax and the majority of all our income tax and PRSI is paid by that small 14%.

    MNC workers pay more tax than the other 86% of the workforce put together!

    Dont forget that 40% of the labour force dont pay any tax at all, which places an even greater reliance on the MNC sector.

    Wr need more MNC jobs, not less.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,965 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Hopefully the extra cash put into the development plan will help, but we do need to get to 50k homes a year asap.

    Every taxpayer should be breaking out in a cold sweat at the prospect of this government spending 100's of billions on projects. Most of the money will be soaked up by the legal, finance, consultancy and lobbying members of our "knowledge economy" long before anything is done

    We really need to look at diverting money training graduates to these professions to apprenticeships/trades

    How we got it wrong, and Ireland of old as an example of getting it right



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,965 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I think my question is still unanswered. Which political party in Ireland would oversee more new housing built or a reduction in prices and costs.

    The no alternative card to policies that have bankrupt this nation already is getting a bit tired

    Labour have been a substantial part of Government in the past. On all occasions they have left the country far better off than the mess they inherited often sacrificing the party for the betterment of the country. Do Ff/FG have these characteristics.

    I fear it's too late as the lobbyists have total control yet again



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Do you think Labour would build more than 35k homes annually?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,965 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Output of 35k is abysmal. It would be difficult to build less, excusing it was feat achieved last year



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 305 ✭✭babyducklings1


    Yes agree think it really fractures our society. People are ( well most certainly the young but not only them) really feeling this. It’s just piling on pressure on people to afford rent and even if they can then to find a place and if they can’t what then, For those trying to buy they are being out bid. There is a huge social cost to all of this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,619 ✭✭✭fliball123


    All 3 are under gov control and the process could be speeded up if the will was there



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,965 ✭✭✭Villa05


    When they built these for the Ukrainian refugees the state paid excess of 400k per unit

    Steeltech sheds appear to be able to do a 2bed unit for under 100k. Who is asking why the state version costs 4 times more. Where are the "lessons learned".

    How can the private sector extract 4 times the price when it's the taxpayer footing the bill?

    If we can answer these questions, we can probably solve the housing issues

    The video is from 2023.there current list price for a 2 bed base unit 12m x 6m is €32,975



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I agree modular can help solve the problem, but do we really see modular homes at scale navigating Ireland's planning and objection framework?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,965 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Of course, the planning system is still used for extortion by politicians, objections to competition by business owners. Objections by landowners who wanted the development on there land (Apple data center)

    We are the wild west



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Blut2


    "Irish born represent the largest nationaility in the MNC workforce, so they arent coming here looking for houses."

    This is completely incorrect. Approx 70% of Google's staff in Dublin are non-Irish for example, and its largely the same across most tech MNCs. I've worked in a few and we've never once had a majority of Irish in any one of them.

    Huge numbers of people move to Ireland to work for MNCs, which is why housing is the number one issue in hiring across most MNC sectors in Ireland currently.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I didnt say the majority of staff are irish. I said Irish generally make up the largest nationality.

    It isnt huge numbers if they are barely 14% of the workforce, including the irish.

    Yes there is a housing shortage for anyone trying to move to Ireland, but its not true to say that MNCs are the cause of the housing shortage and we should remember that they are the people that are paying for the construction of many of the houses that do get built.

    Councils can only pay for new homes if they have finance. The finance they receive is from tax take and that tax revenue is largely delivered by the MNCs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Blut2


    You said "they[MNC staff] arent coming here looking for houses."

    Which is just completely factually incorrect - when 70% of staff are non-Irish in Google, that alone is thousands of people who've moved to Ireland and had to find housing. Nevermind the staff of every other MNC on top.

    Importation of both EU staff, and increasingly non-EU staff on work permits, by the tens of thousands a year is a huge factor in our housing crisis.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    The irish working in MNCs arent coming here looking for houses is what I said.

    Yes, there are europeans and staff from the RoW at the large tech companies, but if they couldnt hire those staff, the companies would not be here in the first place and we would have no economy.

    Blaming MNCs for the housing crisis is short sighted and inaccurate. The majority of immigration into the country isnt coming from MNC employees.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,965 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Importation of both EU staff, and increasingly non-EU staff on work permits, by the tens of thousands a year is a huge factor in our housing crisis

    On the contrary this phenomenon was the missed opportunity to prevent the housing crisis. Again we started this cycle with a significant oversupply and the majority of these jobs are well flagged in advance. The failure to keep up with the demand is astonishing, bordering on economic treason

    The taxes raised have been off the charts and should have been spent on the infrastructure required to maintain/expand the investment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭SpoonyMcSpoon


    The MNC immigrants are the immigrants who can afford the rents and house prices, not the non-well paid immigrants. And our housing crisis is twofold; a lack of supply and that both house prices and rents need to fall quite a bit. IPAs, students and low paid workers can’t afford €1k per month for a bedroom or get mortgages of €300k with €15k deposits (without the State assisting) but well paid immigrants can.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 125 ✭✭LJ12345


    Someone recently (maybe on another site) mentioned the security staffing at the games in crime park/aviva all being foreign, I noticed this last year, the part time work is being taken up by those who are doing everything they can to qualify for their mortgages. Working 2 jobs is normal if your main salary doesn’t get you over the line. Those with the right mindset who are capable and determined are getting to where they want to be. (Corrected it was Aviva, apologies)

    Post edited by LJ12345 on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,965 ✭✭✭Villa05


    There would be thousands of Irish people that would love that job.

    questions needs to be asked about the recruitment process. Gaa is after all a predominantly a voluntary organisation



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