Presidential Election 2025

I can't see Catherine Connolly or McGuinness winning

Seriously no chance for either of them? Even if Mary Lou doesn't run and FF goes with Cynthia Ni Mhurchu or Colm Eastwood?

My dear fellow, in these things the bookies are never wrong.

Off the page, Cynthia Ní Mhúrchú is 33/1 and Eastwood is 50s.

The public appear to like a "leftie" as president, despite what certain people say about Michael D, recent polling has shown he's the most popular leader in the country with an approval rating of 64%.

His praise of Castro & Chavez, strong condemnation and accusations against Israel along with his willingness to criticise the government on housing and homelessness has seen him branded as an outspoken socialist in some quarters but the public don't seem to care, if anything it seems to enhance his standing.

No she was suspended from Labour for not supporting the Anglo-Irish Agreement, funny she never seemed to have any opinion on the North except for that and ignoring and b€llshitting the Bloody Sunday families

They'll all have to hope there is nothing out there in their past to trip them up and the government runners have the additional, not insubstantial threat. that the public is in the mood to give the government a bloody nose.

What a stupid idea.

Nobody under the age of about 50 has a clue who she is. She's been retired for the last 11 years and would be the oldest person to take up office as President since de Valera.

She'd been retired for a reasonable period before her last comeback too, so there's a history there.

Ganley likely couldn't afford the diesel to do the campaign at this stage.

Hopefully we will have a real choice FF, FG, SF, LP/SD/PBP (centre-LEFT), Aontu/II (centre-right)

If this is the case then it will really just be a vote on the government and the political establishment.

I think many don't see cohesion on the Right or Left, meaning transfers to FF and SF respectively, leaving Mairead in 3rd place.

That's just how I see it, Mairead doesn't come across well, she's massively institutionalized. Comes across as harsh, my way or the high way type. Dismissive in any debate I have seen her in, but I don't think the nicey nicey act that Connolly plays would stand up to that if in a debate on their own.

But perhaps it is already determined, yes I think Bertie would trounce Mairead in a debate. And while I won't vote for him… he might actually win!

The one thing about your prediction is I can't see Labour supporting a former member, especially one that was so outspoken against them during their time in government between 2011-2016.

SF seem to be keeping their cards close to their chest regarding whether they will nominate their own candidate or back another. The other most likely being Catherine Connolly as that could be an easy win. Also, her winning would trigger a bye-election that SF might have their eye on.

I can see the grassroots FF members wanting Bertie on the ballot. But once a debate starts about his bank account he will largely fade away. Could FF support Catherine Connolly? Like SF, an easy win potentially

While I can't see her winning, I think Labour getting enough TD's and Senators to back an another left candidate would really be unhelpful to CC campaign, split the vote and make Labour look bad, I think they will prob sit it out.

 I think Labour getting enough TD's and Senators to back an another left candidate would really be unhelpful to CC campaign, split the vote and make Labour look bad

Unless it was a really strong contender with an appeal beyond the conventional left like Joe Duffy or Mike Ryan. I guess if Labour had somebody like that in the pipeline we would already know…