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Cold Case Review of Sophie Tuscan du Plantier murder to proceed

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,077 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    It beggars belief that you continue to claim this when you cited Vincent Browne interview as the source and thats not what Bailey said in that interview.

    "I saw her once from a distance when I was working for a neighbour of hers."

    Why are you posting such easily checked disinformation?

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,549 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    You missed this bit so,

    "The file allegedly says: "The next morning, all four people met up in the pub again, and Richie Shelley is alleged to have said to Bailey 'up to last night I thought you were innocent but now I think you are guilty'."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,421 ✭✭✭chicorytip


    That kind of speculation brings to my mind the Jill Dando case in England. There were rumours her killing was related to a child sex abuse ring operating in the BBC, details of which she was going to reveal and that M15 had her bumped off, which was all ludicrous. Like Sophie, she was killed by a lone nutcase.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    But knowing somebody personally or knowing of someone's presence also doesn't prove murder either way. Lot's of people sadly think so, - I am not suggesting you do.

    Even if Bailey met her in the pub every night, bought her beers trying to get her drunk and make a pass at her, it would still not prove murder.

    Lot's of people don't get that either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 257 ✭✭Zola1000


    I think this is not a great statement at Peter Flynt. Firstly there can as much evidence in any criminal case and secondly the vast majority do not think IB killed Sophie simply due to lack of actual that same important evidence to place him at scene and we haven't had that opportunity to see how vast majority have opinion on it...

    Firstly you will see from your reading of the case and many posters here that there is lots of evidence. But the ultimate problem I have learned is the sole focus of AGS and file submitted to DPP focuses on one person. The multiple potential suspects and scenarios put forward on this thread and in various other places protrays many others who have criminal backgrounds..no alibis on night in question..have prior convictions and or have been acting strange or had retracted statements etc. Ultimately I do respect AGS and their efforts and like anything I see the approach they took with bailey...but bandon tapes leaves me at crossroads..as it indicates..get someone on hook for this crime quickly....this never happened before in this area for 100 years..and was gaining international attention..and in way it's our lack of professionalism and incompetence and thus ultimately French I'm sure seen this weakness in our evidence but were happy take it and rework it to close it out. Dare we say it could have French connection...just get a conviction . And i do think..I'd be same if I held that position of authority..id want end to it .and I'd present the bailey file too..to DPP. Because we follow like lambs ..but it's about getting justice for someone and we all get desperate to get someone for it...

    You have to see how this case was done from start to finish...every day I think it's bailey and every other day I think it's not. In end it makes no difference. We now have cold case review team..are they going to take new approach and we have upgraded DNA Analysis...we have nothing left...if nothing shows up we have nothing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    I wouldn't respect the AGS in this particular murder case at all. Coercing witnesses, losing evidence, giving drugs to a transient in hopes Bailey talks and confesses? You should all bear that in mind, as the bandon garda station tapes you've mentioned.

    Setting that all aside, I would say even the best police force would have had difficulties solving this case. The biggest challenge I would see is that the murder weapon, the cavity block, could have been touched or handled by basically anybody before the murder, as it was publically accessible to anybody coming and going. One possible major mistake by the AGS was probably unprofessionalism collecting DNA, or somebody deliberately tampering with the collected DNA samples.

    To me it's very hard to imagine that the killer left indeed no traces at all and if he really didn't he must have been a professional killer or at least very highly likely have been.

    What's also negative about this case is public opinion and media trying to cash in on that. Everyone seems to be into the subject, did Bailey know Sophie personally or not? Did they meet on a boat trip to a small island once? Did Bailey phone her in France in the office? Was Bailey ever introduced to Sophie? This all doesn't prove murder, but still the public seems to think so.

    The police is not there to figure out what the majority of the public thinks of who the murderer is, and nor is the media. The police needs to be there to find evidence for a conviction beyond reasonable doubt, but they were not able to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 257 ✭✭Zola1000


    Well I'm indicating I respect AGS as organisation in general , I'm not here to bash them they do good work, but I can see how force not equipped for someone in over 100 years can leave them incompetent and unprofessional. And there seems to be just a serious focus on one individual but real issue I have is why given we cant find any of that evidence to back it up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    As an organisation in general agreed. But in this case, we'd also have to live with the possibility the murderer was potentially one of their own.

    Finding any evidence this late in this particular case is difficult if not impossible. Cold cases rarely get solved, unless it's about DNA. What needs to happen is they would have to find the murderer's DNA on Sophie and only in connection to the murder itself. A fingerprint on a glass in Sophie's house will probably also not do it. Suppose Bailey knew Sophie and was invited for a drink there, drank a glass of wine, then left, it still wouldn't prove murder, even though the media would cash in on that at the earliest convenience. Jim Sheridan would do another movie, another book gets written……

    In comparison, suppose she was raped, and Bailey's DNA and fresh semen was found in her vagina, and that correlate to the time of death if known, then it would be easy to convict Bailey, even 30 or 40 years on, - if Bailey was still alive.

    But in this case we don't have that kind of evidence. There is still nothing, only speculation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,549 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    I see you must have read the report then. You should check your facts before you go posting made-up stuff. It makes you look silly.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    The only thing I would find plausible at some stage is a death bed confession at some point in the future.

    Shirley, if Alfie did it and Jules if Bailey did it and possibly Josie if Finbarr did it. This is based on the idea if any of the men did it, they wouldn't be able to hide it from their partners.

    All speculation on my part.

    Even sending the clothes for DNA testing to the FBI won't get them very far. The DNA on the clothes could be anybody's unrelated to the murder.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,157 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “Even sending the clothes for DNA testing to the FBI won't get them very far. The DNA on the clothes could be anybody's unrelated to the murder.”

    It “could”- but it would certainly be a step forward and could potentially open a new line of enquiry.
    The challenge of course is time and death - many people mentioned in these threads over the years as potential suspects have long since died; some of them merely months after the murder. The chance of investigating fully these other lines of enquiry are long gone

    It was speculated that Bailey was facing arrest and questioning around the time of his death - if this is true, then Gardai must have had some significant new evidence to put to him.

    Hopefully we will at some point, gain the DPPs insight into whether or not, a prosecution might have been feasible - but in the UK, this doesn’t happen where the suspect is deceased- I don’t know what the legal position is in Ireland - we may never know the full extent of evidence against Bailey no less if Gardai believe someone other than Bailey committed this crime.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt


    I'm not interested in the DPPs report. He only released it because the French authorities asked him to. He basically ignored the wishes of the Toscan du Plantier family for explanations for over a decade. When he did release it he believed crap like barking dogs (he even had the names and addresses of the dogs) and Xmas tree explanations (or was it Turkeys?).

    The IB fan club on here seem to think that decisions taken by the DPP exonerate IB.

    Not the case at all.

    Mod Edit: Warned for trolling

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    People's memory fade, others passed away. You can't really cross examine anybody, ask any question. What did you do then and there, nearly 30 years ago? How do you remember? - Anybody would be lucky to get just the year right.

    Thus only DNA would be the safest bet.

    I would under normal circumstances believe that the police would keep certain evidence out of tactical reasons from the public. However in this case, I don't think the police ever considered that. I don't think they focused on others as strongly as Bailey or if they really had any credible evidence to consider Bailey more than others. ( setting aside bad mouthing or possible verbal confessions by some he knew , false or coerced witness statements, scratches on his hand which chan't be traced to the murder site…)

    DNA on Sophie's clothes could potentially be from anybody and doesn't mean that they've gotten there during and only while she was murdered. Suppose she hugged somebody? or came any other way close to this person, and this person is totally unrelated to the crime, even has a solid alibi. It's hard to say and we all don't know. Yes I'd agree it's worth going after this line of enquiry, but I don't think it'll go very far.

    I think the cold case has only been started in an atempt to formally apologise for the completely botched up investigation, to try to apologise to Sophie's family in France for not finding a killer and possibly wrongly implicating Bailey.

    Bailey surely could have done it, he had no alibi, he had the time to do it, he had the studio to clean up afterwards, but he had no motive I could ever think of. And then there is the fact that he drank a lot that night, would have stumbled to her house, maybe she opened him the door, maybe not, and leaving no traces at all. Sexual motive, I simply don't see at all no matter how much I think about it and the police ruled out rape or attempted rape as well.

    I personally speculate the murder wasn't about sex at all and neither do I consider rage as she was far to short at her cottage for any rage to build up. I personally speculate it was about preventing Sophie from doing something or preventing from something involving Sophie to happen and catching Sophie alone with a high degree of certainty.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,077 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    I would be wary of any DNA found on clothing, that would be 'touch transfer' DNA down to skin cells. I would doubt if AGS would have stored the clothes in a wholly sterile manner, given in 1996 they wouldn't have been thinking about touch transfer DNA but things like hair, blood, saliva. Cross contamination could easily occur.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,157 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Once they’re in an evidence bag there probably as “sterile” as any other evidence from that time - a man in the uk was found guilty of rape and murder last week, 60 years after committing the crime , with evidence coming from the clothes of the victim .

    The problem in this case is, there doesn’t appear to be ANY DNA evidence of any kind



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,549 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    Not the DPP report, the Cork Beo report, the article I linked to, the one you replied to with the made-up stuff about the Shellys avoiding Bailey in the pub on New Years Day, where you missed the bit about Richie talking to Bailey.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,077 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    My understanding of that case is that the culprit was not someone identified at the time, who had no connection to the victim that could explain touch transfer DNA evidence. Plus in that case, there were bodily fluids to sample rather than touch transfer skin cells.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgk3jyl5prvo

    This article summarises some of the issues with touch transfer DNA.

    Modern technologies can now detect and analyze DNA from samples comprised of only 16 cells. But due to the touch-transfer properties of DNA, determining how those cells reached the surface on which they were found is impossible. Tiny amounts of touch-transferred DNA have placed people at locations they had never visited and implicated people for crimes they did not commit. 

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/marinamedvin/2018/09/20/framed-by-your-own-cells-how-dna-evidence-imprisons-the-innocent/

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 57,760 Mod ✭✭✭✭Necro


    Mod: No need to quote Peter Flynt for a bit they're taking some time off from the forum. A reminder to all posters to post in a civil manner and to discuss the topic and not other posters. Thanks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    With the lack of professionalism by the AGS it would seem very plausible what you're describing.

    I've read about this rape case, however rape is easier to prove beyond reasonable doubt, if semen and DNA is found in the vagina and the female is showing injuries of fending off some physical attack. Judge and jury would have a field day.

    However that's not the case in this murder.

    One thing the AGS could have done strategically is looking for potential DNA around the pump house. The cavity block was coverd by something functioning as a make shift roof or so. It's possible the killer may have injured himself whilst grabbing the cavity block, - it's something that would to a very high degree only have happened shortly before the murder, - thus it would be very strong DNA evidence, that is if it was found.

    All specualtion, but it's worth a certain line of enquiry.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,157 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    That’s bringing a complication into our discussion that currently doesn’t exist though - the reality is, no DNA has been found except for some on her shoe which I believe a full profile has yet to be developed.

    If “touch” DNA is found that matches Bailey, then that would certainly provide them with the strongest piece of evidence so far - very hard to explain how Baileys DNA would land on Sofie’s clothing - but then again, given the nature of her clothing - a dressing gown- it would take some explaining how anyone’s dna outside of her family, reached that - especially if it were in certain quantities and located in certain areas of the garment



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,421 ✭✭✭chicorytip


    Yes. I have always been of that belief myself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,077 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    It is no more a complication than discussing the possibility of touch DNA being found on items of clothing or cavity block. It is part of that same discussion.
    Quantity would be important as you note.
    Items of Bailey's clothing were taken into evidence, so if his DNA was found, the sterility of evidence handling in 1990s would certainly be a factor in assessing that.

    As things stand, the only DNA found is an unidentified male sample which does not match Bailey's. In discussions of that, the possibility of contamination as the source of the sample on the boot is frequently brought up.
    I don't know if that sample was 'consumed' in comparing it to Bailey's or whether it was sufficient to be run through national databases. My understanding is that the sample could be used to rule Bailey out, but other than that was not specific enough to identify a particular person.

    Perhaps other posters know more.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Given there are questions over the management of evidence for this case, even if Bailey's DNA somehow is on Sophie's clothing, a half decent defence barrister could argue over potential cross contamination



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,549 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    It wouldn't necessarily rule Bailey out if it didn't match his DNA, unless of course it matched someone else's DNA which led to a conviction.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,077 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Sorry, should've been more specific - I mean to rule out Bailey as being the source of the sample.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    The unidentified blood sample on Sophie's boot currently neither includes nor excludes Bailey. She could even have gotten it in France, or at the airport in Cork, or somewhere else. One of the questions asked would be if anybody suffered any injuries within her circle of friends? If nobody was than it would point further into the direction that it gotten there during the murder, I would suggest.

    I think one would need to prove that the blood on Sophie's boot is exactly or to a very high degree from the same time as the time of death. Then it would lead us further as it most likely gotten there during the course of the murder.

    We don't even have a halfway decent time for murder.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,077 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Just to be clear though - the sample does not match Baileys at a DNA sequence level. Nor did it match any of Sophie's blood relatives.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Whilst it isn't Bailey's (but we don't know who it's from) it could have gotten there innocently and be unrelated to the murder meaning Bailey is still as much a suspect as anyone else in that regard



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,157 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Getting someone else’s blood (assuming it is blood) on your shoe is not an everyday occurance let’s face it- your own child who fell or got a nose bleed are two very specific reasons why an adult would get someone else’s blood on their shoe in the normal course of their day to day life.

    It would require a very clear cut reason for the owner of this blood to be excluded from investigation into her death



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