Presidential Election 2025

Casey got his nomination from Limerick, Tipp, Clare and Kerry in 2018. I don't know the make up of those councils to assess whether they might ignore the whips in place and give him a nomination again. If the main parties shut down the Local Authority route as suggested we won't be getting another Casey run, I suspect he'd have an uphill battle.
He'll have a justifiable right to complain, even though I personally think he's the worst candidate ever to grace the field. Political parties arbitrarily locking people out in fear of losing makes me squeamish.

There realistically isn't the numbers there for two

Let's see, they need to get to 20 right?

Right wing alliance

Aontú - 2

Greens - 1

Labour - 11

Total 14 - Independents needed - 6.

The 2 Healy-Raes, 4 Ind.Ireland, and Paul Gogarty is a former Green so would likely be swayed easy enough

Social democrats have 11, 12 with Eoin Hayes who would be very likely to support a SD candidate such as Shorthall or Murphy

If they play nice PBP and left wing independents such as Catherine Connolly, Seamus Healy, Brian Stanley and Charles Ward could support them and bring that number to 19, I'm sure there's one other indie they could sway

EDIT: We seem to have forgotten about the Seanad in all of this, Labour, Greens and Aontú have 4 between them.

SD have 1 but I'd say Lynn Ruane, Alice Higgins, Frances Black and Eileen Flynn would likely support

Nonsense post. Labour and Greens aren't right. If you think the likes of the Healy Raes and Independent Ireland would support those parties you are strongly mistaken.

One of Michelle O'Neill or John Finucane will be the SF candidate. This ties in with their ridiculous and silly idea to extend the franchise. Will backfire.

Having a look at the Dail/Oireachtas arithmetic.

Aontu have 2, Independent Ireland have 4, Lowry, Healy-Raes, V Murphy, Stanley, Toole, Nolan, Mattie McGrath, Grealish, Canney and Moran get you to 17. From the Seanad, Aontu have 1, Conway, Craughwell, Keogan, McDowell, Mullen, Boyhan, which gets you to 24. Could that 24 coalesce around a conservative Catholic anti-immigration figure?

I am not sure of the politics of all of them, but even if a few drop out, 20 is within reach.

Labour have 11 TDs and 2 Senators, giving them 13.

Social Democrats have 11 TDs and 1 Senator, giving them 12.

Potential supporters include the Greens with 2 Oireachtas members,

Other left-wing Senators include Black, Clonan, Flynn, Higgins and Ruane.

Left-wing TDs include 3 PBP, Connolly, Gogarty, Harkin, Heneghan and Healy.

That gives 40 Oireachtas members, and possibly also the Redress TD as well.

Possible that two left-wing candidates could get on the ballot.

Based therefore on the Oireachtas numbers, FF, FG and SF have enough in their own right to nominate. There are enough Oireachtas members to potentially have one conservative right-wing candidate and two left-wing candidates. Ultimately, various egos could prevent such a scenario emerging, but there should be at least one left-wing candidate.

Gerry Adams has rules himself out. MON has a job to do in Stormont so I think is an unlikely candidate

Having a look at the Dail/Oireachtas arithmetic, yes, there probably is enough there for 2 left and one right wing candidate. Can't see SD and Labour agreeing on a candidate mind. SD are actively trying to show they are systematically different to Labour. I can't see 2 left wingers on the ballot either (3 if you include the SF candidate) for fear of splitting the vote

come on now, you re just embarrassing yourself now, ffg rule the roast, theres a long history of this, having a tendency to destroy smaller parties that have formed governments with them, whether they are traditional left or right, but particularly when they are more left leaning, and this is exactly what happened to parties such as the greens and labour, everybody knows this! by having persistent ffg governments, it forces polices more so towards more right leaning sentiments and outcomes, even when more left leaning parties are a part of government

Eamon Ryan is an interesting one. He certainly would have aspirations for high office.

However - unfortunately for him as the scapegoat for all sorts of policies that are related to environmentalism - he and his advisors must realise he is politically toxic outside affluent areas of Dublin.

Perhaps a run to highlight and flag green concerns but with little hope for winning?

Kelly's sending out feelers, his backers will be closely watching the reception today's interview gets.

to be fair, the whole green party is largely disconnected from the lives of most, but that could go for most political parties at this stage, and im a greenie myself

its clearly obvious ffg have a traditional center/center right economic leaning, hence why we have such high levels of rent seeking economic activities occurring here, i.e. high levels of corporate and fire sector activities etc. yes both parties have implemented some traditional left leaning policies, particularly in relation to social matters, but theyre generally more right leaning economically.

due to these dynamics, this has in fact undermined our traditional left leaning parties ideological beliefs and policies, effectively watering them down, particularly when those parties have entered into government with either/and/or with ffg, as the power dynamic is in favor of the main parties under such conditions, i.e. ffg, hence why both have kissed and made up, ultimately forming the one party in most recent times, in an attempt to ultimately block alternative governments from being formed