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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 06/06/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,039 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Which will also spike the price of oil for everyone including the US, im not disagreeing with you as to Irans ability/inability to close the straits and keep them closed i'm simply pointing out that the idea that the US oil use and purchasing is somehow shielded from the mess Trump has made of all this is not true.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,080 ✭✭✭Spudmonkey


    This isn't strictly true.

    The US produces a lot of oil but they produce mostly the wrong type of oil for their own needs. The US was built to run on crude, their refineries were built to process crude whilst they produce mainly tight oil or shale by way of the Permian. What they produce goes into the global market and whilst on paper it looks as though they are energy independent they actually aren't and its not a simple job to change over.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,072 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Trump would just spin it as “look I’m helping our oil companies” and “drill baby drill”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,646 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    And you won't get an answer to this. Because you can't argue that Iran don't want or are not trying to build nukes if you acknowledge this fact. The biggest red flag is the lack of cooperation with the IAEA. I couldn't think of anything more dangerous then Islamic ideologues who want to destroy the only Jewish nation getting their hands on nukes.

    @aloyisious I've no doubt they've been moved to another site in Iran and I've no doubt it's been tracked by satellites. I've no idea what happens next. Iran should turn it over to the IAEA.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,039 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    I wonder what other countries actively stole nuclear technology, refuse to acknowledge their possession of a nuclear arsenal and also refuse to co-operate with the IAEA, i think its a country in the middle east that also starts with an I but i cant be sure.

    Also there was a time in recent History when Iran had completely scaled back on their Nuclear ambitions but then suddenly started it all up again for some reason….

    Untitled Image


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,991 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    https://truthout.org/articles/iaea-head-we-did-not-have-any-proof-of-iran-building-nuclear-weapon/

    International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi said that, while it is possible that there are operations being kept secret from regulators, reports that Iran has not been actively pursuing a nuclear weapon since 2003 are accurate.

    Those claiming to know exact details about Iran moving toward a nuclear weapon are engaging in “speculation,”

    "…we did not have any proof of a systematic effort to move into a nuclear weapon."

    Even the US has asserted that the Iranians weren't building a weapon. Just back in March, Tulsi Gabbard said the US “continue to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon.”

    https://truthout.org/articles/trump-i-dont-care-that-us-has-assessed-iran-is-not-pursuing-nuclear-weapon/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,646 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    I don't like Israel and I wish they'd been stopped. But they run the West that's why they get away with it.

    2 wrongs don't make a right though and this doesn't justify it. Use Ukraine as an example of who they should follow. They're a bunch of fanatical idiots thinking this nuclear enrichment would end well for them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,045 ✭✭✭yagan


    China actually the greatest destroyer of oil demand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,885 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Its the exact same playbook as Saddam and his weapons of mass destruction.

    Its a sad indictment of the state of World politics that so many politicians have not condemned the bombings.

    In fact many have done the exact opposite.

    These are the very same politicians who defend Israel and refuse to criticise their terrorist and genocidal behaviour whilst accusing Iran of harbouring terrorists.

    The hypocrisy is utterly revolting.

    Completely spineless and corrupt the lot of them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,534 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    If the US doesn't care, why are they asking China to speak with Iran?

    You must be aware that oil is traded globally and if the straights are closed, it means the price of US oil will also increase worldwide. The US won't be shielded by the price increases, so they the US would care.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,280 ✭✭✭Economics101


    You say about Isreal "but they run the West". Sounds like the old World Jewish Conspiracy spouted by the Nazis. I don't care much for Israel's war in Gaza, but spare us the tired old World Jewish Conspiracy trope.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,264 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I don't think the Iranians pussyfooting on this has done them any favours. When it comes to nuclear politics, maybe it's always going to be a delicate game of brinkmanship, but they'll look back on this and just wish they'd gone for a bomb years ago. As the world tips back to 'might is right' international politics, have a decent stockpile of nukes could be the only way to guarantee your territorial integrity. Look what it's done for North Korea.

    The Iranians appear to have little else in the way of hard power, anyway. Their air force looks to be a complete joke.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,888 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    And that strategic reserve is a major point.

    Estimates are that it is between 400 and 500 million barrels so as you say they could go without oil via the Hormuz strait for quite some time and most importantly a lot longer than the rest of the world , so it's a massive point of leverage for them if the Iranians do decide to lock traffic up.

    They were going to win the "tariff war" anyway , but it's now game set and match if Iran shut the Strait of Hormuz..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,453 ✭✭✭Field east


    I’m sure too that The US military we’re peppering to try out it’s new ‘TOY’ on a regime that has little chance of responding - at least directly



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,072 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Because it’s China, India etc that do all of the importing from the Gulf as per infographic posted earlier showing the main producers and consumers?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 216 ✭✭tarvis


    With the help of the great clueless orange one who is only too happy to stomp on and destroy the contents of the global china shop.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 594 ✭✭✭Stanley 1


    A Russian "biznessman", if you offered him a dollar today or two dollars tomorrow would come back on the third day and demand 3 dollars off you, except this time he has a gun.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,045 ✭✭✭yagan


    Netanahyu got 28 standing ovations in a joint sitting of the US congress and senate while the IDF were murdering civilians indiscriminately.

    I don't believe in a Jewish conspiracy either, but it's hard not to acknowledge that there's a dangerous "promised land" symbiotic relationship betwixt Israel and the USA.

    Trump moving the US embassy to Jerusalem during his first term effectively withdrew the US support for any two state solution.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,248 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    In which it's apparent that Trump is conducting foreign policy for praise via Fox f**king news..

    1000011970.jpg 1000011971.jpg

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,264 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If anything, it's a Christian conspiracy whereby conservative American Christians appear to believe quite strongly in a powerful Israel. I think it was Michael Clarke the other week who said that they believe the final judgement can only occur, and heaven and earth be reunited, when the Jewish people are back in the holy land. He quoted that text that Huckabee sent to Trump about it,

    “Mr. President, God spared you in Butler, PA. to be the most consequential President in a century — maybe ever. The decisions on your shoulders I would not want to be made by anyone else. You have many voices speaking to you Sir, but there is only ONE voice that matters. HIS voice. I am your appointed servant in this land and am available for you but I do not try to get in your presence often because I trust your instincts. No President in my lifetime has been in a position like yours. Not since Truman in 1945. I don’t reach out to persuade you. Only to encourage you. I believe you will hear from heaven and that voice is far more important than mine or ANYONE else’s.

    You sent me to Israel to be your eyes, ears and voice and to make sure our flag flies above our embassy. My job is to be the last one to leave. I will not abandon this post. Our flag will not come down! You did not seek the moment. This moment sought You! It is my honor to serve you!”

    https://www.masslive.com/news/2025/06/terrifying-expletive-trump-shares-text-saying-god-will-direct-him-amid-iran-war.html

    I'm sure there are also Jewish businesspeople of a strong and uncompromising Zionist worldview and who have the money to influence political outcomes, but I don't think they're the main thrust of it by any means. And there are also prominent Jewish people who decry what the modern state of Israel does.

    Despite a visible movement in the United States that speaks out against the human rights abuses and general crimes of Netanyahu's government, it would appear that the general US public is still considerably more pro-Israel than not. You only have to look at how fractured Kamala Harris's messaging was on her support for Israel, trying to speak out of both sides of her mouth, to see that even the alternative to Trump still had to toe the line on the subject.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,856 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    The funny bit of that is the heaven reference.

    I'm not religious but if there was a heaven there isn't an earthly hope that Trump would be at the door nevermind be welcomed in.

    Without doubt he'd be in the smoking fires of hell.

    When you have multiple women accusing you of sexual assault and others saying you groomed, groped or had sex with them when they were underage I think that'd be enough to keep you out.

    And that's without the multitude of other crimes he's been charged with and hopefully will be convicted of before he dies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,646 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    I guess we'll see but I read analysis how they've still got a lot of shorter range cruise missiles which could be used to target American bases so they could kick up a fuss yet.

    I don't think going for it earlier would have worked. Western intelligence and mossad would have known and if they went for it pre Iraq/Afghanistan America might have pulled the Iraq stunt but on them instead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,644 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Cant believe this is how politics plays out now

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,856 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    It's funny, or maybe not funny, how a country that's massively stocked with nuclear warheads is so against another country having them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,134 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    More and more you can see Trump's actions motivating countries to develop their own arsenal.

    The outright bullying of other sovereign nations under the guise of world safety while actively bombing them will p*ss a lot of people off.

    His rhetoric is always deplorable, but his tone and message in the last few days is particularly nauseating.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,072 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    So trump finally noticed that Russia makes nuclear threats literally every day?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,264 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Sure, they could do that, but all it would really achieve is that the U.S. feels more justified in bombing the f out of them in return. It gives the international community (or the West, anyway) a better excuse to row in behind the U.S. as well. Not to mention that the U.S. would continue to target specific leaders of the Iranian government, up to and including the Ayatollah. These people may style themselves as religious fanatics with a zest for martyrdom, but underneath it, I think they're like the rest of us and aren't in any great hurry to meet their maker…

    I think the smartest thing Iran could do now is go for a bomb any way they can and use that as a basis of negotiation. Either that or drop its stance on Israel.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,522 ✭✭✭Lewis_Benson


    It's simple enough.

    Trump wants America to have the most weapons, the greatest weapons, more weapons than you've ever seen, nobody has ever had as many weapons than we do, and they are the biggest, so big.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,888 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Trumps mind is like Highlander - "There can be only one".

    In his tiny under-developed brain , there has to be a clear "winner" and everyone else has to be clear "losers" , the idea of mutual benefit etc. is utterly beyond him.

    And the "winner" has to be him.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,888 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    Iran just tried to bomb a US base in Qatar, will MAGA still say the US isn't at war and Trump is the president of peace?



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