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Israel Launches strike against Irans Nuclear Programme

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,840 ✭✭✭Rezident


    Which is why Iran is building a nuclear bomb. 60% uranium already.

    This is why Saudi Arabia provides intel and US to stop Iran.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,462 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Israel has conducted attacks in or on many countries, including.

    France

    UK

    Norway

    Germany

    Greece

    To name just European states.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,840 ✭✭✭Rezident


    As you know, Iran's only aims are suppressing their own people (81% opposed the regime) and destroying Israel.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭Homelander


    Disagree. The US will never, ever get involved in the ground, Israel knows that.

    They want the US for the B2 to destroy Fordow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,840 ✭✭✭Rezident


    One thing they teach you in training is that war is unpredictable and you need to adapt, constantly. Something that Israel has done very well and Iran has not done, other than spending <$10m dollar per Hypersonic missiles on hitting hospitals (go progressives!).

    Not sure if you have a point?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,840 ✭✭✭Rezident


    Yes hopefully. That would be best for everyone who does not support the anti-civilisation death cult that is still hilariously claiming that 60% Uranium has a civilian use.

    Ask ChatGPT in your pocket. Unless you are part of the Anti-Semite army, then, you don't want to know.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,627 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I don't think it's just Fordow, there's more sites they would want to bomb, but are further inside Iran. Israel could be limited in how far they can fly into Iran, drop ordnance and fly out of Iran to refuel. The US wouldn't have that issue with an aircraft carrier sitting in the Arabian Sea…

    But I certainly agree, I can't see a scenario where US boots are on the ground.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,462 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    How many “hospitals” have Iranian missiles hit?
    Do you really think Israel is adapting very well to the war? Going from a mission to destroy Iranian nuclear capability to pledging to make Tehran burn, hitting hospitals in Tehran and trying to assassinate the Ayatollah, they appear reactionary and disoriented.
    Are you sure the hospital wasn’t (a) a secret Israeli military base, (b) hit by a misfiring Israeli rocket. Isn’t that the legitimate reaction to an attack on a hospital rather than outright condemnation?

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,840 ✭✭✭Rezident


    Anti-Semites start war. Lose (yet again, as per 1948, 1963, 1973 etc). Anti-Semites claim they are being murdered and please stop the war (they started!) as soon as they are losing the war that they started.

    Maybe don't start wars? If possible for your "culture"? After losing every single war, maybe give peace a chance? Unless you are obsessed with killing Jews and would rather die than stop. Yeah that's what we thought...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,462 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Does Israel have any enriched uranium and religious fundamentalists with convictions for supporting a terrorist organisation in government?

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,533 ✭✭✭combat14


    if only iran had stopped at 60% ... they were rapidly heading towards 90% treshold for atomic bombs 2 years ago .. hence israel, europe and US concern

    Iran nuclear: IAEA inspectors find uranium particles enriched to 83.7% (2023)

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-64810145



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,840 ✭✭✭Rezident


    Nah we condemn Iran for building nuclear weapons (at 60% already) to destroy Israel, another Holocaust and holding our weak Chamberlain politicians to ransom forever, as they are far too weak to deal with this. We need a warrior, not this milquetoast.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,115 ✭✭✭Miniegg


    I'm sorry but this makes no sense.

    Judaism is a religion. I've asked this before - if I convert to Judaism tomorrow - my ancestors will still be Irish (or wherever they may be from), they don't change to being people who lived in Palestine 2,000 years ago. Yet if I became Jewish, I am entitled to a house in Palestinian lands using this warped logic?

    If Judaism is a race - as you alude to, then surely the religion doesn't restrict them. You can have Muslim Jews, Christian Jews, Buddhist Jews etc. I know many Jewish people are atheist.

    Are many Palestinians - who are a semetic peoples - not entitled to their homeland, regardless of religion? There are people there whose ancestors were Jewish, all the way back to the times you refer to, whose great grandparents (for example) decided to concert to Islam. Yet they can be forced off their land to somebody who converted and has no ancestral links to the homeland.

    But either way - the argument is ridiculous.

    Many many empires have risen and fallen in the 2 thousand years since the Romans expelled the Jewish tribes. Back then - most of western Europe was Roman. Do the Italians have a claim for their historic lands? That would be ridiculous right?

    The Palestinian people have an undeniable right to live in their homeland, and to be the majority bacause that is what they are and that is where they find themselves. They have lived there for generations and generations and the emphasis should be on this, not some nonsense 2000 year old claim that would require a genocide to come to fruition.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 850 ✭✭✭batman75


    I think Mileikowsky gambled that the U.S would enter any war entered into with Iran by Israel. It didn't expect Iran to bounce back, so well and so quickly from the blitzkrieg on key personnel on the first day. Gradually Iran has upped the ante in terms of bombing and are now knocking out key Israeli military and economic infrastructure. They are running out of defence missiles.

    The Israeli population is not psychologically prepared for a war. Generally when Israel enters a war it's opponent is hamstrung in some way before they starts the war so Israel enters knowing it has the upper hand and Israeli territory largely escapes damage. So Israeli's can go about their lives relatively unscathed.

    Never in 77 years has Israel been hurt like this militarily. It's illusion of military impenetrability has been shattered. At the current rate of bombings their economy will tank, it's population will flee in increasing numbers, morale will sink, their debt will become unmanageable and their cities will be pulverised. Those that don't flee are likely to wilt and turn on each other, under the pressure of having to be in bunkers with no end in sight.

    Israel as a nation is reviled around the world especially because of the ongoing genocide in Gaza. Trump throws alot of shapes but I think he is feeling the pushback in America against a strike on Iran. He also knows that a strike on Iran could lead to American lives lost and colossal military damage among assets in the M/E let alone for the economic carnage caused if Iran closed off the straits of Hormuz. Mileikowsky I can't decide. Was it typical Jewish hubris or just plain delusion that he thought he could start a war with Iran and win. Was he convinced he could rope in America? Either way he has done more harm to Israel since 1948 than any enemy. He gave Iran an open invitation to retaliate which they had every right to do.

    Will Israel survive. Hard to tell. Mileikowsky has no obvious off ramp. If he surrenders then it is humiliation. He can't win even with using a nuke. If he uses a nuke Israel gets levelled completely. He can't win even with U.S involvement. It's been a miscalculation of staggering proportions by him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,462 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    You condemn them for doing something that they haven’t done yet and attack them. That's a great idea. Sounds legal and logical.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,840 ✭✭✭Rezident


    No Jews, no news.

    Also notice that the Irish Anti-Semite army are unconcerned with the war in Tigray and the 600,000+ dead people there. Where are their threads and posts?

    Plus the 1m Russian casualties in Ukraine.

    But remember, they are only discriminating against the Jews (yet again) in order to be compassionate and inclusive and something and stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,840 ✭✭✭Rezident


    The Jewish vote? You should ask ChatGPT in your pocket how many Jews are left on the planet. And how on earth have they survived so long when many of their neighbors seem hellbent on killing them all. It's quite a story.

    I never worry about the anti-Semite mob, when you look at what happened to Nebechudnezzar, Hitler and all the rest of them, it is only to be expected that the bad guys target they Jews. The same things happened to them all in the end. If you look at the data, why would you choose that option?

    Why not choose life instead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,279 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    The Israeli interception rate has dropped from 90% to 65% since the Iranian shift to using the 2 stage, Hypersonic & Cluster warheads.

    Reduced reaction times due to increased speed. Terminal manoeuvres are the primary drivers in the reduced interception rate IMO. Couple that with Israel needing to conserve Arrow interceptors to defend "high" value targets.

    The terminal manoeuvres are actually less likely to be part of the Iranian successes as the Arrow system is an exoatmospheric interceptor, designed to hit the incoming missile whilst outside the atmosphere and before the terminal evasive manoeuvre begins.

    The Davids Sling system is the system that is Israel's medium altitude defence and this appears to be suffering a higher miss rate as a result of the terminal manoeuvre phase or it may well be affected by the reduced reaction times too. It's also likely being seriously affected by magazine depth issues too, as again likely 2 missiles fired to intercept, after 2 Arrows have already either missed or not been fired at all.

    Arrow 3 is $3-4 million a round and Davids Sling is approx $1 million a round. The costs rack up quickly a successful exoatmospheric intercept via 2 Arrow is $6-8 million. If the Arrows miss, then 2 ripple fired Davids Sling add another $2 million to the cost. A successful intercept can cost $10 million.

    Of course a failed intercept can cost a lot more, in lives and material.

    The WSJ have run an article that puts the daily cost of Israel's missile defence at $200 million +!

    https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israels-war-on-iran-is-costing-hundreds-of-millions-of-dollars-a-day-1d360353

    An Israeli financial paper has estimated the cost as being $285 million per day, reported here by Haaretz

    That cost is huge, it is unsustainable even with US support as once the stocks of interceptors are run down? They cannot be built fast enough to match the likely incoming number of missiles.

    The US has shifted another destroyer into the area to region, bringing total in range of Israel to defend to 5.

    Those ships utilise the SM3 missile for exoatmospheric Ballistic missile interception. The current production rate for SM3 block II missiles is 12 per year. https://fxtwitter.com/hsu_steve/status/1841411673992618125

    I would be very surprised if there were more than 40 SM3 at maximum loaded on the 5 additional destroyers. The ability of Israel and the US to support it in defending against incoming Ballistic missiles is rapidly diminishing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,462 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Possibly because a peace deal has been in place in Tigray for 3 years.
    All war criminals should be brought to justice and hanged after a fair trial.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,619 ✭✭✭SeanW


    Is Israel at war with these countries? Are the IDF bombing them? Or are they bombing places that have attacked them? (e.g. Lebanon, Syria, Iran, Yemen etc)

    The question of Who is a Jew? is a complicated one, but is generally considered to be some combination of ethnicity and religious identity.

    As you point out, conversion to Judaism is possible but it's not without controversy. Most Jews have some blood tie to the Holy Land. Though, as you point out, it is possible to come from a bloodline with no connection to the region of what is now Israel in the past 4000 years or so and convert to Judaism. But that's not common.

    https://u24.gov.ua/
    Join NAFO today:

    Help us in helping Ukraine.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,627 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I'm not sure why he thought the US would jump right in when Israel actually attacked Iran. I mean no previous US presidents have wanted to and Trump was elected on being the peacemaker and the whole MAGA crowd were America First.

    What's the key military and economic infrastructure that Iran has knocked out? An oil refinery? I believe Israel also knocked out one of Iran's, both have hit hospitals. Israel have severely crippled Iran's response. The numbers of missiles Iran has launched have reduced from 200 a day down to 30 a day, why is that?

    I most certainly don't believe there's a right or a wrong side of this conflict and have no skin in the game, but I do hate when people have some weird view of what Israel and Iran's capability is. When you start talking about Israel in a position of having to use a nuke…. you're completely out of touch of reality. It's like spewing Russian threats about nuking Europe because they have failed so badly. You seem to see Israel have failed as badly as the Russians and will resort to nukes?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,462 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    What happened Nebuchadnezzar II after he defeated the Jews and destroyed the temple?

    The Jewish people have a tragic history of being defeated by stronger powers and mistreated and persecuted. Unfortunately it is just the way of things that violence is only a solution for the most powerful.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭Homelander


    Reads like a bit of a fantasy.

    Israel's never been hurt like this militarily before? Israel isn't hurting militarily at all.

    I would suggest you look at the Yom Kippure war for an example of Israeli being put on the ropes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,422 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    No, it's not. The majority of the population emigrated from Europe, where they had been living for hundreds to thousands of years. They are not from the region. That's a simple fact. History is undeniable. It's amazing how this view is only applied to Israel, and nowhere else in the world, when it comes to population movements.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,619 ✭✭✭SeanW


    Oh and since you mentioned the UK …

    How Iran is ramping up its secret war on UK soil

    Of course, I fully expect this to be hand-waved away, like everything else the Ayatollah's regime and its proxies do.

    https://u24.gov.ua/
    Join NAFO today:

    Help us in helping Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,607 ✭✭✭thereiver


    The Israel economy can't continue to spend this much money on missiles they need the help of trump even to damage Iran's nuclear facilitys and the ,ll run out of missiles Iran's missiles could hit a apartment block Trump is giving Iran 2 weeks to reach a peace agreement Meanwhile he is probably getting USA armed forces ready to attack in the future See tariffs he has a history of making big threats but if there's political pushback he moderates his approach See drudge .com. If trump go,s for regime change what is likely is an even more radical extreme group will take over Iran of the mullahs lose power . Ordinary citizens will get tired of going to bunkers as Iran's missiles attacks continue Iran has dozens of nuclear facilitys and buildings deep underground

    There s no moderate political group that are waiting to take power in Iran Israel continues to bomb Gaza and commit genocide it is at risk of becoming a pariah state



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,637 ✭✭✭brickster69


    No they have built underground facilities over the last 30 years, mostly underneath mountains and carry out the production on those sites also.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,115 ✭✭✭Miniegg


    I read that wiki page, thanks for posting, and it's still cracked to me.

    Judaism is either a religion or an ethnicity, it can't be both in terms of claiming the Palestinian country.

    If it's an ethnicity, it can't be bound by religion - and if it's a religion, there can be no ethnic claim to the land.

    Most Jews have some blood tie to the Holy Land.

    How do you know this? If Palestinians have blood ties, why should this not be equally respected?

    Though, as you point out, it is possible to come from a bloodline with no connection to the region of what is now Israel in the past 4000 years or so and convert to Judaism. But that's not common.

    Again, how do you know what is common, or what has been common the last 2000 years?

    It's just odd that Jews from different parts of the world look like the greater populations they come from.

    European Jews look European. Middle eastern Jews look middle eastern. Indian Jews look Indian etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,071 ✭✭✭DayInTheBog


    So you know nothing of Israels history. Just as I thought.

    It obviously doesn't suit your narrative to become informed



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,115 ✭✭✭Miniegg


    The history of a place needs to be taken as a whole.

    You and Seanw are using a certain slice of pseudo history of that land, to justify a genocide that is taking place against, from what I can see, are its native inhabitants. Ye are the people using a narrative.

    There were non Jewish people in that land before the Jews, while the Jews lived there, and after they left there. This is normal in human history in every other country. Look at Ireland, even as a relatively isolated island, we have had waves of Celtic, iberian, British, Norse, Norman, Scots etc along with many religions, populate these lands and make up what is Irish today. That region is no different.

    2000 years ago, druids ruled religious life on this island, do Pagans have more right to Ireland than the people living here now?

    Countries and cultures evolve and change throughout history, you cannot pick a freeze point in history when you believe (incorrectly) that Israel was homogenously Jewish, and say that is how the country needs to be returned to, and that trumps the cultures and evolutions of people that have been there before and after this point.

    The rules you are applying to Israel don't apply to anywhere else in the world.



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