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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 929 ✭✭✭Mr Disco


    why would it impact landlords buying second hand houses?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,351 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    I think it will do the opposite as it makes it appealing again as the RPZ rate resets making it a much more viable option now.

    Cash buyers doesn't really indicate landlords buying up things because that would show up as new tenancies which is the figure that actually much better at telling you. There are a lot of people with cash due to covid, inheritance, share options etc…

    The changes do make investing more appealing so should increase building.

    A big factor in Ireland is occupancy rates. Huge areas of Dublin probably have an occupancy rate of just over 2 people per 3-4 bedroom properties. They are occupied 70-90 year old people so in 6 years a lot more of these properties will be available. If rented they will have a much higher occupancy rate than is bought because people buy for the possible future needs. I have seen rentals sold and the occupancy rate drop from 4-5 to 1-3. People think landlords selling is a good thing as people can buy but reality is means there are less places for people to live.

    There is a misunderstanding of the housing crisis to mean other things than housing people such as the ability to buy property. I completely get why people want to buy and should be able but is that the priority or housing people. Landlords are vilified but they didn't cause the problem I would point the finger squarely at the government for populist decisions and the public for not understanding.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,715 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Existing tenant in place last 8 years. Like many other here - good tenant but rent below current market price ( circa 40%)

    Can i reset rent to market price if existing tenant remains?

    No, the market price is irrelevant to existing tenancies, you are locked in to a 2% annual increase on that property unless the incumbent tenant leaves of his/her own accord.

    If so, when would that be - I'm a little confused with the 6 year piece starts

    The 6 year reset rule is only for tenancies that are commenced after March 2026. Although I wouldn't be surprised if that date changes in the mean time, that is the current proposal

    if i decide to sell the property - Does the tenant have any right to stay?

    No, you still have the right to evict the tennant to sell the property - but any new tenant will be tied to the same rate the old tenant was on plus a 2% annual increase. I believe this is the case even if you sell the property to a landlord so you'd be best off selling to an occupier

    This might all seem harsh but remember you have the benefit of owning the property so not too bad really



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,433 ✭✭✭mrslancaster


    From what I’ve read there will be no change for existing tenancies. But if an existing tenant leaves of their own accord and the landlord then enters into a new tenancy after next March, it will be 6 years with 2% increases and restricted termination. Then at the end of the 6 years, the landlord can sell, renovate etc, or else roll-over into another 6 year lease and at that stage the rent can be re-set to the market rate. Earliest re-set not until 2032.

    I think that’s the proposal but might be reading it all wrong.

    Post edited by mrslancaster on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,702 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    This talk pf the housing crisis easing, it getting and will get, far worse... more supply? Oh great, so what, prices are going up say ten percent a year ...



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,702 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    Great post! You know what we should start doing and they will propose though ? A few more public consultations... basically there's one cohort in this country except to be peasant slave's and working **** jobs for horrendous pay, then pay obscene rents or mortgage., so the other half of this country, can live in some fantasy land... housed for nothing, everything handed to them on a plate...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,920 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Where's the talk if it easing? Have any links to this because everything that I've read seems to be to the contrary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,702 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    Oh yeah, sorry, the talk of it ending and being made inroads into, is from the lying politicians. This next election will be hilarious to see what happens... if sf get in and **** hits the fan, who gave sf the keys to power ? Ffg failure or total success, pick whichever side you want... these decision makers are all homeowners at the least and many landlord's... not only that, most of the electorate are homeowners... certainly no conflict of interest there...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,920 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Again, who is saying this? Can you provide any examples?

    Next election is a probably minimum 4 years away. Don't worry though, people like yourself will just vote for the same government again like you did last November and then complain when nothing really has changed.

    If you vote for the status quo, you cannot complain about it staying the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Tenancies per landlord type (rather than number of landlords of each type) is something I've been looking/asking for years but never got an answer. No idea why such figures are so hard to come by.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Lorcan Sirr provides a good summary of where we are in the housing market, detailing the 4 forces driving price up



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    A pictorial view of how the government make it worse.

    The UK haven't a pot to piss in and there doing a better job and Spain powering ahead

    20250619_103903.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,715 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    https://www.thejournal.ie/housing-ppps-6735316-Jun2025/?utm_source=thejournal&utm_content=top-stories

    I thought this was a very good deal at first, €8m for 486 homes, thought somebody had unwrapped the bargain of the century at €16k a pop

    A lesson to all: read more than just the headline



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    While politicians implement policies that exile our educated children, they have become innovative in rewarding themselves in replacing them

    11k for each nurse recruited from abroad

    https://x.com/nwl88444048/status/1935276231659802686?t=MdroXky_7mMfgoqkgngSFg&s=19



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The results of demand side policies in a supply choked market, burning taxpayers money would be more effective



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    Slowdown visible registered

    https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/noticeable-slowdown-in-viewings-of-houses-in-dublin-as-average-price-tag-approaches-unaffordable-600000/a1605735403.html?fbclid=IwQ0xDSwLGIyZjbGNrAsYi9WV4dG4DYWVtAjExAAEeOUfC52t9aGfFuaTsYYVHnNMqfkLX-y85i3A-nTA_EZsChIkZtYx0XsK_TXo_aem_gxrVAnCE_Tv3eJT06DEjrg

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    John McCartney writing in todays Irish Time, again a lone voice of reason highlighting some inconvenient truths.

    In the popular debate, housing demand simply equals population growth. However, the economic definition of demand is the quantity of housing that society is willing and able to consume at each price.

    Between 2011 and 2022 the number of households in Ireland rose by 187,000. The housing stock only rose by 117,000, but the perception that this left a backlog of unmet housing need is mistaken, because 67,000 vacant homes were also reoccupied over the same period.

    All of this suggests that excess capital, rather than insufficient building, is the source of Ireland’s housing challenges. 

    Rather than striving to boost supply, Government should desist from fanning the flames of demand with subsidies such as Help to Buy and the First Home Scheme.

    The unspoken purpose of these is to incentivise building by driving up property values. This is unnecessary and self-defeating.

    As a dominant buyer and renter of property, the State should also exercise its market power to pay less.

    Government is frightened of flexing this muscle by the tacit threat of a developers’ strike. Industry’s trump card - which it recently played to have rent controls relaxed – is to scare up a panic that suppressing property values would undermine construction viability, causing the Government to miss its housing targets.

    This is bluff. Developers only earn when they build, and development costs would adjust to reduced sales price expectations if the Government called it out.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/2025/06/23/developers-are-bluffing-when-they-say-lower-prices-would-undermine-viability-of-house-building/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Need more of this, we need to drive investment where it is wanted and pull it from areas of nimbyism

    If this can be achieved for 5 billion, abandon the Dublin metro and you can have 4 more cities in strategic locations around the country where the locals would welcome the investment as opposed to constant planning objections.

    We need competition for investment so that those that constantly object can be fully aware that there will be a cost for them and there locality



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,715 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Suggesting the property developers threatened strike action if the government didn't play ball on rent controls? Interesting accusation there… Getting rid of FH and HTB schemes would certainly weaken the demand among first time buyers but it would also benefit cash-rich landlords. Do we really want to risk a having state where only landlords own houses?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Reduce deposit requirement to 5% or lower where the buyer has clear repayment capacity, on condition mortgage rate is fixed for a minimum of 10 years. Should cool the rate of inflation

    New rents can be twice the mortgage repayment

    Most new housing is not available for sale under the current system anyway



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    McCartney's point is that by removing the government as the marginal buyer in the market, prices should fall which helps potential homeowner buyers.

    This is bluff. Developers only earn when they build, and development costs would adjust to reduced sales price expectations if the Government called it out.

    The idea that if taxpayers stop subsidising the property market nobody will be able to buy a house is just scaremongering which seems to have been astonishingly widely swallowed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,715 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    All good ideas, not sure it will work though as you then create more people able to purchase which will drive the prices up

    Yes it might but if developers can make more profit from house building or renting they will build more



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,807 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    I remember Brian Cowen announcing a major plan for a mega city in Athlone back in 2010, Beijing-on-Shannon as it was affectionately known. This plan was hyped up by Ballymore Group, the same crowd who have outlined the same plan yet again 15 years later.

    Of course it was a load of PR rubbish that came to nothing, as this will too no doubt. Like we all know this is just a fluff piece to get Ballymore some cheap publicity, right? They’ve essentially just dusted down the same ‘plan’ from 2010. Such a load of absolute rubbish.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Fine, then we should be giving them big tax breaks to boost their profits, not subsidising private buyers paying high prices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26 monkeyblues


    might be a bit morbid but like to see parents move into large one bed apartment complexes with a lot of amenities like bottom floor community center and rooftop sun. The children would inherit the house while paying the rent of the parents apartment. Any issues with the children paying the house would be sold while parents would be gaurunteed the apartment for life and inherit any profit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,715 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Unfortunately it's come to a situation where we need to throw everything and anything at the housing crisis to try and fix it.

    There will be some very rich property developers and very poor normal people no matter what solutions are executed

    The alternative is to do nothing and let the current crisis continue



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,715 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    That's largely already happening with elderly moving into nursing homes paid for by their kids who them go on to inherit the family home, only difference is it's far better from a taxation point of view for the house to be left idle



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,955 ✭✭✭Nermal


    Not convinced. The government imposes huge costs on the build process: taxes, levies, high regulatory standards, wage agreements etc. - these set a floor build costs can't drop below. They need to change along with the subsidies being dropped.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    what wage agreements are putting up the cost of construction? its almost entirely driven by scarcity of labour.

    Much of growth in build costs is down to increases in professional fees and land costs. These are elastic but not set by govt



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