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Boards weather forecast contest for June 2025

  • 30-05-2025 05:20PM
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭


    Predict the IMT (13.6 is recent average)

    Predict the MAX

    Predict the MIN

    Predict PRC (as percentage of average)

    Predict SUN (as percentage of average)

    BONUS _ Predict number of dry days at Dub (A) — 0.1 mm, trace or 0.0 will count as dry.

    Deadline _ 0300h 1st June, usual late penalties apply (1% every four hours to 1500h 2nd, 1% per hour thereafter)

    My entry will be 13.9 _ 25.5 _ 0.9 _ 125 _ 095 _ 10

    NormaL ______ 13.6 _ 26.5 _ 1.5 _ 100 _ 100 _ 15



Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Bsal ______ 14.5 _ 26.0 _ 3.5 _ 98 _ 115 _ 17



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Pauldry______ 14.1 _ 24.8 _ 2.2 _ 180 _ 97 _ 14



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,621 ✭✭✭200motels


    200motels————— 14.2 _ 25.4 _ 2.3 _ 145 _ 92 _ 13



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,998 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    DOCARCH ______ 14.1 _ 26.2 _ 0.5 _ 095 _ 108 _ 15



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 203 ✭✭sunflower3


    Sunflower3_____ 14.4 _ 26.1 _ 2.5 _ 145 _ 92 _ 16



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 357 ✭✭kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 14.6 ___ 27.0 ___ 2.5 ___ 120 ___ 100 ___ 15



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 393 ✭✭waterways


    waterways ______ 14.0 _ 28.0 _ 2.3 _ 93 _ 112 _ 18



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,076 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Artane2002 ______ 15.0 _ 26.8 _ 3.6 _ 105 _ 095 _ 18



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 592 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Dasa29 ______ 14.5 _ 27.0 _ 2.0 _ 100 _ 125 _ 14



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 56 ✭✭Cornerstonelad


    Cornerstonelad ___15___27.5__3.0__100_100__12



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,796 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Joe Public 15.2 _ 31.9 _ 0.4 _ 70 _ 135 _ 17



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,500 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Jpmarn ______ 13.8 _ 26.5 _ 1.0 _ 175 _ 100 _ 12



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,166 ✭✭✭John mac


    john mac ______ 14.1 _ 27.5 _ 1.2 _ 104 _ 110 _ 17



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 409 ✭✭mrskinner


    Skinner___14__27__2__115__96__14.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    Dacogawa_______ 14.2 _ 27.7 _ 0.7 _ 127 _ 99 _ 14



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,131 ✭✭✭mr.stonewall


    Mr Stonewall___13 9___27 1___0.9__88___106__16



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 877 ✭✭✭adam240610


    Adam240619_14.1 _ 25.0_ 2.2 _ 111 _ 97 _ 15



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,592 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    WolfeEire _____14 _ 27.5 _ 1.8 _ 102 _ 108 _ 15

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,730 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Appledrop 13.7___26.5___1.2___147___90___13



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 759 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Tae laidir ________ 14.4 _ 25.4 _ 3.3 _ 126 _ 93 _ 11



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭esposito


    Esposito______ 13.9 _ 27.1_ 1.4 _ 105_ 115 _ 11



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,472 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Gonzo ______ 14.1_ 25.4 _ 2.9 _ 128 _ 92 _ 16



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 759 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Wet day for Dublin Airport, 0.2mm.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Table of forecasts for June 2025

    FORECASTER ____________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN _ dry days

    Joe Public _______________15.2 _ 31.9 _ 0.4 _ 070 _ 135 __ 17

    Cornerstonelad __________ 15.0 _ 27.5 _ 3.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 12

    Artane2002 _____________ 15.0 _ 26.8 _ 3.6 _ 105 _ 095 __ 18

    Kindred Spirit ___________ 14.6 _ 27.0 _ 2.5 _ 120 _ 100 __ 15

    dasa29 _________________14.5 _ 27.0 _ 2.0 _ 100 _ 125 __ 14

    bsal ___________________14.5 _ 26.0 _ 3.5 _ 098 _ 115 __ 17

    Sunflower3 _____________ 14.4 _ 26.1 _ 2.5 _ 145 _ 092 __ 16

    Tae laidir _______________ 14.4 _ 25.4 _ 3.3 _ 126 _ 093 __ 11

    Dacogawa ______________ 14.2 _ 27.7 _ 0.7 _ 127 _ 099 __ 14

    200motels ______________ 14.2 _ 25.4 _ 2.3 _ 145 _ 092 __ 13

    johnmac ________________14.1 _ 27.5 _ 1.2 _ 104 _ 110 __ 17

    DOCARCH ______________ 14.1 _ 26.2 _ 0.5 _ 095 _ 108 __ 15

    __ Con Sensus __________ 14.1 _ 26.8 _ 2.0 _ 111 _ 100 __ 15

    Gonzo _____(-2) _________14.1 _ 25.4 _ 2.9 _ 128 _ 092 __ 16

    Adam240610 ____________14.1 _ 25.0 _ 2.2 _ 111 _ 097 __ 15

    Pauldry ________________ 14.1 _ 24.8 _ 2.2 _ 180 _ 097 __ 14

    waterways ______________14.0 _ 28.0 _ 2.3 _ 093 _ 112 __ 18

    WolfeEire _______________14.0 _ 27.5 _ 1.8 _ 102 _ 108 __ 15

    MrSkinner ______________ 14.0 _ 27.0 _ 2.0 _ 115 _ 096 __ 14

    Esposito ___ (-1) _________13.9 _ 27.1 _ 1.4 _ 105 _ 115 __ 14

    MrStonewall _____________13.9 _ 27.1 _ 0.9 _ 088 _ 106 __ 16

    M.T. Cranium ____________ 13.9 _ 25.5 _ 0.9 _ 125 _ 095 __ 10

    JPmarn _________________13.8 _ 26.5 _ 1.0 _ 175 _ 100 __ 12

    Appledrop _______________13.7 _ 26.5 _ 1.2 _ 147 _ 090 __ 13

    __ NormaL ______________13.6 _ 26.5 _ 1.5 _ 100 _ 100 __ 15

    ___________________

    For the number of dry(ish) days, the count of predictions (not including NormaL) is

    18 xx 17 xxx 16 xxx 15 xxxx 14 xxxxx 13 xx 12 xx 11 x 10 x

    (as with all forecast Con Sensus values, median is taken, the mean in this case being 14.35).

    The overall consensus for June seems to be rather warm, good chance of a hot spell later on, a bit unsettled with average sunshine. Not one of us foresees a below average temperature and 16 of 23 expect more rain than average (two say normal, five below). There are a few quite high rainfall predictions despite the median being only 11% above average. The range of sunshine forecasts is 90 to 135 per cent of normal, the median being exactly normal. Joe Public has the extremes for MAX and MIN temps in both directions, 31.9 and 0.4 C. The least extreme predictions are 24.8 and 3.6 C.

    (met E take notice, boards have spoken)

    Post edited by M.T. Cranium on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,730 ✭✭✭appledrop


    The forecast for Dublin over next few days has a good few showery days so we might not get a dry day until Sunday!

    We will wait and see, today dry so far but depends if those showers come before midnight



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Yes, wet if rain arrives by 0100 actually, "today" in wx is 00z to 00z.

    Following will appear in a separate thread, you can also enter here …

    … … this is hosted on American Weather Forum (by me).

    .

    It's that time again ... enter your forecast for seasonal totals of storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes (in the North Atlantic basin) ... using NOAA official counts as our contest guide. 

    Include any named storms already in the books by 06z June 7th in your total (as of now, count is 0/0/0). 

    1991-2020 average values 14/7/3 ... 2025 seasonal forecasts from various experts average 17/9/4 (so far). I will include a few of these as of June 7 as non-entries for ranking against our forecasts (without changing our contest ranks). 

    I extended the entry deadline based on the situation as of 06z June 2nd. You can edit or revise any entries up to final deadline, no need to bring attention to edits as I won't be trying to create a table of entries until deadline is passed. 

    Boards.ie weather forum and Net-weather (UK) will be invited to participate. Ranks will be provided (a) over all entries and (b) within forums, or fora if anyone here is a Latin purist. 2024 winner was Kirkcaldy Weather of Net-weather.

    Good luck !



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,730 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Oh it arrived alright and it's still lashing so 2nd and 3rd will be wet days.



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