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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,169 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Antanov Be Brave like Kherson 2 _5303151.jpg

    Be Brave Like Kherson, inbound for Shannon. Slava Ukraine



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,690 ✭✭✭brickster69


    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,606 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    To counter the blatant Russian disinformation and anti EU muck spreading, here is the data from the evil EU

    IMG_5892.jpeg IMG_5891.jpeg

    LNG comes into facilities in Netherlands, Belgium, Spain and enters network on one side, Ukraine transit is gone to zero now

    Companies in Russian puppet countries like Hungary, Slovakia (that don’t have ports for obvious geographic reasons) purchase and consume it

    And here is the EU plan to cut that to zero whether those couple like it or not



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,846 ✭✭✭macraignil


    Some positive moves on secondary sanctions against supporters of putin's terrorist state with a bill being put before the US congress that puts huge tariffs on imports from countries that continue to give financial help to terrorists by continuing to trade with them:

    https://kyivindependent.com/82-us-senators-back-bone-crushing-russia-sanctions-expected-to-advance-next-week-graham-says/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,635 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    How's the bill going to realistically work? (assuming Graham doesn't backtrack on it)

    The EU get's slapped with 500% tariffs because Hungary & Slovakia still imports Russian energy (obviously they are not the only ones) I mean FFS the US still trades with Russia. Are they going to tariff themselves?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 922 ✭✭✭Exiled Rebel


    Vladivostok! Jeez, New York is nearly closer to Kyiv. Balls of steel.

    EDIT: I had to look it up. Vladivostok is a mere 400km closer at just 7,100km from the Ukrainian capital. New York a mere 7,500km. Those lads were a long way from home.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,846 ✭✭✭macraignil


    I can't claim to be able to answer that accurately but it sounds to me like it would apply a 500% tariff on goods imported from countries that are proven to continue to trade with putin's terrorist state. That would I guess include China, North Korea, Iran and India as well as EU member states Hungary and Slovakia unless they took action to stop importing from and trading with putin's terrorist state.

    I'd like to see the bill also include supply of goods to putin that can be used in attacking Ukraine like drones but I have not seen the text of the bill which is reported by a number of sources and apparently has support from both of the larger parties in the US government. The statement from Graham and another senator Blumenthal on a visit to Ukraine in relation to the bill also mention the use of frozen russian assets in supporting Ukraine and I would hope the EU and other allies of Ukraine would get behind this move to ramp up pressure on putin to stop attacking Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,352 ✭✭✭amandstu


    The EU could write up a new treaty for a mirror image of the existing EU and disband the old one + establish the new one within a few minutes of each other.

    The new "EU" (given another name) would not include members who were persona non grata and the paperwork for external treaties would have to be amended similarly prior to the changeover.

    The excluded states would be free to apply for membership if they wanted...

    Has this idea been floated already or it it better to keep Hungary and Slovakia pissing inside the tent?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,635 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I just seems like a way for the Trump administration to impose 500% tariffs (which would actually have a legal foundation vs the illegal liberation day ones) on pretty much all US imports from all countries. Basically all countries still have some trade with Russia.

    Tariffs ain't gonna do jack ****. They need secondary sanctions. Sanction the likes of DJI selling drones to Russia. Think of it in a way of a Russia being a terrorist organisation (which they are in essence), so any company dealing with them get sanctioned to the hilt. It's not China (the government) selling drones to Russia nor the Irish government selling antennas to Russia, it's actual companies. Tariffs won't target specific companies, they are too broad and it doesn't prevent companies selling to intermediaries.

    It just seems like a great sounding, but a bad bill.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,267 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    China are easily controlled, no idea why they are free to help Russia with no consequences. China export so much, so easily to ban all their products from EU, yes they will do same, but it will all blow over within a week, and they'll get message, and stop helping Russia



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,635 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    A total ban on Chinese made goods….. you think that's doable? I mean the good aul USA had to fold with 145% tariffs on China after like a week. I know a 145% tariff on a 10c part maybe rough, but a total ban on all Chinese imports seems nuts.

    What if the Chinese companies use the likes of the UK to sell on the goods, shall we ban all UK imports?

    Just seems easier to sanction a commercial drone manufacturer so all they foreign assets are seized rather than igniting a global trade war like Trump has tried.

    And China is not easily controlled and they are not helping Russia in so much as they are helping themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭Deub


    You underestimate the importance of China in the world economy. A full ban would stop production of almost everything. Nowadays, everything contains a Chinese made part or needs Chinese made parts to be made. It would take at least a decade to build alternative supply chains from other countries.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 258 ✭✭Roald Dahl


    I'm with you on this.

    Lock them out and let them get their missing billions from their Daddy Putin. We all know well, though, that Russia wouldn't give them the proverbial steam.

    Cut off all transfers until they decide - something which is far from certain to happen - to stop being a tiresome, anti-European fifth column. Not one single, solitary cent more for them.

    The same should be done with the UN, which is nothing but a stale, unfunny joke. Leave the deplorables behind in the old shell and create a new entity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,606 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    There’s an even easier solution to hostile states within then Union especially since they are landlocked

    Yes a single state can obstruct the EU, but that also works in the other direction especially when there is an overwhelming majority in opposition (that thing called democracy eh)

    Start with article 7

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/07036337.2024.2441977#abstract

    Escalate to 25 states stop sending in 2/27th of the funds for EU and make it clear the remainder is not to be allocated to those two, impose border controls (happened during covid), start invasively investigating any company involved with the rogue states, suspend every aspect of what makes EU membership worth it for these states

    They either leave or spend years going through courts only to learn that EU doesn’t have a police force to enforce anything on any other state especially when majority are against them, all while their economy implodes and no help arrives from Daddy Putin. EU is built on cooperation and consensus

    It’s only a matter of time now before Putin attacks an EU member state, let’s say he attacks Poland this summer, what will happen within 24 hours? Slovakia and Hungary will be told within hours to either stop **** around or be considered hostile, Poland has memory of being attacked from two directions, they won’t ^*+$ around

    https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/delusions-peacemaking-ukraine-dmytro-kubela

    As above article points out, the risk of Putin deliberately attacking an EU member in next few years has now gone up, he doesn’t have to win any land to cause a complete shitshow all while losing some canned meat



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,658 ✭✭✭Field east


    something similar has been floated. The same could apply to NATO. Like minded nations eg France, Germany Poland ,Latvia, Canada, Uk, could form the equivalent , withdraw from NaTO membership, and those countries ‘not involved ‘ in the new setup could be free to apply, eg the US, Serbia, Hungry, Turkey.

    ‘The cage could be at least rattled ‘ in the above direction up to the next US presidential election and then proceed or otherwise from that point



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,690 ✭✭✭brickster69


    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 686 ✭✭✭Bitcoin


    Another mass casualty event for the orcs as a troop concentration in Kursk is hit by the Ukrainians.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 686 ✭✭✭Bitcoin


    I'd go further.

    Impose sanctions and blockades. Force regime change. These are not legitimate democracies anyway, elections were subject to heavy interference.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,162 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Ukrainian channels on telegram are now reporting that Russian sources have released footage showing the use of the Chinese Low-Altitude Laser Defending System (LASS) to shoot down Ukrainian drones in the combat zone.

    These appear to be the first documented visuals of the Chinese laser system in operational use in Ukraine. There's a video attached but it's on telegram and I'm not bothered searching twitter.

    But yeah the EU should totally side with China because of Trump. He May bark the loudest but it's China who's the snake in the grass.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,659 ✭✭✭zv2


    More, better, bigger, faster weapons for Ukraine, now.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,606 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    You want to discuss again that time China endured a century of humiliation and Russia grabbed a million square miles (that’s 4 to 5 Ukraines in area) of Chinese east Asia which it occupies to this day?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,267 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    Same tactic that Trump uses to get what he wants, it would be a short lived threat as to get a message across



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,169 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I hope the UK can respond by giving Ukraine their Dragon laser. Ukraine has developed and fielded a home grown laser system, but being honest, it seems way too weak and bit of a kludge - not remotely close to that Chinese system.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,138 ✭✭✭purplepanda


    Vladivostok region is historically part of the Green Ukraine colony, stolen from China. Probably 3rd generation or more nowadays, it's certainly possible there could be some local sympathisers & supporters of Ukrainian resistance & / or anti Putinist factions amongst the population.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,690 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Russia's state duma defence chief Kartapolov comments on the possible outcome for Ukraine should they reject negotiations again.

    Following the breakdown of talks in Istanbul 1.0 Putin's terms were later revised on June 14th 2024 and from the sound of it the the next conditions will be worse than what could be negotiated upon today.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,606 ✭✭✭thatsdaft




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    Thank you friend for relaying the Kremlins latest shite.

    It's good to know they're getting desperate!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,659 ✭✭✭zv2


    The Russians are scared. They are using very hard language recently because they know they are in danger of going under, economically, if this war goes on much longer.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,338 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Thank you for your continued provision of Russian state propaganda.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,169 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    War game: NATO would win the possible conflict with Russia, and the decisive front would be the skies of Eastern Europe
    30.05.2025 20:09

    A recent analysis, which the U.S. Air Force for Europe and Africa (USAFE-AFAFRICA) requested from the instituted Rand Corporation, shows that a possible fight between NATO and Russia would differ significantly from the ongoing war in Ukraine.

    Matches my own thoughts, given the significant numerical and qualitative difference in air power.



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