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Ireland. The most expensive housing in western Europe

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,050 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    so what you re saying is, encouraging them into higher paying jobs, whereby they can access even more credit, which we now know is in fact one of the main causes of the inflation of property prices in the first place!

    no, we need to move back to more public methods of finance, including deficit spending, and my personal favorite, public banking options, for public financing of publicly built property, on publicly owned land, in order to reduce the speculative nature of our markets, but dont worry, its not gonna happen!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,216 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Creation of extra zoned land would be a good thing, imo, but I disagree with the idea that a massive social housing programme is the key. The reason for this is that such a programme would draw upon the same resources (land, labour, building materials etc.) as private housing, making private housing more expensive. Plus, I'm not sure councils are more efficient at building than the private sector. So, while we might create more social homes (great for those who are awarded them), we simultaneously create greater need for them with spiralling upward rents in the private sector.

    I think that it is more effective to use private investment money cleverly to build out the bulk new supply. Make it tax-efficient to do so. Encourage "build to rent" developments to ease the extreme pressure in the rental market. Create regulations improving security of tenancy for private tenants.

    Another area is to look to innovative building methods such as assembly of imported modular homes as the video in the OP suggests.

    These measures, of course, will be resisted and lobbied against by vested interests but it is the pandering to these vested interests that have caused much of the problem in the first place. All attempts at a solution will be resisted and the government need to realise that pandering will no longer work.

    We will still social homes, and the building of these needs to increase. But we still need sort out the problem in the private market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,198 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    You said it yourself, its not going to happen.

    I agree with you that the state needs to invest heavily in public housing, I have said that in all of my posts. I dont see it happening either, but we should demand it from the govt.

    In the absence of that public investment from the state, a 20 year old can either upskill and buy a house anyway, or shake their fists at a govt cloud, sat in their parents box room.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,198 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I agree about the modular homes, we should ramp these up quickly.

    When I say public homes built by the govt, I mean they assemble their own teams.

    They recruit new builders, not take builders from the private workforce. New council jobs are created.

    If we are going to grow our population by 100k per year, we need to pull some of those new people into construction jobs.

    You cant rely on the private sector to build all the homes when rent caps are in place. There is no ROI and investors are going elsewhere.

    Ramp up delivery through the councils, which allows us to remove the rent caps which allows the private investment to flood in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,050 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    yup, its simply not gonna happen, so….

    some 20 year olds can do so, and some simply cannot, for various different reasons, noting even doing so, also cannot guarantee access to private markets after the fact, i.e. many are now getting trapped, even after education and training, and our social housing system effectively doesnt exist, i.e. this is a sh1t show, thats set to continue into the next decade, and maybe beyond, and what about those rising numbers of relationship breakdowns, i.e. people in their 30's and 40's!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,750 ✭✭✭pah


    The average Garda who retires on the highest point of the scale at just under 60k will get a lump sum of about 90k Not going to buy a lot of apartments with that.

    BTW could this thread not be retitled to: Ireland. The most expensive (insert whatever you're having yourself) in western Europe



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,216 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Another problem I think is that property is a very standard investment for the average punter with access to a bit of credit in Ireland. The fact that so many are involved mean investors form a voting bloc that politicians are fearful of crossing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,198 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Upskilling and earning the best salary you can is going to improve your chances of owning a home.

    Skilled trades will be very highly paid in the future, as AI removes a lot of white collar jobs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,097 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    In countries where there is a high percentage of renters vs property owners, what happens to the renters when they retire?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 351 ✭✭baxterooneydoody


    That's not much comfort to someone stuck in a low paying job with a family to support who may be doing just fine until their landlord decides to sell up or raise the rent. Upskilling is a fine buzz word people use when they've done ok for themselves and can't understand why everyone hasn't the same gumption and go getting abilities as themselves



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,050 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    again, no guarantee, we now have a rapidly rising number of young, well qualified, even towards level 9/10, simply unable to get out of the current rental trap, even some still trapped in the family home, i.e. the whole process is starting to collapse, and our government isnt reacting!

    some skilled trades already pay well, some taking home healthy 5, even 6 figures, again, also doesnt guarantee access to housing!

    we re also overly prescribed towards academic education, and seriously under prescribed towards trades, this still isnt been addressed effectively enough, i.e. we re not doing enough to encourage enrollment towards trades amongst the young, i.e. there needs to be radical changes in our educational system for this to occur, this also wont happen anytime soon!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,050 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    yup, we re goosed, and older generations also better look out, as pension funds all also wrapped up in all of this, and best of luck receiving adequate care as you age, as thats generally provided by younger generations, who also wont be able to meet their own needs, so best of luck with them providing you with your needs!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,097 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    ?
    I asked a question I didn’t make a statement.
    I asked the following:

    In countries where there is a high percentage of renters vs property owners, what happens to the renters when they retire?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 690 ✭✭✭bureau2009




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,198 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I agree with you, its not how things should be.

    But if i was speaking to any teenager its still the advice I would give, because I dont see things changing.

    I am just being honest.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,097 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    What else is there to invest in?
    Any profits from investments gets taxed at CGT amounts plus investment broker costs on top of that plus the risk of losing your investment.
    Property looks a lot safer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,050 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    no idea, but i suspect the only way to make this scenario work, is long term rental guarantees, which more than likely means significant state interventions, countries such as signapore probably has such polices already in place, id have to look into more tbh, but its all i can think of, but again, we re currently not setup for such, so, on this mess goes!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,198 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Other countries govts provide housing in retirement and you generally dont need to move out of the home you have been renting whilst working.

    In order to do this, a country need a high percetage of publicly owned housing stock, relative to the population.

    We have low levels of publicly owned housing stock in ireland, so unless you own privately, you are going to be in trouble when you retire.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,097 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    That’s the point though- we should just do what other countries do who have a high rental stock.

    I imagine Germany has a high rental percentage, they must have procedures and regulations in place for when people who rent retire.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,462 ✭✭✭Viscount Aggro


    The rate of new property construction is not keeping up with population growth.

    If I was back in my 20s now… I would either emigrate to Canada, or do something radical.. buy a place with a mate, rent out a room or 2 for cash … the system is rigged.. I would go nuclear…. buy a plot of land, build a log cabin, off grid, FTW … roll all money into savings, investments



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,097 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    So what countries would that be?

    Germany?

    In these countries if you are renting privately and you retire do you automatically get moved to a social house and pay small rent to the council?
    So is there a stock of housing that’s always available in these countries?

    If you stay in the private house after retirement, who pays the LL? The government?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,216 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    The problem is not the investment (in fact we need more of that) but rather the voting bloc that is formed when large numbers of people buy a small number of properties each. They will then tend to block new developments that might compete with them and generally oppose greater supply.

    I think the way forward is to incentivise new development. Make that the place for returns. Make merely holding property not particularly attractive.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 10,838 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    Nonsense. The majority of Irish voters are property owners, it is their primary asset and they are not going to accept any solution to the housing crisis that involves them taking a serious financial hit. As we have seen in the last election, for the majority of voters the housing crisis is a theoretical problem, where as negative equity is very real. So when you figure out how to convince the voters to take say a hit of a 100k on their life savings, your on the right track. This other stuff is just noise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,465 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    The way things are going, that majority (property owners) is shrinking, and on coalition formation, you don't need to be the biggest party to get your way...

    A supply policy that knocked 100–150k off the national average price is doable if that price change happens slowly (5+ years), which it will. Lots of those "rich" house owners are the parents of the people who are struggling to rent or buy. Sell the increased supply as "let your kids move out and get a place of their own to live", and you'll find a lot of support for it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,198 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Home ownership is increasing, not reducing.

    2019 - 68%

    2020 - 69%

    2022 - 70%



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭Quitelife


    Michael Healy Rae will be ok with his 30 buy to let’s - a multi millionaire ……



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,826 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    In 2002 there were 3.932 million people living in Ireland.

    In 2025 now there is approximately 5.3 million people living in Ireland.

    A 37.3% population increase in 23 years. Our population has grown by well over a third in 23 years.

    In the main supply and demand dictates the cost, though there are other factors.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,466 ✭✭✭✭John_Rambo


    Two young schoolteachers just bought a house on my road for €970,000.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19 meat eating green


    it seems that the only hope for making housing affordable lies with Donald Trump or V Putin.

    Prices will drop when he forces US companies to shift their profits back to the US.

    Alternatively Supply would improve if the Ukrainian refugees could return home.

    Either of these would reduce demand

    There is little sign of new building supply picking up….



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40 EmergencyExit


    People who work in Tesco etc… rely on social or subsidised housing for shelter otherwise they'd be living in tents and cars like they do in the US. A lot of people would probably like that given how divided we have become as a nation.



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