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Create a European Defence Force and Disband NATO in a few years

124

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 577 ✭✭✭Randycove


    I can’t see Metz pulling Germany out of NATO, it would mean throwing out 35,000 US troops. I can see Germany demanding more European countries up their military spending though, for two reasons. To counter a reduction in likely input from the US and also to help boost their economy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 295 ✭✭Soc_Alt


    Germany won't be kicking the US out.out.Trump will pull them out in the next few months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72 ✭✭quantum_technician


    There is no way the U.S. military would willingly leave Ramstein Military Base. It is their landlocked flagship plonked in the middle of the continent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,787 ✭✭✭threeball


    Trump will try to pick and choose. He'll throw the baltics to the wolves whilst trying to hold on to goodies like Ramstein. It'll remain to be seen if other countries have the balls to stop him.

    Having the US anywhere on European soil moving forward is a mistake. Macron saying we were willing to do more to Trump today was a mistake. Just do it, don't give him the ego boost of saying he forced it as it only opens the door to the next demand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 295 ✭✭Soc_Alt


    Mr Harris must be reading this thread.


    Tánaiste and Minister for Defence Simon Harris has said he has instructed officials in the Department of Defence to prepare a more aggressive procurement strategy for acquiring new military capabilities for the Irish Defence Forces.

    This includes the acquisition of interceptor jets, as well as radar and sonar capabilities.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 295 ✭✭Soc_Alt


    So when do expect Trump to hand in his NATO notice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 183 ✭✭tarvis


    NATO has been an arm of the US for many years now - doing Americas bidding in Africa, Syria Afghanistan and the Middle East so of course it costs the US a lot. If Trump wants out let him go - we can no longer trust the word of the USA and it has a president who is just making things up as he goes along and persuing personal vandettas against people he just doesn’t like.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 577 ✭✭✭Randycove




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 295 ✭✭Soc_Alt


    Can I ask why the IDF are scared to intercept the Russian Intelligence ship that's in Irish waters.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 42,920 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Firstly, why would they need to intercept it? (It is rather disingenuous to claim they are scared if you're demonstrating that you don't know why they didn't intercept it!)

    Secondly, it left Irish waters hours before you posted your question.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 295 ✭✭Soc_Alt


    It's a Russian spy ship that was in Irish waters for 36 hours.

    The Naval Service tried contacting it with no response.

    They were clearly scared to approach it.

    Ireland really is the elephant in the room within the EU in relation to EUs defence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 437 ✭✭poop emoji


    There is scared and then there is not having the ships and crew to do anything about it

    Don’t attribute to malice what can be attributed to incompetence and systemic underfunding



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,261 ✭✭✭✭My name is URL


    There's plenty of scumbags within the US who seem happy to cripple their own country rn. If anything the EU should hush their buzz about a new military force. Because when the US, and its seemingly current "allies" cop on to what is happening.; it's industry that is going to relocate… not soldiers. Imagine being 16 and wanting, today to fight for Trump and his cronies



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,505 ✭✭✭✭expectationlost


    it wasnt in Irish Waters, its was in international waters.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 42,920 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    According to the media who are quoting members of government, the ship had been in Irish-controlled waters.

    What exactly do you think the Irish should have done and how exactly would that pan out?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,505 ✭✭✭✭expectationlost


    they are reffering to the EEZ which is almost entirely not Irish Waters, its international waters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 100 ✭✭CardF


    I think nato served its purpose in history well when needed, but is now past its peak. Europe has its own defense structure, which nato never did like to see, our strategic autonomy is presently and will in the future be needed. Unstable characters like Trump and Erdogan can't be factors in our futures. Nor should UK tory govts be trusted much. Even Canada, good guys or not shouldnt be relied on, how much sacrifice can really be expected from people an ocean away. The temptation to just say fk it is always there.

    Even within the EU those of us to the west have a much more relaxed attitude. Its just human to not be concerned by things away over there in distant lands. You have to have a stake in the game.

    Which we do, but we just tend to forget it. A lot of our comforts and potential for success is underpinned by the EU. So we have incentives. Along with the incentive that if one of us can be harmed then we may be next. US, Canada dont have that. Even UK has its well armed island status to fall back on.

    Europes defense can only be self controlled, independent, in-house, in the future. No external parties, no conditions based on the feverish whims of Americans or Turks, or Brits. Strategic autonomy is the way.

    These last couple decades Nato was primarily a way to say to Russia 'not only European countries but the Americans too'. The Americans were a way to push it over the edge resoundingly. To send the message home if they weren't yet getting it. Their shyte performace in Ukraine shows that they were a paper tiger, but they themselves refused to believe it. US troops were in Europe to help awaken them from this delusion. Like a cork on a fork. To prevent them from hurting themselves, and others.

    Post Ukraine and post EU rearmament we wont really need to point to the US to snap the Russians out of it. We can just point to a unified European defense. Thats the stick element, the genital cuff. And hopefully we can have good trade with Russia in the not too distant future, so that theres a carrot/Oklahoma element, Russias economy is in shyte by their own stupidity, and trade with Europe is their only way out.

    Even Ukraine may serve as an alarm clock to wake Russians from their delusions. Its hard to maintain a delusion of grandeur and fantasies of going up against a far greater force than oneself when one cant defeat a far smaller force than oneself.

    tldr. We can coordinate a $19trn economy so we can coordinate some form of coalition of self interest. Take the nato model, boot out the non-Europeans, individual representatives in Brussels as per the EU parliament.

    Bailey had a “borderline personality” based on “narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition”.

    Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 100 ✭✭CardF


    lol. no delivieries, no utilities. no air traffic. nobody allowed in or out. and thatll be it. its not their choice.

    Bailey had a “borderline personality” based on “narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition”.

    Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 437 ✭✭poop emoji


    Or just leave them there

    In case of nuclear war that’s one less nuke being used up on that base instead of falling on a population center



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 577 ✭✭✭Randycove


    you would hand over national defence to the European Parliament or would individual states still be able to deploy their military as they wish?

    Who gets to control the very very small (relatively speaking) nuclear arsenal that France holds?

    What happens if Putin makes a very public threat to use nuclear weapons if the EU doesn’t do as he wishes, now that we are only protected by the French? Do we just cave in now that we are only capable of giving Russia a nuclear punch on the nose, as opposed to guaranteed destruction of Europe?

    Kicking out the US and UK sounds brave and bold, but at the moment, the West has a massive military dominance. Why would we give that up?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 100 ✭✭CardF


    National defense has always been ultimately under the control of the nations themselves, and all eu countries already do work together under the european defense agency.

    France retains control of French nukes, which are more than enough to destroy Russia as a country, being that Russia as an entity is founded on 2 cities economically supporting the rest. Moscow and St Petersburg, themselves dependent on Eu trade, without which it all breaks apart.

    If Putin threatens nukes then Id rather turn to France, part of Eu common security, than to Trump who describes the Eu as foe, says he wouldn't help, and talks of deactivating Europes American made products.

    Moscow contains around 20 million people, nuking it is more than a punch on the nose. Thats guaranteed destruction back. If you're way over in Vladivostock and Moscow crumbles you're still doomed, you'll die in the ensuing socio-economic chaos, or starve, or have to emigrate, or you'll soon be Chinese or part of a separatist war.

    Why should European defense boot out/disassociate from US and UK? Because they're not reliable. And that is whats happening. Strategic autonomy.

    Bailey had a “borderline personality” based on “narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition”.

    Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,793 ✭✭✭tritium


    there really is no such thing as a nuclear “punch on the nose”. Hiroshima taught us that 80 years ago.

    being able to make a bigger end of the world than someone else is really not important.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 577 ✭✭✭Randycove


    so you are basically saying that there should be no change then, we’ll just pull all the Eu nations out of NATO?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 577 ✭✭✭Randycove


    Not really. How many nukes could France fire at Russia and how many would Russia shoot down before they made it anywhere near Moscow?
    I would guess an isolated attack from France would see 5% of their 100 or so nukes get through and a mad man like Putin could probably handle that kind of loss, safe in the knowledge that only 5% of the 2000 he has just launched at various European cities also found their targets

    Now if there was a danger that one of those Russian nukes accidentally hit Ramstein air base and Russia ended up getting 2000 or so US nukes thrown at them, they may think again.

    Turning our back on the support of three most powerful militaries machines on the planet because they are currently managed by an orange lunatic really is cutting off our noses to spite our face



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 100 ✭✭CardF


    nato has jumped the shark. the trust is gone. never to return, no matter the administration.

    and so are the potential arms sales for the u.s. (after their fk you to europe, their "foe") and thus much of their motivation for keeping it going.

    whats their benefit now? is someone going to invade the u.s? how will europe react to some future u.s. led war or iraq type shenanigans in the mid east? european public perception of us reliability has plummeted.

    they cant rely on us for help or for sales. we cant rely on them for help or purchases. we dont even know that their populist president isnt under russian influence, maga sure seems to be.

    russias impending defeat, stalemate, or otherwise unimpressive fizzle out of ukraine (on their escooters) will remove any remaining justification for us having americans around.

    the nato girl gang know it.

    Bailey had a “borderline personality” based on “narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition”.

    Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 437 ✭✭poop emoji


    Russia shoot down?

    Well if the last three years taught us anything their air defences are non existent



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 577 ✭✭✭Randycove


    you seem to be confusing NATO and the US. They are not the same thing. You also seem to be under the impression that Trump will be president for ever. He won’t.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,641 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    I stopped reading when you wrote in your first paragraph "Even Canada, good guys or not shouldnt be relied on, how much sacrifice can really be expected from people an ocean away." It was farm boys from rural Canada and USA who came across an ocean and spilled their guts on the beaches of Normandy and further in to Europe, for us, because we were so cowardly and militarily inefficient we were neutral and even sent our condolences on the death of Hitler shortly after the concentration camps had been exposed to the world. Apart from the brave 100,000 Irish people who volunteered and fought with the British in WW2, how much sacrifice did Ireland make in the defence of Europe from Nazi forces? Even now, the lads in our navy want to be able to go home for their spuds and pints on shore most evenings instead of being on the rough seas trying to figure out if there were Russians nearby or not.

    The countries in NATO defended us well in the past, with no contribution from Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 100 ✭✭CardF


    Correction, it was farm boys *born 100 years ago* from rural Canada and USA who came across an ocean.

    The Canadians fighting for an empire which no longer exists. Two queens and one flag change ago. 45 years before Italia 90 ffs.

    Your post just is not logical.

    Im sure the Canadians are still great people, but no I dont think they can be relied on to spill their guts for the old continent, or rather for an empire just as bad as the nazis in many ways, that thankfully doesnt exist anymore.

    An empire, lol. Just the word tells you how far back that was. History, where nato is headed.

    Bailey had a “borderline personality” based on “narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition”.

    Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 100 ✭✭CardF


    Doesnt matter. Theres no getting the trust back. European public wont entertain any non-independent solution now.

    Thats the thing about trust, once its broken its just about impossible to repair.

    Bailey had a “borderline personality” based on “narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition”.

    Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny.



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