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Immigration and Ireland - MEGATHREAD *Read OP for mod warnings before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,058 ✭✭✭prunudo


    So, seems according to the Oughterard says no X account, that the department have decided not to use the local nursing home as an ipas centre. This follows similar quick u-turns around the country in recent weeks. Appears things are changing in the department.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,545 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    it would really help if you argued with what I was saying, instead of creating strawman arguments.

    The government can do some simple things.

    1. Vacancy tax in properties standing idle
    2. Huge tax on Air BnB
    3. Control development land but CPO, then selling it to developers who have a very limited time to start building and have to meet a list of amenity requirements


    No.3 is how it works in the Netherlands, the property crisis isn’t great but it’s nowhere near as bad as Ireland.

    Right now, developers control supply but buying land zoned residential and deciding when they build. That needs to stop.


    There are a massive amount of barriers to moving to Ireland from outside the EU. People claiming asylum need to be deported quicker when their claims are rejected

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,425 ✭✭✭Stephen_Maturin


    Nobody said it was? This particular crisis is 2/3 years old

    It’s not relevant. And It’s not 417m per annum, it’s over 1bn annually now, which was the most recent 2024 cost figure.

    I’m not sure if you’re being deliberately dishonest or if you genuinely don’t understand the maths but figures from six years ago before the crisis are not predictive of costs today in the midst of the crisis and going forward.
    The costs have gone up in line with the increase in arrivals. Numbers of these people in the system are many multiples of what they were back in 2019 pre crisis, so the year on year costs are going to be much higher.

    What are you are saying is like a builder providing costings for materials on an existing project and using the materials costs from 6 years ago for their plans rather than prices today. It wouldn’t make any sense and their plans and costings would be way off.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,449 ✭✭✭McBain11


    Mod Edit: Warned for uncivil posting



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,970 ✭✭✭Sunny Disposition


    On the politics of immigration, a big worry was that the issue could be exploited by very nefarious elements.

    I think it’s a bit less likely now, the centrist parties here are going with the way the wind is blowing, now they know the public support isn’t there for very high levels of immigration the political support won’t be either.

    It’s not rocket science. Trump still has close to 50% approval, largely because he has worked to implement the laws around immigration and a lot of Americans are currently excusing his stupid economic policies.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    Given that FF is on the centre-right then that's a move leftwards.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    You obviously did not read the ESRI report I posted and the points alongside it. Two weeks old.:

    "As requested, proportionately more immigrants working (and contributing) than native Irish.

    77% as opposed to 72%.

    485,100 in the labour force and contributing.

    If each contributed as little as €5,000 in taxation per annum that's over €2.4 billion per annum. Any native Irish that are unemployed or students or pensioners or on sickness benefits (including possibly some on here) would do well to give them a collective heartfelt thanks."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    So the tide has turned and yet 0 out of 174 TDs are from the far-right. How has it turned when next to nobody votes for them?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    Who's alarmed though. Very few of the 2,218,295 voters last November it seems.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    Aontú are fiscally left, socially right. Not far-right as you're well aware.

    Nor are any of the Independent Ireland lot, a motley crew but far-right they ain't and best of luck if you ask any of them to describe themselves as such. None of the above are anti-immigration. They'd be horrified to hear your claim.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,112 ✭✭✭Damien360


    There is a lot to read there. The years cover a 10 year span and clearly not just the current influx. Moreover, this statement makes me wonder about who is really about. I will have to read further to understand if the data on employment also excludes a significant influx of people. Given that 3% is for protection reasons, it clearly is about legal migrants with skills we need that acquired visas and didn't just rock up. This is what people here are arguing about but you like to conflate the two groups of visa legal migrants and the others. I'll read further the ESRI report. The data set is old.

    "Most non-EEA nationals require permission to reside in Ireland, and these permissions can give insights into reasons for migration, though of course they do not include migrants of non-EEA origin who have since become Irish citizens (see Chapter 5).31 Neither do these include those fleeing Ukraine, who were granted residence under the EU Temporary Protection Directive (see Box 1.3), or international protection applicants.32 Figure 1.5 shows all residence permissions held by a non-EEA nationals aged over 16, for the period 2012 to 2023, broken down by residence permission type. In 2023, there were 289,432 people with residence permissions, an increase of 71% on the number in 2021 (169,687). In 2023, most permissions were held for employment reasons (29%), and other reasons (27%), with education reasons (21%), family reasons (19%), and protection reasons (3%) making up the remainder of reasons for permissions held.33"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    What particular crisis and why are you using an arbitrary cut-off date? Are you disputing the government figures for the past six years?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    The data set ain't old. It just doesn't suit your viewpoint.

    The information is up to 2024 and was published two weeks ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,425 ✭✭✭Stephen_Maturin


    The refugee crisis

    I’m not using an arbitrary date, I’m referring to the time period that includes the refugee crisis

    I don’t dispute the government figures, I’m saying that the spend on refugees in 2019 is irrelevant to what the spend will be this year or next year. Do you not understand that?




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,112 ✭✭✭Damien360


    No the data is 2011 to 2023, compiled in 2024 and reported 2 weeks ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    Soo you date it to 2022 or 2023? And the starting point?

    You're at odds with the far-right who say it's being going on forever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    You asked for data. You got it. It doesn't suit you. Doesn't work that way.

    Report includes contemporaneous information including electoral, social and labour development updates. Have a read.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,425 ✭✭✭Stephen_Maturin


    To 2022, it’s plainly visible on the below graph

    IMG_7210.jpeg

    Em okay? I don’t care what some random far right nutters have to say about it and I don’t see what that has to do with what we’re discussing tbh?

    To come back to what we’ve actually been discussing - do you understand that our annual spend on this is not going to be €417m a year going forward, as the costs and numbers involved have increased significantly within the timespan?
    You’re trying to apply an average over that timespan as predictive of future spend which is totally illogical.
    If it was over a billion last year how do you expect that it will be down to €417m next year, or anything close to it?

    It’s going to cost over billion for this year, and it’ll be the same again next year. Just admit it.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 20,599 Mod ✭✭✭✭Leg End Reject


    Mod: I deleted a link to an article from 2018, and it seems I mistakenly deleted a second link to the current article which has been reposted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,112 ✭✭✭Damien360


    The data you gave is irrelevant in the context of the influx over the last 3 years. Not the same group of people. As someone said to you previously, it's like a quantity surveyor giving pricing based on costs from many years ago. I'm calling your claims anecdotal. You decided to marry data from a clearly different group of people and this is clearly defined in the document as I quoted directly from the same one that this does not include the non-invitees.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    So you date a crisis from Jan/Feb 2022. The time of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Why didn't you state that as the event that created extra cost rather than an increase in people applying for asylum?

    Do you dispute the government figure of €2.5bn over 6 years (average €417m PA as per my posted article? Are those figures incoorrect? And why would I dispute €1bn for this year when it's stated in that same article I put up? I'd guess the same for next year and then a decrease in 2027 (barring another international war) as the trend for a reduction in asylum claims continues. As before we can afford it an I think we can house families fleeing war and persecution under our Refugee Convention obligations. I ain't having children dying in their bombed tower-blocks cos we ain't housing them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    So 2022 and 2023 ain't in the last three years? And updated info from 2024 isn't relevant in a report published on 28 March 2025. Run your thinking by me please.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,249 ✭✭✭enricoh


    Sobering reading from Sweden. Not too worry - next 1000 male asylum seekers to this repurposed field in athlone please. Not to worry about paying for it all, sure the aul corporation tax is as safe as houses!

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/13/how-sweden-multi-cultural-dream-went-fatally-wrong/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,425 ✭✭✭Stephen_Maturin


    Ukrainians aren’t counted as Asylum seekers. Are you suggesting the thousands of Nigerians etc we're seeing arrive are due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

    You already asked me that and I responded. I haven’t once said they’re incorrect, I said they’re irrelevant in the context you’re trying to apply them.
    As before, despite your appeals to emotion, the vast majority of them are not families fleeing war and persecution, this has been well established.
    We’ll be spending over a billion plus on this every year for the foreseeable anyway. Most of it on non-genuine cases. Terrible waste of money that could be better spent on improving the state for everyone.

    Maybe if our system wasn’t so clogged with chancers from safe countries etc children actually in need would have a better of getting our help.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    The anti-immigrant Torygraph, yippee.

    And yet, despite problems and with reservations here are the latest records, lowest homicide in a decade.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/sweden-recorded-lowest-number-homicides-decade-2024-2025-03-31/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    I ain't the one who linked the start of the supposed 'crisis' with the start of the war in Ukraine in February 2022. You're telling me there's no correlation with the war in terms of accommodation set aside for Asylum Seekers being used by those fleeing Ukraine. You're aware of crossover for emergency housing, surely?

    If one hundred asylum seekers have to be assessed to give sanctuary to one family fleeing war then for me that's a worthy process. We're protecting kids and their families and we're doing our job. Have you read the 1951 Convention?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,425 ✭✭✭Stephen_Maturin


    I didn’t do that though? You did. Literally go and read your own posts.

    So hang on a second, the numbers of people claiming Asylum from the likes of Nigeria, Algeria, Somalia have multiplied in these years because asylum accommodation is being used for Ukrainians? How does that work? You’ll have to explain that one.

    Yep I’ve read the 1951 convention, I think this is the 5th time you’ve asked that, I don’t know what point you think you’re making there - is there even one?

    We’re spending billions on it every year now anyway. Glad we’ve established that despite your best efforts to obfuscate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,139 ✭✭✭✭Seathrun66


    So, the Russians invaded Ukraine on 24 February 2022 and the use of IPAS accommodation spiked from that exact moment.

    With an accommodation emergency for Ukrainians you're stating that there's no crossover and none were housed in unused IPAS accommodation leading to a spike? Good luck persuading people of that. We're all ears.

    Where are your sources for billions (plural) on Asylum Seeker accommodation every year? First I've heard of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,425 ✭✭✭Stephen_Maturin


    Yep. Events coincide sometimes.

    No actually I never said that or even implied that. Do you often have an issue with misrepresenting things that other people have said? You did that in your last comment also.

    The number of people seeking Asylum in Ireland has multiplied in those years. These are people seeking asylum independent of the Russian invasion, from the likes of Nigeria and elsewhere as previously outlined. And the majority of them are not genuine.

    My apologies I meant to say over a billion. A billion quid plus, every year for the foreseeable future, at enormous opportunity cost to the state.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 661 ✭✭✭engineerws


    Just finding this a bit weird. I'm not sure if anyone here would see themselves as far right nor support far right.

    I have concerns about the level of immigration during a housing crisis when the housing crisis is destroying the ability of young people to become independent. I made a list of all the candidates at the last election and was willing to vote for a party with a balanced view on immigration but all the candidates that focused on immigration seemed racist and none got a vote from me.

    I think most people in Ireland are at odds with the far right. Are you suggesting that only far right supporters have concerns with the current level of immigration?



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