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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,633 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Some suppliers have a choice. Margins are too tight for others.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,674 ✭✭✭yagan


    He could reduce the export price but I doubt his diaspora buyers are what sustains his business and in the current environment that niche demand could diminish further.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,181 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio


    The grovelling and sycophancy in the US cabinet meeting is absolutely disgusting, and does absolutely nothing for 'confidence'.

    "Mr. President, under your leadership, blah, blah, blah..."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,907 ✭✭✭✭kneemos




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    If your logistical and production costs etc don't make that possible, then that's gonna hit the consumer. On top of that, plenty of brands simply have consumers that will pay the increased price so it would make no sense for them to absorb the hit.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,043 ✭✭✭bog master


    Technically the manufacturer does not pay the tariff, it is the import company/business. The manufacturer could lower his price, which would allow the importer to sell at a cheaper price and still maintain their margin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,637 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭Big Ears


    It was Keogh's crisps.

    In his case he likely felt they would become uncompetitive in the US market if the price had to increase a considerable amount beyond it's current rate.

    He said that the increase in the value of the dollar (relative to when they started trading in the US) meant they could keep a similar profit margin to what they had previously, even if the price dropped for their American purchasers.

    The problem he has now, is the value of the dollar is dropping vs the Euro.

    He did also say that in the event the tariffs got too high, they would just work on increasing their sales in other markets and abandon the US. The US is currently responsible for 15% of their sales I believe.

    So where he stands now is hard to tell as things are fluctuating so much. But I imagine they're not prioritising any growth in the US going forward and will look to more stable markets for that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    China raises tariffs on US goods to 125%

    BREAKING: China has announced additional tariffs on US goods to 125%, according to Reuters.

    That is up from the previous level of 84%

    China’s finance ministry is reported as saying that If the US insists on continuing to infringe upon China’s interest in a substantive way, China will resolutely take countermeasures and fight to the end.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    This is going to get really awkward for Trump. At some point, the tariff raises have to stop when it's clear China will just continue to match.

    American consumers will immediately and obviously be affected by these tariffs while Chinese consumers won't. It feels like China is doing this, not to protect itself, but to goad Trump into making what it sees as mistake after mistake.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,833 ✭✭✭✭For Forks Sake


    All hail General Pingu

    1000063538.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,392 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    The importer always pays the tariffs.

    The difference is when it's a large multinational like VW, they don't sell direct to the US public. Is the EU branch selling to the US branch, so there's some scope to reduce the base price.

    But for industries who import an item that they use for manufacturing, like fabric and then that enters the supply chain at a higher price (because they have to pay tariffs) then everyone starts adding their profit margins, the end price to the consumer goes up.

    I'd love to hear how that trump supporter who was interviewed about tariffs, who runs a T-shirt printing business and imports from China is getting on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,674 ✭✭✭yagan


    Different dynamic then, the world was being flooded with dollars when rates were low. It's that cheap credit that kept inflating the housing bubbles like ours.

    Demand for t bills increased during that weak dollar era, whereas now demand for both USD and t bills is falling simultaneously, a flight from the US in general.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    Chinese ministers are admonishing the US, calling for reversals from the Trump administration and declaring the Beijing will not back down, according to comments reported by Reuters:

    China’s commerce minister has said that that the country firmly opposes and condemns the US’ wanton unilateral tariff measures, and has taken resolute countermeasures to safeguard its own rights and interest.

    They’ve also said that the US’ repeated imposition of abnormally high tariffs has become a “numbers game” and has no practical economic significance. The ministry has urged the US to take a big step in cancelling the so-called ‘reciprocal tariffs’ and completely correct its wrongful practices.

    If Trump keeps going, we're going to get into comical numbers of thousands of percent, like the 1320% vs 1300%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,633 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    China should just come out and say "If Donald Trump plans to raise tariffs when we respond, both countries should raise it to one million percent today so the economic impact of tariff raises on the world's markets isn't drawn out over months and years."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    On a different note, why does Ireland own $63k of US debt per capita? That seems wildly high.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,674 ✭✭✭yagan


    USD weakening rapidly, gone past $1.14 to the euro.

    Those tariffed imports getting more expensive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 381 ✭✭poop emoji


    The figure is a misleading and load of bullshit

    It’s not us the Irish at taxpayers that own US treasuries debt, of which about 350bn is in Ireland

    Most of not almost all held by various “funds” down Dublin, usually for clients like Pfizer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,888 ✭✭✭dasdog


    EUR/USD clipped $1.14 and is up 2% today. It was $1.09 two days ago.

    The tarrif numbers no longer matter they are effectively sanctions.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 360 ✭✭CoffeeImpala


    If that number is true it would be for Irish based companies rather than the government. A lot of the private equity and pension funds in the IFSC would have large holdings.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    China actually saying that's their last move on tariffs.

    The statement also suggested it may be Beijing’s last move in the tit-for-tat tariff raises as “at the current tariff level, there is no market acceptance for US goods exported to China”.

    “If the US continues to impose tariffs on Chinese goods exported to the US, China will ignore it,” it said, flagging that there were other countermeasures to come.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,674 ✭✭✭yagan


    Lots more Irish people looking at their portfolios thinking they need to reduce their US exposure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,392 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I'd love to see a reporter ask Trump, with the new tariffs China has placed on the US, who actually pays them? The US companies or China? Of course, he'll probably say China.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,799 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    We have a lot of fund management companies based here for the same reasons as tech companies

    But the tech and pharma multinationals would also own bonds

    US debt has long been seen as very stable, safe and relatively liquid compared to other assets. Per capita is a weird way to calculate it because there's no attribution or correlation of this amount to population size

    Irish holdings of US bonds is whatever your calculation is multiplied by population, $300bn or whatever. Yes that's a lot, but these companies have to hold their cash somewhere

    It's not individual irish people



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    I had assumed it was the government. I didn't think people themselves held it.

    Anyways, no matter. I was just curious after seeing a number that appeared to nearly half of what China owns.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 381 ✭✭poop emoji


    Speaking of investments by EU citizens and companies

    We have 1.4 trillion in savings

    US have 0.8

    If the EU gets its act together instead of our savings and investments flowing to the US they can remain in Europe funding companies and startups here



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,352 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,674 ✭✭✭yagan


    We don't want to create a casino either. Better keep the fluttering on the soccer and giggies.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 381 ✭✭poop emoji


    Prudish notions like that is precisely why hundreds of billions of European saving and investments flow to US

    Instead of being invested in European companies that are crying out for funding, and a nonexistent startup scene



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