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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,906 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    maybe recharge was the wrong term.

    if i was importing X knowing there would be a charge, i factor that into the price i buy at.

    i dunno, its seems simple to me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,399 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    But you're not the seller, you don't dictate the price. You wouldn't be looking at a foreign supplier if a domestic supplier could sell you X cheaper.

    Maybe you think you could buy Derrygold butter or a BMW or an Airbus aircraft cheaper from other companies? Only one company sells them.

    You factor all that into the price you sell at.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,011 ✭✭✭✭Giblet


    You would make sense if you found that Kerry Gold found it hard to sell their butter, so reduced the price. They don't find it hard to sell their butter, so bye bye American sold Kerry Gold.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,687 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    According to CNN, 6 trillion has been wiped out in 2 days. More than the GDP of France and the UK put together.

    (Assuming I heard it correctly)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 902 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    It's funny watching the 'Occupy Wall Street" crowd having a proverbial meltdown about Wall Street having a bit of a meltdown. Just saying! 😃



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,399 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    This is where we're at with defending Trump now:

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 261 ✭✭pad406


    Everything in the retail chain is based on margins or markups. Margins and markups are essentially the same just calculated differently. A margin is calculated based on the difference between retail and cost, markup is the difference between cost and retail. Now both of these are excluding VAT, so for simplicity let's assume the item is at 0% vat.

    Cost of item = 50

    Sale price = 100

    Margin = (100 - 50) / 100 = 50%

    Markup = (100 - 50) / 50 = 100%

    Whichever the retailer/wholesaler decides to use doesn't really matter, the idea is that you calculate your retail price based on an expectation of what profit you want to make. Typically it is the buyer (by buyer I mean the person in the chain the decides what the company will buy) that determines the retail price dependent on the expected margin/markup for the type of item they are buying. This can vary massively. Clothing could be 50/60% margin, specialized electronics could be as low as 5/6%.

    So, finally, back to tariffs, assuming the distributor/retail want to maintain the same margin.

    No Tariffs:

    Company A in Country B makes a T-shirt and sell for $10

    Importer C, buys this and sell on to retailers for their normal 20% markup, so $12

    Retailer D, buys for $12 and sells for $18, their normal 50% markup

    Lets say 20% tariffs

    Company A in Country B makes a T-shirt and sell for $10

    Importer C, buys this, PAYS the 20% tariff, their cost is now $12. So they now sell on to retailers for their normal 20% markup, so $14.40

    Retailer D, buys for $14.40 and sells for $21.60, maintaining their 50% markup

    Who's lost out here?

    Manufacturer still sell for $10, they're happy out

    Importer, was making $2 per shirt, now $2.40, having paid the tariff

    Retailer, was making $6 now making $7.20

    Consumer? T-shirt was $18 now $21.60, so +$3.60. Remember tariff was 'only' $2.

    Who lost out here????



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,121 ✭✭✭greenfield21


    500 richest people have lost some wealth. No wonder the media is in melt down.

    Billionaires on the wealth list lost a collective $536 billion from Thursday’s stock market open to Friday’s close as the S&P 500 Index dropped 10.5% over the two days and the Nasdaq Composite fell 11.4%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,022 ✭✭✭✭briany


    People call Trump dumb... OK, he may be a boorish ignoramous in many ways, but he said in 2016 that he could shoot someone and not lose voters. He recognised, then, that his cult would defend him to the hilt on pretty much anything. This is a realisation it seems to have taken his opponents years to realise because they thought that "grab em by the pussy" would finish him, that Charlottesville would finish him, that Covid would finish him, that Jan 6 would finish him, that the rape suit would finish him, that the criminal conviction would finish him.

    And none of it did.

    So, with respect to that tweet, is anyone surprised? Do ye need to see him actually shoot someone on 6th Avenue to really take the point or what?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,148 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    @y0ssar1an22

    The reason you're struggling to understand this is because your mind naturally wants to find the benefit of this for America, and intuitively, that would be for America to punish foreign sellers by charging them money to sell in the US. But that's not what is happening.

    It's an incredibly blunt instrument aimed at getting companies to manufacture more stuff in America. That is the potential benefit, but its doubtful America can or really wants to go back to make their own trainers and TVs.

    Trump is already "negotiating" with the likes of Vietnam so it doesn't make sense for any company to move production back to America. The tariffs might be gone two years later when the factory has been moved. I simply don't think a plan like Trump's can work in a country that votes every four years. It takes longer and requires a believable declaration that no negotiations will take place. And even then, it might not work.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,399 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Pretty much bang on there, it's all done on profit margins and gets compounded the more people there are in the supply chain. They all want to maintain their margin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,544 ✭✭✭swiwi_


    you seem simple to me.

    It’s been explained to you by several posters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,148 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    My American Trump-supporting friend is basically just claiming ignorance of how tariffs work and is mentally checked out from all of it. It's like a defence mechanism where if he can't see the good of what's happening, it must only be because he doesn't understand it. Like the good is absolutely 100% there. For sure. Totally.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,589 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    Trump is dumb by any measurement.

    If you blurt out this on Fox News, you are in the low 20s in IQ. Or at least semi demented.

    "Canada is a nasty country. The say they don't charge? they charge tremendous"

    If I was a politician and said something like that on a news channel, I would check myself into a Swiss euthanasia clinic and let them put me out of my misery.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,800 ✭✭✭✭fullstop


    Yeah but if you ignore all the lost jobs and only count the added ones, it looks very positive. They’re just looking at it through the Kermit.de.frog methodology



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,951 ✭✭✭Montage of Feck


    Wow, there's a massacre on the stock market.

    🙈🙉🙊



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,234 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    No he isn't, but even if he was anti free trade, its very different to put on sensible tariffs on selected goods or industries for sensible reasons.

    The EU puts trade restrictions on blood diamonds, products that cause deforestation etc. these are sensible. Trump is just sabotaging global trade to cause chaos deliberately

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,959 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,042 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    "Telling poor people they are racist because they bought what Trump was selling has only emboldened him and his cult."

    Always blaming Democrats for the **** position we are in, caused by Trump's actions.

    Listen. If poor people voted for Trump knowing he is a f**king racist, which the dogs getting eaten on the streets knew, and they are called on that, then tough sh1t.

    If they didn't do their homework and pay attention to the vast evidence that Harris' plan was better, then tough sh1t - that's democracy for you.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,334 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Even if you stepped back for a minute and thought “this tariff thing just might work for America”- it’s time not timing that will dictate that - If America moves to recession, prices rise and potentially jobs go- how long will that last? What’s the period of “pain” that Trump is asking US citizens to take? A year? Two years? 5 years?

    For this to be successful, MAGA need to win the next presidential election because if there is a golden age awaiting after this period of “pain” ends, they need to be there to see it through.

    The clock is ticking- a rapid recession followed by rapid growth is what will keep MAGA in office - I don’t see that happening - the recession will be longer than a year or two- it takes time to kick start businesses and then make an impact .

    Which leads us to the next election - every trick in the book and a few not yet in the book will be played to try and ensure MAGA wins - voter suppression - especially against ethnic voters will be rife - “rules” will be brought in around ID,unrealistic time frames for postal votes to arrive , cutoff time limits for registering, “lost” applications to register etc etc


    The “light” at the end of the tunnel should be the American voters- if the level of “pain” is big then what would normally happen is they protest through the ballot box in great numbers.

    They just seem to have a high tolerance for stupidity - I’m concerned their pain threashokd is equally high



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,030 ✭✭✭golfball37


    Another candidate even if Harris should have been prepped for at least a year prior to the election.

    Avoid discussing how hitching to Bidens wagon instead of putting everything into a candidate who could win helped caused this reelection shur.
    You do understand there’s a credibility issue when the same people telling us Joe Biden was in full faculty are more or less the same people calling Trump voters undesirables?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,734 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Remember there are people in California and New York and the big cities of the East and west coast who know full well they contribute more to American society and their vote is worth many times less than some of the voters in the flyover states. This has been the case for many decades and not a whimper about it. Such a situation would not be accepted in this country or many European countries. Expecting Americans to change their system is futile.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,042 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    You do understand there’s a credibility issue when the same people telling us Joe Biden was in full faculty are more or less the same people calling Trump voters undesirables?

    I couldn't care less what Trump voters think of me, for calling them idiots or racists.

    If they don't want to be called that, then don't be an idiot or a racist.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,710 ✭✭✭yagan


    The reputational damage I feel is probably permanent. Industries plan in decades so the fact that the US shareholders voted back in the "everyday is table flip day" candidate makes investment off-putting.

    Trumps attacks on the fed shows he'd be happy to do a Mugabe on the USD, but at least he'd probably get his face on the 3 trillion dollar bill.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,646 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Disagree. The dog on the street would be a better leader than CFTrump now, tomorrow and going forward. The man is senile and corrupted. Sanders appears to care a bit about the public, putting him light years ahead of CFTrump and his GoonOldParty.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,646 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Haley ran in the primary. Did you vote for her? She'd have made a better POTUS than CFTrump and presumably would've had the GOP behind her.

    You don't vote in US electiosn? Oh. Sorry for your loss.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,662 ✭✭✭riddles


    is it not a ponzi is scheme since after 2008 as in stock value is not linked to much of anything real?

    Post edited by riddles on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,331 ✭✭✭Field east


    is it now the case, in theory at least, that when the shares of the businesses quoted in the US stock exchange ‘ bottom out , say over the next week or two - eg having dropped circa 12%- that Trumps monied cronies could buy up cheap stock and , after a few weeks , remove all the tariffs - saying I was only coding ye all so as to watch ye squeem’



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,866 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Maybe if you were good at bargaining and didn't need the item as essential, and the wholesaler or retailer was really prepared to bargain with you about the price. If that did not apply, you would be shown the door. The retailer is not going to be charitable enough to pay the tariff for you gratis.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,710 ✭✭✭yagan


    The reputational damage is done though, any potential gains are extremely short term.

    A conspiracy theory is actually easier to believe than accepting that the US elevated a lunatic to the highest office.



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