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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - Mod Warning added to OP 10/1/26

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 483 ✭✭Will_I_Amnt


    Sounds like they're planning to hit Pharma regardless

    Although it could be bluster - I don't know why they wouldn't have just done it yesterday with everything else if they really planned on ever doing it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,346 ✭✭✭newhouse87


    They will phase tariffs of increasing amounts for pharma and give companies time to relocate some manufacturing to the us. Big pharma is powerful lobby in the us. I would imagine no near term job losses here and as pointed out the big pharma companies will need presence here for EU market.



  • Site Banned Posts: 2,753 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Taiwan has spent billions upon billions on US weapons as no one else will sell to them

    And they are still waiting for deliveries with dates being pushed back and back

    It would be the height of stupidity to buy defence related goods and services (looking at Palantir) from US these days



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,612 ✭✭✭twinytwo


    Forget that. Donnie has blown his wad and tariffed everyone. Its clear his Administration hates Europe, that's fine but that should have to live with the consequences of both these actions. Move as much trade away from the US as possible and let them to their own devices. And the EU should not buy any of their weapons unless absolutely necessary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,980 ✭✭✭yagan


    The volatile nature of US politics I imagine would make many industries spread their risk by strengthening their operations outside the US.

    The first Trump term was treated as a blip but now Trump II means volatile is the new normal and if there's a serious US recession Trump, or whoever replaces him will not take responsibility and escalate the volatility.



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  • Site Banned Posts: 2,753 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Seems Americans realise just how stupid this is, quoting

    The golden prize for America's enemies is to remove the US dollar as a global reserve currency.

    Since trade is conducted largely in USD, that means other governments must purchase USD to trade. This is the core of trade deficits. Foreign countries buy US dollars so they can trade with other people. That guarantees the deficit since they give us something in exchange for USD, which they do not then spend on goods we make.

    If you no longer want the trade deficit that means payments of fealty by those who trade in dollars, which countries aren't likely to tolerate, or abandoning the USD as a global reserve currency, which would be disastrous, truly disastrous. Our debts would suddenly become existential because inflating our currency to pay for them could result in functionally not being able to import goods required to run our economy. I don't think many truly understand just how disastrous it will be.

    This isn't America's liberation day. This is Russia's and China's liberation day. While America was once able to check their power, America is no longer in a position to do so, we will barely be in a position to satisfy our own military's logistics requirements.

    This is a decapitation strike (Timothy Snyder: Decapitation Strike -- https://archive.is/1xkxK) on America by our enemies. It is not only a de facto soft blockade of American trade, but it is an attack on the mechanics of American hegemony. Politicians already ask for money instead of votes or actions. That means if foreign governments spend money, they can elect their preferred candidates. America's own government was a result of french support. We institute regime change in other counties, and I see no reason to believe we are immune.

    If trade stops occurring in US Dollar, which is a consequence of the stated goal of our current ruling regime, that would be the coup de grace on this country's hegemony. It is the definitive end to it, and the birth of Chinese hegemony.

    Ray Dalio's Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order feels prescient



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,346 ✭✭✭newhouse87


    Ah yeah they will invest some more then they would have originally in the us to humor trump but they are not going to destroy their secure global supply chains that takes years/decades to build.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,450 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    Yeah, I'm hoping Europe holds strong and bands together with the rest of the world. I'm more talking about the likes of Vietnam where I live, which doesn't have as many options as a European country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,922 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Mod Edit: Warned for trolling

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,612 ✭✭✭twinytwo


    There is no trap - he will be hiting Pharma.

    Id be surprised if anyone in the US knew who MDH even was. But sure, get the rant in.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,750 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    What is this nonsense.

    The US has a trade surplus with the UK.

    When missiles were flying over Israel, the UK was there with the US, shooting them down.

    And they still got tariffed.

    "Sympathy" and "gra" doesn't come into it. You're just inventing reasons to have a rant at someone you dislike.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Education Moderators Posts: 9,796 Mod ✭✭✭✭mayordenis


    Leftie freeloading president, chefs kiss



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,431 ✭✭✭Genghis


    I may well be, I don't doubt that you know more than me!

    Yes the US plant is disadvantaged directly by the tariff only, and yes that would be the relevant figure for international trade. In both of those senses, I completely agree VAT is irrelevant.

    However, lets say hypothetically the only difference between the exact same BMW car is €5k paid in tariff for the import of the US one and not paid for the import of the German one, then when the retailer sells the car, the difference becomes €6,150.

    (Obviously for multiple reasons that's not a normal scenario, RRPs are set etc, I am just using it to illustrate my point).

    All I was offering with my posts is that perhaps the Trump Administration may well view VAT - rightly or wrongly - as an additional trade barrier above and beyond tariffs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,088 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Allegedly and according to Trump and the Speaker of the House Johnson, the bar in the constitution means that a president who has served two [2] consecutive terms in office cannot serve a third term, not that a president cannot serve a third term after serving two separate terms already. Its a con-job try-on to give the US public the idea that the words in the constitution do not mean what they read as but what Trump says they read as, as coincidentally he has not served two [2] consecutive terms.

    The laughable and contrary thing is that he still occasionally claims that he was elected to the 46th presidency but it was robbed from him by lying Joe. That would, presumably, have made him the first president since Franklin D Roosevelt to have been elected to three consecutive terms as he is the 47th.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,088 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    He has threatened to put tariffs on Russia's oil exports, on top of the sanctions already there, if Putin does not stop messing around with his peace plans for Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,829 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    • China/Japan/South Korea enter advanced economic partnerships in order to respond to Trump belligerence.
    • EU countries make sufficient noise about moving away from US defence dependence.
    • China Canada and Europe attracting high IQ international individuals because of US aggression towards immigrants.
    • Stock Markets reacting poorly to Trump Administration actions
    • US Consumers facing massive price increases as a consequence of dramatic tariff introductions

    There's never before been a US President which was responsible for so many detrimental acts which were entirely unforced.

    Trump could be putting America in to a hole it might not come out of for decades.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,612 ✭✭✭twinytwo


    Not sure what any of this has to do with your comments on MDH?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,980 ✭✭✭yagan


    Speaking of USD it's down to 90 cent to the Euro and falling.

    We're entering the USD panic zone.

    I think what's spooked the markets most is how Trump arrived at his tariff rates which illustrated perfectly the blunt ignorance of the manchild in charge. International trade can not work within parametres set by addled angry convicted sex offenders.

    Trump and power base aren't even interested in the lessons of history, they're determined to become a history lesson.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 37,047 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    In a way, it's America's own fault for electing a gambler who bankrupted his own casinos, and it's a lesson they need to learn. On the other hand though, it won't be the likes of Trump who suffer the consequences, and the economic hammer will be smashed on people who did and didn't vote for Trump alike, and the harm it will do to those people will be catastrophic. And worst of all, the lesson still won't have been learned and after a term or two of a Dem president trying to get America back on track, some other populist using Trump's playbook will swoop in, blame the Dem president for the state of the country, and get elected.

    The greatest damage Trump has done or will do isn't economics, it is ultimately the destruction of political discourse, norms, and checks & balances, and that goes all the way back to his first term.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,504 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    What a bad minded post. Seriously fella, go out and get some sun and lighten up.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,023 ✭✭✭dogbert27


    Jesus, these American pharma companies are not just based in Ireland.

    They have manufacturing facilities in France, Belgium, Netherlands, Denmark, Sweden, Austria, Italy and more. That's just in Europe.

    They have manufacturing facilities all over Asia.

    These companies are not going to shut down their global operations and bring everything back to the US to export out with ridiculous tariffs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,352 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Noticeable that his biggest supporters seem to mysteriously disappear during these **** storms.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,365 ✭✭✭✭fullstop


    Local representatives refused to comment, then lay on their bellies and slid off the ice into the sea.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,784 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Its so dumb, they've added the highest tariffs to the countries that they import the most from. He chose the best way to maximize the increase in inflation for US consumers

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,825 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    It's a completely unrealistic scenario. No company is going to sell a product like that with zero profit margin.

    You're assuming that the landed price for the import is more expensive than the locally produced one. Companies don't tend to import a car that would cost more than a locally produced one.

    Assuming BMW likes to make a profit and sells both SUV's for €80k on the forecourt:

    VAT on the US model would be €18,400 and VAT on the EU model would be….. €18,400, the very same amount and %

    The end consumer ultimately pays the VAT.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,430 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Prove China charges 67% tariffs without using trumps bogus surplus/deficit maths.

    Also the 34% he is putting on China is on top of the prior 20% he already added so China is now being hit with 54% tariffs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,534 ✭✭✭Suckler


    The US and their entire administration can get fucked for the next 4 years, should be as isolated as possible from the rest of the world.

    Aside from the 3rd term discussion; I think we (the royal we) need to take a solid lessen from this situation. The USA has shown itself to be a completely unreliable and untrustworthy ally & trading partner. It could well end up being a trade war but irrespective of how this pans out; I don't think the next US administration should be allowed to simply put it down to Trump and his cohort.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,352 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    No idea why you've chosen to include that photo of Michael D, Trump's tariffs will make everyday goods including things like clothing more expensive. Let's see if the US public are feeling wealthier if they let this run for a year. My guess is the poor and working class will have less spending power while the billionaires etc will just get to engage in some disaster capitalism.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,534 ✭✭✭Suckler


    the billionaires etc will just get to engage in some disaster capitalism.

    Definitely where I would put my money on what the current US administration is doing.



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