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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,917 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Trump invokes 18th century law to speed deportations, judge stalls it hours later

    It's like the UK all over again with the trying to undermine Checks and Balances by digging through old laws. ( cf. Henry VIII clauses, Statute of Proclamations 1539 )

    https://www.usa.gov/branches-of-government The Constitution of the United States divides the federal government into three branches: legislative, executive, and judicial. This ensures that no individual or group will have too much power.

    Mr Bond, they have a saying in Chicago: 'Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. The third time it's enemy action.' Frequent attempts to break the checks and balances is a warning sign. They only need to get one big change once to undermine the system.

    The Onion had a quote about how the only reason for the second amendment / NRA to exist is to prevent a takeover of the country. And how they failed to do so,

    How many times does Trump need to be told something or can he keep getting away with being ignorant? Merkel had to tell Trump 11 times that Germany couldn't make separate deals with the US. Also that if the US wanted to sell more cars in Europe they should make better ones. And yes I mean ignorant in the sense of someone who refuses to understand.

    Trump is like Schrödinger's douchebag - makes offensive statements, and then decides whether he was joking based on the reaction. To the point that not even he knows when he is serious about what he says. ( unless it's him being petty over a personal slight )

    https://wtop.com/business-finance/2025/03/delete-is-one-of-their-favorite-terms-inside-doges-irs-takeover-ahead-of-tax-season/

    It began in mid-February when senior IRS staff were told DOGE would be visiting their offices. They were given just a 15-minute heads up that Gavin Kliger, a 25-year-old software engineer, was on his way.

    Within minutes of arriving, Kliger demanded access to the IRS’s “tax administration systems,” according to an IRS employee familiar with the situation.

    Reducing headcount in the IRS probably means less tax audits for the 1% and less tax rebate processing for Joe Public. They are also going after taxpayers who may not have settled status.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,034 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    The US would rape Greenland for it's natural resources in record time and treat it like it does Puerto Rico and Guam in the mean time. As in ignore it and do nothing more than throw paper towels at it in the event of an emergency.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,402 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Doesn't make a difference, do you really think NATO countries would trigger article 5 against the US? And if they did, you would have to look at the structure of NATO to see who actually directs the troops and responses. The supreme allied commander is a US Army General, so he'd have to direct a NATO response against…… the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,034 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    The great peacemaker is currently breaking another campaign promise with several waves of air attacks at Houthis in Yemen.

    What promises does he have left to break?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,040 ✭✭✭✭briany


    NATO is a paper agreement and the US's adherence to it under Trump would be close to nil. He already wanted to leave it in his last term.

    A for the rest of the countries. They'd probably give some speeches and little else.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,942 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Of course it makes a difference, you think NATO countries would just sit idle and let it happen?

    The US would be acting against another NATO ally, so any form of decorum or process would be null and void.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,780 ✭✭✭threeball




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,402 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    But that's completely separate to NATO. It would NOT be a NATO response. NATO membership or triggering article 5 wouldn't even come into it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,942 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    It would be a total crisis if it happened. Denmark could invoke article 5, but that’s not guarantee of other countries joining. It would probably go to diplomatic channels first.

    EU states could emphasis the sovereignty of Denmark/Greenland and basically cut the US off through sanctions.

    Either way, it’s u likely that Greenland will ever be under control of the states or Trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 933 ✭✭✭Dr Robert




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,040 ✭✭✭✭briany


    They'd make speeches and things, but they'd be idle militarily. Even if article 5 was invoked, that clause does not implore hard action. It calls upon countries to take measures they deem necessary, and that could be anything.

    European leaders have admitted in the last month they'd be unable to support Ukraine militarily without US support. It doesn't really bode well for the idea that they could even put together a military taskforce which would be able to repel a serious US invasion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,942 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Your last paragraph isn’t exactly true. It’s not that the EU is unable to support Ukraine, it just wants America to continue to support them.

    Stocks on military companies are up in Europe with the expected investment and need for arms, along with the rearm project recently announced.

    Again, all of this talk of military action to take Greenland and/or Canada is a pipe dream for Trump, he thinks he can take them over like a company.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,118 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    The USA has the most powerful military in the world by far. No one is going to be challenging the USA if it takes Greenland, that you can be assured.

    Same with Canada btw. Let's not be under any illusions here as to who rules the roost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,614 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    I wouldn't be so sure about that. If the US start going that far in terms of obliterating the world order, we're in completely unknown territories where global and domestic responses come into play. Honestly any of the above scenarios sounds like it's likely to trigger a civil war and even facing a scenario where the military won't necessarily listen to him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 182 ✭✭tarvis


    maybe NATO needs a restructure if its “leadership” has lost the plot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,437 ✭✭✭halkar


    On the paper yes. Reality USA never won any wars since WW1. WW2 Europe divided. They had to use nukes against Japan cowardly when they seen there was no sight of winning. They divided Korea. They ran away from Vietnam with their tails between their legs. They left Iraq in mess. Almost bankrupted themselves in Afghanistan. No one know what's going on in Libya. They left Syria to terrorists. Many more unfinished businesses in Africa and Central and South America.

    They can bomb the $hit out of countries but battles are won or lost on the ground.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,052 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Technically the US could take over Greenland and Canada and Mexico and Panama etc.

    They Certainly have the hardware to do it. And the rest of the West is not going to go to war with the US over any of it.

    European countries didn't go to war with Russia after their invasion of Ukraine so they are not going to start a war with the US.

    But the power of the US doesn't just stem from it's military. The military is the big stick to back up its soft power. And any invasion or takeover of other countries will immediately destroy that soft power and have countries banding together to shift away from the US.

    Luckily European leaders saw the necessity to group together, although not because they saw the US as a direct threat to the West, many years ago so we are now in a much stronger position to take on such a move.

    Inevitably such a move by the US would mean countries looking away for US and towards China. So while Trump might see it as a success to gain unlimited access to Greenland, because they already have military access so security isn't the issue, he would be losing access to 450m EU citizens and all the business and money.

    It's a bit like Putin and Ukraine. Will Putin eventually win that war? Possibly but the damage done to Russias long term future is incalculable.

    Just because you can do something doesn't mean it's a good idea



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,748 ✭✭✭yagan


    A superpowers perspective is if your biggest tool is a hammer every problem looks like a nail.

    The US can win battles but not wars because it can't do subtlety and consensus.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,040 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Trump's approach to international relations isn't really one where soft power is the dominating approach. There was that case where Columbia, I think it is, who said they wouldn't take the deportees the US tried to ship down to them, and Trump threatened tariffs if they persisted, and they blinked. A preview of how Trump would handle international disagreements.

    Trump's view is more feudal. The US is the lord of the manor and the other countries in its orbit are the serfs. They work to serve the US's interests and for this receive a certain amount of protection, but any attempt to rise against the US will be met with vigorous pushback.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,928 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    I’ve been following the transition of Friends of Russia from US being the great Satan whom they are at war to being the best friends with fascination

    The whiplash must be epic



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,421 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Colombia asked to use their own plane as transport which was refused. trump then threatened tariffs and talked them down to using their own plane and the deportation went ahead...

    Now, you have parroted this story along misinformation lines, who tricked you or mislead you? Or was it on purpose (knowing your posts, I don't believe it was on purpose, but I'd look at your sources more carefully in the future).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,748 ✭✭✭yagan


    Trump may actually become the most uniting force in el mundo de espanol + Brazil.

    I know Milei projects a Trumpish populism, but he's doing the opposite by opening up his economy while Trump is erecting trade frictions. His talk of Dollarization seems to have faded too.

    I think Argentina, Chile and Brazil have trade surpluses with China so they're not beholden to the USA like in the past where under the Monroe doctrine Washington considered the Americas their backyard.

    Edit to add, every provocation by Trump creates more momentum towards China and the EU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,342 ✭✭✭Field east


    Maybe ‘no problem’ if confined to taking over Greenland only. BUT please consider the following two points :-

    (1) having finished with Greenland , then who is next . There is NO GUARANTEE that it would end there

    (2) the situation is bad enough currently re the fractious relationship between the traditional Allies. Say 3 out of 10. If the US ‘took over Greenland only- especially by ‘ strong arm’ methods I would revise down the above relationship to -5 (MINUS FIVE) out of 10. And where would that leave us all?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 526 ✭✭✭freddie1970


    Rogan is a 100 % maga . He may leaned left in the past and voted democrat but he is complete maga now .. To the extent that he pushes lies and misinformation consistently.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,728 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Joe Rogan is 100% Joe Rogan and anything or anyone that he can make bank on he'll play up to. If MAGA didn't exist, he'd be pumping something else. He wouldn't care if he's getting subs off of MAGA or Mickey Mouse.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,917 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    “Not only will America go to your country and kill all your people, but what’s worse I think, is that they’ll come back 20 years later and make a movie about how killing your people made their soldiers feel sad. - Frankie Boyle

    The US can win the war (with notable exceptions) but usually doesn't win the peace.

    Taiwan is vitally important for the US economy but instead of supporting in you have the situation where TSMC and other silicon foundries are hovering up grant aid to setup factories in the US, none of which will be delivered this term. But they can be pointed at as doing stuff. "Something must be done, this is something, therefore we must do it.” -Yes Minister.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,732 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    Whatever about Canada and Greenland (he has not mentioned that he wants Mexico, funny that) the most obvious choice for 51st State is right here. Ireland. Why not? There are numerous reasons why it might be a good idea:

    • Ireland has already been described as the 51st State (https://blog.mitchellscholars.org/2022/11/ireland-officially-declared-as-the-51st-us-state-policy-action-may-follow/) and no-one objected, so there is obviously interest in the idea. OK it was a Dublin taxi driver, but they generally have a finger on the pulse.
    • Its the gateway to Europe, which would be great for America both economically and defence-wise. The US already has a foothold in Shannon.
    • It already has a considerable amount of American companies, including most of the pharma, which would align with the idea of 'bringing companies home' to the US.
    • America has over 30 million people of Irish descent, so really they are entitled to the homeland.
    • Its not in NATO, which makes things easier.
    • Trump has a golf course here.
    • The UK would be glad to be rid of NI, and it would result in a united state of Ireland. Win - win.
    • Trump could easily put a glass dome over the country - or bits of it - to keep out the rain, and turn it into a theme park. Most american visitors think that is what it is anyway.
    • Ireland would have bigger and better Patty's day parades.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,649 ✭✭✭Rawr


    You know Donnie would probably try it if the stupid idea got into his head.

    Traditionally, the Irish lobby in the US would tear the GOP a new one for even pondering it…but lately I don´t think those lobbies really matter all that much with the Orange Lummox doing whatever he damn well pleases.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,096 ✭✭✭Suckler


    You've tried repeatedly to keep trotting out this nonsense.

    Trump and the Republicans have been the ones who have been the ones actioning all these idiotic plans and behaving completely outlandishly; yet it's the Democrats "fault".

    If I rob a shop tomorrow, it's not my fault, "the blame lies solely" with….??



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,928 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    I wouldn't mind if the US made a move for Green Ireland. I can see the geostrategic benefit for not just the US but the west in general.

    Obviously it would be better if it was handed over maybe in return for some money to EU and for the population themselves but if they don't want to engage and the US just went ahead and annexed it no one is going to do anything about it.



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