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Boards weather forecast contest for March 2025

2»

Comments

  • #32
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,897 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    High of 16.1c confirmed at Finner for yesterday (08th).



  • #33
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,916 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    16.7c at Mace Head at 1pm.

    edit
    17.3c at 2pm

    Post edited by WolfeEire on

    My X account



  • #34
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,766 ✭✭✭pauldry


    17.6c Mace HD on Ogimet



  • #35
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    And confirmed as 17.6 on met.ie also … IMT was 8.7 C after nine days and (edit) 8.8 after Monday 10th, will of course drop quite fast next several days, will be interesting to see if we ever get back above 8 C later in the month.

    Post edited by M.T. Cranium on


  • #36
    Tae laidir
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 794 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Dublin Airport equaled min of -1.3 yesterday.



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  • #37
    Tae laidir
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 794 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Dunsany -2.5 yesterday.



  • #38
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,766 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Oh dear already -1c in Mt Dillon. -5c or below incoming. That's me screwed for MIN...again. Met Eireann are useless at guessing it too.



  • #39
    appledrop
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 7,840 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Well it definitely got down to -4 in some places last night.

    We will have to wait for confirmed figures.



  • #40
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,766 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Ya Markree and Mt Dillon. Think -5.1c was coldest in NI so prob a tad above that.



  • #41
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After two weeks …

    IMT _ 7.7 C, second week average 7.3 (0.5 above normal)

    MAX _ 17.6

    MIN _ was -2.5, now around -4 (15th)

    PRC _ 24% (second week dry, only 12%)

    SUN _ 118% (second week 165%)

    Max 17th Dub A _ entries posted in order a few days back.



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  • #42
    appledrop
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 7,840 ✭✭✭appledrop


    -4.6 confirmed for Mt Dillion.



  • #43
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    I have seen 8.0 C on meteociel as max for Dub(A) but for any value below 10.4 these would be our scores (except for any potential 1 or 2 point bonus for forecasts within 0.1 C) …

    Adam240610 ______ 15.0 __ 1

    MrSkinner__________14.7 __ 1

    Joe Public _________ 14.4 __ 1

    Sunflower3_________14.2 __ 2

    john mac __________14.1 __ 2

    Bsal ______________14.0 __ 2

    Gonzo ____________ 13.7 __ 3

    Tae laidir __________ 13.5 __ 3

    Artane2002 ________ 13.3 __ 4

    Appledrop _________ 12.9 __ 4

    Dasa29 ___________ 12.5 __ 5

    M.T. Cranium _______12.4 __ 5

    sryanbruen ________ 12.1 __ 6

    Cornerstonelad _____ 12.1 __ 6

    Mr stonewall _______ 12.1 __ 6

    __ Con Sensus _____ 12.1 __ 6

    WolfeEire __________12.0 __ 7

    200motels _________11.9 __ 7

    __ NormaL ________ 11.8 __ 7

    Pauldry ___________ 11.7 __ 8

    waterways _________11.6 __ 8

    Kindred Spirit ______ 11.2 __ 9

    Dacogawa _________ 11.0 __ 9

    Jpmarn ____________ 9.8 __ 10

    DOCARCH __________ 9.4 __ 10

    … will edit in any needed adjustments around 0800h …



  • #44
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,897 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Confirmed high of 8.0c at Dublin AP yesterday.



  • #45
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,766 ✭✭✭pauldry


    19c in Kerry currently.



  • #46
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,916 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    18.5c was the max I think, but Met may got it to 19 in between the half hour periods.

    graphe2.png

    My X account



  • #47
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,766 ✭✭✭pauldry


    18.8c in Shannon is Ogimet.



  • #48
    appledrop
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 7,840 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Yep 18.8 confirmed by Met Eireann.



  • #49
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After three weeks …

    IMT _ 7.7 C, third week average 7.7 (0.6 above normal)

    MAX _ 18.8

    MIN _ -4.6

    PRC _ 29% (third week average, only 38%) (22nd est added 10% so now at 39%)

    SUN _ 130% (second week 155%)

    Max 17th Dub A _ 8.0 forecasts scored in order a few days back.



  • #50
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After four weeks …

    IMT _ 7.9 C, fourth week average 8.6 (1.1 above normal) _ likely final value 7.9 or 8.0

    MAX _ 18.8 _ probably set

    MIN _ -4.6 _ very likely set

    PRC _ 48% (fourth week average 85%) (29th stays on 48%, probably back to 45% for final value)

    SUN _ 126% (fourth week 112%) (est final 125%)

    Max 17th Dub A _ 8.0 forecasts scored in order back on 17th.

    _______

    For PRC lowest forecasts were 75, 76 and 77 per cent. Min progression will definitely be applied to PRC scoring.

    SUN highest forecasts 120%, will not need scoring boost.

    MIN scoring will be boosted by 1 point for lower scores and some zero scores, Artane2002 and sryanbruen have a hammer, and progression of raw scores was not very far into boost territory anyway.

    Post edited by M.T. Cranium on


  • #51
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,766 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Max 19c plus possible 31st so far.



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  • #52
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,916 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    I think 18c at Shannon may have been max so far. Temps look to be dropping again.

    My X account



  • #53
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,897 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Mount Dillon definitely was reporting 19c earlier. Could be 18.5c to 19.5c (give or take a smidge!). Probably have to wait until tommorrow and see.



  • #54
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,766 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Nearly sure Mt Dillon got 19c . Well see tomorrow.

    Looks like it was 18.6c or thereabouts . Will be close.

    Post edited by pauldry on


  • #55
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,897 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Mount Dillon 19.0c yesterday.



  • #56
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    The late warmth also pushed IMT to 8.2 C.

    Will confirm all values and score contest tomorrow.



  • #57
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Scoring for March 2025

    FORECASTER ________ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN__Bonus___TOTAL

    ___Confirmed values __ 8.2_19.0_-4.6_043_126__8.0

    Dacogawa ___________ 23 _ 17 _ 09 _ 13 _ 08 __ 09 ____ 79

    DOCARCH ___________ 15 _ 18 _ 16 _ 10 _ 09 __ 10 ____ 78

    JPmarn _____________ 17 _ 15 _ 11 _ 14 _ 10 __ 10 ____ 77

    sryanbruen __________ 19 _ 12 _ 19 _ 09 _ 07 __ 06 ____ 72

    M.T. Cranium _________25 _ 09 _ 09 _ 14 _ 08 __ 05 ____ 70

    WolfeEire ____________22 _ 12 _ 13 _ 06 _ 09 __ 07 ____ 69

    Gonzo ______________ 23 _ 18 _ 07 _ 10 _ 07 __ 03 ____ 68

    Con Sensus __________ 22 _ 12 _ 09 _ 10 _ 08 __ 06 ____ 67_

    Artane2002 __________ 20 _ 13 _ 18 _ 04 _ 07 __ 04 ____ 66

    Adam240610 _________23 _ 09 _ 09 _ 14 _ 09 __ 01 ____ 65

    Cornerstonelad _______ 18 _ 02 _ 16 _ 12 _ 10 __ 06 ____ 64

    Mr stonewall _________ 17 _ 13 _ 10 _ 10 _ 08 __ 06 ____ 64

    __ NormaL __________ 11 _ 15 _ 19 _ 06 _ 06 __ 07 ____ 64

    Appledrop____________17 _ 15 _ 09 _ 10 _ 08 __ 04 ____ 63

    200motels ___________ 24 _ 11 _ 03 _ 08 _ 09 __ 07 ____ 62

    Pauldry ______________25 _ 09 _ 02 _ 07 _ 10 __ 08 ____ 61

    waterways ___________ 25 _ 13 _ 00 _ 08 _ 05 __ 08 ____ 59

    MrSkinner ___________ 20 _ 08 _ 13 _ 11 _ 05 __ 01 ____ 58

    john mac ____________ 24 _ 10 _ 09 _ 04 _ 07 __ 02 ____ 56

    Kindred Spirit _________23 _ 15 _ 04 _ 00 _ 05 __ 09 ____ 56

    Bsal ________________ 16 _ 09 _ 04 _ 11 _ 06 __ 02 ____ 48

    Sunflower3 ___________15 _ 15 _ 00 _ 09 _ 04 __ 02 ____ 45

    Tae laidir _____________23 _ 10 _ 00 _ 01 _ 07 __ 03 ____ 44

    Dasa29 ______________23 _ 00 _ 04 _ 03 _ 08 __ 05 ____ 43

    Joe Public ____________ 07 _ 00 _ 11 _ 13 _ 10 __ 01 ____ 42

    _ PRC scores are from 73% as a form of minimum progression.

    _ SUN scores are from 120% and will remain at that level if actual value is higher

    ==================

    (forecasts)

    Gonzo ____________ 8.4 _ 18.8 _ -3.3 _ 087 _ 105 ___ 13.7

    M.T. Cranium ______8.2 _ 20.1 _ -3.5 _ 077 _ 110 ___ 12.4

    waterways _________8.2 _ 19.7 _ -2.3 _ 093 _ 097 ___ 11.6

    Pauldry __________ 8.2 _ 17.9 _ -2.8 _ 097 _ 118 ___ 11.7

    john mac __________8.1 _ 20.0 _ -3.5 _ 107 _ 105 ___ 14.1

    200motels _________8.1 _ 19.9 _ -2.9 _ 095 _ 116 ___ 11.9

    Adam240610 _______ 8.0 _ 19.9 _ -3.5 _ 076 _ 115 ___ 15.0

    Dacogawa _________ 8.0 _ 18.7 _ -3.5 _ 080 _ 110 ___ 11.0

    Kindred Spirit ___ 8.0 _ 18.5 _ -3.0 _ 118 _ 097 ___ 11.2

    Tae laidir _______ 8.0 _ 18.0 _ -1.5 _ 115 _ 103 ___ 13.5

    Dasa29 ___________ 8.0 _ 17.0 _ -3.0 _ 110 _ 110 ___ 12.5

    WolfeEire _________7.9 _ 18.2 _ -3.9 _ 100 _ 115 ___ 12.0

    __ Con Sensus ____ 7.9 _ 18.2 _ -3.5 _ 088 _ 110 ___ 12.1

    Artane2002 _______ 7.7 _ 18.3 _ -4.8 _ 105 _ 105 ___ 13.3

    MrSkinner__________7.7 _ 17.8 _ -3.9 _ 085 _ 095 ___ 14.7

    sryanbruen _______ 7.6 _ 18.2 _ -4.7 _ 090 _ 105 ___ 12.1

    Cornerstonelad ____ 7.5 _ 17.2 _ -5.0 _ 082 _ 120 ___ 12.1

    Appledrop _________ 7.4 _ 18.5 _ -3.5 _ 088 _ 108 ___ 12.9

    Jpmarn ____________ 7.4 _ 18.5 _ -5.5 _ 075 _ 120 ____ 9.8

    Mr stonewall ______ 7.4 _ 18.3 _ -3.6 _ 087 _ 110 ___ 12.1

    Bsal ______________ 7.3 _ 17.9 _ -3.0 _ 085 _ 102 ___ 14.0

    DOCARCH ___________ 7.2 _ 18.8 _ -4.2 _ 087 _ 115 ____ 9.4

    Sunflower3_________ 7.2 _ 18.5 _ -2.5 _ 090 _ 090 ___ 14.2

    __ NormaL _________ 6.8 _ 18.5 _ -4.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 11.8

    Joe Public ________ 6.4 _ 21.4 _ -5.5 _ 080 _ 120 ___ 14.4


    Post edited by M.T. Cranium on


  • #58
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Annual scoring update _ Jan to Mar 2025

    ………………………………………………….. Category Scoring …………………………………………………………… Monthly totals

    Rank (prev) _ FORECASTER ___ IMT _MAX _MIN _PRC _SUN_BONUS__ TOTAL _(adj) _ Jan _ Feb _ Mar

    _01 _ 01 ___ Dacogawa ________ 69 _ 37 _ 42 _ 34 _ 21 _ 24 _______ 227 ________ 88 _ 60 _ 79

    _02 _ 03t___ DOCARCH ________ 55 _ 39 _ 47 _ 28 _ 23 _ 24 _______ 216 ________ 77 _ 61 _ 78

    02.8_02.8 __ Con Sensus _______ 65 _ 36 _ 38 _ 27 _ 21 _ 20 _______ 207 ________ 87 _ 53 _ 67

    _03 _ 02 ___ MrSkinner ________ 64 _ 44 _ 30 _ 31 _ 20 _ 16 _______ 205 ________ 81 _ 66 _ 58

    _04 _ 11 ___ JPmarn __________ 51 _ 45 _ 13 _ 44 _ 25 _ 19 _______ 197 ________ 68 _ 52 _ 77

    _05 _ 05 ___ Appledrop ________ 59 _ 42 _ 38 _ 22 _ 17 _ 17 _______ 195 ________ 71 _ 61 _ 63

    _06t_ 03t___ Kindred Spirit _____ 63 _ 35 _ 32 _ 24 _ 16 _ 24 _______ 194 ________ 83 _ 55 _ 56

    _06t _07 ___ Wolfe Eire ________ 59 _ 44 _ 41 _ 16 _ 22 _ 12 _______ 194 ________ 72 _ 53 _ 69

    _08 _ 06 ___ Mr Stonewall ______ 59 _ 45 _ 30 _ 19 _ 20 _ 18 _______ 191 ________ 80 _ 47 _ 64

    _09 _t13 ___ Sryanbruen _______ 55 _ 37 _ 43 _ 17 _ 18 _ 20 _______ 190 ________ 80 _ 38 _ 72

    _10 _ 15 ___ Gonzo ___________ 60 _ 42 _ 22 _ 18 _ 25 _ 17 _______ 184 ________ 78 _ 38 _ 68

    10.0_11.0 __ NormaL __________ 44 _ 36 _ 46 _ 29 _ 16 _ 13 _______ 184 ________ 72 _ 48 _ 64

    _11 _ 10 ___ Pauldry __________ 70 _ 20 _ 20 _ 22 _ 24 _ 28 _______184-2=182 ___ 58 _ 63 _ 61

    _12 _ 16 ___ Artane2002 _______ 50 _ 49 _ 35 _ 24 _ 13 _ 11 ______ 182-1=181 ___ 65 _ 50 _ 66

    _13 _ 12 ___ john mac _________59 _ 13 _ 44 _ 26 _ 20 _ 13 _______ 175 ________ 57 _ 62 _ 56

    _14t_ 08t___ Bsal _____________ 57 _ 18 _ 37 _ 35 _ 17 _ 07 _______ 171 ________ 65 _ 58 _ 48

    _14t _17 ___ waterways ________ 67 _ 32 _ 08 _ 26 _ 18 _ 20 _______ 171 ________ 62 _ 50 _ 59

    _16 _ 08t___ Dasa29 ___________62 _ 19 _ 23 _ 23 _ 20 _ 19 _______ 166 ________ 69 _ 54 _ 43

    _17 _ 22 ___ M.T. Cranium ______ 60 _ 27 _ 17 _ 20 _ 27 _ 13 _______ 164 ________ 48 _ 46 _ 70

    _18 _t13 ___ Sunflower3 ________50 _ 35 _ 28 _ 33 _ 11 _ 06 _______ 163 ________ 73 _ 45 _ 45

    _19 _ 19 ___ Cornerstonelad _____47 _ 29 _ 18 _ 21 _ 29 _ 18 _______ 162 ________ 48 _ 50 _ 64

    _20 _ 21 ___ Adam240610 ______ 57 _ 18 _ 26 _ 26 _ 26 _ 15 ____ 168-8=160 _____ 34 _ 61 _ 65

    _21 _ 18 ___ Tae laidir __________60 _ 37 _ 23 _ 15 _ 18 _ 09 _______ 155 ________ 62 _ 49 _ 44

    _22 _ 23 ___ Joe Public _________ 23 _ 22 _ 11 _ 27 _ 28 _ 13 ____ 124-2=122 _____ 31 _ 49 _ 42

    _23 _ 25 ___ 200motels (2/3) ___ 37 _ 25 _ 14 _ 15 _ 18 _ 16 _______ 115 ________ 53 _ — — _ 62

    _24 _ 19 ___ Esposito (2/3) _____ 39 _ 14 _ 16 _ 11 _ 20 _ 10 _______ 110 ________ 46 _ 64 _

    _25 _ 24 ___ Icicle2025 (1/3) ____ 20 _ 09 _ 01 _ 12 _ 07 _ 08 ________ 57

    _26 _ 26 ___ JCXBXC (1/3) ______ 11 _ 14 _ 00 _ 05 _ 07 _ 03 ___ 40-8=32

    Post edited by M.T. Cranium on


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