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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,947 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    No not really. You kept hammering on about a punitive tax with no real way to introduce it along with not knowing anything about current tax rules and laws. You did omit details of the survey that specifically shows the public view does not line up with your view. You did cherry pick one part and even suggested it was something that has changed to favour your view.

    Disingenuous at best but I would see your comment as trying to lie about the results that don't follow your wishes



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,657 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I think the point I was trying to make about the survey went over your head.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,947 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    No that didn't happen you cherry picked one details and ignored the rest of the results which show people understand landlords and developers are needed not punitive taxes. You were joined with others that were all about punitive taxes and didn't care one bit about who supplies housing



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,657 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Which results that don't follow my wishes did I ignore?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,289 ✭✭✭Blut2


    The figures for housing completions in 2024 were under what was expected / claimed (and hugely under whats required) in the low 30,000s. And the figures for 2025 are looking similar.

    I would suspect the government is now panicking slightly about those numbers, and looking for any way to boost the numbers of houses becoming available to the market.

    Encouraging a chunk of Ireland's 160,000 vacant homes back into the market, via a vacant property tax that doesn't negatively impact 95%+ of voters, is an easy - and it turns out very popular - way of doing that.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,947 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    Everything other than 88% answer. You have and remain full of ignorance. You didn't even know there was already a vacant property tax. You didn't know there is already a definition of vacant and don't know what PPR actually is



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Just as a point. I’d be pro removal of RPZs, pro developer subsidies, pro tenant over holding enforcement etc. but also pro vacancy taxes

    Wanting vacancy taxes is not anti landlord. It’s anti…not being a landlord…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    One massive issue i see... 55sq m for a one bed apartmemt ? Its insane. Apartments either arent or are barely profitable for builders. They are unjustifiably expensive to buy, due to construction costs. This benefits nobody, they need to allow smaller and cheaper units... 55 sq meters is obscene...

    Post edited by Idbatterim on


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,657 ✭✭✭hometruths


    If you genuinely believe that, I don't really think you've been following my contributions on this particular subject for very long.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,657 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I suspect you're right, that's as plausible an explanation as I can think of too.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,329 ✭✭✭The Student


    Investors want to make money (be they small or large). The property investment market has been made toxic hence rational business people (again be the small or large) are steering clear of it.

    Hoarding land/vacant property does not make business sense hoping just for capital appreciation. if we go into a recession (which appears likely because of Trump policies) then investors may end up losing on capital appreciation.

    Are all the owners of the vacant properties and development land wrong? Or is there another reason they are not utilising their assets? Business logic would suggest develop vacant properties get the rent and capital appreciation but owners/investors are not doing so. Maybe if they were asked why they are not then that would go someway to addressing the issue?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,657 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Totally agree. Part of the problem with this debate on here is that there are many who cannot get their head around the fact it is possible to be both pro landlord and anti vacancy. They just genuinely cannot figure it out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,947 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    You are missing the fact the government own the majority of the vacant property and planning delays and causes many vacant properties. The government would effectively cause many councils to owe tax and make them less likely to afford to fix them up if the tax was so punitive. It just wouldn't work



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Hoarding land is usually done in hopes of rezoning.

    My genuine belief is most (not all) people hoarding vacant properties are just on average, financially illiterate (I consider 95%+ of the population financially illiterate).

    Their reasons are ultimately not that interesting or relevant in the scheme of things though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭DataDude


    If you could please link to where I missed that fact, that would be great so I can correct my mistake.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,329 ✭✭✭The Student


    If most people hoarding vacant properties are average financially illiterate then convincing them to rent out their vacant properties would go a good way towards bringing the 160k vacant properties being bandied about.

    Do you think threatening them with a large vacant property tax will encourage them to act if they are financially illiterate? Would an incentive not yield better results?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭DataDude


    No, I do not fundamentally believe in offering incentives to people who have been engaged in behaviour that I consider to be detrimental to society.

    That is a moral position but also a pragmatic one. The problem with incentives is they are rarely time bound so they do not discourage behaviour. If anything, they might encourage more of the behavior to get the subsidy or hope it gets increased. The carrot is not time bound so no urgency is created.

    Someone willing to leave a property vacant is by definition willing to leave a very large carrot (some of the highest rental yields in the world) to rot away. Why place another carrot in front of them that they can ignore or eat at their leisure.

    Annual, recurring costs are absolutely more likely to drive behavioural changes in the short term and are also more palatable for those not engaged in the detrimental behaviour.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,329 ✭✭✭The Student


    OK so the majority of those who voted in the poll saying the RPZ are not working are wrong? Again capping rent was a punitive measure and it appears they have not worked as per the poll results.

    If you force something on someone they react. People don't like to be controlled no matter how much you think they should be.

    If I told you that you had to take a wage cut and you could not leave your job even though there was another identical job paying twice your wage how would you feel?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Read my post about 10 back. I am pro removal RPZ. Pro tenant eviction enforcement.

    We were talking about vacancy. Not landlords. I assumed you’d read those posts so we’re talking about carrots specifically for vacant homeowners. Eg. Vacant home grant .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,329 ✭✭✭The Student


    Well then remove the RPZ cap and enforce timely evictions and make the sector less toxic and some vacant properties may return to the sector.

    Until the above is done placing punitive taxes on vacant properties is forcing people against their will.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭DataDude


    I don’t follow the thread that closely but pretty sure every single person I’ve ever seen arguing for vacancy taxes takes that same position.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,329 ✭✭✭The Student


    Some posters first port of call is the implementation of punitive taxes rather than addressing the RPZ issues and slow eviction process.

    Definition of insanity doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different outcome.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,076 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Then the new schemes should not have to reduce their car parking availabilty.

    Hopefully ABP overturn the decision anyway, but the point is that if we are discouraging car use at govt level, then local councils blocking a development because it doesnt have enough car spaces shouldnt be allowed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,612 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    I think local councils are being pragmatic rather than idealistic regarding personal car use.

    Seems the number of passenger cars is on the rise
    https://www.statista.com/statistics/452305/ireland-number-of-registered-passenger-cars/#:~:text=In%202022%2C%20the%20number%20of,approximately%202.33%20million%20registered%20units.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,875 ✭✭✭Patsy167


    Will Dublin City apartment prices drop if there are more layoffs like those at TikTok this week?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,611 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The population is also on the rise so no surprise the # of cars is going up nationwide. But in cities where decent PT is available we should not always be providing for car use. Car parking spaces take up massive amounts of space and ultimately just add to the cost of new builds.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,277 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Yes, I suggest at least 60 sqm as the minimum for one-bedroom apts.

    If we are to convince people to live in apts long-term, they must be spacious.

    After all, we have plenty of land.

    Two-bedrooms = 80 sqm minimum



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,277 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    The VHT is ineffective, as the definition of vacant is so generous.

    If it's occupied for 31 / 365 days, it's not vacant.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,612 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    I 100% agree. The stick can be removing private car parking spaces, but there needs to be a carrot of faster public transport that brings people from the suburbs to work.

    If a bus journey is more than 50% longer than the equivalent car journey then no one will change. Same if public transport is any way unreliable.

    Journey from Blanch to Sandyford is 1hr 20min on PT, with two transfers.

    23 minutes in a car on the M50, just over an hour on a bike.

    Clontarf to Dolphins barn, a hour on the bus, 27 mins in a car, 31 on a bicycle.

    Finglas to Stoneybatter, 15 mins in a car, 23 on a bike, 40 on a bus.

    So on and so on. I'm just picking random locations, but when even long journeys are faster on a bike than paid public transport then something is not right. I can see why people don't want to give up private cars, and why councils mandate parking.



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