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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,402 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    A lot of truth in that, but the fact that Trump and Musk are shredding the US's international reputation even among its allies is a hugely significant event in itself. So Americans might face the double whammy of Trump crashing the economy plus destroying all its long standing alliances.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 517 ✭✭✭poop emoji


    I suspect we are almost guaranteed to have China invade Taiwan now in next couple of years



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,813 ✭✭✭Patrick2010


    Are Americas employment laws completely different to ours? Can you imagine some self appointed unelected business man here appointed to reduce civil service numbers firing people at the stroke of a pen? Sending out emails on a Saturday asking people to name 5 things they did during the week and reply by Monday or face firing. Surely even MAGA supporters will start pushing back once they see how its affecting them not mention they now see Trump has aligned America with Russia.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,779 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Yep..

    Apple made a very similar announcement during Trumps last Presidency to get themselves excluded from his tariff nonsense.

    8+ years later , the factory they promised STILL isn't open - They are building one , but very very very slowly.

    Trump is so easily manipulated..



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,779 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    The majority of Ukraines "Minerals and rare earth" deposits are in the territories currently held by Russia.

    But that's not why Russia invaded those specific areas , nope , not at all..



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,802 ✭✭✭✭Grayson


    Completely different.

    Now I'm not sure about the contracts that civil and public servants have there but in the private sector there's something called "At will employment". This means that you're employed at the will of your employer and can be fired at any time without reason. The employer can just think "I don't like that shirt" and fire you without giving a reason.

    I've worked for a few american multinationals. And sometimes coworkers in the US would just disappear from instant messaging one day and we'd be told they were no longer with the company.

    When i took redundancy for one of those companies, I got 6 weeks pay per year of service. My coworkers in the US were given two weeks.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,779 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Utterly different , as Musk found out when he did the same kind of thing in Twitter.

    He sent a mail to all staff globally saying something like "if you don't reply to this email agreeing to hardcore workload , it will be taken as proof of resignation".

    Multiple Irish based staff ignored the mail and when he tried to then say that meant they had resigned and fired them, they sued and won.

    As @Grayson says , they have "at will" employment. It's actually easier for them to fire you for no reason than it is to fire you for cause.

    If they give a "reason" you can challenge it , but if they give no reason you have no defense as an employee.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,684 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    In other news, anti sexual assault group RAINN have had to remove references from their site in relation to trans survivors of sexual violence. This is because of concerns the Trump administration would cut funding to them.

    I'm sure the people who hate trans people will be delighted with this but it's an incredibly dark path for the US. Also given the history of sexual violence in the administration, I'd wonder if such groups keep their funding long term.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,402 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Musk trying to apply these private sector standards to the public sector is absolutely bonkers. These federal employees would be your schoolteachers, police, healthcare (including doctors, nurses and paramedics), the military, firefighters, council workers, special education, scientists etc not just management, clerical and admin employees. Threatening everyone with the sack if they don't meet weekly performance targets is unhinged.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    In the US they wouldn't be teachers (State), police (State / County/ City), Healthcare (Private except military and VA), firefighters (City / county), council workers (city / county / state except national parks and mouments), special ed (state)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,922 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    With all the contrary things he's been saying over the past week, it strikes me Trump is trying to keep multiple balls in the air and making a bags of it, [this not including things at home involving his voters and US economy] talking about his part in peace between Russia and Ukraine while talking about Ukraine making a deal with him over the mineral-rights in Ukraine. Plus giving an unspoken nod to EU troops going on the grounds in Ukraine. The troops may be designated as EU peacekeepers BUT they will be also from NATO country military forces, different packaging with same contents. Putin won't like them sitting around vital installations like Kyiv, which he likes using long range weaponry on.

    This while Zelenskyy had been meeting with Erdogan's Govt last week in Turkey and doing prisoner transfer deals with Russia [around the time he made the "if I resign as president offer for security of Ukraine (including the minerals)] followed by Putin's foreign minister Lavrov meeting with Erdogan yesterday over the future of Ukraine, I wouldn't be surprised for there to be a blow-up between Trump and Putin if the meeting Trump is saying he's to have with Putin in Moscow goes ahead. I can't imagine Putin being a happy bunny with Trump selling him out by doing a mineral-rights deal with Zelenskyy. Trump might try to pacify Putin by releasing from sanctions any monies and other goods the US sequestered from Russia's use but congress might not be happy with that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,802 ✭✭✭✭Grayson


    It's crazy the way it works. If I fired someone because they were black/female/…any minority, that would be illegal. But only if I said that's why i was firing them. If I just say "No reason". It's perfectly ok.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,402 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Oh right, so they are not employed by the government then? It seems he is indeed going after the clerical and admin and management side of things - but there is no evidence they are all slackers and layabouts (this type of demonising of the civil service is what you usually see from far right types….we heard all of this from the Brexit crowd in the UK).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,670 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,363 ✭✭✭Field east


    it will be of interest to watch these companies as to when they will start ‘putting shovels in the ground’. Will they stretch the ‘start date’ out to the next presidential election in the hope that there might be a change of direction that they would be happy with?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,651 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    While I will give Jon Stewart's pronouncements on constitutionality as much respect at they deserve, by all accounts he's completely wrong.

    Much of what Trump is doing could be done constitutionally through Congress, however he is completely bypassing them despite his party being in power and is acting brazenly unconstitutionally. He has already had several holds put on his actions by judges and you can expect more and more cases to come. His order on NIH funding of overheads is explicitly illegal by an Act of Congress to give just one obvious example. One has to wonder what on earth the point of Congress passing a budget is at this point if the Executive can just override it at will - a precedent no one should be happy with given there will be Democratic presidents again.

    The fact that his party, if properly organised, could enact all of this but instead he is just illegally doing it in a haphazard manner is just more evidence that he wants to rule as a despot and the Republican Party is a flaming garbage bag.

    Another large tranche of his actions are legal but blowing through important and valuable precedents.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,061 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    That "rapist" line is so true isn't it. And its another example of how this administration and the modern day GOP is failing women so much while telling them they only care about their best interests.

    Some of the videos over the last 2 weeks from Conservative town halls across the breadth of the country have given quite an insight in to just how the people feel about what is happening.

    Democrats should be using the fact that meetings like this are happening to fuel their strategy right up to the next midterms but they are still displaying mostly incompetence in the strategic department right now. There are some outliers, but there's a lot of sitting around doing nothing. Obama should really learn from this and really keep quiet in the future. I wish he was leading the charge now while potential candidates in 28 gather themselves, but he has chosen to remain silent.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,779 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Exactly - That's the key part of the childish argument he had with the Governor of Maine the other day.

    She said "I will follow the law" and Trump got all thick because he think he IS the law.

    But the law remains the law , Executive orders cannot and do not change the law nor do they create new ones.

    If he wants to do all the things he's trying to do and currently getting blocked by Judges all he needs to do is actually follow the law and the process. The Judges aren't saying "You can't do that" , they are mostly saying "You can't do it this way".

    Some of the things he's trying to do require congressional approval , some will require an actual change in the law etc.

    But he doesn't want to do that , because A/ He thinks he's King and B/ because he knows deep down that he probably doesn't have the votes in Congress to get the requisite approvals.

    So , he reverts to the bully approach , because that's who he is .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    Be quiet the adults are talking….

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/c1lpvgj31r3o

    Post edited by crusd on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,093 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    "Obama should really learn from this and really keep quiet in the future. I wish he was leading the charge now while potential candidates in 28 gather themselves, but he has chosen to remain silent"

    Frankly, I was extremely disappointed by him laughing with Trump while sitting beside him.

    Completely undermines the seriousness of the danger Trump poses.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,597 ✭✭✭McFly85


    It’s a frustrating trait of the Democratic leadership that makes all of their pronouncements about Trump, no matter how accurate, seem exaggerated when they’ll happily sit there cordially with him.

    If they genuinely think that he is a threat to American democracy(and judging his first month it’s hard to argue he isn’t), then skipping his inauguration should be considered perfectly reasonable.

    They can be so tied to tradition that they don’t seem to realise how damaging their actions can be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,842 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Don’t forget Israel. Even Iran didn’t vote in favour. The trio who threaten the I.C.C sticking together.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,061 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    I was always felt Obama's youth when he became President was going to be a problem. For two reasons. 1, it wasted anything he could have added to the senate had he been there for 12, 16, 20 years instead of just 1 term during which he started campaigning for President so was really only effectively there for 2 years.

    Secondly, him leaving office so young meant that for the next 20 odd years he'd be on the edge of current affairs but no real threat because he couldn't run for anything again. And it has played out that way. He's a fantastic communicator and I do believe he is well intentioned, but he could have been so much more effective than he was/is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,362 ✭✭✭Sigma101


    I think that's very unlikely.

    Under Trump the US is strengthening its anti-China rhetoric and changing its security focus from Europe to the Pacific. It's also beginning to adopt a more hardline stance on Taiwan. Last week it dropped the wording stating that the US does not support Taiwanese independence.

    Of course a lot of this is about paving the way for a negotiated economic deal with China that will be favourable to the Americans. Xi knows he'll have to do a deal with Trump eventually to address the potentially disastrous effects of tariffs. An invasion of Taiwan would scupper any chance of a deal. It's also extremely unlikely that Trump would allow China access to the strategic Taiwanese semi-conductor industry as part of any agreement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,363 ✭✭✭Field east


    it’ s of INTEREST to note that the key target for The US and it’s allies over the last, circa, 80years was to make sure that Russia does not win any war against them , to be stronger than Russia militarially, economically, etc, etc., to make sure that USSR/and then Russia do not expand its geographical area, etc.

    And the VERY TIME that the US had a ‘ clear run at the goal’ and when Russia’s percieved strength has been exposed as a ‘ damp squib’ by UKr that The US has done a 180 degree turn.
    It is unbelievable x by 100%



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,363 ✭✭✭Field east


    that’s not surprising. That’s the kind of thing that psychopaths do.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,902 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    It's impossible to overstate the amount of variance, though.

    I just pulled up my insurance statement. My annual is $5,700. That covers two houses (Both valued over a million) and three cars (all with big V8s), all comprehensive (though not counting earthquake, flood… no houses are in a flood or fire hazard area, one is earthquake-susceptible), and with pretty reasonable deductibles. I don't consider that in any way excessive.

    Home ownership is expensive, though. I work on the basis that you should probably squirrel away another 10% of your mortgage payment for upkeep costs. Most are basic, but every now and then you're going to get hit by a whopper. I just forked out $40k on air conditioners. But it's a 400m2 house in Central Texas, it comes with the territory. Buying a house without thinking of the upkeep costs is like buying a Ferrari and forgetting how much service and repair costs. Owner's to blame if they didn't think of it. On the other hand, most of those major expenses come on a 'once every two or three decades' basis. Even if they last only as long as the previous ones, it comes out to $130/month over their lifetimes. There are also a lot of 'pay now, save later' possibilities. I don't need to have the solar panels on the house which I'm paying for right now, but when I'm retired, my electricity bill is going to be a lot more tolerable.

    Property tax comes with its own circular problem. California enacted Prop 13 back in 1978. It limits the amount of increase of property tax to 1.3% per year regardless of home value, based on value at time of sale. It's now controversial. If you are a homeowner, you probably love it. You can stay in your home forever. You are also, however, strongly disincentivised to ever sell it. (Rent control, also popular in California has similar issues). This means that the amount of houses on the market is reduced, thus increasing demand and then sale price, which then affects the amount of property tax that the poor buyer is going to be paying. Not that encouraging people to sell is the only possible way of reducing lack of supply… California's government has been bouncing around trying to repeal it for a few years, because they say it's reducing their tax income. Bascially, if you own a home, you like the limit. My California home has more than doubled in value in ten years, I'm glad my monthly payments haven't gone up all that much. If you don't own a home and want to, you probably don't like it… until you do get the home. Texas has gone sortof the other way. Whilst there is still a 10% limit on the amount that tax can go up, after a couple of successive years, that still adds up to a very noticable chunk of change. The move there has been to try to reduce the tax burden, either by lowering the base property tax percentage (in a few counties), or by decreasing the defined taxable value. Plus there are additional exceptions: For example, retirees get a lower tax bill on the same value house than a younger person.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,544 ✭✭✭techdiver


    I have a funny feeling that Musk could be a unifying force, but not in the way he or Trump hopes for. From what I'm seeing and reading, even MAGA don't particularly like him and the "centrists" that voted for Trump hate him as much as the liberals.

    It appears to me that despite the chasm that has appeared in American politics over the last decade or so, it could be Musk that helps "moderates" on both sides find common ground. That being the hatred of Musk and what he is doing. I think Musk is one of the biggest mistake Trump has made. No one voted for a type of slash and burn he is doing. They voted (rightly or wrongly) for economic reasons (prices) and emigration. DOGE has managed to piss off both sides equally in such a short period of time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,363 ✭✭✭Field east


    maybe science by the Democrats is a very good strategy as tTrump is doing the ‘ work that they should be doing is meting done for them by Trump - ‘ upsetting “ his own side and they are getting louder and louder. And what about the 50501 movement - why is it getting so little coverage or was that ‘fakeNews’



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,363 ✭✭✭Field east


    Have you ever heard of ‘small talk ‘. What did u expect Obama to do sitting beside him. ?



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