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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,766 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Never interrupt your opponent when they're about to make a mistake.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Your post reminds me of something geo-political analyst Peter Zeihan said on one of the Sam Harris podcasts. He said that Germany needs a lot of immigrants because at the rate that native Germans are giving birth, there won't be enough young people of working age to pay taxes that would support the burgeoning number of elderly people who are living well into their eighties or beyond.

    And this would appear to be a problem across many European countries as more and more people opt not to have families, not just due to financial reasons, but for a whole host of reasons. There are many other things people can now do in life than the 2.4 children thing.

    So, as long as the native birthrate falls, immigrants will be essential to work not just skilled jobs, but every kind of entry-level position as well.

    Zeihan went on to say that the population statistics in the USA aren't as grim as those of Germany's, but they don't appear to be so good that the US can sustain a labour market based overwhelmingly upon natural born US citizens either.

    https://san.com/commentary/bye-boomers-shifting-demographics-present-an-american-workforce-crisis/

    Still no big answer from American conservatives on this problem other than perhaps to repeal child labour laws and gradually cancel the concept of retirement. Neither of those concepts can I imagine being hugely popular, but then again if Trump really does establish full dictatorial power for himself and successors, wtf are the American public going to do about it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,415 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    It's why China is just sitting back watching this **** show play out. They don't need to fight America, they just sit back and let America fight among themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,910 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Interesting strategy, didn't work very well in November though



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I would say the Chinese are happy that Trump became president. Trump's 'sphere of influence' theory of the world leaves Taiwan essentially prone, and I think the Chinese will happily suffer tariffs to claim that prize.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,977 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Even in the most alternate of realities, Trump is in no way at all working for the middle class.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 755 ✭✭✭aziz




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,665 ✭✭✭kyote00


    it is one of the greatest optical tricks/slight of hand that he has repeatedly been able to do and say the things he does.

    nearly everything he says is factually incorrect.

    He must be off golfing this weekend as it has been relatively quiet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,126 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    Zeihan is a one trick pony that's been predicting the collapse of China for the last 15 years due to their demographics. We are still waiting.

    Demographics can and do pose a challenge but it is not a catastrophic crisis. Japan was the first country to enter this problem and has steadfastly refused to relax it's immigration policy - the last homogeneous western society. While it has not seen economic growth that can be described as anything other than anemic, it's living standards haven't collapsed either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,665 ✭✭✭kyote00


    CaPlOcKs stuck on …. Sausage fingers can’t cope



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 326 ✭✭Iecrawfc


    Its a con, you can't have infinite growth in a finite system, so you import 1M to seve the retirees now, then you import 1.1M to serve the next lot of retirees, then 1.2, where does it end? It's the next major challenge of economies, how do you manage the economy when you not relying on immigration because the alternative leaves the door open to a far right authoritism ...

    Post edited by Iecrawfc on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 943 ✭✭✭Dr Robert


    China and Russia are loving this. Make no mistake about it. There's good reason they wanted Trump in. He weakens the US and helps strengthen them. The Democrats should be loving this too.

    Let Maga eat itself. A huge number of people that will lose their jobs will be people who voted for Trump. A genius way to keeping their vote for 2028…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,355 ✭✭✭joseywhales


    I would think it's fairly obvious. Strengthen borders, imprison illegals, create two class citizenship. Now you can have a prison slave class, you can have indentured workers on visas and you can have citizenship which will become ever more difficult to attain and revokable if you do not support dear leader or conservative ideology(which is actually not traditional conservatism but more facism). This is the dream, replace slavery with erm....slaverish? This is how they will solve the demographic crisis. Not sure if they can pull off the erosion of women's rights and push for Natalism but they might give it a shot too, certainly among the poor whites. What a glorious New world. /S



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,729 ✭✭✭✭kowloon


    I suppose we could do something to improve the standard of living in the countries from which people are emigrating. It won't happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,766 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Mmmmm…this isn't quite the gotcha you want to think it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,061 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    You are presuming that these people would change their vote.

    Thereis little evidence to suggest they will. Job cuts will be put down as being the fault of Biden or HC or woke something and that if reelected he can sort it out.

    If there is an election. Trump told Christians he only needed their vote this time as then he would fix it that they wouldn't have to vote again. And he thanked Elon for knowing everything about election voting machines and now Elon has data on every single person in the US!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,355 ✭✭✭Field east


    yes it does but who’s court system is it? If any of the judges fine against something that Trump likes , he/ she/ they will be treated at least by the way he plans to treat that Maine governor by way of example - for starters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,666 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    James Carville is predicting a detrimental collapse in public support for Trump and his admin within the next month. No idea if that will come to be and still think it's a tad too late TBH.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,355 ✭✭✭Field east


    Going forward, can we BELIEVE any statistic coming out of the US while Trump is in power ? Why? Three reasons as follows :-

    (1)Trump tried to blatantly force. , was it the governor of Georgia, a senior government official to find 12,000 votes so as to swing the election in his favour and the republicans had not control of the pres or the senate

    (2) if the statistic to be announced is not a good one in Trumps eyes will the head of the agency responsible for it actually announce it and RISkING their position - remember Maine - or will he/she ‘ADJUST ‘ the figs to suit Trumps agenda?

    (3) A lot of Trumps statements are factually/blatently false and he is capable of taking over the roll of announcing national figures such as falling unemployment rates , falling inflation, increase in federal income , increased exports, massive exporting of illegals, etc, etc, etc, etc, .

    And , of course, if a statistic turns out to be unfavourable he can always blame Biden.
    heard l yesterday on some TV prog that some statistic is still very unfavourable and it is because there is still a Biden ‘drag’ in that area and One of Trumps EO’s will shortly kick in to turn it around,. job done!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,666 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Even Trump supporters realising that voting for Trump did not provide them with immunity from Trump's actions (leopards… faces… etc)

    Untitled Image


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,552 ✭✭✭twinytwo


    They dont even need to do that - once the US is no longer reliant on Taiwan for the majority of its semi conductors. There is nothing in Taiwan for the US and they will no longer care what happens there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,451 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    He did say that there would be some pain (can’t remember the wording he used) for Americans as he made their country great again- funny how his wonderful followers didn’t probe that a bit more

    Obviously these people are small collateral damage to him and don’t even register on his radar.

    What I do wonder is whether he has a tipping point that he won’t cross- he has to know at this point what the absolute limit is, beyond which the American people will turn on him - he’s not stupid from that perspective . I also think the economy can do the talking for the people - his unpredictability will have its own consequences there, and he won’t be able to control that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,502 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    'I voted for Trump 3 times.'

    Bit of self reflection maybe?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,666 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    I'm sure his supporters probably took that as the price of some things might rise for a little bit, but once Trump's tariffs took effect and every company in the entire world moved their operations to the US that prices would drop dramatically so it'd all be okay.

    They don't seem to have considered "I'm going to lose my job/farm/benefits even though I'm white"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,666 ✭✭✭Rawr


    That is reminding me a lot of this anti-Facism PSA the US Military made during WWII. "Don't be a Sucker"

    It's about 20-odd minutes, but makes its point by the time you get to the 5 minute mark.

    The more memorable moment is when a young man is being taken in by a facist speaker on the street. He agrees with a lot of the agruments the facist makes about how other people and races were causing trouble…up until the point where the facist also blames the Stonemasons of which the young man belonged to.

    The lesson is that facism like this isn't even about making a "team" or "side" you can belong to. It takes that appearance, but what it is really about is maintaining power for a small pool of individuals. MAGA-world has embraced "DEI" as a mallet to swing around as an excuse to do what they do, but the definition of that can be anything they like, and they can keep pushing it.

    "DEI" can be in quick succession:

    • Anyone not white
    • Anyone not male
    • Anyone not straight
    • Anyone not Christian
    • Anyone not the correct type of Christian
    • Anyone we don't like the look of…

    Just because these MAGA types don't think they are DEI now, doesn't mean that they won't somehow land into the category later.

    I hope these MAGA types and Trump voters understand that they now need to be part of the pushback to make it harder for Trump's gouls to proceed further. Otherwise there might not be much of a functioning US to win back from the GOP, which might end up resembling Panem from the Hunger Games by the time Trump is finished.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,451 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    A nice little article - the key thrust is that while Trump may be seen to be random and scatter gun, there’s an outline image emerging now - some patterns, some definable essence- in terms of how Trump is approaching the world.
    It’s something I would agree with - even throughout the election, I often asked the question “why”- why did Trump say all of those outrageous things etc- the answer was simple- he knew his audience - he knew what they wanted to hear -and he knew what would get him to elected.


    - and he knows where he wants to go now, is my view. Getting the measure of Trump, from a European perspective, or indeed world perspective, is the first step in us deciding where we go from here as a nation.

    And responding is certainly not appeasement - but if we can determine areas of mutual gain, where Trump doesn’t hold all the cards, we might start to achieve some sort of equilibrium - but it’s not going to be easy.


    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/feb/24/donald-trump-doctrine-usa-reshape-the-world



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,451 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “They don't seem to have considered "I'm going to lose my job/farm/benefits even though I'm white"”

    I dare say there is something horribly twisted and delicious watching a 3 times MAGA voter lose their job….all because they voted for Trump 😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,451 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Anyone have thoughts on how Trump is going to interact with China? I thought he may have approached them as treated them as equals, keeping a respectful distance on certain issues and just look for opportunities to brag about some useless empty deal?

    But looks like some sort of trade war has already commenced - dangerous territory I would imagine- as much as I hate Chinese interference with other countries, I would imagine this won’t end well for anyone


    https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/global-trends/trump-targets-china-with-biggest-salvo-so-far-in-second-term/amp_articleshow/118518726.cms



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,666 ✭✭✭Rawr


    In a word: "Stupidly"

    But that pretty much applies to everything he does. Since the Dark Lord of the Techbros has a lot of Tesla operations invested in China, Donnie might listen to his current boss and not say too much about China. Much like everything, Donnie's relationship with China is going to be mostly based on what he can personally glean from it himself. I fully suspect any tariffs that are being applied, are simply there because "tariff" is the only "policy" the Orange Lummox has in that bizzare head of his.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,910 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Depends how detrimental the collapse is. Is it enough to cause an uprising for example and start a second civil war? As you correctly say a collapse in support directly after the inauguration is indeed too late. Just before polling day of either the presidential election or the mid-terms would have been much more effective timing

    As for MAGA supporters losing their jobs, like renters who voted for FFG in this country, I can't be overly sympathetic



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