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Methane Cycle ignored

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx


    For decades they have been part of the same conversation, what changed?
    Are you claiming there is no methane emissions from fossil fuel production and landfills? I may have some bad news for you.

    The only way they are not part of the conversation is when the debater /researcher is just anti livestock and not concerned about climate science. The vegans of the world were outraged when the FAO reduced animal emissions estimates from 14% to 11% and conversely they were shoving the reports in our faces in the past rejoicing at how evil livestock productions is back when estimates were as high as 19%



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    'part of the same conversation' is not 'they're not directly equivalent', so you're asking me to respond to a point i didn't make.

    and no, i did not claim that there's no methane emissions from landfill or fuel production. again, a point i did not make.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    there are two things in discussion here; what the source of the carbon atom is, and what you combine the carbon atom with. yes, they're both important but they're not drectly equivalent.

    'importing' carbon into the system from below ground is obviously not A Good Thing.

    combining carbon which is in the system, with other atoms in such a way that they create much more potent greenhouse gases is not A Good Thing.

    i'm bemused by that video - and by some people here - falling back on the 'a steady state of cattle number means there's a steady state of methane in the atmosphere' argument.

    that's a pretty explicit confirmation that cattle are (partly) responsible for elevated levels of methane in the atmosphere. if we reduced the global head of cattle, we'd reduce the amount of methane in the atmophere which comes from cattle. there's no other way of stating that.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    getting back to this.

    You've developed something new. Similar to drilling oil out of the ground and burning it. Cattle aren't creating new gases but converting what has been captured as CO2. And if the number of ruminants is steady, the amount of methane is also steady.

    i haven't. in my example, i'm using the grass that's already 'in the system' and using bacteria to create something with cyanide as a side product (bacteria can produce cyanide, so it's 'a natural process' in the same way cows create methane).

    so i've introduced nothing new. i've taken what's there and introduced something that would not be produced were it not for the process i have now put in place. again, i can't deny i'm now responsible for elevated levels of HCN in the atmosphere. that'd be an untenable position to take.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx


    We do need to eat.
    The world produces emissions, we do actually need greenhouse gases to survive (stops us freezing, I know no fear of that at the moment).


    Livestock farms also sequester carbon as well as produce it.
    The other sources I've mentioned only produce new emissions and do nothing to remove any, so arguably more important to control.
    I don't deny agriculture produces emissions, I don't deny we need to do our part to reduce emissions and plenty is being done. Agri emissions in Ireland are actually reducing with a reduction of 4.6% in 2023, I don't see an end of year for 2024 but it was down another 2.4% earlier in the year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx


    Does this hypothetical process produce anything of value, like food?
    Are the estimates of that gas added to the atmosphere accurate or vary wildly?
    Has your environment a built in mechanism that absorbs that gas within 10 years?

    Are there other sources multiple times bigger being completely underestimated, with no mechanism to absorb their emissions? But we will concentrate extra hard on your process just because there is a small percentage of the population who will argue against your process any way they can as they are really just concerned that you might be hurting the grass?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    it's hypothetical, you can do what you want!

    but i chose it because it's a fairly simple molecule made from atoms abundantly available in the environment, crucial to plant growth/life, can be produced by biological processes, and also breaks down over time. i.e. i chose those to mirror the methane production in cattle to make it a reasonably valid analogy.

    let's say it converts the indigestible (to humans) compounds in grass to a food source edible to humans, so is even more directly an analogy with rumination.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    maybe i'm on to something here! i should stop talking before someone steals my ideas…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx


    But it is only a reasonable valid analogy if we apply all of the same conditions.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    disagree. that's just a way of trying to distract from the point being made.

    i'm not arguing that there are other artificial sources of methane, or they shouldn't also be counted.

    i'm arguing against the idea that the methane from cattle shouldn't be counted, that it's some sort of special case; some of the arguments being put forward stating that it shouldn't be counted are just magical thinking.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    FWIW in case you think i'm some sort of hippy, i spent €250 on beef as a birthday present for someone a week or two ago!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,955 ✭✭✭Birdnuts


    The issue with cattle and Greenhouse gases is not so much in the EU atm, but in South America via deforestation for cattle ranching. Thats why the likes of Mercosur must be resisted at any cost!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx


    But it is different and arguably every source should be treated differently. Zero emissions are impossible, every time you exhale you are producing emissions, life with or without humans produces emissions. Feeding the population is more important than achieving net zero (even with achieving net zero, one has to accept that some emissions can be off set through sequestering carbon).


    Here is an analogy.
    If I have 10 acres of lush pasture with 10 cattle on it, it is both a carbon source and a carbon sink.
    In Comparison 10 acres of land fill is just a source, producing far more carbon than a few cows and absorbing 0 carbon.

    Certainly we count all of the carbon produced but we also need to consider what is captured and offset. And to be honest not every 10 acres will capture the same amount. Reducing the amount of waste going to that landfill will be far more beneficial than removing a few cows off of Irish pasture.

    There is not much carbon being captured in the worlds oil fields, its a finite resource and one way or another we will need to end our dependence on oil, but we will still need protein.

    I agree that the guy in the video has put too simplistic a view on it, but emissions need to be looked at in Net amounts not Gross.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,586 ✭✭✭J.O. Farmer


    I'm not sure many are arguing emissions from cattle shouldn't be counted but they are arguing it should be counted accurately.

    If counting the methane is counted as a CO2 equivalent. However the CO2 sequestered by the grass should be deducted.

    Secondly if we are saying emissions need to be reduced to levels at some point in the past then the methane produced by cattle at that time should be the baseline. If cattle have not increased then cattle cannot have contributed to the increase as the level of methane from cattle in the atmosphere is unchanged (no higher nor lower).

    Thirdly if cattle did not eat the grass and it decayed methane would be produced in the absence of cattle. Maybe not as much but some.

    There are probably lots of sources of emissions in agriculture (e.g. machinery) however blaming cattle is a little lazy without proper calculations.

    Cattle is also seen as an easy win - most people don't have cattle and so unaffected (other than beef and milk comes from them).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 62 ✭✭WhichWay


    So if we had a pot of €0.5billion/yr to spend to address climate change which of the following should we do

    A) reduce the number of cows in Ireland

    B) insulate old housing stock

    C) build more renewable electric generators

    Note the 5.7TWh biomethane target is expected to cost Irish citizens €100/MWh or 0.5billion/yr. The main purpose, in my opinion, is to displace cows. Replace real cows with concrete digesters, the later of course are zero carbon.

    This is the damage of policy makers following flawed 'science' .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    You introduced cyanide which wasn't there before



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    You better explain it better so!

    Ruminants create methane from the digestion of food, food which grew by capturing carbon, carbon which "may" have been created from methane previously. Even if it wasn't, methane will be converted to carbon. It doesn't keep growing with static ruminant numbers. Biogenic cycle is what you need to put into the search/AI engine of choice to learn more about it. Keeping animal numbers the same means the methane from them is the same. We've done that on this fair isle for 50 odd years.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭roosterman71




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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    In the process, this digestion pattern produces several free hydrogen (H+) and carbon dioxide (CO2) molecules. One member of the rumen microbes are the methanogens. Although they account for only 1% of the microbes, they tend to get the most attention. These methane-forming microbes combine the hydrogen and carbon dioxide molecules in the rumen to form enteric methane (CH4). Cows and other ruminant animals expel the methane via belching, at which point it enters the atmosphere and begins adding heat. 

    https://clear.ucdavis.edu/explainers/why-do-cattle-produce-methane-and-what-can-we-do-about-it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,287 ✭✭✭kirving


    Methane is a chemical compound which did not exist before. It is not the same thing as 12kg of Carbon, and 4kg of Hydrogen sitting beside one another.

    If I take yeast, and barley, and ferment them together over time, would you disagree that I have created alcohol? Does that alcohol have more detrimental effect on my body than if I was to eat the yeast and wheat separately?

    Also, the "steady state" argument he tries to put forth is total bullshit. It's like saying that the amount of that same alcohol in my body doesn't count as long as it's steady state. Drink 5 drinks a day for the next 20 years and compare yourself to someone who drinks water.

    Just because we try to convey global warming to the public in terms of warming/cooling - that is not to say that that the steady state is irrelevant - it's just difficult to put that into meaningful terms for people. 10 Billion metric tonnes of a gas per year is just impossible for anyone to wrap their head around - so it's expressed into heating and cooling estimates - because that is the net effect of the total process.

    Lastly, the CO2 Equivalent vs Petrol comparison, is again, total bullshit. This is because Methane absorbs a different spectrum of radiation to other Greenhouse Gasses, so every extra bit of Methane is worse than every extra bit of CO2.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,501 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Isn't it amazing we have such apartment dwellers in this country that are experts on farming in this country and the history of farming in this country and the amount of carbon in soil in this country in grassland vs ploughing it up to the atmosphere to save the world.

    The cow debate is over anyway. That was two years ago. Go on twitter and now not a mention of cows. They are gone from the media too. There's only a few saddos left still trying to peddle their vegan malnourishment solution to the world. Gone scarce now too. It's defence for our own lives now from a malevolent US and an emboldened Russia and other countries with dictatorial regimes and far right. Now that war crimes are excused and seen as normal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx


    Of course Methane existed before?


    You should look up water intoxication, too much water can be fatal too.

    This is because Methane absorbs a different spectrum of radiation to other Greenhouse Gasses, so every extra bit of Methane is worse than every extra bit of CO2.

    Well that statement is total bullshit. Methane lasts about 12 years in the atmosphere and CO2 lasts for 100s of years, over a long period CO2 is worse for global warming and is 200 times more abundant in the atmosphere. As methane from cattle is being released in the atmosphere, the methane from 12 years ago is being destroyed, meaning that if our national herd size is not growing then we are not adding additional methane to the atmosphere.

    https://clear.ucdavis.edu/explainers/why-methane-cattle-warms-climate-differently-co2-fossil-fuels

    Interestingly methane in the atmosphere started growing rapidly since 2006:

    https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/fracking-boom-tied-to-methane-spike-in-earths-atmosphere

    A 2015 study led by John Worden of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory found that methane levels were unchanged for years, but increased sharply after 2006, growing by 25 million tons a year. Using satellites and other measures they concluded that fossil fuels were responsible for between 12 and 19 million tons of this additional methane and the rest was likely biological sources.

    The Howarth study adds another piece to the extremely complicated methane puzzle, Worden said in an email, declining to elaborate.

    It’s unlikely that the sharp rise in global methane levels at the same time as shale oil and gas operations increased dramatically is just coincidence, said Anthony Ingraffea, a Professor of Engineering at Cornell University and a colleague of Howarth’s. The paper suggests shale gas’s chemical fingerprint offers evidence of a direct link, said Ingraffea, who reviewed an early version of the paper.

    Post edited by emaherx on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,287 ✭✭✭kirving


    Do you think that calling someone an "apartment dweller" is a bad thing?

    I do actually choose to live in an apartment (in one of the best cities in the world), noone forced me into it. I did live about 100m from a cattle farm in the west of Ireland for 10 years and love the countryside.

    I'm not claiming to be a farmer now, but I'm no environmentalist either. I flew 160,000 km last year. I drive a petrol SUV, in the city. I work in manufacturing. I eat loads of meat. I think the C02 based taxing of cars was utterly naive - in the face of the diesel alternative, and that Ireland is a literal drop in the ocean vs the US, India and China.

    I can still call out the nonsense that is that video.

    And for those 12 years, the methane is sitting in the atmosphere contributing to global warming. Why do you think that doesn't matter?

    Do you think that just because something is at a steady state, that no additional harm is being done over time?

    Shale gas is undoubtedly an issue, and likely a bigger one, but the same excuses are used by oil corporations as by the farmer in the video.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    The methane in the atmosphere from cattle in Ireland is the same (more or less) now as it was 50 years ago. It is not contributing to additional warming which people seems to think. Reducing it would bring benefits in 12 years and once again, the level will level out based on the number of cattle. If methane levels are rising in Ireland, it's not due to cattle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx


    I never said it doesn't matter but I called BS on your claim it is worse than the co2 stocks that have been building for centuries and that will linger for centuries more. In fact so does most of the scientific community that still consider CO2 the most significant green house gas.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,287 ✭✭✭kirving


    I didn't say that at all. I said every "extra" bit of methane.

     every extra bit of Methane is worse than every extra bit of CO2

    Methane, is ballpark 100 times more effective at trapping infrared radiation than CO2, and additionally it does so at different wavelengths, so one extra tonne of Methane is far worse than one extra tonne of CO2.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,537 ✭✭✭emaherx


    Yep and that is still wrong as every extra bit of co2 stays extra for centuries and its warming potential lasts for every bit of it's existence in the atmosphere.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 53,400 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    If every extra bit of CO2 stays for centuries, how can you claim that pastureland is a carbon sink?

    A carbon sink means it's pulling carbon out of the air.



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