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Hamas strike on Israel - mod warning in OP updated 19/10/23

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    Easily debunked financial nonsense,

    Israeli GDP figures.

    496bn 2022

    530bn 2023

    557 2024

    585 projected 2025

    The Israeli economy is doing just fine. Constantly growing,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    You completely missed the point I was making.

    When people mentioned 40k, those people supporting Israel said they were Hamas figures and cannot be trusted.

    When a report about 200k dead being a more realistic figure, the same Israel supporters use the Hamas 40k as the death toll (despite saying Hamas cannot be trusted with the figures)

    One Israel support says Hamas are a non state actor, so they cannot claim self defense etc... another Israel support then says Hamas is the government in Gaza.

    I was merely saying the pro Israel people on this thread cannot even agree with each as if they just make **** up to defend the indefensible.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,253 ✭✭✭Bishop of hope


    It would need to wouldn't it to finance the madness Netanyahu has set in motion.

    GDP versus spend is what counts. I see a new shipment of 2000lb bombs has been sanctioned by the US, war is a very expensive hobby.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,787 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    Seriously, all the matters you're outraged about have been debated ad infinitum here over many months.

    Many have defended exactly what you are defending but corroborated evidence to the contrary has been given in spades.

    I've provided three links below on how badly the Israeli economy is doing. I've no idea where you're getting your numbers from but here's a taster from the links below that can be read in full for the fine detail.

    • The economic toll of the war may cost Israel an estimated $400 billion in lost economic activity over the next decade – threatens Israel's economic future.
    • In the final quarter of 2023, the Israeli economy shrank by 20% caused due to labour shortages in construction and from the mobilization of 300,000 reservists.
    • Israel's economy experienced a more significant decline than anticipated by market analysts, signifying the largest contraction in nearly four years, as reported by Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics' initial assessment.
    • However, it is evident that Israel and the broader region will face tough economic times ahead. Its central bank has revised its growth forecast for 2024 from 3% to 2% and anticipates that GDP recovery to pre-war levels will take over a year.
    • In August 2024, Fitch Ratings downgraded Israel's credit rating.
    • 9,855 Thai workers in the agricultural sector, 4,331 workers in the construction sector and 2,997 in the nursing sector left Israel following al-Aqsa Flood. In addition, the prevention of 85,000 Palestinian workers from entering Israel created a shortage of about 100,000 foreign and Palestinian workers.
    • Israel will experience a significant economic shock, with 90 percent of its impact stemming from indirect consequences such as decreased investment, a disrupted labor market, and hindered productivity growth.
    • By 10 July 2024, 46,000 businesses in Israel were forced to close down due to the economic impact of the war, affecting almost every sector of the economy.Furthermore, on 12 July the port of Eilat declared bankruptcy resulting in it seeing no economic activity or revenue for eight months.

    To be honest, your credibility is pretty much zero now in my opinion.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54,100 ✭✭✭✭tayto lover


    For those who asked if Hamas were Terrorists or Freedom Fighters here's the accepted difference -

    While both terrorists and freedom fighters resort to violence and justify their actions in terms of ideological arguments, 

    terrorists differ in targeting innocent victims -- a violation of human rights and a form of oppression in which freedom fighters would not engage

    .So Terrorists like Hamas and the IDF target innocent victims intentionally. No difference between them.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    All of that is evidence that the Israeli economy was predicted to do badly.

    It's all irrelevant now that the Economy is doing well.

    Economists getting stuff wrong is nothing unusual.

    You simply can't argue with the GDP growth figures . . . . . which is why you ignored them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    If you have a link to the BBC quoting the Lancet report, just post it.

    No need to be so coy.

    There must be hundreds of references of such a report by the BBC you could dredge up.

    I provided no such link to the BBC quoting Lancet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    Of course Beni will be likely voted out. He's not popular and only got around 23% of the vote in the last election. That's what happens in democratic countries. Changing of the guard is all very routine.

    What's strange is that you have repeatedly insisted that he is a Dictator.

    Could you just illuminate everyone on this weird 4-year dictator system that only you seem to aware of, where Dictators get voted into power for 4 years and then get voted back out again in the next election and they just go along with it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    Nope. Just that it's very difficult to find old posts in Boards now.

    If you read back yourself, if you have the time and patience, you'll find it. I might try later.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,348 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    You absolute spoofer. How dare you slander me without substance. Old posts in Boards my eye! When was this old post? Why did you bring it up today.

    You have zero integrity unless you can find such a post.

    Weak apology accepted. Blaming the website, Jaysus.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 774 ✭✭✭Miniegg


    Interesting... But not surprising. Why is he so unpopular?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    As stated previously, I made what I would have considered a rather reasonable arguement on an Irish website that a terrorist group, Hamas, should immediately surrender and bring the war in Gaza to an end, approx 6 months ago.

    I was attacked by 13 people, yes, i counted, all who seemed to find this an unacceptale proposition.

    This was your response, remember, within the context of a suggestion that Hams terrorists should surrender.

    Do you expect the Hamas terrorists to hand themselves in to the IDF? Is that the only end game you see? You know any Hamas fighter handing themselves in will be immediately shot. You get that right? They'll probably be shot as they approach.

    Now, by any reasonable intrepration that reads like a man far more concerned about the health and safety of Hamas terrorists than the welfare of the people of Gaza and and early end to the war.

    i mean, how would read it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    He's up on corruption charges, and the suspicion is that he needs the war to continue to delay the trial.

    I don't know the percentages over the elections, but off the top of my head he hasn't been popular for a long time. Israeli politics is a very fractured parliment, numerous small parties wielding excess clout.

    The current government was very contorversial when assembled. It was seen as the first real shift to a hard right government, although I'm not an expert on Israeli politics by any means, I tend to drop in and out from time to time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 774 ✭✭✭Miniegg


    You think you have a reasonable interpretation?

    You are arguing that one group of people, in this case Hamas, are totally responsible for the brutal actions of a completely seperate group of people who I suspect are in full control of their faculties, i.e. the IDF, and not the IDF themselves. That is not reasonable.

    If military commanders in the IDF, a seperate body to Hamas, order their soldiers to completely destroy a whole city of 2 million people, because a terrorist group operates there, that is on those commanders and soldiers.

    Hamas are a terrorist group. I'm not sure they give two f's about Palestinian civilians and would have no interest handing themselves in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,348 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Well about time. What a stretch of the imagination you have!

    There is no support or concern or anything even remotely similar to what you accused me off. I detest all terrorism. You still slandered me. You're clutching and I think you know that all too well. I asked a lot of posters about the possible end game while innocent civilians were being slaughtered. The end game was all too clear for me - Israel want Gaza for themselves. It's why it's almost unliveable today. It's why the population have endured collective punishment - a war crime.

    Now read back those questions again. They are all questions of simple logic. They are all rhetorical too. Did you attempt to answer them at the time? The answer to them all is obvious. So quit your pretend grandstanding and try and reclaim some credibility. When you think the lunatic Hamas terrorists are ready to hand themselves in, do let me know. You clearly don't know how deranged they are. And you don't know what concern looks like. A bit of common sense fella.

    If all the Hamas terrorists dropped dead tomorrow, I wouldn't give two hoots. But but but what about health and safety...the mind boggles.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 774 ✭✭✭Miniegg


    Sorry yes I knew about the corruption charges, and his attacks on the judiciary. It has long been argued that the severity of this war was to act as a smokescreen for corruption accusations, though it's hard to think someone being so ruthless. I had just assumed the war was working in getting Israelis to look the other way, good to see people seeing through it.

    Just another example of this war being extremely dubious, and not representative of many Israelis.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,787 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    I'm not an economist but I doubt very much that the sole economic measure of GDP trumps all other economic indicators.

    By the way, I didn't ignore your numbers - I provided a host of evidence that the Israeli economy is tanking. Hence the downgrade by Moody's.

    To be honest, it's simply incredible that, when faced with overwhelming evidence to the contrary, you throw out "economists get it wrong all the time".

    No better comment but to seal my opinion - there's no credibility in your arguments.

    As for the link to the BBC article you're demanding from me, the reference was in the link you posted yourself. I only mentioned that your link contained a reference to the BBC. So, I'll simply redirect you to your own link.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    Well, that's a different arguement you're making now.

    Right now Beni is popular, as most war time leaders always are. The Israeli reponse, and, indeed, the response of any nation subjected to an event like Oct 7th would likely be the same. Any Israeli leader would have declared war and sent the troops in.

    The war isn't dubious. I would imagine although war fatique has set in and people want the war to end, the israeli people support their soldiers at war against a terrorist organaisation that wants to eradicate them all from the face of the earth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,787 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    You might recall my post detailing the fact that 80% of Israelis voted for an enquiry into what happened on Oct 7th. Alleged War Criminal #1 refused.

    But astonishingly, in your own post to another poster, you confirm he's up on corruption charges - has been for nearly a decade. You even state how unpopular he is.

    Accused of war crimes, up on corruption charges, ignoring the vote of the Israeli people, his popularity is junk status and he's at war with the judiciary - yep, ticks all the "dictator" boxes for me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    I don't know what reference you're talking about. If you've spotted something just post it and highlight it. It's a lot quicker.

    If you had something of value you'd delight in posting it, so I'm just assuming that you don't.

    I don't even know why you're persisting with this line. It's transparently simply not true.

    Regarding GDP.

    What is the best measure of economic growth?

    GDP is important because it gives information about the size of the economy and how an economy is performing. The growth rate of real GDP is often used as an indicator of the general health of the economy. IMF.

    Strong GDP growth. Strong economy. Simples.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    Except the only box that matters.

    Dictator: A ruler with total power over a country, typically one who has obtained control by force.

    Not someone elected at the ballot box, and subject to the whims of the electorate.

    Was there a referendum on a Oct 7th inquiry, or did you just make that up too?

    Beni is a lot of things, but not a Dictator. You don't get to just make up your own definationswhen it suits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 58,442 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Folks, Hamas are Palestinians and Palestinians are Hamas. You can’t hide in your supporting Palestinians but not Hamas.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,787 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    I'll correct you on yet another statement - Netanyahu (at large alleged war criminal) doesn't give two figs about the corruption charges. He's delaying the start of phase two to save his political skin. That pillar of humanity, Ben Gvir has already resigned.

    You should read up more on what you post as fact to avoid getting egg all over your face again. Or in Hebrew, "Al Hapanim" (falling flat on your face).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,348 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Thanks as always walshb. So insightful as usual. On a wind up again or just fishing for likes? Pathetic.

    Mod Edit: Warned for uncivil posting

    Post edited by Necro on

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 58,442 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Reading some your replies to those you disagree with: You have to be the most patronising and condescending (and cringey) poster on this thread. Not to mention a constant baiter.

    Mod Edit: Warned for uncivil posting

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,787 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    You've lost the plot mate.

    Within a couple of posts you've gone from "he's not been popular for a long time" , to "he's popular".

    Seriously, take a rest.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    Hamas are responsible for starting the war. Do you agree with that?

    Wars have consequences. Do you agree with that?

    Did you know that only 2400 Americans lost their lives at Pearl harbour, an outrageous act of war by the Japanese?

    The consequences of that are well known, and ultimately the Japanese population paid the heaviest price too.

    Your attempt to present the IDF as just a bunch of bloodthirsty maniacs randomly prosecuting war for the craic is a typical anti-israeli trope.

    You seem to think war is conducted with pistols at dawn between gentlemen of honour. It's not. Sherman said it best. War is hell.

    Had Hamas surrendered, none of this would have happened. Hamas received 44% of the last election vote, and remain popular. That's the hard facts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,787 ✭✭✭dmcdona


    It was a link you posted yourself - it really is that simple.

    The link you posted mentions the BBC, Politico, CNN etc.

    I didn't post the link at all.


    I said that I'm not an economist, but I don't think GDP is a good measure in its own. Per my previous post, your own positive outlook is not shared be economic experts. Simple's.

    $400 billion in lost economic activity over the next decade – threatens Israel's economic future

    2023 - the Israeli economy shrank by 20% caused due to labour shortages in construction and from the mobilization of 300,000 reservists.

    Israel's economy experienced a more significant decline than anticipated by market analysts, signifying the largest contraction in nearly four years

    46,000 Israeli businesses have gone bust



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    I haven't got a single thing wrong. I'm just argueing with someone who makes things up, and then moves on tothe next fabrication.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭sheepysheep


    He hasn't been popular and the votes show it.

    However, he has enjoyed 'popular support' during the war period, which is not uncommon for war leaders.

    Churchill was a hugely respected war leader and was then immediately dumped in the very first post war election.

    It's not the big contradiction you think it is. Whaterver his current level of support, and the last time I saw about 6 months ago it was hgh, he simply is not a popular politician in Israel.



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