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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,615 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    Of course they don't, but what does it say about the rest of Europe being spectators to it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,212 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    No, I don't accept either. But I think an imperfect peace in Ukraine, even if it means a loss of land, is better than a forever war that will absolutely result in the eventual loss of all of the country.

    Wars have always ended. Like always. Now people seem to think they shouldn't end.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,420 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    What's to stop Putin starting future wars or invasions? It would be very naïve to think that Ukraine 2022-25 is the last time he will get involved in a conflict outside Russia's borders.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,212 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    I don't think it's better to continue a war now in case there is a war in the future.

    Same question to you: What's to stop Putin starting future wars or invasions?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,543 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    What's to stop Putin starting future wars or invasions?

    Him being shown to have lost the war or appearing weak and his government collapsing.

    History has shown that appeasing dictators doesn't work. It just doesn't. Hell it hasn't even worked on this particular dictator. Several times now.

    Anyway amid the concerning news today there's a glimmer of hope still:

    https://bsky.app/profile/newseye.bsky.social/post/3lhz7x32xtk2m



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,212 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    "Him being shown to have lost the war"

    Sounds great, I agree. But how can that happen?

    "History has shown that appeasing dictators doesn't work."

    The world largely not being at war would suggest that ending wars works.

    At some point, people have to look at Ukraine in isolation as something that needs to be ended, rather than deciding it must be fought in order to defeat Putin. That just dooms it to another decade of war.

    It's ok to be pro-peace even if it means some loss.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,543 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    Sounds great, I agree. But how can that happen?

    Supporting Ukraine with weapons and without any restrictions on their use would be a good start. Even Trumps cabinet has floated the idea of getting oil prices down and increasing sanctions. Who knows how likely any of that is now. I guess we'll see.

    The world largely not being at war would suggest that ending wars works.

    Makes no sense at all. Imagine if the last largest war in Europe had ended with the UK signing another worthless piece of paper with with a dictator? That's what you're suggesting should happen here.

    It's ok to be pro-peace even if it means some loss.

    I disagree wholeheartedly. I personally and most of the forward thinking world finds that viewpoint morally disgusting. Only touted by those who are weak willed and naive. All you're doing is asking the crocodile to eat you last. And history proves it so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭tjhook


    I'm disgusted at the lack of support from Europe for Ukraine. With Trump being so feeble and the EU doing so little, there's nothing much to stop Putin making future inroads into Europe.

    I'd like to see Zelenskyy mounting a last attack on Moscow, equivalent to the cumulative attacks on Kiev and Lviv. It won't happen though, Trump is in Putin's pocket and won't allow it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,882 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


     Ukraine has developed some very economical ways of eliminating terrorists and they can continue to do this 

    Can they do at sufficient scale to make up the slack if Trump pulls the plug? I have grave doubts. Don't forget they're being gradually pushed back even as things stand…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,420 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    The 'peace' that Trump is proposing is risky. It will be spun by Putin as a huge victory for Russia - no way would that be regarded as a negotiated settlement after a military stalemate. The legions of Putin bots / headbangers on social media are beyond ecstatic this evening - seeing this a potential big win for their favourite dictator plus Trump and a humiliation for Ukraine and NATO.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 678 ✭✭✭engineerws


    It was always going this way. At least a few more hundred thousand Ukrainian's won't have to die to make NATO and its supporters look good..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 678 ✭✭✭engineerws


    Did you ever think it was strange that Ukraine supported Israel?

    Probably seen as normal here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 678 ✭✭✭engineerws


    What is to stop the USA from starting future wars? What is to stop China from starting future wars? What will be next week's lottery numbers?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 105 ✭✭doyle55


    Their drone production certainly has been scaled up.

    "In October 2024, President Volodymyr Zelensky stated at the opening of the Second International Defense Industries Forum that Ukraine is already capable of producing 4 million drones annually.

    In November 2024, the President announced that in 2025, Ukraine plans to produce at least 30,000 long-range drones."

    https://mil.in.ua/en/news/in-2025-the-ukrainian-defense-forces-started-receiving-about-200-thousand-drones-per-month/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,731 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    It's good talks are coming, I find it incredible that some would not agree to a deal that Zelensky and the Ukrainian people would agree to, it's their call, one thing I do know is, it has to be a good deal, if not then Zelensky will not agree.

    Putin keeping all the land, with no security for Ukraine is not going to happen, Zelensky will tell Trump to go to hell in that case, it has to be right.

    Trump should be thinking about taking Russia, if this was 1943 an opportunity like this would not be missed, they are so week now, literally a 3 day operation takes Russia, if Moscow falls it all falls.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 326 ✭✭REDBULL68


    Apart from the Drones etc it's turned into a ww1 trench warfare situation we all know that went well ,,wars can't last forever on either side ,lines being drawn up now not a million miles off 2014 ,not great but at least they will have a peace and then (hopefully in the future) negotiate the future of the disputed territory through the will of the people that live there who recognise as Ukrainians and Russian.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,824 ✭✭✭JJayoo


    How much easier would the peace deal be, and the lives of Ukrainians/Russians going forward, if Putin was to slip out he window.

    Also what will the Chechens make of Trump's plan for Gaza? Putin needs to keep the Chechens under control.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Nothing to defend? EU democracy and the European way of life can only be defended by strength, not just by words. This is what has been built since the end of World War II, and it will fall apart if left undefended. For the EU to maintain its regional and global relevance, as well as its economic stability, security, and prosperity, it must step up, deepen integration, and take responsibility for its own defense.

    The idea that Europe has little to defend and no use for an army is both naive and defeatist. It repeats Russian propaganda and shows a fundamental misunderstanding of the Kremlin's worldview.

    A sovereign country that cannot protect its waters, airspace, and land is not truly sovereign. From an Irish perspective, it may be comforting to believe that diplomacy alone ensures peace, but that ignores reality. Ireland has long relied on the security provided by allies and partners, yet there is often a sense of moral superiority in rejecting military preparedness. This attitude, dismissing NATO as warmongers while enjoying the peace and prosperity it helps guarantee, is not just hypocritical but also strategically short-sighted. Worse, freeloading on the defense efforts of others while taking a moral high ground is not welcome by any allies, especially in the EU, where collective security and burden-sharing are fundamental principles.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭McGiver


    This is pure defeatist nonsense, rooted in a complete misunderstanding of the Kremlin and its regime, and likely influenced by Russian propaganda.

    So if Britain invaded Ireland tomorrow, would you simply shrug, wave a white flag, and call it a day? Or would you expect some form of defense?

    Your take on Russia is detached from reality, which is not surprising given the geographical distance. But distance is no excuse for ignorance. There is an abundance of reputable sources detailing Russia’s imperial ambitions over the last 200 years, all available to anyone willing to educate themselves. Your narrative conveniently ignores this history and, frankly, is offensive to Ukrainians. They are fighting for their sovereignty, freedom, and very existence. Yet, from the comfort of an Irish armchair, you suggest they should have simply surrendered. That is not pacifism, that is appeasement.

    This is not Ukraine’s first struggle for independence. It is one of several attempts over the past 150 years. The absurd claim that this war is some grand US orchestration, designed for America’s benefit or Europe’s detriment, is straight out of a Kremlin propaganda playbook.

    And as for NATO, it protects your skies while you criticize it from below.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭McGiver


    No, they won't have peace - peace with Russia is not possible in the current configuration. Any peace treaty with Russia is as worth as toilet paper, they won't honour it (dozens of examples in last 100 years). They would pause, rearm, and then attack again along with hybrid warfare e.g. install a puppet government that would fold itself.

    Peace with Russia is possible only when they are weak and temporarily cease their imperial aggressive ambitions. This was the case only during the late Gorbachev and early Yeltsin era, they were out-armed by Reagan, in chaos, and on their knees economically, that's why changes and peace were possible. Once they consolidated under early Putin, we have the same Russia back as we always had in the last few centuries - aggressive, expansionist, imperialist. Before that similar period of "peace" was in 1917 again because of internal chaos and the weak grip of the Kremlin on power.

    Russia without Ukraine is not a superpower or a major power (many reasons for this). That's why the founding republic of the USSR was Ukraine SSR, and that's why Russia always struggled to control Ukraine in the last several hundred years. Also, Russia cannot have a democratic prosperous Western-oriented Ukraine on its borders, it would cause internal pressure on the Kremlin regime and they cannot allow this.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭McGiver


    It's all a show and a game of chess. I think all parties know that, including Trump. This is the initial negotiation maneuver, the opening move in the game of chess, mostly optics. Because Zelensky in a smart move declared willingness to negotiate as he knew Putin rejected it and hence kicked the ball to Putin's court. Now, it was in his court and until yesterday he was trying all sorts of nonsense like a) won't negotiate at all, then b) won't negotiate with Zelensky as he's illegitimate, c) will negotiate with the Parliament etc.

    There's no way Zelensky will cede territory or agree to something that's basically an equivalent of the Munich Treaty for Czechoslovakia in 1938.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,379 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    It's pretty galling that Putin will be rewarded in some shape or form with the inevitable deal that will come about .I



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,332 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    You were getting a little overexcited and aroused yourself, claiming that thanks to Trump, NATO will return to pre 1997 borders and also Ukraine will be armtwisted to just cede Odesa to Putin (+ other large cities in S. and E.)!

    It kind of gives the lie to all your other posts about the strength and military might of Russia!

    After 3 years of war, "Emperor" Trump is going to swoop down as Putin's deus ex machina, do what his faltering armies could not and deliver everything on a plate.

    I don't think the US has that power here, unless they actually switch sides, and start to militarily or economically aid Russia or something.

    Trump has disappointed and stiffed many people who put their faith in him to deliver for them over the years.

    Post edited by fly_agaric on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭macraignil


    Ukraine's arms industry has been growing for the last three years and so has the capacity to arm them from other EU countries. The best hope for peace in Europe is a strong military in Ukraine to defend Europe from an expansionist dictatorship that regards openly subjecting people to terrorism as an acceptable strategy. When it comes down to the two sides in Ukraine not agreeing on what should be the outcome to putin's attacks, will Trump be OK with the arms industry in the USA having to go idle and the republican party dominated states having growing unemployment so his party will loose its grasp on power in the USA?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭brickster69


    According to Trump first face to face talks will be carried out in Saudi Arabia. Invitations to Washington and Moscow looks likely at some point after. No dates are set yet.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,322 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    What's to stop Putin starting future wars or invasions?

    This war. Almost no matter how it pans out. Putin's not going to get what he wanted, just like Crimea is lost to Ukraine. He'll sell it to his own as a win and they'll lap it up and memory hole the rest, as usual. He's left with many tens of thousands dead, never mind injured, never mind mentally destroyed, a depleted military that was held back by an inferior in number force and in a conventional war with it and his economy is… well, fecked. You can't write off 21% interest rates and 10% inflation as an accounting error(and them's official stats). China has him by the short hairs too. Putin's appetite for further nonsense will be severely reduced and if he tries to kick off again he could face pushback at home. "But I thought we won?".

    Europe now knows America can no longer be trusted(as others have found in the past). WW2 and post WW2 realities are finally over. I can certainly see nuclear proliferation kicking off. It's now the one guarantee against actual invasion, by anyone. With America's nuke umbrella and trust gone, well… Britain has them, France has them. I'd be shocked if Poland, Finland, Spain Italy etc weren't looking at cooking up their own.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,574 ✭✭✭rogber


    This was inevitable and what everyone with clear vision predicted would happen with Trump. All this "Trump doesn't like to be a loser so he won't let Putin win" stuff was fantasy thinking and forgetting the fact that Trump doesn't live in the world of reality. He still thinks he won the 2020 election and will easily be able to convince himself that abandoning Ukraine is a victory in terms of "ending the Joe Biden war".

    Europe needs to learn from this and get its house in order fast. But it won't be fast enough to save Ukraine from a cruel "peace", I fear



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,322 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    And then (hopefully in the future) negotiate the future of the disputed territory through the will of the people that live there who recognise as Ukrainians and Russian.

    Unlikely, or difficult anyway. A huge number of pro Ukraine people understandably left when it kicked off, others have been killed and imperial mindsets do what imperial mindsets do, install planters to shore up a landgrab. Look northerly here for a historical example and compare and contrast the ethnic demographics of Crimea from a century ago to today. The entire "New World" exists because of it, as does the biggest nation on earth, Russia. Put it another way; White Europeans are not indigenous to Vladivostok.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,365 ✭✭✭Field east


    Unless NATO changes some of its rules and make UKr eg. AN ASSOCIATE member . Eg if the 2% expenditure on arms was lowered to .2 % for associate members . I know that that is a very simple example but ‘you get my drift’



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,775 ✭✭✭Homelander


    I wouldn't be leaping to any foregone conclusion that Trump wants to just hand Putin everything he wants on a platter for countless reasons.

    First, Putin has signed into legislation four zones, none of which Russia controls fully - Putin is likely to make unreasonable demands on these zones unacceptable to the US let alone Ukraine itself.

    Ukraine itself has free agency, it does not have to agree to any unrealistic or highly unfavorable deal. It also holds land in Kursk Russia is struggling badly to regain.

    Trump himself repeated what Hegseth said that it's unlikely that Ukraine will get it's pre-2014 borders back - I don't think that's any sort of stunning revelation, eg Crimea being an obvious point.

    But Trump also said - and this is getting a bit lost - Ukraine will get "some" of its land back.

    I suspect Putin will discover pretty quickly that he doesn't hold all the cards some people seem to think he holds.



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