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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,920 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Yes there are plenty doing this too, it's not ideal and distorts the market, often increasing prices.

    A lot are giving "early inheritance" eg parents have 2 children, one bought a house years ago, other gets 30k from the parents for a deposit now, written into the new will that the first child gets 30k more from the sale of the house. You're all for inheritance being a solution so you should be fine with this.

    It doesn't change the fact that your mates getting their parents to give up a part of their garden so they can illegally live there rent free is sponging.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    In fairness, a lot of people get no help whatsoever from their parents. My dad is the kind of person who takes a bizarre pride in being broke, and my mom didn't have anything to spare beyond a few thousand for furniture. I was completely on my own, and I think a lot of people are.

    That said, can anyone blame a parent for giving their children money to buy a home? If I had a son or a daughter, I'd be willing to spend a fortune to get them set up with a house, and I've already started investment funds for my nephews in this regard.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,920 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    I didn’t disagree with it in my post, never called it sponging, the other post insinuated that.
    All I said was it’s not ideal for house prices or really for FTB’s and it distorts the market between those with parents willing and able to provide a large lump sum opposed to those who don’t have it and have scrimped and saved to get their deposit.
    Myself and my partner received no gift or inheritance from either of our parents. It was offered from her side but I preferred that we stick to our means and what we could afford with our savings.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    Madness gets wilder by the day.

    Must be the ugliest house of 1 million. I wouldn't mind sellers were looking at 750k for similar houses a year ago.

    Another year a top up of 250k, wild. Crappy located in Clontarf too

    https://www.myhome.ie/residential/brochure/13-the-paddocks-clontarf-dublin-3/4904500

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    It's a fine looking house in a great location. I guess a million is the new 800k…

    Anyone who is waiting for a reversal of prices would do well to just buy something. I don't think this is stopping any time soon.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 986 ✭✭✭some random drunk


    Who wouldn't want to pay over a million for the opportunity to live opposite Mr Gerard Hutch?

    https://www.dublinlive.ie/news/dublin-news/armed-gardai-continuing-patrol-gerry-27514979

    Edit: add link



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,769 ✭✭✭spillit67


    I actually do not believe most care about homelessness. Well they care, but whilst normalisation is part of it, I think the real factor is that it was the tip of the iceberg for a broader societal issue. It was immediate and in plain site and people could manifest their own unhappiness with their housing situation.

    Since 2020, first time buyers accelerated. So whilst homelessness got worse, it wasn’t as big an issue.

    I think when we look back at 2020 it will be determined that it was the perfect point in time for housing to be the issue. As mentioned, the generation most screwed over by the global financial crisis and housing were all reaching or already in their 30s. In 2020 housing still seemed an impossibility. I don’t believe that is the case anymore, although I accept there remains a lot of anger out there on it which motivates some voters. Just not as many as 2020.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Well, on the upside, you'd never need to worry about being burgled!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,351 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    Just to give you more insight on how different things were back then. There are houses in Dublin 3 selling for around 2million that I remember being abandoned. Not just empty and boarded up but nobody claimed ownership of them. If you did track down somebody that might own it they would outright deny it.

    While you think your parents had "ordinary" jobs to be able to afford a house in Dublin 3 ( assuming you aren't talking North Strand) you don't understand how the employment market was then compared to now. I'll take a guess that at least one was a civil servant or worked in a bank/insurance. There was massive unemployment and those with stable jobs that might be considered "ordinary" now were earning more than the majority and 2 salaries was unusual. They would have been considered well off.

    Within 5 years house prices started going up fairly fast then amazingly rapidly. More people had employment at around the same wages and pushed up prices along with people earning more so more houses were built. Then people started by extra property, many made money and sold up or have rental income.

    Things change for better or worse. There is a huge amount of housing under occupied all around Dublin which will slowly come to the market over the next decade. The occupants are just getting old



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,854 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Very true, yet people object to schemes like HtB, which helps young people bridge that affordability gap and start the process of "building a life" for themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,854 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    This was my point also.

    Its the cost of housing that skews the total value of the benefits upwards.

    Once you are paying 30 euro a week for an apartment that rents for 2.5k per month on the private market, the equivalent income you are earning exceeds the income of someone working full time, even in an above average salaried job!

    The answer is more housing and state built/owned housing, in tandem with no govt inteference in the private market.

    Yet the simple fact is that not enough homes are being built to address the housing shortage and so the govt has no choice but to commandeer private housing, which then pushes up prices further in the private market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,854 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Dont give up the ghost QT and I hope it works out for you.

    Are you able to avail of Help To Buy, to bridge the deposit gap?

    Can you commute to work from a little further afield, where prices may be cheaper than the area you are currently in?

    Once you are on the property ladder, you have leverage to trade up in the future; so dont look at the first purchase as being your last, but more of a starter home & then a stepping stone to the next property.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    That boomer rant again doesn't address the question in the slightest. You stated "the benefit system gives you a better standard of living than working/bettering yourself does".

    I've asked twice now how exactly living on 244e a week on the benefit system would do that for you, but you don't seem to have an answer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    2.5k rent is picking an extreme figure to suit your narrative, though.

    The median national rent in 2024 was €1,612 for new tenants, €1,391 for existing tenants. Which given your 3.1k net income would allow for 1500e-1700e income left over - far far above the 204e a week someone living in social housing on JSA would have to live on.

    And that also completely ignores the fact that someone on €45k in employment will have their income going up every year as they get promoted / more senior, within a few years the income gap will be even larger.

    And its also completely ignoring the 10+ year wait for a social housing unit, to even get into that position.

    Again, the stats are really clear - we have very few long term unemployed people in Ireland. Which would suggest in the real world its not actually that cushy a lifestyle. As would the fact that the people who claim "sure you'd be better off not working" are in fact not doing exactly that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    The latest figure I can see is 150k approx on DA. Is that disproportionate based on our demographics? What figure would be proportionate?

    The CSO says 1,109,557 people reported having a long-lasting condition/difficulty or disability to any extent in 2022.

    So only a very small proportion of them are successfully claiming DA from the looks of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,854 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Yes, my point above is that the issue is skewed by the cost of housing, which is obviously higher in Dublin.

    Average rents in Dublin are 2.1k pm, so a renter working on 45k & taking home 3.1k is really no better off than someone paying 120 euro a month for subsidised rents.

    Dont forget that if the person on Subsidised Rents is not working, or is only working part time, they have the huge added advantage of free time.

    Time is money.

    Factor that into an hourly rate, and very quickly the part time worker/unemployed person living in the same apartment block as a full time worker on 45k, arguably has the better deal.

    Also, an average worker on 45k probably wouldnt pass the stress test to rent an average property in Dublin anyway.

    That says it all.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Factor that into an hourly rate, and very quickly the part time worker/unemployed person living in the same apartment block as a full time worker on 45k, arguably has the better deal.

    Also, an average worker on 45k probably wouldnt pass the stress test to rent an average property in Dublin anyway.

    The average worker on 45k has the option to take a paycut to 40k and qualify for social housing supports.

    That also says it all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭The Student


    If you can't understand my post that's on you not me. Other posters have and they have clicked on the thanks button.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,854 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    That the unemployed/part time worker is better off than the average full time worker?

    Yep, you are right. It does say it all.



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    A worker on 40k a year in receipt of social housing is better off than most irrespective of whether they're working full time or part time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,854 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Is 40k the max income to qualify for social housing?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    People object to HTB because it's inflationary. I accept your point, however.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Boomers don't really exist in Ireland as they do over in the USA. I think the closest we get is what I call Generation Live Aid…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,854 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Looks like the govt are considering removing the rent cap, to help incentivise private developers back into Ireland.

    Its been clear that the cap is a deterrent to investment, but will the govt make what would be a very difficult decision and scrap the cap?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 383 ✭✭Montys return


    There's a paradox that I'm yet to hear a good answer to at the heart of a debate about removing RPZ.

    The idea is that we need to increase supply to meet demand to decrease high rents. To increase supply prices need to appreciate to provide viability to developers. To incentivize investors to finance apartments, we need to get rid of RPZ.

    Getting rid of RPZ will increase the rate for existing tenancies.

    I don't see how this solves the problem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Removing the rental cap is definitely a sensible thing to do, but just imagine the backlash. Be queues of 70 year olds trying to tell their tragic stories of price increases

    Just can’t see them biting that bullet. Although if you were going to. The start of a 5 year term would be the time. Hopefully you’d start to see the benefits of decision before next election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,769 ✭✭✭spillit67


    This was from 2016 so would need to see an update

    http://www.publicpolicyarchive.ie/characteristics-of-households-with-very-little-wor/



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,769 ✭✭✭spillit67


    I find it funny that this element of supply and demand is accepted by the type of people who deny it for other interventions.

    HTB has been highly successful in the context of the Irish housing market. The Irish housing market has so many levels of intervention that make the “we let the free market at it” utterly laughable.



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