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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Sure you can have your own opinion there, but if a lot of people in the States seem to worship him as some sort of political demigod, then yes it would be fair to say that he's charismatic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,722 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    He isn't going to be good for Ireland so why do some here support him?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,427 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    So he is going to make Health Care more expensive for Americans?

    Genius.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,722 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    So was Hitler.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Tariffs just mean higher prices for the customer unless there is a domestic industry that the tariffs are designed to protect. If America can't produce enough pharmaceuticals of its own, then it's still going to import them.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    If it's 2% we might lose relatively little. If it's 10/15% jobs will go in Ireland. We lose competitiveness overnight. It makes drugs made here uncompetitive in the US because they'll be more expensive vs their US competitors. Doesn't matter if the consumer pays it or not.

    ThIs is Lutnik's work, not Trump's. He knows exactly how to put an end to our "nonsense", as he put it.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,542 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    No one is going to displace their manufacturing hubs on the basis of temporary tariffs from a crazy man, that will impact everywhere in Europe anyway. Trade wars impact everyone so it won't be good news, but I have no idea where you think industrial level manufacturing is going to just up and leave to. Many of the drugs the US imports from Ireland aren't even made anywhere else.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Problem arises that plenty of companies simply don't necessarily have access to the facilities or infrastructure depending on the drugs. So matching the production magically in the US isn't gonna happen. So it'll hit Ireland to some extent but moreso it'll hit those who need the drugs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,394 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Also worth pointing out pharmaceuticals under patent can't just easily be reproduced. Think Ozempic from Denmark.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 571 ✭✭✭Stanley 1


    RBB should spend a month internship with Primark, sourcing/management/shipping side might teach to keep his mouth shut about things he knows SFA about.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Yeah, when Trump speaks of tariffs, he doesn't mention much about a plan to replace these foreign imports with domestic industry and lots of new jobs for Americans to go with it. He just speaks about how these tariffs will be great for the US treasury, and to be fair I suppose that extra tax/duties is never bad for a country's treasury, but it certainly won't be good for the pocket books of all the Americans who voted Trump back in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,535 ✭✭✭techdiver


    I believe it's messaging. There had always been disaffected people especially young men, but the reach of fringe elements would have been limited in the past. Now with social media and the instant dissemination of information the likes of Rogan, Tate, etc have an instant audience. In the past people like that would have not had such a widespread outlet and would be treated rightly as fringe elements.

    If you look at the shift in youth vote towards Trump you can see the problem. Young people have historically been more liberal and voted that way yet between 2020 and 2024 the 18 - 29 year old male went from 56% Biden to 56% Trump. That is a massive swing.

    The issue is it's not just young men who have fallen foul of the social media rabbit hole. The older generation also.

    Now I know that the above is merely diagnosing rather than suggesting a solution. There is no easy answer. The cat is out of the bag with these charlatans and the have brainwashed the masses. That is not an easy thing to reverse. What "the other side" need to do is to offer a viable alternative. The issue is sanity and nuance doesn't sell as easy as conspiracy theories and "red pill" propaganda. Social media had hanged the game. I'm an IT professional, so was always quick off the mark with new technologies. I was on Facebook early, twitter out the gate but not long into it I could spot the issues. It became clear when less tech savvy people like my parents generation started using social media and were treating everything the read with the same credence as legitimate news sources. I spent so much time trying to drill into them the same policy I have with social media. "Assume everything you read is complete bullshit until you reliably verify it with multiple reputable sources". I think we might have lost an entire generation of young men to this thinking. So I think the focus needs to be to offer something else to the next generation as opposed to these brainless red pill types.

    I know it's a bit of a ramble without any clear solutions but it's what my thoughts are at the moment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,252 ✭✭✭crusd


    In the case where pharmaceutical drugs are manufactured here for a US company, the manufacturing price bares no semblance whatsoever to the sales price in the US. A 25% tariff would result in a margin of 975% instead on 1000% for the pharma company.

    The policy itself is performative to con the simple minded into believing they are doing something. If they wish to bring this policy to its claimed conclusion of re-establishing the manufacturing base it would require 100's of billions of capital investment by the manufacturers and 100's of thousands of immigrants coming to staff the pharma plants - probably at higher wages than locals. That will go down well.

    Also, in 2022 Ireland exported $36 dollars of pharma products to the US. 18% of total US pharma imports. I highly doubt the figures provided.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,394 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Does anyone know what kind of pharma gets exported? If Pfizer IRL produces a pill under patent for 10¢ and exports it Pfizer US, which sells it on to the public for €10, which value is placed on the export, 10¢ I assume? So even a 100% tariffs can easily be absorbed. Customer ain't gonna notice a 10¢ increase.

    It's obviously not as simple as that, but with everything Trump related, nothing is thought through.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Yep, it's pretty simplistic thinking that Trump's tariffs will be drastically impacting companies long term strategies in terms of operations etc. Plus they're well aware that those tariffs will piss off consumers more than anything. So come the midterms etc if he carries on this way, it won't go well for the GOP.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    This outbreak has been going on since last year and is at the tail end, with most people affected being cured at this stage. The 2 deaths occured early last year, not recently. Don't know why it has suddenly become worldwide news or can be blamed on the new administration, or the previous. Here is an article from August about it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 571 ✭✭✭Stanley 1


    Got the smarts that girl, blaming egg prices on Biden culling 100m chickens from 2022 onwards - which coincided with avian flu epidemic which is ongoing today, saying something about it all happened whilst he was asleep upstairs, looks like we have another MTG type on the premises.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 571 ✭✭✭Stanley 1


    Be inclined to replace orator with liar.

    Millar has to back his boss.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,252 ✭✭✭crusd


    Depending on the company there are likely 2 separate Pfizer entities. For arguments sake lets call them Pfizer Manufacturing Ireland Ltd and Pfizer Sales Ireland Ltd.

    In a hypothetical scenario Pfizer Manufacturing Ireland makes the pill for $1 each and "sells" them to Pfizer sales Ireland Ltd for $1 each. Pfizer Sales ltd then adds the cost of sales etc on to this to this which would include logistics, R&D etc so for arguments sake overall $2 each unit. Pfizer sales then sell them to the US a $10 each and the rest of the world at $2.20 each. Profits are taxed at 12.5% in Ireland. This is the model many companies have. I don't know do Pfizer and I do know that some pharma companies based here dont have their sales entity based here.

    In the case of a 20% Tariff, it would now cost $12 in the US. The cost of Pfizer transferring manufacturing to the US would be billions. This cost would be applied financially prior to sale and the write of cost of the Irish asset would also be applied



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 571 ✭✭✭Stanley 1


    If you want to get the old leg over, you make a good point but for truthful content, it ain't going to be coming from her mouth and sounds like a new area for podcasters like Joe Rogan, will Barron come down @ weekends, hang out with them, crack the whip.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,706 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,722 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    I read that Canada is to hit back with tarrifs of its own. Energy seems to be the main issue.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 41,630 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    You've been at this chicken little thing for a decade now. What do you get out of it?

    Trump said he'll invade Greenland but the centrists say he's just winding us up. I'll be interested when I actually see said tariffs.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,414 ✭✭✭✭jimmycrackcorm


    The US will simply allow patents to be ignored and legalize reverse engineering to produce generics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    My worry is that it may, in fact, be thoroughly thought through. There must be some people in Trump's circle who'd stand to gain immensely from tariffs. I sincerely doubt it'll be anyone in the American general public unless they can ramp up domestic production of goods on an unprecedented scale.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,595 ✭✭✭francois


    Currently watching worm brain's confirmation hearings, an utter sh1tshow.

    His cousin Caroline's letter to senators is quite revealing, she calls him a predator who introduced other family members to drugs

    Untitled Image


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,769 ✭✭✭Patrick2010


    He’s not in long but already democracy in America is falling apart. Just today he signed off on another EO ordering federal agencies to identify and deport any foreign students on visas who took part in protests against the bombing of Gaza.

    Meanwhile some MAGA billionaire threatened to fund the primaries of opponents to any senators who don’t ratify RFK jr. Big business has really taken over the funding of the GOP



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,033 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Absolutely! I have no doubt.

    Sure the only thing stopping Congress from insider trading is paper thin oversight.

    With trump selling Trump coin, effectively there is no paper trail to contributions. It's a ****ING free for all.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    He used to put chickens and live mice in a blender, perfectly standard behavior. The other one in relation to the drugs, he was also supposedly dealing. Once again though, the RFK advocates are avoiding this topic entirely.



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