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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,466 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,091 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


     In 2024, Russia plans to produce 2.7 million shells, says Vadym Skibitskyi

    The representative of the Defence Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense spoke about the state of the military industry of the aggressor state, cooperation between Moscow and Pyongyang in the field of weapons, as well as the role of F-16 aircraft, which are very feared in Russia.

    ▪️ In February 2024, the Russians planned to launch 130 missiles of the Iskander, Kalibr, Kh-101, Kh-32, and Kinzhal classes.

    ▪️ A center has been created in Russia that replaces foreign components, especially electronic bases, with Russian-made elements. They are worse in quality, not so perfect, but they allow you to produce weapons.

    ▪️ Now the Russians are using missiles manufactured in the fourth quarter of 2023 ― that is, straight from the assembly line. We see that the missiles cease to meet the declared characteristics, their quality is deteriorating.

    ▪️ Last year, the Russians produced about 2 million shells of 122 mm and 152 mm.

    ▪️ In 2024, the Russians plan to produce 2.7 million shells. We will see whether these plans will be implemented, because it requires modernization of production, deconservation or the creation of new lines.

    ▪️ The Russians have already taken out all the ammunition from Belarus, now there is nothing to take from there.

    ▪️ The Russians have already received 1.5 million shells of 122 mm and 152 mm from North Korea. These are ammunition of 70-80 years, half of them do not work.

    ▪️ In exchange for the supply of shells, missiles and other weapons, Pyongyang seeks to receive military technology from Moscow to build its military-industrial complex.

    ▪️ In particular, North Korea is asking the Kremlin for technologies related to nuclear weapons. Russia must be held accountable for this.

    ▪️ Nuclear blackmail is a very powerful tool that the Russian Federation uses to influence political processes, in particular, in Europe.

    ▪️ The aggressor state, russia, has about 300 combat aircraft against us.

    ▪️ The F-16 is one of the means that will allow, in particular, to destroy Russian aircraft used for bombing strikes. Then there will be no more 75 enemy bombs on Avdiivka in just one day, or on Krynky, where the Russians dropped, for example, 35-45 bombs on one of our small bridgeheads.

    ▪️The Kremlin is very afraid that powerful Western equipment will come to Ukraine, so the aggressor has set itself the task of destroying both our aviation and infrastructure.

    ▪️ The Russian Federation is forming a so-called "volunteer corps" for 18,000 people, which includes former Wagner mercenaries. This process is managed by the Ministry of Defense of the aggressor state. These "veterans' brigades" operate on the principle of "Wagner" — constant assaults and achieving results at any cost.

    ▪️ Foreigners recruited by Russia, including Africans and Syrians, go to war in order to escape at the first opportunity and then get to Europe.

    I find these detailed reports very interesting. I'm getting a sense that Russia is really hurting now and that their capacity to keep any intensity going is near over. Their ability to perform mechanised assaults is near done, a few days ago Ukraine claimed to have taken out 47 artillery pieces in a day; they are basically out of tanks.

    Last year was particularly grim for Ukraine but now it's the Orcs turn.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,466 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,226 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    Was it really a "detailed report" though, or just a press-release? And by whom? You don't give the source. Either way, the real interest would lie in matching those forecasts from a year ago to the reality as it played out in the twelve months afterwards.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,226 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    Meanwhile, overnight the Second Greatest Army In The World has successfully destroyed a McDonalds, a water main and the entrance to a metro station.

    Budanov promised us a lot of action in 2025, but I wasn't expecting it to be this active and so soon. Obviously there's a strategic value in destroying fuel supplies to the front line, as well as literally burning Russia's most valuable export inside Russia. But is this also a subtle message to Trump, i.e.: Putin has no "ahhhh, but nukes!" red line that cannot be crossed?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,091 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Seems fairly detailed to me.

    Source: Оперативні новини ЗСУ, ситуація на фронті та все про Україну🇺🇦
    Співпраця, надіслати фото/відео: @oper_ZSU (буваю з поганим зв'язком)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,226 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    And that is … ? Some random guy on Twitter/Telegram/Bluesky, or an official outlet - and if so, whose? And is the slab of text you posted earlier your translation of what they posted, or their translation? And is it a summary of their own investigation or were they redistributing information provide to them by third parties, and if so who?

    And above all, how did that forecast for 2024 match the reality of what happened in 2024? The only point in posting twelve-month old predictions is to help us assess the reliability of the sources who compile the information.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 837 ✭✭✭junkyarddog


    Interesting,I guess they consider the US under Drumpf will become an unreliable partner.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 837 ✭✭✭junkyarddog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,366 ✭✭✭Field east




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,236 ✭✭✭✭AndyBoBandy


    Ukraine targets Russian Military & Money

    Russia targets Ukrainian Metro’s & McDonalds

    Russia are scum.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,091 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Schulz.jpg

    Eloquent photo.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,093 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    velyka.png

    Another key anchor point of the Ukrainian defence is about to fall, Velyka Novosilka.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,171 ✭✭✭deadduck


    a little bit of reading for those on here who would still tell us NK troops aren’t fighting along side Russia:



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,091 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Remember that Orc freighter, the Ursa Major, that sank half way between Spain and Algeria? It was carrying some heavy cranes to fit out a port with but it seems it also was carrying something the Orcs want back fairly badly because they have sent one of their specialist deep sea sabotage/salvage spy ships to try and recover it - the Yantar. Must be worth a lot and impossible for the Orcs to replace the way their economy is headed.

    Russian Spy Ship Yantar.jpeg

    It's suggested that something is a couple of reactor lids for an ice-breaker they are building.

    I'd love to see something tragic happen to that spy ship, like a sea-baby paying a visit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,236 ✭✭✭✭AndyBoBandy


    The (alleged) 2nd army of the world folks…

    b027cca5-f566-4fcd-bc81-4db81f5ebd30.png edc05d74-ff85-4ffa-b2ef-52afc38b273d.png 0ed32091-aeef-4b30-9538-593881a44357.png 50ce3645-c099-49ad-a606-bd08bfe9a690.png

    Hopefully not long now…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,900 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    the first pic is so similar to the ones you’d see of the Nazis stuck in the mud in Russia and being pushed along.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,091 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Looks like the Kyiv Post doesn't agree with your AI accusation.

    Yuriy Bondar, who served in Ukraine’s 80th separate airborne assault “Galician Lions” brigade, writing on Facebook said his unit was one of the first of Ukraine’s armed forces (AFU) to engage with North Korean troops in the Kursk region, adding that Pyongyang’s troops should not be underestimated:

    “They are extremely resilient, extremely well-trained, and morally stable.”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,870 ✭✭✭yagan


    I don't doubt the NK troops were well trained, but being well drilled in 1950s tactics isn't of much use against drones. I can well imagine Ukrainians warning against complacency as in close quarters the NK could be a formidable adversary, so the message very much is to get them before they get near you.

    The morally stable description is the most important as their military discipline means they'll take themselves out to take you out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,226 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    On the contrary: that Kyiv Post article is another load of words with little substance. Who is Yuriy Bondar? Why no photo of him? Much reference is made to a Facebook post of his - but where's the link to that post? And he "served" - past tense - with the "Galician Lions"; when did he serve, for how long, and why isn't he serving with them now? The NKs are still fighting in Kursk, why isn't he?

    Most of the world's media has been really lazy for a couple of decades, doing nothing more than republishing someone else's original press release, but ten, twenty years ago, there was at least a decent chance that a human - for whatever reason - had written that original article using their own brain. Nowadays, it's more than likely the "content" that fills the media space is generated by bots and "language models".

    There's one party in this conflict that has vested interest, and been proven to have engaged in, deliberately feeding misinformation into the mainstream and social media. That makes it more important than ever for people re-posting whatever pops up on their feed to cite original sources and make at least a bit of effort to see if the claims ring true.

    I stand by my assertion that this is pure fluff, especially because the key phrases used were all circulated in Nov/December, and we've had two months to see for ourselves that yes, the NKs are very disciplined … but we can also see for ourselves that they have been hopelessly inept in battle compared to the hard-core Wagner troops, getting themselves wiped out by the hundreds every day. It sounds like "Yuriy Bondar" is comparing these trained NK soliders - elite by NK standards - to the untrained prison recruits used by Wagner, not the real Wagner forces.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,091 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    You remind me of Gatling and his protracted arguments over the authenticity of links devolving usually to hard fought rear-guard actions over the quality of the links once the authenticity argument was lost by him.

    Here is yet another article about Sergeant Yurii Bondar "Shaman"s assessment of the Koreans, with a photo of him. He's a combat medic. I found significant other evidence for his existence pre dating current events and precising his service history.

    Yuri Bondar shaman.jpg

    That article also links to his facebook post.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,226 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    Fair enough - but why didn't you post that first, instead of an uncredited, copy-and-pasted block of text?

    At least then we could have seen his unfiltered words, which were … well, only telling us what we already knew from two months ago, and even before then. Just because a news website, or news aggregator, publishes something in mid-January doesn't mean it's news.

    PS, it's not "yet another" article - it's the same reprint of the Facebook post as the other two. See point above about lazy journalism.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,466 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Anyone seeing the tweets about UAF advancing again in Kursk?

    Lots of tweets, it nothing confirmed what I can see!

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,466 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,466 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    When was the deadline to retake Kursk again?

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 675 ✭✭✭Avatar in the Post


    Dear “Celtic”Rambler, your concern is noted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 828 ✭✭✭Exiled Rebel


    The apartments he had blown up? I read a US Congress report a few years back which explained the rationale behind the bombings was to form a pretext for the war in Chechnya and solidify his position.

    A bad egg to say the least.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,466 ✭✭✭zv2


    Yes. It became a bit comical at one point-

    "A suspicious device resembling those used in the bombings was found and defused in an apartment block in the Russian city of Ryazan on 22 September.

    [3][4] On 23 September, Vladimir Putin even praised the vigilance of the inhabitants of Ryazan and ordered the air bombing of Grozny, which marked the beginning of the Second Chechen War.

    [5] Three Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) agents who had planted the devices at Ryazan were arrested by the local police.

    [6] The next day, FSB director Nikolai Patrushev announced that the incident in Ryazan had been an anti-terror drill and the device found there contained only sugar, and freed the FSB agents involved."

    1999 Russian apartment bombings - Wikipedia

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,466 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    When did this fcuk have a change of heart?

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 567 ✭✭✭Bitcoin


    After all the orc hype that they would easily push Ukraine out of Kursk, it's actually the reverse that's happening. The Ukrainians are inflicting devastating casualties and are gaining even more territory.



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