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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,856 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Unfortunately, we live in a capitalist world. If we want goods and services, we need to pay for them.

    Dems the rules.

    Don't hate the player, hate the game and all that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Oh don't think I'm some sort of redditor communist; I'm not. Nothing is free in life, and all must be worked for, but that doesn't mean that I'm a neo-lib!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,675 ✭✭✭✭o1s1n
    Master of the Universe


    Are you talking about 'Ireland' or 'the planet' when you say 'infinite growth'?

    They're both two completely different issues which you are conflating.

    Do you not what to see economic growth in the country?

    What would you like to see instead?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The issue is that they take in the equivilant of there total staff through work permits every 3 years. There skills don't expire after 6 months

    I worked in what became a Dawn meats plant in the early 90's. Only 20% of the staff require the skills you speak of at peak times. They were all Irish back then. In an era of full employment very few want to work in a meat factory, that includes those coming in on work permits, there clearly moving on to other roles in other sectors.

    Its a work permit processing operation with a beef processing operation attached



  • Posts: 553 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    🤣🤣 We need more multi national companies not less or any cap whatsoever on them.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    We are currently at full employment, so every person In this country who wants a job can get one.

    Why should we try to increase the population and GDP? What actual purpose is there for bringing in new FDI jobs when we do not have the workers available here right now?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    And, of course, we don't have the accommodation for the workers that are brought in to fill those positions.

    I think a lot of it is unexamined thinking from the 80s when we did have high unemployment and multinationals we're a way of creating jobs for the local population. It has now become embedded in the national psyche even though it no longer serves a purpose.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Excluding the apple tax payment 28billion was received in corporation taxes in 2024

    That would build 80,000 housing units @ 350k a pop

    Its so difficult to solve!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,856 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    There are hundreds of new homes delivered every week. MNC jobs aren't a tap that we can just switch on and off.

    A country needs to prove it is open for business and to FDI, if those same companies are to invest and ultimately stay here long term.

    It would be economic suicide to start turning those jobs away and would result in an exodus of FDI leeaving the country long term, closely followed by our educated youth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    I'm not suggesting turning off the tap. There will still need to be immigration but what we need to do is start looking at the cost of that immigration on the existing local population. We also need to start looking at what the country needs in terms of skills rather than merely a particular sector.

    Don't get me wrong. The multinationals have been good for this country and should not be driven out. But increasing the presence of them, and allowing their more or less unfettered ability to recruit from anywhere in the world needs to be balanced with the requirements of society.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,856 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I can't agree with you there, but of course we are all welcome to our opinions.

    MNC employment is the absolute engine room behind the economy and allows future irish generations access to great jobs and careers; opportunities that simply wouldn't exist here, were it not for the MNCs.

    There is no cost to society from MNC employment, since that 14% of the labour force pay the majority of the nations income tax, PRSI and USC!

    They are clear net contributors and wealth generators. Think of all the assocated jobs that benefit from that employment; small businesses in retail, hospitality, property maintenance and so forth.

    These people have money to spend in the economy and that spend generates more jobs in the local economy.

    We also need to remember that the number of MNC employees moving to the country each year is likely <20k. It isn't huge numbers, when you consider total immigration was 150k.

    Our focus should be on ramping up the housing delivery to accommodate the growing population and if we really need to curb immigration at some point, the net contributors are the last group we should be restricting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    You seem to be making out that I am arguing to get rid of MNCs. I am not and I have repeated that more than once on this thread. Please try to take on board what I am actually saying and argue with that rather than making up stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,856 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Fair enough. I took from your last post that you felt MNCs should not be able to recruit as they require.

    The more MNC jobs the better imo, but we shall see a slow down in recruittment anyway now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I'm not conflating anything; I just wasn't being specific.

    It's not possible to talk about Ireland in isolation in this regard because the model of perpetual GDP growth affects all countries, though more specifically those in the West. Consistently growing means more consumption each year, and as resources are finite, this is not going to last forever.

    I'm fully willing to admit that I'm a dreamer in this regard, but I would favour an economic model based on stability. This would mean, of course, less consumerism, less immigration and just less in general, but we have a responsibility to not destroy the environment and the social fabric of our countries as future generations are going to have to deal with the consequences.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    BlueSky if they had brains they would be going out and actively targeting the areas where we have a deficit and incentivizing doctors, nurses, builders etc to come in to the country short term 5 - 10 years and then for the long term re-prioritize our education system which seems hell bent on sending every one going to college no matter what, we need people who are good with their hands supported and encouraged to forge ahead in areas like plumbing, brick laying etc that do not need a college education. The funny thing is these trades are gang busters and a young lad popping out of school at 18 and getting an apprenticeship as say a sparks will give them a great wage once they have served their time.

    Your forgetting that the pulling back of people coming in will also mean less people needing operations and appointments and don't get me started on the HSE their budget is a joke and no matter what we pump in their return gets poorer maybe quelling the wave of population growth would help the HSE while they target additional staff in that time..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05




  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatInABox


    Does this happen in private developments, or does this only seem to happen when the council/government are the ultimate paymaster for the project?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,675 ✭✭✭✭o1s1n
    Master of the Universe


    'Less immigration' into Ireland doesn't make people vanish from the earth though. They're still living on the planet and consuming things. 'Less immigration into Ireland' doesn't solve anything on a planet wide level.

    If you want to talk on a planet scale you need to talk about somehow stemming global population growth, which I really don't think is relevant to the discussion at hand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Glenveagh are a very reputable builder. If I was a betting man, I suspect these ‘non compliance’ measures are trivial things that would regularly occur but never even be noticed in a private housing estate built for mere mortals. Details so far are scant. But it in the thousands of private estates built in the last few years, never heard of anything like this. First state one there is issues. Shocker.

    Classic example of why the state hands should be nowhere near housing. Nobody in a state role gives a sh*t about cost. It’s all about a*s covering. You have no upside for delivering in a cost efficient way, all you care about is no issues which could threaten your job. So they’ll add layers and layers of bureaucracy and hoops for Glenveagh to jump through to protect themselves, regardless of cost. All future affordable housing schemes will either have drastically fewer builders tendering and all will load prices to deal with the state and possible negative PR.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    People in the third world would not consume anywhere near the resources that they would in a first world country. We also would not have to build housing for them. This is, however, a separate matter as you correctly point out.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Glenveagh are a huge outfit, with huge amounts of contractors doing the actual work, in some cases supervisors and all are contracted. Some of those cut corners.

    The state is dead right to raise these issues. The real problem is that building control are not as proactive for private schemes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    That’s grand, as long as you are ok with the cost of housing delivery going up and therefore either higher prices or lower output.

    Regulation and minimum standards come at a cost in all walks of life. This has to be a balanced against cost. The state is incapable of doing that trade off



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Northern Ireland has an independent, low cost, insured, effective certification process which helps keep housing provision cost low.

    All these qualities are missing from Ireland's certification process which has evolved under FFG governance over a century with close ties to land and developer lobbyists

    The problem is hiding in plain sight

    How many pyrite issues were discovered in Northern Ireland, having the epicentre in Donegal and incidents all the way down to Limerick



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Without growth you endup in perpetual decline stagnation and recession

    There are plenty of countries in decline, stagnation and recession and surprise surprise people from those places try to get out and properties are worth feck all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Japan has been in stagnation for almost 2 decades, and yet it is consistently ranked among the best places to live in the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,856 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Japan has seen economic growth in recent years, post covid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Not sure properties being worth feck all is the main problem in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7 piberry


    Presumptive Canadian PM on the impact of Trudeau's policies to housing…

    Canada's Next Prime Minister | Pierre Poilievre | EP 511



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I think there's a reasonable middle ground between houses being worth feck all and houses being beyond the reach of the average earner, the latter of which being where we are going.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    I would agree if there wasn’t so much red tape around building of houses then the supply side would increase

    Instead we have people with no memories of Great Recession of 15 years or so back praying for a recession thinking it give them cheap houses forgetting that it was next to impossible to get a good job back then and be an “average earner” and hundreds of thousands had to emigrate

    The comparisons with Japan are funny seeing how it had one of the largest property bubbles ever in history (few square kilometres in Tokyo worth more than all properties in California) which took decades to unwound, a country with next to zero inward migration too and declining population unlike Ireland where our population grown 33% in 30 years



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