Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

Reports from Russians that Ukraine launched a large counter attack in the Kursk region this morning. No reports on how it's going just that it started. They think this is the attack that was possible in the Bryansk region. I guess we'll wait and see. They could hype this up to claim an early win in 2025 as it could be one of many smaller localised attacks Ukraine already conduct in Kursk.

Tomorrow marks 5 months since the Kursk invasion began. They still hold half of it and the biggest stronghold Sudzha is yet to come under direct attack. Russia has large pipeline infrastructure here so maybe they're wary of lumping glide bombs willy nilly.

Can't see them being pushed out in a month and if Ukraine continue to counter it could be another 5 months.

If this new incursion is successful, it'd be a double bloody nose for Putin. Not only was the Second Greatest Army in the world unable to stop another invasion, but it couldn't even do it while thousands of North Korea's finest were right there on the spot, supposedly helping them.

Once again, the timing - so soon after a series of direct attacks on the 810th Brigade - is suspiciously coincidental. One could almost believe there was a plan …

Isn't it a good job those Ukrainian lads were already in Kursk, able to cause headache and embarrassment to the Russians, instead of having been reassigned to the Donbas blitzkrieg zone, as proposed by certain posters here. Speaking of which, not much concerniking in evidence about Ukraine re-capturing land these last few days in the Chaziv Yar and Kremmina sectors.

https://x.com/Tendar/status/1875870401605079239

God speed. Hopefully the Ukrainian offensive goes well.

I'm wondering what their key objectives are.

Take more land and then switch back on the defensive live they've been doing and inflict mass casualties or is there a key strategic objective/town they're after ?

You can never cease to be amazed by the ingenuity of the Ukrainians and the sheer stupidity of the ruzzians.

The sole strategy of the orcs are predictable human meat wave attacks which get systematically destroyed by the Ukrainian defenders. The Ukrainian forces on the other hand pop up in the most unpredictable of places and inflict devasting blows on the fascist occupiers. Last month they helped topple putler's puppet regime in Syria, this weekend they are bringing the fight further into ruzzia. All putler can do is order some fresh new atrocity, like he did when he ordered the Azeri civilian plane to be shot down last week.

If this second incursion into Russia is successful it would be a significant victory for Ukraine, just at the correct time. Imo they need to make significant inroads quickly before the Russians get the chance to organise themselves. However, if the incursion peters out without making progress then it could undermine their ongoing defence of the land they captured in Kursk. A 'make or break moment' indeed.

Something for the expanding nato boys-

Guaranteed that if Putin fell out of a window tomorrow Trump would be straight out with "I always knew he was a loser".

Watch this space eh?

By all accounts, the Russians have been completely blinded by Ukraine's electronic warfare - drones, internet and radio communications all messed up. Which means Ukraine must have created for themselves an alternative comms system that operates outside the usual parameters. Something else to add to their catalogue when they start selling their tech to NATO forces and others. :-)

I'll just add that Russia are already prepared for defense in Kursk so gains here will be relatively small most likely. Ukraine think it's important to hold Kursk longer so they can't stay on attack all the time.

It could however divert more Russians if they make a little progress which could open up a better opportunity elsewhere. Ukraine seem only really prepared to counter in optimal conditions when the ground is either frozen or dry to minimise losses.

Ukraine have used impressive jamming for this operation yet still take armoured losses because Russia now use FPV drones connected by fiber optic cables. Ukraine do likewise but these developments will continue to make it harder for either side to connect.

IMO this is a typical Russian tactic. Spread rumours of an unobtainable goal for Ukraine so they can call it a failure no matter what. I'd never have believed the Kursk operation was possible so I'll never say never but just keep in mind this is a very common tactic from Russia.

I still believe this is to stabilise Kursk by expanding the zone a little and setting Russia back to where they were a month ago.