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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,171 ✭✭✭jmreire


    In Libya, they will find that they will have to deal with a 100 Khadaffi's…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,909 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    Yeah, it's a kind of latent thuggery or living vicariously through someone else's brutality toward those they see as weaker.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,840 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Massive amount of military hardware leaving Crimea over the last 48hours.

    Me thinking two things

    1. Possible full-on assault in Kherson

    2. Support and large scale assault to secure Kursk

    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,212 ✭✭✭yagan


    3. Getting hardware back towards Moscow to protect Putin's regime from mutiny.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,157 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Support and large scale assault to secure Kursk

    I reckon this is top priority ahead of regime change in Washington



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,648 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Citing national security China imposes sanctions of 28 US companies mainly from the military suppliers. Ten of these will totally be blocked from exporting or importing from China.

    Mod: Warned for irrelevant link dump

    Post edited by Leg End Reject on

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,925 ✭✭✭Rawr


    Getting a real Korean Airlines Flight 007 vibes from that. They've never been organisationally good at identifiying civilian aircraft have they?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,840 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    Very concerning. Once I figure out what it means for Ukraine, I will shed a tear for China shooting itself in the foot. They need US dollars more than the US need theirs.

    Save boards.ie by subscribing: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,335 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    4. Pulling material that's still in good condition out of Crimea, where it serves no useful purpose any more, before it's destroyed by drones and missiles.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,335 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    I wouldn't say this is quite the same, seeing as the more experienced commander was obviously aware of the fact that the "UFO" could have been something other than a drone, and went so far as to confirm it.

    A reply to that original thread provides an additional perspective:

    message continues :

    For EW experts, Ukraine war has proven one deniable fact. As the world grows more and more reliant on wireless systems, the spectrum is becoming unusable in war, and those around it. Take note... last week, a Ryan Air flight from Latvia to Vienna diverted to Czechia as it's navigation systems were being jammed... likely spillover from the Ukraine war. Folks on that plane were far luckier than those on the Azeri Air flight.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    He is just worried that his time to serve Dear Leader is approaching, have some empathy

    IMG_5606.jpeg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,648 ✭✭✭brickster69


    It means China has basically decoupled from US military suppliers. Chinese firms cannot export to them. It is like a boomerang for what the Us has done to them. Sort of like a tit for tat type thing.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,293 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    And it's seeming to be largely in response to supplying Taiwan. You planning to justify an invasion of Taiwan next?



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 21,785 Mod ✭✭✭✭Leg End Reject


    Mod: brickster69 can't come to the thread right now so please don't quote them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Drone strike on Russian largest energy export port outside StPetersburg

    Russians claiming all drones were shot down, but videos of **** exploding trickling out now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,925 ✭✭✭Rawr


    One thing I wonder about (and I doubt we’ll get reliable data on this while Putin’s lads are in charge) is that when critical infrastructure like this is destroyed or damaged beyond operation; are the Russians managing to repair / replace them?

    Do they even have the parts, skilled people or cash needed for such a repair? Do these facilities lie derelict in the hope that they can come back after the war and fix them? Could it be, that the Russians are so singularly focused on feeding their meat grinder, that they haven’t the means of headroom to consider maintaining the state they mostly inherited from the Soviets?

    It’s stuff like this I wonder about when I talk about the Ukrainians outlasting the Russian Federation in this war. As much as the Russians like to throw punches, I suspect that their spine is progressively decaying until one day they lose all motion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Before the war they regularly boasted about how all these shiny new refineries were done by Germans etc (eg Moscow Gazprom facilities that cost billions)

    Some of the earliest sanctions were oil gas equipment related and not many companies left operating there or being able to get paid

    The LNG facility in Arctic which was stolen from western companies that built it stopped operating last month due to lack of parts and knowhow



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,131 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 199 ✭✭Mannesmann


    Well put. Ukraine need to stay in the fight until they collapse. Putin dies or is deposed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,335 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    We are getting a reasonable amount of information, if you can find it down the right rabbit hole. For the most part, some repairs are carried out on some facilities, if it involves little more than a lad with a welder and easy access to a pile of scrap metal. But in that scenario, the hard part is getting the lad because he's currently lying dead in a ditch in Ukraine. There is an effort to get the more critical facilities back online/up to full capacity, but it's challenging, especially when it involves the more modern ones, as they're the sites that were upgraded with a lot of western technology.

    There was a not-widely-commented-upon post some time last year referencing an upsurge in the number of refineries within Ukraine's target area being put up for sale by their oligarch owners, entirely driven by the risk of them being bombed or the cost of repairing them because they'd already been bombed. I haven't seen any recent follow-up, but I would imagine the re-sale value of a refinery within 200km of the Ukrainian border is … poor.

    As for leaving them damaged and hoping to get them back online in the future, that's not really a viable option. Wherever there are breaches in tanks and pipelines, you'll get infiltrations of water and all the problems that that causes. By the time anyone is of a mind to re-start production, whole sections of the plant would have to be replaced; if they're not, it'd just result in a series of failures as hidden damage came to light.

    Unless the situation has improved, there is a ban on all exports of refined petroleum products from the Russian Federation at the moment - they barely meet their own needs, never mind sending barrels of it off to Africa or India. On the flip side, they can't send enough crude to third countries, because they no longer have the refining or storage capacity for what they suck out of the ground. If they stop that, then they're rightly fecked.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,636 ✭✭✭zv2


    First the east coast of the US, now this

    "20 unknown drones spotted near the Danish capital Copenhagen. Source: ''Associated Press''"

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,636 ✭✭✭zv2


    "A Russian commander behind the October 2023 missile attack on Hroza, which killed 59 people, including an eight-year-old, was critically injured in an explosion in Russia. Ukraine's Defense Intelligence reports he was hospitalized in critical condition."

    Post edited by zv2 on

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,909 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    What happened on the East coast of the US was morons not knowing what planes were. I wouldn’t link the two, unless it’s morons in Denmark looking for clicks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,329 ✭✭✭thomil


    It’s still doesn’t make sense. Køge, apart from apparently being hated by Autocorrect on my device, is just a small town south of Copenhagen with nothing really important or even interesting. It is close to the extended centerlines for Runway 04L and 04R at Copenhagen Airport, and close to two waypoints used in the ILS approach procedures for those two runways. I guess the person who first called the police just confused an approaching large aircraft with a formation of drones and when the police arrived, they simply spotted another, smaller aircraft. It’s worth adding that the sightings happened on Friday night.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Long thread here about this war and 2024

    tl.dr; not great but not terrible, from author of podcast on this war



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,909 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    I don’t know about what is happening in Denmark, but after the embarrassment for humanity that happened in New Jersey I just zone out when I hear about drones.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,925 ✭✭✭Rawr


    It could possibly be more of that nonsense yes.

    However it is worth noting the strategic significance of Denmark and specifically their control over access to the Baltic Sea. Russian “civilian” shipping can still pass through the waterways between the main Danish islands, but they are concerns that these ships are essentially Russia’s “shadow fleet” transporting goods to and from sanctioned nations. The Danes may soon start to stop and inspect these this ships, and I think the Russians have made (potentially toothless) threats to send naval escorts with their ships.

    Somehow I doubt the Russians would be thick enough to send a warship into a NATO nation, but the possibly for some kind of Russian screwup still exists.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 880 ✭✭✭junkyarddog


    Wonder who's picking up the tab for this little jaunt?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 880 ✭✭✭junkyarddog




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,840 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Yep. Big booms by all accounts.

    Be interesting to find out what the Ukrainians found worthy of striking

    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



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