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Cold Case Review of Sophie Tuscan du Plantier murder to proceed. **Threadbans lifted - see OP**

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 460 ✭✭Rooks




  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 42,846 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Bailey just happens to be the perfect fit.

    How So?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 460 ✭✭Rooks


    Anyone who is an oddball and has a history of domestic violence is a murderer, apparently. Oh, and they only murder just the once. Then it's out of their system.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 42,846 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    No, seriously, I'd like to hear why Bailey is supposedly a perfect fit for the person (or persons) who murdered Sophie and why he and not someone else.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    We can go round on this

    ..Bailey is the self confessed chief suspect

    ..The random caller/burglar theory is possible but not likely

    .. We don't know that the CCR team are making the same mistakes as the original investigation team . Any suggestion of same is wild irresponsible speculation



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 656 ✭✭✭GNWoodd


    ” Sophie didn’t scratch her killer “ . I thought that the scratches on Baileys hands were proof positive that he did it ??

    Surely the Fiesta was examined at the time and nothing was found on it or in it ?
    I wouldn’t be praising the Gardai for their efforts in this case but judging by some of the posts here , you would have to wonder how they solved any case until the advent of DNA !!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    I mean can you find even 1 post where i said he was guilty.

    I can wait.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,339 ✭✭✭tibruit


    The scratches are proof positive of nothing on their own. The family unit say they were there on the evening before the murder. It is a very specific thing to remember that there were scratches present on the evening of the 22nd when they were in his company throughout the Christmas period when the scratches were evident. Bailey went to the pub that night and played the bodhrán and nobody remembered seeing any scratches except a barman who remembered a mark on one hand, a description that isn`t reconcilable with what was evident on both hands after the murder. Just because he had scratches doesn`t mean Sophie scratched him. She had no DNA under her fingernails. The scratches would have come from the briars and they seem to have been similar (based on Garda drawings) to those that were present on Sophie`s arms in post mortem photos.

    The Fiesta was examined after the murder, but that was when things were a bit more primitive. There`s a possibility, because of advances, that DNA might now be recovered from the block that was used by the killer and that would apply to the car too if it was still around. Sophie`s DNA in the Fiesta would be as damning as Bailey`s on the block. Unfortunately I doubt the Gardaí had the foresight to preserve the car, in part because they got it into their heads that he walked over there, based on Marie Farrells story.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    Anything is possible as we don't know who killed her or the events that lead to her death or even time of death

    The idea of a random caller/burglar is unlikely as is a dispute at the gate leading to this savage killing

    Most likely is a person who knew of her presence and took an interest in this French lady and the initial late nite encounter led to a rage killing.

    All speculation, but you have to look at what occured here and who the the victim was .

    You can look at the lady dead at the gate and say we don't know anything therefore anything is possible but the available information leads to a determination of what likely occured as it most likely did with the investigating gardai

    Now , did they try to manipulate the case to secure a prosecution . Yes they did .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,635 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    The Gardaí were seriously incompetent in this case. That's true. That doesn't mean they were wrong in thinking it was Bailey. Their incompetence probably saved him from years in prison. We don't have a whole pile of evidence because of the botched investigation. What we do have points to Bailey with possible assistance from Jules.

    The only alternatives we've heard are some mad conspiracies about drug barons, horny Gardaí or an incompetent hitman. Ludicrous stuff. And the only defence of Bailey appears to be some people sticking their fingers in their ears trying to ignore everything pointing at him.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    Yes they were incompetent or worse fabricated witness evidence etc

    Does that mean they got the wrong man , wrong theory , no

    I believe they have this right PROBABLY

    Does the CCR team adopt the same methodology and errors as the original team , UNLIKELY

    Most likely if reports are true is that the review has led them back in the direction of bailey



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    Someone with a repeat history of violence/alcohol-related violence, to the point of an extended hospital stay for his wife, almost causing her permanent vision loss.

    Living within 3-4km distance of the victim, arriving suspiciously early to the scene the next day. In an otherwise sparsely populated area, and putting his reason for arriving among the first to the scene down to chance.

    He clearly was also a clinical definition narcissist. A trait which is statistically over-represented in homicide, and sexual homicide.

    Rage episodes also being associated with this disorder. The murder details suggest rage killing.

    And afaik narcissism is consistent with returning to the crime scene.

    Physical strength/capability was also a factor in the crime, and again he also wouldnt be ruled out in that regard.

    And someone above mentions Bailey (bad drunk and alcoholic that he was) went to the pub the night before.

    If you cant see thats the perfect fit in terms of suspects then you need to tell me what is.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,296 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    A perfect fit for the Gardaí, a patsy. Bailey was a Persona Non Grata around the area, an outlier, a blow-in. Locals would throw him under the bus without qualms. They would circle the wagons for a local from a respected family.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 460 ✭✭Rooks




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,375 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    And yet this repeat history of violence only relates to one particular woman, in the heightened atmosphere of a close domestic setting.

    Where's these records, which should be many, of Bailey's rage episodes over the years, towards others… given how frequently he went to the pub?

    Did he arrive suspiciously early at the crime scene? What time do you think a journalist living the area should show up at?
    The DPP report looked at this exact point, and didn't find anything suspicious in Bailey's arrival on the scene.

    You want to list how many alcoholics were in the area?
    How many men with a record of violence?
    How many were in a pub the night before? Or just had a drink?
    Who possessed physical strength?
    You seem to think they are important points.
    Seems a wide net.

    Bailey isn't a perfect fit, but he is perfect for a fit up.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    It wasnt a question of evidence. The question was about how suspect Bailey looks. And the answer is incredibly suspect.

    Should we go back over why hes the most suspect looking f*cker since a toddler with an empty chocolate box, or a dog sat on a chair in front of a missing roast.

    If there was evidence the thread would be closed by now. Do you think people come here looking to know about the mountain of evidence. Everyone familiar with the case already knows theres insufficient evidence. You announcing it on repeat doesnt help. Maybe offer something.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    Doesnt matter. That he'd hospitalize a woman repeatedly is an insight to his lack of boundaries.

    Its proof that he was mentally unstable, addicted, a recividist, lacked compassion, lacked shame.

    These traits along with his narcissism are check marks, one after the other, of a murderer.

    Take your list of 'how manys' and go through the probabilities.

    How many men are alcoholics WITH a history of domestic violence WITH the crime scene within distance WITH presence at the scene the next morning WITH narcissistic personality disorder WITH the physical capability.

    And you'll see the numbers whittle down to just 1 i'd imagine.

    He makes for a very suspect individual. And if you disagree you're disagreeing with basic logic, established psychological trends, the French courts which convicted him of this crime in absentia, the local gardai.

    Which is fine. Just offer a better explanation if you can, otherwise you're just a heckling non-contributer. And not worth any attention.

    "Bailey isn't a perfect fit, but he is perfect for a fit up."

    Make this make sense. Why exactly is he perfect for a fit up?

    Mod: Warned, uncivil

    Post edited by Leg End Reject on

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 460 ✭✭Rooks


    "It wasnt a question of evidence."

    I stopped reading here. Please don't ever sit on a jury.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,296 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    "Bailey isn't a perfect fit, but he is perfect for a fit up."

    Make this make sense. Why exactly is he perfect for a fit up?

    See post 10034



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    Theres been a lot of batshit crazy theories

    Of course Bailey is apparently behind a lot of these theories

    The horse theory, the bantry Garda theory, the drug theory

    The French hitman theory would be one of the least crazy theories if not for the fact that there is absolutely no suspicion in that regard from family etc

    It would make sense a French hitman using a block and pointing the finger away from the husband

    Anyhow I doubt AGS took it seriously as the rumor of a French connection originated with Bailey

    Bailey has some similarities with the Satchwell husband now that I think about it and we know how that has ended



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    OK you're trolling.

    Mod: Warned for backseat moderation

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    Is there anything in particular which makes you think it was a conspiracy?

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    For the season that's in it 😁

    This never gets old



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 558 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Bootprint, fingerprints, fingermarks, tire marks, DNA profile. All evidence not from Sophie found at the scene. None of which points to Bailey. But you just ignore actual physical evidence, and give out about others ignoring your opinions and speculation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 460 ✭✭Rooks


    For the record, I'm not. I believe that evidence is important when accusing someone of murder.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 20,612 Mod ✭✭✭✭Leg End Reject


    Mod: @drury.., please stop the sarcasm and trolling, any more posts in that nature will be warned.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 42,846 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    We don't have a whole pile of evidence because of the botched investigation. What we do have points to Bailey with possible assistance from Jules.

    You don't have evidence! You have threads which have frayed and you're trying to tie them all together.

    The "evidence" against Bailey (who may or may not have done it) is all circumstantial and each thread on its own has no strength. It was all rejected by multiple DPPs. It's almost like you have found your suspect and grabbing anything that might be considered evidence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    And what is the issue with circumstancial evidence then

    I seem to recall this issue being discussed recently

    Was it Lucy letby who was convicted recently on this



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,296 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    Once all the circumstantial evidence is broken down into it's parts, ie Domestic violence, Alibi, Scratches, Did he know her, etc. etc. they can be dismantled one by one, as the DPP did, and can be shot down like fish in a barrell.



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 42,846 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Lucy Letby was convicted on quite different circumstantial evidence and also in a different jurisdiction



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