Storm Darragh : Fri 6th /Sat 7th Dec 2024

Field conditions are saturated countrywide and this heavy rain today isn’t helping the trees defences for tonight

I walked myself into that one didn't I 😂

Not to be spamming the thread but just on the Wicklow red warning, the hourly forecast for my area which is 8km from the mountains in Glenmalure is showing nothing really close to red level winds. I know it isn't an exact science but the point is that Wicklow is probably gone red as a result of a few exposed areas getting hit hard and the wind direction exacerbating the issue. Most people in Wicklow are not going to be subjected to the 150kph gusts that are showing on the charts.

Lol. Me too (A Daragh with one R - but still…)

Met Eireann's forecast looks similar to the Swiss 'Nowcast' model, which to my eye looks more like what I'd expect to see in this kind of set up. Big gusts in the highest areas and much more tempered in the lower-lying areas. Now I haven't done any in-depth study of that, could be way off, but just looking at some areas' hourly forecasts I can see similarities with this model output.

The cat knows something.... being nice to me and is following me around

Rough night in store for Roundwood, Wicklow, never saw anything like it, those gust numbers are scary.

Any indication from the charts that Darragh may be more or less intense as currently expected? Have removed any moveable external items into the house. That said it's not the first time based on guidance from this forum. Hence the question

Out here on the west coast those winds are common but there are very few trees any more. And most buildings have been well tested over the years.

Serious damage from fallen trees in Wicklow tonight I'd say.

12z AROME is a slight downgrade for parts of Wicklow now and somewhat reflective of that Nowcast model, if slightly higher. Just looking frame by frame there's maybe an average 10kph drop from the 06z run. Still very potent, but at this stage we'll take what we can get.

Edit:ICON 12z (shocked!) also showing a small downgrade too

I've candles , power bank , getting a 2nd one this evening after work , gas stove , batteries, food and all in , power down this neck of the woods can have black outs for days so I ain't taking risks , I'm also gonna make sure outside stuff isn't going anywhere , I might have to take bins into my house but then it will just smell the place , stay safe guys I'll be on this pretty much constantly even if power goes

Gorey over the road from Carnew,gusts of 123kmh at the same time

any notable webcams out there for this one?