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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,152 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Some pretty decent equipment on the way to Ukraine from Germany. 12 mobile artillery systems, 10 Gepards (!), 30 older Leopard 1's (that have been surviving pretty well) and several hundred MRAP vehicles.

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 883 ✭✭✭mikewest


    Stoli as we know it is made Latvia and has been for decades. There is another version in Russia which surprisingly (not) won a court case in Moscow that declared that their version was the only one allowed to carry the name. The Latvian one holds the privatized rights since the break up of the Soviet Union but subject to numerous court cases. Clear as mud in you eye.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,659 ✭✭✭keeponhurling


    Why doesn’t Assad just surrender and give himself up , for the sake of peace ?

    I’m sure that’s what Putin will be saying to him , he loves peace



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,641 ✭✭✭zv2


    That's the most culturally perverse thing I ever saw.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,641 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62



    This is the fella keeping daily track of Russian equipment loses

    9339 dead Russians with verified deaths on video in a 100 days

    By comparison all of NATO coalition lost 3621 dead in 20 years of Afghanistan

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coalition_casualties_in_Afghanistan



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,341 ✭✭✭thomil


    Interestingly, German news channel ntv Nachrichten is also talking about an additional Patriot battery over the ones already promised and delivered. I’ll be honest, I have no idea where the Luftwaffe has dug out that particular battery, unless they had more in their depots than was publicly known or they deactivated one of their own operational batteries in Germany.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,449 ✭✭✭nigeldaniel


    I don't know how reliable the sun on line is but they claim on YouTube that Putin has ordered his officials to prepare to declare some kind of victory in the invasion of Ukraine. How that's going to go down in Russia is anyone's guess. The russia army is spent the Russian economy is spent the population is spent and now Putin knows he can't wait for Don in the white house. It certainly is the case that russia can not keep up what they are doing.

    Dan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 895 ✭✭✭Avatar in the Post


    Even harder given the Russia occupation by Ukraine.

    Maybe Putin is taking up Zelensky’s offer.

    Hungary won’t veto it if Putin puts in a call.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,432 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Yes.

    "For the talks to be constructive, we need to talk about the future of…Europe and the World".

    Who the f-ck do the Russians think they are anyway? A superpower? They are not the Soviet Union, and will never be able to rebuild that.

    They are becoming a Chinese thug/attack dog to bully the rest of Europe at this stage and a backup "larder" if they ever go to war in Asia for Taiwan and the US + allies try to blockade their shipping.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,176 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The thing is that dictator's interpretation of "PEACE" differs a lot from what normal people have of the word……and its quite the opposite. Peace terrifies them, because it generally means the the end of them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,641 ✭✭✭zv2


    Anyone who has to bully their neighbors so they can feel like somebody has chronic low self-esteem.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,813 ✭✭✭Apiarist


    It could go well for Ukraine, but there are too many uncertainties. What if the Western financial support wanes after the ceasefire, since there is no longer a war and Ukraine is no longer a newsmaker. How can Ukraine re-arm itself then?

    One of the reasons Ukraine needs invitations to NATO and the EU is because these guarantee some level of future support.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,146 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Hence why he wanted to capture Ukraine and Moldova. Ukraine especially would bring him a large step closer to what the USSR is. He basically already has Belarus.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,176 ✭✭✭jmreire


    It was always on a balance for Putin. Throughout the war, he avoided recruiting in either Moscow or St. Petersburg, especially coming up to election time last spring, instead concentrating on the republics, ( and in some of them, the locals fought pitched battles with the recruiters when they came to pick up the conscripts.) But now, he is on the ropes. All of the countries who were supplying him with meat for his grinder have stopped (Latest are the Houties) but even his best friend Kim, does not say much about sending a 2nd continent, and after the first N-Koreans got killed, we are not hearing much about their fighting abilities on the front lines, or being sent on meat grinder missions. So now, he's got no choice..he needs manpower from wherever he can get it, even if it means risking a huge pubiic backlash from a public that's already suffering from rising inflation and bank rate of 21% by conscripting Russians in Moscow and St. Petersburg. Seems like desperation coming from Putin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,813 ✭✭✭Apiarist


    When it rains, it pours.

    Ukrainian game studio GSC Game World has released Stalker 2 with Ukrainian and English voice overs. No support for the Russian language. Officially, Russia has made it illegal to play Stalker 2, but this does not stop the huge amount of moaning from Russian gamers who somehow got the game.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,237 ✭✭✭Jizique


    What makes you think Ukraine won't have demographic challenges - millions abroad already, who will not all go back, low birth rates as seen elsewhere in Eastern Europe; if a pathway to EU membership is open, many of the young bright grads will just leave for wealthier countries



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,152 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    There's always going to be demographic damage from such a war but that poster has a point.

    Russia largely hasn't been touched and they've had serious issues. If some sort of ceasefire/freeze/treaty were to occur tomorrow it would benefit Ukraine more in the short and medium term than Russia. From an economic perspective there would be a relatively larger surge than Russia - and from a military perspective, the lull/pause would give Ukraine time to regroup and build up defenses.

    Basically if both countries had a 6 month pause, Ukraine would benefit far more in that period.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,146 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    That depends how close Russia are to collapse. If they'll collapse 2 years from now Ukraine would be better to keep going even if it meant losing another 10% of Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,881 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Have the Houthis stopped supplying fodder? Seems like there's an infinite supply of Houthis in general to make trouble.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,687 ✭✭✭rogber


    Weird, the BBC has exact opposite take and says Ukraine is struggling and morale is very low.

    Reality maybe somewhere between the two?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    The BBC article reads like AI generated fluff potentially based on the journalists imaginary anecdotes as no real sources for claims made or any concrete evidence is given, the key giveaway is the line where the soldier says they would rather be in Donbas than Kursk, really? We had Ukrainian soldiers on CNN joking that Kursk is like a vacation compared to Donbas front as they can so easily kill hordes of Russians there and move rapidly

    The ISW report for 1st December linked on earlier page shows Ukrainian advance in Kursk backed up by geolocated footage

    2nd December report shows no movement in Kursk, Ukrainian advance in Chasiv Yar and Russian advances elsewhere



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,641 ✭✭✭zv2


    I suppose they win some and lose some. I suspect that Russia, at this stage, has exhausted much of its resources. If UA get enough weapons they might even push the Russians back a bit over the next month or so. The Russians are only strong until they are not strong.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,687 ✭✭✭rogber


    The BBC article points out that over 40 percent of the Kursk territory taken has been lost since August. That's the most telling statistic and can be found in numerous sources. Also I expect a diplomatic correspondent journalist for BBC does actually have reliable sources, even if he didn't publish their full names and addresses so Russia can hunt them or their families down. This isn't "Jay in Kiev" or some other rumour monger fishing for hits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 24,626 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    Quite a lot of Western financial support for rebuilding Ukraine has already been quite publicly pledged (e.g. Italy's pledge to rebuild the Theatre of Mariupol) and IIRC, Zelenskyy was quoted quite recently as saying money wasn't the immediate issue - arms are - they have enough funding to continue the war until the end of 2025 right now.

    Anyone I know who's visited has commented that the Ukrainian people are very industrious (they were, afterall the arms factory of the USSR) and you can guarantee that arms industry - in particular their drone tech - is going to be in high demand around the world (particularly in other nations who share a border with Russia). Add in their mineral wealth, status as a huge producer of grain, war-time refugees returning with new skills and language abilities, and a pretty much guaranteed path to EU membership and I'd be stunned if we don't see a "Ukrainian Tiger" economy within a few short years of the war ending.

    @Jizique - on the demographics, this is the reason the Ukrainian government has been so hesitant to conscript their young men. Certainly, they'll lose some people to other EU countries but no more so than they already were to an extent - a good friend of my wife's is a Ukrainian lady who's lived in Ireland for almost 20 years at this stage and raised her children here (as an aside: her husband was a former soldier who rejoined the UAF within weeks of the invasion and has rather miraculously survived both the battles of Bakhmut and Avdiivka!).

    Their eldest lad is currently doing a Masters in aerospace engineering of some sort with the intention return to Ukraine once the conflict is over. They literally had to hide his passport to stop him enlisting for the first year or so of the invasion. I believe it was only during his father's first leave and hearing his horror stories that he understood his father was fighting so he wouldn't have to. I hadn't realised myself until hearing some of those stories just how barbarically close quarters some of the fighting in Bakhmut got - at one point he ran out of ammo during a trench clearance and literally had to rip a Russian soldier's throat out with his teeth! He's obviously traumatised and will likely need a lifetime of therapy if he survives the rest of the conflict; something his wife has admitted to mine that she's long since given up hope of. Sorry, got a bit side-tracked there but I'll leave it in my post as I think their story is worth the telling…

    Back to the demographics: I'm sure you're right that Ukraine will have their demographic issues post-war but I think the important thing is that they'll be nothing on the scale of the demographic issues Russia is already facing and that's the important factor here: which nation will rebuild faster once the guns stop firing? I think any bookie would give you very long odds on it being Russia.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,146 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    It's no secret they're down to about 650km² but for now they're struggling to make much more gains and are taking crazy losses for their attempts. This salient has completely relieved the Vovchansk front as Russians are redirected here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,932 ✭✭✭Rawr


    What baffles me (although on reflection doesn't baffle me all that much…considering who we are talking about) is the push to snatch a load of urbane young folk from Russia's main cities. These are potentially folk who's main hardship so far might have been the need to shovel snow from their house-front. Replace that snow-shovel with an AK47 and slap on some decaying Soviet winter gear…and you still don't end up with a soldier.

    Yet again Putin is just fishing in more cannon fodder instead of trying to develop a professional fighting force that has a shot of returning home. I wonder if the Russians ever learned this their lesson from this? They did the exact same thing in WWII, and in that case it worked for them….*eventually*



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    ISW has referenced and geolocated footage showing Ukranian advances in Kursk on day that article is made

    BBC has anecdotes

    The area remaining in Kursk is still larger than everything outisde Kursk Russians have managed to capture since August



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 895 ✭✭✭Avatar in the Post


    You neglect to point out that Ukraine still has 60% of the Russian land they took months ago. Which, makes an absolute mockery of Russian military abilities. Always glass half empty with you. Except here, when it's in fact 60% full!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,146 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Didn't Putin set out an initial return date of October 20th? I feel the north Korean stunt has backfired. So far they've not really engaged but their presence resulted in Ukraine being allowed to use the western missiles in Kursk which would hurt logistics. Basically there is no red tape for Ukraine in Kursk and it's showing.



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