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General Irish politics discussion thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 459 ✭✭tarvis


    Some people fail to understand that other people saw both the point and the intent of the amendment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,933 ✭✭✭satguy


    The over all vote was 81% No ,, to 19% for ,,, Most voters saw what Leo was up to,, But 19% saw him as a pied piper,, and followed him into the deep water.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭corkie


    What sites will you be looking at to follow the counts?

    IrishExaminer and IrishTimes are behind a subscription paywall, I think re checked on another link.

    https://elections.independent.ie/election-2024 seems to be not. Is there a site for Virgin Media?

    For interest here are the links for the 3 Leaders constituencies from RTE!

    Another site I came across is https://irelandvotes.com/ge24/results

    *Mentioned HUTCH because: - https://www.rte.ie/news/election-24/2024/1130/1483933-dublin-central/

    Some people don't like the thought of him getting a seat?

    I don't want this post remove over complaints it could be possibly be declared a link dump. So better comment some more. I gave Padraig Rice my number 1 in CSC. So will be watching CNC for Susan Doyle who I voted for in EU elections. Looks like I will be watching Cork South West « Holly Cairns as well to see how well she did.

    Edit: -

    Whatever you think of the site? The Journal has a good guide on things as well. Found on this source: -

    Post edited by corkie on

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." ~ George Santayana
    "But that's balanced out by the fact that it's a mandate not to do very much." ~ Prof. Eoin O'Malley



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭corkie


    Meath East General Election 2024 updates: Helen McEntee tops poll in final tally while Gillian Toole (Ind) is contender for fourth seat!

    Was going to link a 'X' Post from Gript. But didn't want to generate traffic to both!

    Lot of people will not be happy to hear that, hopefully she doesn't get minister role again?

    Edit 22:19 :-

    Edit 23:21 : -

    Post edited by corkie on

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." ~ George Santayana
    "But that's balanced out by the fact that it's a mandate not to do very much." ~ Prof. Eoin O'Malley



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,355 ✭✭✭ZeroThreat


    Btw, anyone here on politics.ie? Just asking because I've tried to create an account there several times previously, but never get the approval confirmation by email. Maybe it's just a dead site now and there's no admins to approve accounts so it doesn't matter one way or another…



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,110 ✭✭✭MFPM


    I don't see her being Justice Minister again, but she will definitely be a Minister of some description - she's the Deputy leader of FG!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭corkie


    Last two to be elected are: -

    And frontpage of the Examiner today: -

    Source: - https://bsky.app/profile/irishexaminer.bsky.social/post/3lcd2g3qqce2y

    After the weekend's vote, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael combined will now be close to the threshold of forming a majority in the next Dáil. Fianna Fáil is projected to secure 48 seats, with Fine Gael on 38, and Sinn Fein on 40.

    So that ends the political drama of the Election process. Next step forming a government, which reports are we won't see it established till January at the earliest? No health crisis to rush the establishment of one. Only thing on the Radar is Trump?

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." ~ George Santayana
    "But that's balanced out by the fact that it's a mandate not to do very much." ~ Prof. Eoin O'Malley



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,752 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    So is there a fall out from the election for parties other than losing seats?

    Has Simon been asked to step aside after he's just given Micheal the role of An Taoiseach?

    Has Sinn Fein been asked if Mary Lou is to be removed as leader? Or are they holding on to the idea of Ireland's 1st Female Taoiseach?

    Has the Leader of the Green's been asked to step down, or is their remaining TD their only hope?

    As for the Left and Far-left are they sure they real won much more seats

    Party  |  2020  | 2024
    GP     |  12    | 1
    LP     |  6     | 11
    SD     |  6     | 11
    PBP    |  5     | 3
    R2C/I4C|  1     | 0
    TOTAL  |  30    | 26
    

    Did the % of the vote change for these parties that drastically that they lost 4 seats, in a house with more seats? Going from 17.43% to 15.7%.

    And of the 16 independents just 3 could be consider of Left wing linage. Catherine Connolly (former Labour), Paul Gogarty (former Green) and Séamus Healy (former WUA). Potentially Barry Henegan also but I don't know enough to say, he has no former link to any party that I know of.

    From briefly listening to Upfront last night it seemed to me that LP and SD actually think they increased the Left in the Dail. taking 12% of the seats up from 7% but at the cost to other Left wing parties and in the process losing 4 seats in an expanded Dail!

    The other indos elected

    Canney - no former link to parties but sat in gov with FG

    Grealish - former PD

    Harkin - no former link

    Healy-Rae - FF

    Healy-Rae - FF

    Lowry - FG

    McGrath - FF

    Moran - no former link to parties but sat in gov with FG

    Murphy - FG

    Nolan - SF

    Stanley - SF

    Toole - FG

    ______

    In the end they were just greedy, they all knew one another and knew what to expect more money for no return, it was a secure cash flow, but in fairness they looked for what they wanted and fair dues to them for that, and wouldn't you be doing the same!

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,489 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Boxer Moran was a FF councillor. Canney has tenuous links to FF - his brother in law, who he worked on the campaign for, was a FF councillor but latterly an Independent TD.

    Harkin's the only one that I'm pretty sure has no party links. edit: her first "political" role was a state board appointment that seems to have been given by FF but no hints that she was in FF - she was the founder of a fairly influential community development group that appears to have been politically neutral.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,578 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    I think when grouping parties you need to treat the greens as close, but different to the traditional left. There's also a difference between traditional left and the far-left reactionaries like PBP.

    So a straight like-for-like comparison is that Labour and Soc Dems increased their chunk's share, which is better for the country too (we don't really want people at either extreme around). The big question about "the left" is whether or not you include Sinn Fein in there or not. They speak left, but are more of a populist party than anything else.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,521 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    We were all witness to the free for all giveaways and promises made by FF FG and the Greens to get back in. 'Populist' is a redundant and meaningless term.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,578 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    What I mean is that I don't think sinn fein are as wedded to their ideals (with the exception of the North and Irish unity) as Labour & Soc Dems are.

    I'm not comparing SF to FF or FG in this respect (but it is noticeable that while Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael AND Sinn Féin all talked about cutting taxes; Labour and Soc Dems both advocated for no tax cuts).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,521 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Their policies are designed to be attractive to their respective bases.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,851 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    I think those linked to the Independent Alliance - Canney, Moran and Heneghan - would see themselves as progressive in some sense and certainly having an agenda beyond the local parish pump. Harkin I would put in the same box although AFAIK she was not involved with IA.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,489 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    She was in Europe and dual-mandated out of being a TD during the IA period.

    Canney is very parish-pumpy, the others not so much.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,578 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Which is why I wouldn't class Sinn Fein as a left-wing party in the traditional sense. Their base isn't there. Their base wants populist policies which can change with the direction of the wind. It's gotten them to be one of the 3 biggest parties, so it's working for them. Next is to see if it can grow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,521 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    FG's FF'S and Green's bases got populist policies too.

    The word 'populist' is redundant, they are all populist if needs be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,752 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    I really depends on how you look at it, to me the Greens are left and have been left for some time, this idea that they are neutral along left right lines is really needs to be forgotten about, their voter base is left, with some centre and right leaning voters believing this idea that they are centre in someway.

    Labour is a Left wing party, while the Soc Dems are largely just the good face of the far left, in my opinion.

    Labour and the Soc Dems want us to believe that they are Centre-left, does anyone really believe this? Do they have an issue defining themselves as Left?

    ______

    In the end they were just greedy, they all knew one another and knew what to expect more money for no return, it was a secure cash flow, but in fairness they looked for what they wanted and fair dues to them for that, and wouldn't you be doing the same!

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,578 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Both Labour and Soc Dems advocated for no tax cuts, and to increase spending instead. That's pretty left.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,752 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    I think Labour suggested increasing taxes, no? I am saying that both Labour and Soc Dems are left. My point is that I several occasions I heard both talk about the centre left and other centre left parties.

    ______

    In the end they were just greedy, they all knew one another and knew what to expect more money for no return, it was a secure cash flow, but in fairness they looked for what they wanted and fair dues to them for that, and wouldn't you be doing the same!

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭corkie


    Source: - https://bsky.app/profile/irishexaminer.bsky.social/post/3lcgjkphm352x

    • One party source said it “can’t be anything less than three years” for Mr Martin in the Taoiseach’s office, citing the 10-seat difference between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael.
    • Fianna Fáil is also expected to press for additional seats at the Cabinet table, with one minister suggesting that it could be as many as nine for their party compared to six for Fine Gael.
    • The Fine Gael source said the focus on ministries and the Taoiseach’s office is “a media creation” but accepted that it would become a real consideration when talks begin in earnest.

    So the political drama of government formation begins. Will he get his demands? Hard negotiations ahead for parties involved and the article doesn't even mention the possibilities of another party or two in the collation!

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." ~ George Santayana
    "But that's balanced out by the fact that it's a mandate not to do very much." ~ Prof. Eoin O'Malley



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,993 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Sabre-rattling. Merit in there but ultimately toothless without FF/SF being on the table.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,712 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Máire Geoghegan-Quinn taught me all I need to know about party politics - it is all about jobs for the boys, Mercs and perks.

    It was always thus, and always will be so, and is universally so.

    The fact the all politics is local can be added to that - according TP O'Neil.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,935 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    3 years for Taoiseach and a 9-6 divide certainly sounds like an opening offer rather than anything realistic.

    I'd say 3 years and an 8-7 split with FG getting more junior ministries might be where they end up landing.

    The risk for Harris in taking 2 years as Taoiseach is that he may not get anywhere near that long in the job - since he'll also be going second.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,489 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Commissioner, AG and Presidential nod may also get brought up as sops to a side that feels they're being screwed on Ministerial numbers. But not the Ceann Comhairle, I imagine.

    I assume they'll give the CC to an opposition TD like in previous tight figure times. Sean Tracey 87-97 was an Independent, Seamus Pattison 97-02 was Labour.

    The first inter-party kept the FF CC. The CC for most of the 50s and 60s was Labour with mostly FF governments. FFs doomed 82 Government kept the Independent ex Labour CC (who later joined FF, but not for some time).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,512 ✭✭✭✭expectationlost


    The new Dáil has its first technical group - behold the new(-ish) ‘Regional Group’:

    Sean Canney TD

    Marian Harkin TD

    Barry Heneghan TD

    Noel Grealish TD

    Michael Lowry TD

    Kevin (Boxer) Moran TD

    Verona Murphy TD

    Gillian Toole TD

    a rogues gallery, don't know what the rush of Heneghan was to join that group, its not same as being associated with the previous Independence Alliance McGrath was in… things are different now.

    It just a technical group of independents but there are some people you don't associate with Gillian Toole (Sharen Keoghan) is top of that list, along with Verona Murphy Michael Lowry, and the rest.

    Post edited by expectationlost on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,935 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    What's Gillian O' Toole's relationship to Sharon Keoghan? Keoghan's an absolute looper conspiracy theorist. I hate to see anyone associated with her enter the Dail.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,489 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Sharon was pushing her campaign. She made no attempts whatsoever to distance herself from Keogan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,044 ✭✭✭mikep


    Interesting that it seems that 8 indies would be needed to obtain a "secure" majority and then a regional group appears with 8 members...



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,489 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    It's the Regional Group from before, adjusted for differences in membership and minus Aontu. So its not really an appear case.



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