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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 525 ✭✭✭vswr


    You do realise that democratically elected leader, was elected on the back of their EU leaning policies, and the reason for the 2014 revolution, was because they dumped them in favour of Russian leaning policies….

    I mean, that's fair game in any democracy to want rid of a government who when you voted for them, were doing one thing, then decide (well, were bought, and have no problem showing this now) to go the polar opposite direction.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,272 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    You talk about this strategic mistake as if NATO made it. The people of Ukraine rose up against a president who betrayed the very Pro EU mandate that got him elected in the first place.

    It's not like Russia's moves regarding this whole thing worked out too well for themselves. I'd argue worse and they're in trouble if they can't end the war. Kermit what happened you. You've gone full vatnik.

    Back to the war I see Russian is now using some captured Leopard's and Bradleys against Ukraine. This is probably the reason they'll never get the very latest American tech. They don't want the Russians being able to copy their designs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Observations about the constant memes {Russian useful idiot / contrarian / conspiracy theorist} brigade on this thread keep trying to put forward:

    • Russia it’s at war with NATO
    • Ukraine is not a country
    • Ukrainians are not people capable of independent and (gaasp) democratic thoughts
    • It’s all the “wests” fault
    • Putin is great
    • Russia is big and scary
    • Russians are willing to start WW3 over Ukraine
    • “West” is hypocritical, lost, decadent, dead, irrelevant

    So far every argument put forward is a variation on the shade of 💩 listed above

    Each one of these is obviously absurd and taken apart by posters over an over, but yet they persist like their fellow meatbags persist in running into bullets in waves



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,293 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    America have a long history of manipulation, murder, coups, wars everything. I think on Wikipedia they count 250 plus since WW2.

    But of course this time it's all different. It was the free will of the people and an expression of freedom and democracy fostered by unselfish NGOs and US politicians and ever since the US is just there to help the poor heroes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,272 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    IMG_20241125_102707_542.jpg

    Here's the latest 2 ATACMS used in Kursk on the airfield which Russia has already abandoned. Was this attack report at the same time the S400 system was reportedly destroyed? They could have moved air defence into this base hence why Ukraine attacked it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    We know it was a strategic mistake because large parts of Ukraine are now in ruins and the country is partitioned.

    If it was a strategic success I'd like to know what failure looks like.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    "Crap I've been called out, back to the comfort of Russian gains."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,392 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Given this is the Russia-Ukraine thread, the relevant area to focus on are the Warsaw Pact countries and former Soviet 'Republics', who with the collapse of the USSR due to the resistance of the people of those countries and US\Western pressure on the USSR had their independence and sovereignty restored after decades of tyranny.

    That was the free will of the people and expression of freedom and democracy.

    This time it is the same story.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,392 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    No, we don't "know" that. Again, a prejudicial framing of a strawman position. I reject your premise and you haven't remotely justified it.

    Obvious to all reading that you haven't engaged at all with the questions put to you about alternatives and what the US should have done and what that would have meant for Ukraine. So why not? The Kremlin propaganda pumped out over social media that has deceived you doesn't cover that?

    It is obvious you have no credible or coherent response to those questions and alternatives that stands up to any scrutiny.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Klitschko, the former heavyweight professional boxer, who's brother is the mayor of Kyiv, has sent a message to Joe Rogan in response to Joe's recent words about Ukraine

    https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/1gz7mue/wladimir_klitschko_responds_to_joe_asks_to_come/

    Solid message, that Putin's only real weapon against the rest of the world is propaganda



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Failure in alternative history looks like Russians doing to Finland and/or Baltics and/or Poland what they are doing now in Ukraine but with Ukrainian resources on their side

    Instead we have:

    • a country that will retake what it lost the moment Putin dies civil war for power starts
    • A country that has rediscovered its identity, culture where even the “Russian speakers” absolutely hate Russia for what they done
    • A country that joins a band of countries from Norway down to Turkey who see Russia as the primary threat to their existence and will do everything to contain Russia in perpetuity as they all **** hate them
    • A country that is now using NATO gear and is the larger and more experienced military with innovative tech than NATO itself
    • A country that is on verge of developing its own nuclear weapons
    • Russia that is isolated with every tightening sanctions that are suffocating their economy
    • Russia whose “allies” are busy benefiting themself from Russian downfall
    • Russia that lost its standing on world stage where even the daily nuclear sabre rattling is met with “meh, they at it again”

    Land can and will be regained, but now you have a people and culture whose will to retake it will extend long past Putin’s lifetime

    Aside; feel free to backup your posts with more edits you make to Wikipedia 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,293 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    @odyssey06 all your long sentences and fancy words and phrases wont' disguise the fact you're just winging it and your assertions are as hollow as you accuse others to be.

    Yes it was a strategic success for the US, I grant you that. Russia was told 'check' and forced to react in a fashion which can only be described as a choice between pest & cholera. The wedge between the EU/Germany and Russia is deeper than ever. Significant weakening of the EU economic power. Political destabilisation of the EU. US fracking gas is the new saviour.

    But for Ukraine it was a horrible decision. Nearly a quarter of their population gone. Godknowshowmany killed and maimed. 20% of the territory gone. Bridges burned with their powerful neighbour with which many economical, cultural and social ties exist. Economy destroyed whats left sold out to US hedge funds and war loans. Both military and political situations only to further deteriorate from here. How could it be any worse?

    Had they just given in to the demand of neutrality nobody would be dead. The country would largely still be intact except for the loss of Crimea. No refugee streams, no burned bridges. Even if you were a Ukrainian hardcore nationalist and not just a poor regular wanting to get by you could still think 'ah well we live to fight another day'.

    This is an unmitigated desaster politically and economically for the EU too, never mind the fact we were never so close to WW3 as we were before. How can you be so blind to not see that?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    The US should have not have interfered or publicly backed those protests. That is my opinion on it. I think that was a strategic error that assumed Russian impotency to respond. It infuriated the Russians that this was happening on their doorstep and Putin responded immediately. He took Crimea with scarcely a shot being fired and then backed the separatists in the Donbas.

    You can litigate the who, why, what over and over again.

    The situation today stems directly from 2014 and things would have been done very differently if where we are now had been foreseen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Another one blaming the US for a war Russia started

    IMG_5495.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,964 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The whole sorry mess began with Putin being allowed to get away with the destruction of Chechnya, then Georgia, next Crimea….so the full scale invasion of Ukraine. To blame the US or others is pure Russian Bullcrap. It was all on Putins shoulders, and no one eles and it was only when he met his match in Ukraine did the "US, UK EU NATO interference become the Russian chant, Putin couldn't bear the thought of the 2nd best military in the world be beaten by lowly Ukraine. So the story morphed into the "real" enemy, the EU, US UK etc. And to this very day in Russia, the rising bank rates, the inflation, the failure of the city infrastructure, falling bridges the dams breaking, failure of city heating systems (thats a big one..and I lived there) all is the fault of the West, US, UK and NATO. See how Putin has brainwashed Russians.

    https://x.com/i/status/1860714588800471475



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Once again required in the thread

    Noun

    [edit]

    campist (plural campists)

    1. Synonym of third-campist
    2. (derogatorypoliticssocialismslang) A leftist who supports any country/organization simply for being opposed to the United States or the West, including authoritarian governments who would otherwise not follow leftist beliefs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,326 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Basically they (Ukrainians) could have just done what Putin demanded of them to avoid being attacked/destroyed. That is what you are reduced to now.

    Though maybe you feel twinges of attraction to "Putinism" (i.e. corruption, oligarchy, managed democracy run out of Moscow in Ukraine's case) as a superior system of government, and are waiting eagerly for our own Irish version to dawn, so don't see what the problem was or why Ukraine didn't just accept this gift horse from Russia (vs some US/Western siren song)? 🤷‍♂️



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,293 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    Sadly I disagree with the last assessment. All the way the tone and every action was for escalation and burned bridges and it never wavered once. I think this went exactly the way the neocon hardliners designed and envisioned it to be. We are at the mercy of madmen.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Left Twitter as it was too toxic so I lost a lot of good OSINT links, might try on BlueSky - is there a way to embed a link from Bsky on boards (as a full picture rather than just a summary in the example below)?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Ukraine was neutral when the invasion started. Anyone who thinks russia just wanted a neutral ukraine is a buffoon. The rest of that nonsense is on a similar level of veracity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Part of the problem here is people want to make emotional arguments over and over again and ignore strategic realities.

    "Putin is currupt", "Putin is a tyrant", "Russia is an authoritarian hellhole"....

    All these things are true, everyone knows this.

    But the fact is Russia exists and has it's own interests and this needs to be accounted for in dealings with it's neighbours. I don't like it but I accept it because it's the reality.

    This notion that countries like Ukraine or Georgia etc don't have to give due regard to Russia in their own national interests simply due to geography is just delusional fantasy. Of course they do.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Russia doesn't want them to give "due regard" . It wants them to be subservient client states.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    Chasiv Yar getting flattened. More needs to be done. Wake the heck up Europe 🤬

    https://twitter.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1781345698073469121



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,392 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    All "due regard" to Russia was given in the NATO-Russia Founding Act, which provides the mechanism by which the likes of Poland, Ukraine etc can join NATO, and under which NATO gave commitments about forces and weapons systems to avoid escalation of tensions \ arms races.

    Similarly "due regard" was given to Russia in the Budapest Agreement, under which Ukraine gave up strategic weapons from the USSR… Russia repeatedly violated this Agreement. It does not respect "due regard", it only respects military force of NATO.

    This is why Finland joined NATO, despite being neutral all through the Cold War - it could clearly see Putin's Russia would not respect neutrality.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Of course it does but that is the challenge for these countries, that's where they need to work their statecraft to overcome the tyranny of their geography.

    In my opinion in the long run the solution will be from reform in Russia itself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,635 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    "But the fact is Russia exists and has it's own interests and this needs to be accounted for in dealings with it's neighbours. I don't like it but I accept it because it's the reality."

    This has happened. Russia is not a smoldering cinder, it has a trickle of an economy, and its neighbours are arming themselves. Because this is what Russia's "own interests" lead to.

    Now, if Russia's own interest would be, I dunno, stop invading neighbours? Agree to full nuclear disarmament? Abandon hybrid warfare? I expect its neighbours would take a different tack.

    But if your neighbour is a criminal bully, well, they can't expect life to be made easy for them. Actions have consquences.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    So controlling their leader and blocking them from pursuing EU membership or from fostering a closer relationship was due consideration? What your arguing for is that Russia should remain a dominant force on Ukraine and they should not have any form of self determination....



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