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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,724 ✭✭✭macraignil


    Recent article from BBC was linked here a few pages back with a regular putin fan boy hyping up the movement of putin's terrorists to gain a multiple of the area of Ukraine that they grabbed last year. The figure the article identified for land taken by putin's terrorists so far this year amounted to less than half a percent of the land area of Ukraine. I can understand the strategy that Ukraine seem to be taking in letting putin burn out his forces taking such a small area of their country to a point where they will be too weak militarily to hold anything. The Kursk offensive by Ukraine also seems to have coincided with an increase in the numbers of daily casualties reported in putin's forces and to me it seems like they have played this move well to increase the rate of attrition on putin's terrorists so they have less resources to attack Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 835 ✭✭✭junkyarddog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,964 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The amount of Russian miss-information Putin's propaganda department has squeezed out of the supposed Istanbul deal being dropped due to the influence of Nuland. She's also given as being one of the prime movers who encouraged Ukrainians in the Mardan protests. Loads of stuff on the net, all sponsored by Putin, and its just surprising how many fall for it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    So if you are in any way critical or objective about the events in 2014 which has ultimately led to the catastrophe in Ukraine today you are "sponsored by Putin". Ok.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,964 ✭✭✭jmreire


    I think that the burning question is not how fast it will increase (but that's important too!) it is what rate it will finally stop at……In Belgrade when hyperinflation hit, it took just 1.4 days for prices to double. Here's hoping that Russia will beat that record.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,349 ✭✭✭joseywhales


    Note: Got to find a way to smuggle potatoes to Russia.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,119 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Well yes basically.


    As anyone who doesn’t swallow the Kremlin scutter propaganda about 2014 and knows the facts couldn’t be that thick, so yes they could be “sponsored by Putin”


    Just think about what you wrote there when you said “sponsored by Putin”


    You’ve been duped…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,964 ✭✭✭jmreire


    If anyone is looking at the facts objectively, they would not be trying to pin the failure of the Istanbul talks, or the cause of the maidan protests on Nuland. And these are the posters I'm speaking about.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    The consequences of those events in 2014 has ultimately destroyed and disfigured Ukraine. The Americans thought they could egg on that overthrow in Russia's backyard and there'd be no consequences.

    It was a dreadful series of strategic errors in hindsight.

    It's spilt milk now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,036 ✭✭✭Polar101


    Vatniks: "The sanctions are having no effect".

    Putin: "..and the West must also end all sanctions immediately".



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,724 ✭✭✭macraignil


    You seem to be implying somehow America caused putin to invade parts of Ukraine in 2014. How does Ukraine being a democracy that removes a pro putin puppet from government make America the guilty one for putin attacking Ukraine and murdering thousands of Ukrainians?

    It very much sounds like you are victim blaming here and spewing a very pro kremlin version of recent history.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,178 ✭✭✭✭AndyBoBandy


    looks like Russia may have succeeded in bringing down a DHL cargo plane in Vilnius, Lithuania this morning.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,389 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    If 2014 had played out differently and led to a dictator propped up by Russian troops like Belarus.

    You would probably be trotting out some line about 'losing' Ukraine and strategic errors too.

    Consequences either way from an attempt by Russia to reduce Ukraine back to some sort of vassal state.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It may shock you to learn this, but Ukrainians do in fact have their own agency. The whole country wasn't waiting at home for a phone call from their American sponsors before deciding how to react.

    The Maidan protests were entirely domestic and organic. The response to them was typically cackhanded and the ultimate outcome one of all Ukrainian's making.

    This nonsense all stems back to the absurd logic of "Ukraine could have avoided this by becoming a Russian puppet like Belarus". They don't want that deal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,326 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Taking the Russian position is not objective though, it is at best (if you don't hold sneaking regard for Putin & Russia) just contrarian IMO.

    I mean it looks obvious that what happened after 2014 was Russia's dark arts and influence techniques (propaganda, espionage, and corrupution - you have to admit their experience and skill level at this is much greater than the US or Europeans) failed in Ukraine, and so Putin turned to more direct violence to get what he wanted.

    And seemingly you are okay with that or see it as natural progression, and blame the victims instead which is disturbing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,323 ✭✭✭Field east


    or was it Scholtz ‘TALKED’ to him. ? There is a difference. With Putin there are ALWAYS. Hidden agendas

    can we not wait to see what the BLACK BOX says + other relevant ‘bits of information’?



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,567 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    Lets just take you at face value for the moment and there was an American backed coup in 2014 leading to the right wing anti Russia party of Poroshenko taking over Ukraine.

    How do you explain how, in 2019, Zelenskii was elected on a platform of making a peace deal with Putin, and Putin invaded anyway?

    Russian conspiracy theorists tend to gloss over the 2019 elections and just go straight to calling Zelenskii a nazi or a puppet etc, which ignores the reality of what his position was. And the reality is that Putin invaded in 2022 because he thought Ukraine was weak and international support faltering, not for any other reason, because if it was really for the people of donbas etc he wouldve invaded during the Poroshenko era



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,178 ✭✭✭✭AndyBoBandy


    can we not wait to see what the BLACK BOX says + other relevant ‘bits of information’?

    absolutely we can, but when it's known that over the last number of weeks, Russia have been actively trying to bring down DHL planes flying between Leipzig & Baltic states, and then suddenly a DHL plane flying from Leipzig to Vilnius crashes, it's not difficult to draw certain conclusions.

    But absolutely this could most likely be a very unfortunate accident, and the timing of it would not be ideal given what we know Russia are actively trying to do…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Remember MH17?

    Same thing will happen again

    • at least a dozen conspiracy theories and narratives will pop up
    • Kremlin will deny, and hence confirm involvement
    • Orwell road residents will blame NATO
    • And then blame Ukrainians

    Aside: Russian plane crashlanded yesterday due to poor maintenance



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,435 ✭✭✭zv2


    Either way, they will be a drain on the system.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,733 ✭✭✭✭josip


    That has also been my hope for some time; that the failing Russian economy would eventually stall their invasion. For people who may not be as familiar as you with Yugoslavija in the 90s, it's important to know that things did not fall apart immediately once hyper inflation took hold. Hyper inflation lasted for 2 years from 92 to 94. But the war in Bosnia didn't end until Dec 95. So hyper inflation is not the end, but a milestone on the road to defeat.

    For anyone wondering what hyper inflation is like, it's surreal. All your liquid wealth gets wiped out. Any savings in local currency wiped out. Many will see this possibility coming, so will convert their roubles into Euros or dollars. Some will go for hard currency on the black market and pay a big premium. And live with the increased risk of their apartment being robbed by armed gangs. Those who don't want that risk, might keep it in a Euro/Dollar account in a bank. But Putin will come after that money and nationalise it, just as Milosevic did.

    Because of the inflation, you need to buy stuff as soon as you are paid. Literally as soon as you're paid and leave work to buy bread/milk. But the bread makers don't see the point in producing any more bread than they have to, since the money they have to accept will be worthless in a couple of days time. So they produce the minimum and queues form. Some people who still have access to hard currency don't like queuing and they'll either bribe a place in the queue or pay a queue entrepreneur. That's someone like a student who gets paid to wait in line. They could earn more money than their state-paid parent for waiting in a bread/milk queue that day.

    The black market thrives. In the border areas, smuggling will be rife. In 92-94 Yugoslavija, it was normal for people to cross into Bulgaria with a few empty 2l Coca Cola bottles that they would fill with petrol, pay the customs guys a small cut.

    For a relatively normal country, it's devastating the longer it goes on. 1960s, 70s Yugoslavija would have been almost Germanic in its adherence to rules and a strong social belief. Once hyper inflation starts, it's everyone for themselves. The criminal class does very well from the black marketeering and belief in the old rules-based society collapses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,435 ✭✭✭zv2


    @Polar101 "The 9400 tanks, 19000 APCs and 20000 artillery pieces "destroyed" always made the list look a bit fantastical."

    After 1000+ days that is an average of 9 tanks per day along the entire front.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,272 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    @Sand how you've gone from cheer leading the Americans in Afghanistan to cheerleading the Russians in their invasion of Ukraine 😂

    Some people just want to watch the world burn!

    Back to the battlefield. I seen a clip of Russian SU-25 dropping bombs on chasiv Yar and they're flying low right up to the city. It's sad Ukraine hasn't been given the means yet to prevent this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,449 ✭✭✭nigeldaniel


    Those buggy boys are as high as kites and drunk as lords!!!

    Dan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,435 ✭✭✭zv2


    Sanctions + war + the loss of 1000s of laborers + the general disintegration of infrastructure + the fact the rich Russians are fleeing to Turkey with barrels of dollars + attacks on oil refineries can't be a good thing. It's the cluster-fukedness of the thing that adds up.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,791 ✭✭✭green daries


    I really hope you are right on that one ....any sources



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    You can argue the nuances but the democratically elected leader of Ukraine was removed in 2014. That is a statement of fact. It doesn't matter if he leaned toward Russia or Europe.

    This was a strategic mistake for the west and it split Ukraine, obviously in hindsight given the situation today with Crimea and the other eastern provinces which have large populations who are Russian speakers who see themselves as Russian.

    I don't know how anybody in their right mind can look back to 2014 and say "yeah, that worked out well".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,389 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    How was it a strategic mistake for the West? You state it but don't explain what alternatives there were or consider how they might have played out, so it is unconvincing and it has no credibility. So spare us prejudicial nonsense about "anybody in their right mind" with those blinkers on and strawman argument.

    If they did nothing, and Ukraine goes down a Belarus route, and Russian dominated Ukraine at little or no cost, many people would call that a 'strategic mistake'.

    What split Ukraine was Russian meddling, in breach of Budapest, as the majority of Ukrainian people favoured aligning with the EU and signing the EU association treaty. Something the democratically elected leader was elected on a mandate to do, and failed to do so due to Russian pressure and threats.

    The actions of the Ukrainian people in 2014 and subsequently, have shown the significant widespread support in the country for resisting such Russian dominance. It is not something the US can create out of nothing. If that support was not there, Russian dominance like Belarus would have been established in 2014 OR the government would have collapsed in days when Russia invaded in full in 2022.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner




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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It didn't work out well because Russia invaded!



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