Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

15859616364411

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,982 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    What decision can Ukraine make that will dramatically help their situation?

    Genuine non-snarky question (because I've seen some commentators actually suggest Ukraine attempt to reward Putin's invasion with land to buy some temporary peace. From a man who takes any move like that as a sign of weakness to punish. Who has never actually offered a genuine stop to the 24/7 bombing of the country in 2 and a half years)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,982 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Despite Trump's win, RUB is still retracing up, 99 to the dollar now

    Can it break the 100



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,120 ✭✭✭wassie


    Forget Rubles….butter is the new currency

    Lets not forget the anti-theft boxes

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    Excuses excuses. Our neighbours house is on fire and we are passing then cups of water over the fence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62




  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,120 ✭✭✭wassie


    No wonder the Russian subs are scoping out off the coast of Ireland….Kerry Gold for the taking.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,115 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    In my view Ukraine needs a pause - not because it is the right or moral thing to do - but because they have little choice. Continuing like this will see more and more frontline collapse and more territory ceded. So far the Russian advances have been incremental but sooner or later as Ukraine's resources and manpower continue to decline they'll start taking much bigger chunks of territory. This is already happening in Donetsk where Ukraine has no answer to the Russian advance and they are taking over 3 settlements a day. That's going to spread along the front.

    It's better for Ukraine to push for a freeze now rather than later.

    That does not mean 'surrender', it means thinking tactically and longer term. The west will never recognise stolen territory.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    But have we gone past the point of a "pause". If the frontline is indeed collapsing why would Russia stop now. The concessions now to Putin are going to be very hard to stomach.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    dont really need an excuse. We could give them nothing. We signed nothing.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,710 ✭✭✭yagan


    If it were just about territory then they wouldn't taken that Kursk enclave.

    Right now Russia are reliant on untested NK fodder being led to the front increasingly on adapted civilian vehicles.

    When your opponent's only tactic is meat wave then you don't waste your own troops and you let drones and other far reaching weapons do the damage for you, even if that means ceding ground.

    There's rain right now over the main battle fronts, and that's going to make stretched Russian lines more vulnerable to being targeted, like fish in a barrel.

    Russia's only innovation so far seems to be glide bombs which are soviet era dumb bombs with wings stuck on, but that not going to help them hold any territory they gain.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,982 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Not sure I understand completely, why do you think a "pause" is even an option?

    They haven't been offered a pause or a ceasefire or a freeze or anything like that. There were some fake talks but they were largely shams.

    They are being invaded 24/7, they can't just say "timeout". Any attempt to move in that direction would be taken as a sign of weakness by Putin and we know how he responds to that, especially when Russia has the "upper hand". If Zelensky hints to allies at the current stage that Ukraine wants fighting to stop - that's a red rag to a bull.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    Watching my neighbours house burn whilst standing around doing nothing isn't the way i was raised. Sometimes you just need to do what's right. If Putin takes all of Ukraine he won't stop there either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,507 ✭✭✭keeponhurling


    If Ukraine "pause" fighting, then Ukraine will no longer exist.

    Their future will be of rape, torture and genocide. Are those really things you think they need ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    @Kermit.de.frog can you provide a source which would back up your statements that a “pause” or peace deal is even on a table, or for that matter the table exists and has 4 legs and 2 chairs

    Sounds to me like you have created a strawman in your imagination and trying to convince others such a strawman not only exists but is sentient

    Considering Ukraine are not attacking but defending the ball is not in their court to “pause” anything, unless “pause” is the new Kremlinite dog whistle for “surrender”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    And thats why Europe has given hundreds of billions in every type of aid imaginable.

    And yes Russia would stop. Not cause they want to stop, but because they cant get through the donbas region of eastern Ukraine without hitting grocery shortages.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,115 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    It's the new thinking of the incoming Trump administration that territory be a secondary consideration. Decoded that means territory will have to be ceded in order to freeze the conflict. I agree with that reality because it is a reality. There is zero prospect of Ukraine militarily retaking stolen territory. There is every prospect the situation will continue to get worse.

    Continuing on as is will be a far worse outcome for Ukraine in my opinion unless you believe the Russians will suddenly stop at the borders of the four oblasts they're in the process of annexing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    They have most certainly not been given every type of aid imaginable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    More nonsense about “reality” with nothing to backup your statements

    Main current affairs news story today is a certain celebrity in courts over rape allegations

    What your saying is akin to a witness of such a rape calling for the victim to face “reality” and “pause” resistance to such a heinous act while its being perpetrated

    The reality is that it’s not in Trumps power to handover a fifth of a country on the other side of the globe. A country that has successfully defended itself against a much larger neighbours three years into that imperialists three day special military operation



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,507 ✭✭✭keeponhurling


    Psychologically it must be very difficult for them.

    This cannot be put down to the general ups and downs of the economy.

    This is structural and only going to get worse. Very little Russia can do about it either, given the weakness of the ruble.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,308 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    I fear you're right but if these Russian attacks lose momentum in the winter it could be they who come out worse. Don't forget while Russia is now making the gains in the Donbass we expected 2 years ago they are taking insane losses.

    In 100 days they could lose another 1,000 tanks, 3,000 armoured vehicles , 2,000 artillery systems and 150,000 men. I've used numbers here well below the losses they've taken recently so that's a very realistic number.

    How long do you think they can sustain that? If they take the entire Donbass 2 years from now but have run out of equipment there will still be an all out war.

    It's very depressing for Ukraine but you have to remember they've not mobilised young men so their strategy is clearly to slowly lose ground while Russia burns itself out. I hate seeing it because I want to see Ukraine making steady gains not Russia.

    On the bright side Russia was halted at Vovchansk and Ukraine still control the majority of it and a good chunk of Kursk. If the West would just give Ukraine more shells and the means to shoot down Russia jets I believe they could hold the line.

    It's a real shame they let production drop to such numbers. After the cold war they should have been stockpiling 20/30 million of these things. That would have been a tangible deterrent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,115 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Of course we should all hope for different outcomes from what I've outlined but Ukraine and all of us need to be prepare for the more likely outcomes, as unpalatable as they be, because they'll have to be faced sooner or later.

    The weather will probably kibosh the Russian advances for the Wintrr hopefully.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    Considering world population numbers, Putin must be the most murderable man in human history.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    That's an irrelevant number. We have left them drastically short of weapons they can use to defend themselves and indeed push the Russians out. We haven't ramped up production of equipment to meet the coming wars either and believe me they are coming. We needed to go on a war economy footing over 2 years ago and haven't.

    Europe still believes the US will always come to our defence when needed but the reality is now very different.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    That still doesnt equate to the shame youre so keen on. Europe has done incredible work, hundreds of billions of euros worth. Taken in any Ukrainian who wants to come and is allowed. Humanitarian, financial, economic, diplomatic, military. All while avoiding WW3. Youll have to self flaggelate harder if you want any followers to join your shame circle.

    Yep. Europe is waiting in the u.s. to save us from the guys who cant get to Kiev.

    Help. Theres a half drunk, illiterate conscript with ptsd thousands of kms away, with fake body armor and 3 days training.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,176 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    There is zero prospect of Ukraine militarily retaking stolen territory.

    Why? What's your logic behind this assertion, given that (a) Ukraine has already re-taken a sizeable chunk of it's own occupied territory, and (b) has also captured Russian territory from which the Russian's have - so far - have been unable to dislodge them.

    So if you're dealing with "reality because it's a reality" how come you can't accept the reality that Ukraine has shown itself to be entirely capable of visiting catastrophic defeat on the Kremlin crusaders? Oh yeah, and they've also driven the Black Sea fleet out of the Black Sea, effectively created a no-fly zone over Ukraine, and have been systematically attacking targets in Russia, several hundred km behind the front line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,710 ✭✭✭yagan


    If Irelands population growth were to have matched Britain we'd have 22million by now. Instead we're still below pre An Gorta Mor levels.

    Britain sent more troops to Ireland to protect food exports to Britain than they had in india at the same time.

    Then there's ukriaines Holodomor under Soviet rule.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,543 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    There's the prospect of Putin having a heart attack or dying of other natural (or "unnatural") causes and Russia descending into chaos.

    There's the prospect of the senile, volatile, narcissist the USA have just elected reacting to some slight, real or imagined and massively ramping up aid or even putting American boots on the ground in an attempt to look like a big, tough man.

    There's the prospect of the Russian population finally having enough of deprivation and revolting (low odds given how cowardly Russians are tbf).

    There's the prospect of Russia's economy completely collapsing and the ensuing chaos that would bring.

    There's the prospect of a European coalition forming to put boots on the ground (even in a "peacekeeping" role in Western Ukraine or along the border with Belarus).

    There's the prospect of China reclaiming their historical territory in Eastern Russia and the Russian armed forces having to respond to that.

    There's the prospect of mutiny in the Russian armed forces in response to the meat grinder tactics their generals have been using.

    There's the prospect of improved anti-air defence materiel being supplied to Ukraine by their allies, countering the threat of their most effective weapon at the moment (the glide bombs).

    There's the prospect of a series of successful drone strikes taking out (or even greatly reducing) the stockpiles of those glide bombs.

    Or any combination of the above.

    So no, there's not a zero prospect of Ukraine finding themselves in the position to militarily take back their internationally recognised territory. Sure, some of the above prospects are low probability but they're not zero ergo your entire argument is fallacious.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    The reality is that Three years into Putin’s Three Day war some still can’t comprehend why Ukrainians would chose to fight Russians instead of lining up in an orderly q and walking themselves and their families into mass graves.

    Reading some of the posts here one would get to impression that Ukrainians are resisting just for the craic of it and there is not already a long long list of atrocities visited on those in Russian occupied territories in that timeframe



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,124 ✭✭✭Mike3549


    And the best part is that costco in usa had to recall/destroy a lot of butter, because.....

    They forgot to print "contains milk" on the label.

    Imagine russian faces when/if they hear those news



Advertisement