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General Irish politics discussion thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,699 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    For all the talk of FF and FG being domineering, the current coalition has been very stable and with no big bust ups between any of the three parties over the last four and a half years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,895 ✭✭✭pureza


    That’s because the model they’re using means it’s effectively a tri party decision maker



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Do you not think they have chosen power in favour of principle several times.

    Ordinarily a scandal like Varadkar's Official Secrets one or several others like Coveney's or Phil Hogan's would have brought most coalitions down or severely damaged them. Eyes have been shut and power held onto because the opposition was riding high in polls.

    With SF out of the picture I wonder will that IMO clinging to power at any cost maintain?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Those "scandals" you mention were only minor incidents in the greater scheme of things. Compared to Boris Johnson's parties, the Covid things were minor (and trivial compared to the Storey funeral).

    However, even Boris' messes are tiny compared to the current sh!tshow in the main opposition party. MLMD was promising to rain hell down on the government parties tomorrow in the Dail. I wonder will she even turn up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,926 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Could be a first for "opposition questions" in the Dáil.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Potentially breaking the Official Secrets act and potentially endangering lives are 'minor incidents'?
    If you say so.
    Not a bit of wonder eyes can be held tightly shut.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    There was no breach of the Official Secrets Act, what are you talking about?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    There was the potential that it was breached as there is potential criminality in Stanley's case.

    It took a year for the Gardai and DPP to decide on it. Yet FG FF and the Greens and folk like yourself were able to do that immediately, without proper inquiry and circle the wagons around him adamantly claiming his innocence.
    Seems to me, when the complaint came to SF they didn't circle wagons and held an inquiry that has found potential criminality and the matter is where it should be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,328 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Do you want Ireland to become like Italy then?

    Those 'scandals' you mentioned were nothing burgers at the end of the day. Certainly nothing as serious as bringing down the government.

    Its funny that you have such high standards for others, but SF can directly put children in harm's way by giving someone a reference to work with Children, and you man the barricades for days defending this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,328 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Any word if the Dail is going to sit this Friday? That would be a huge indicator of a November election.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Mark, I haven't 'defended it' for a second.
    It is wholly and totally wrong for anyone to write a reference for a convicted abuser or for one under investigation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,328 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Why not just leave at that then, and stop the "Its wrong BUT…" remarks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady




  • Posts: 447 ✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I'd have thought the following may not have brought down the government but would have been enough to cost a minister their job (I'm sure there are others, I can probably list them in advance, who would disagree)

    -leaking confidential documents - "nothing burger" (FFS anyone using that phrase should be sterilised) when it's FG yet the same posters downplaying it fear a government involving SF in case (ramp up the hyperbole to 11) government documents are passed round "a smokey back room in Belfast"

    -The Coveney/Zappone crony controversy

    -A minster lying and misleading the electorate in a constitutional referendum

    I think it was Cormac Lucey who said "incompetence alone is no longer enough" to bring down a minister.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,328 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    But all in all they were nothing burgers, as I said.

    Given the issues the country and the world has gone through over the last 4-5 years, they are really small fry.

    Nobody remembers half that stuff you bang on about.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 28,401 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    All politicians choose power in favour of principle, on the (entirely reasonable) grounds that the whole point of politics is to give practical, real-world effect to your principles implemented. Giving partial effect so some of your principles is always to be preferred to giving no effect to any of your principles. So politicians take getting access to power and retaining access to power very seriously indeed.

    As for "clinging to power at any cost", I don't see that the government parties have paid much cost by remaining in coalitions. Polls-wise, they're doing quite nicely, thanks, which suggests that the public is not displeased with the decision not to collapse the coalition. If we're being honest, they'd probably pay a much higher price for collapsing the coalition than for not collapsing it. Voters dislike elections, and will punish a party that is seen to trigger one prematurely.

    I think you overstate the case with your list of scandals that would "ordinarily" collapse a coalition. Phil Hogan wasn't even a member of the government; if there has ever been a government anywhere in the Union that collapsed because of any misbehaviour by their nominee to the Commission, I don't recall it. Similarly I don't recall governments collapsing because of members appointing cronies to well-paid positions; the public may deprecate this behaviour, but they don't think it's general election-triggering material.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    FF/PDs - Brought down by evidence given at a tribunal.
    FF/Lab - Brought down when Labour walked out over the appointment of the Attorney General
    FG/Inds - Brought down by FG themselves when a 2nd no confidence vote in Simon Harris was avoided

    Three examples. Brought down on 'principles'.

    Look at the scandals in this government and despite them they will do almost their full term and choose the timing of the GE and we are confidently told here pick up the baton and carry on after the next GE.
    I

    t's a legitimate question - if incompetence is no longer enough, what is enough now?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    FF/Labour was brought down on the mishandling of a child abuse case. Sound familiar? Albert Reynolds had to resign.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 28,401 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Nitpick: The FF/Lab coaltion was brought down over the appointment of the President of the High Court. The candidate concerned — Harry Whelehan — was the Attorney-General, but his appointment to that office was uncontroversial.

    Bigger nitpick: There was no FG/Ind coalition; the government concerned was a minority FG government. It has the support of a variable number of independents, but there was no agreement for government; none of them were in government positions; and even with independents it had no majority. It was in effect sustained in office by the decision of FF not to vote against it on confidence issues. Even if its true that Varadkar did cut and run, that didn't in any sense represent the collapse of a coalition; his fear would have been that FF would vote against the government, and FF weren't in coalition.

    Biggest nitpick: None of these were issues of competence. The allegation against Whelehan was that he had tried to protect Brendan Smyth from extradition, which doesn't really go to competence. And the evidence given at the tribunal that brought down the FF/PD colation was Reynold's assertion that O'Malley was dishonest, which is a different (and much more serious), allegation than incompetence. (Reynolds, of course, gave that evidence knowing that it would leave the PDs no choice but to withdraw; in effect, it was Reynold's way of triggering an election at which he hoped to win a majority.)

    Coalitions come apart when one party thinks an election would be to their advantage, basically. In the past, people were more tolerant of frequent elections; as this has changed, the likelihood that a party can improve its position by triggering an early election has diminished and coalitions have become more durable. Plus in the 1990s, FF hadn't entirely reconciled itself to the idea of coalition so tended always to hope to win a majority at an election. Since the advent of Ahern in 1997 we've had an almost unbroken diet of coalitions, and we've also had longer gaps betwen elections than ever before. But that certainly isn't because of a greater tolerance of low standards in public life; most observers would agree that ethical standards in public life are immeasurably higher today than they were in the 1990s and before.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,506 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    There were multiple Independent ministers in that FG minority era Government, though.

    Initially that was enough to survive with FF abstentions.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Nitpick: The FF/Lab coaltion was brought down over the appointment of the President of the High Court. The candidate concerned — Harry Whelehan — was the Attorney-General, but his appointment to that office was uncontroversial.

    Apologies, the end of the sentence got chopped for some reason.
    Point was the Labour party walked out on principle. Reynolds desperately tried to save the government but couldn't. Contrary to @blanch152 contention, the 'sex scandal' would not have mattered to him if Labour could ignore it.

    Bigger nitpick: There was no FG/Ind coalition; the government concerned was a minority FG government. It has the support of a variable number of independents, but there was no agreement for government; none of them were in government positions; and even with independents it had no majority. It was in effect sustained in office by the decision of FF not to vote against it on confidence issues. Even if its true that Varadkar did cut and run, that didn't in any sense represent the collapse of a coalition; his fear would have been that FF would vote against the government, and FF weren't in coalition.

    Again fair enough, but that government fell on an issue of competence. That of the MoH and FG's refusal to allow a vote on it in the Dáil

    Biggest nitpick: None of these were issues of competence. The allegation against Whelehan was that he had tried to protect Brendan Smyth from extradition, which doesn't really go to competence. And the evidence given at the tribunal that brought down the FF/PD colation was Reynold's assertion that O'Malley was dishonest, which is a different (and much more serious), allegation than incompetence. (Reynolds, of course, gave that evidence knowing that it would leave the PDs no choice but to withdraw; in effect, it was Reynold's way of triggering an election at which he hoped to win a majority.)

    Perhaps the thing that I think underlines my point, the circling of wagons around a protracted question about the Taoiseach.

    I think genuinely it represents a sea change in politics here. What coalitions parties were prepared to stand over in that and other things should be of concern



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The "sex scandal" wasn't a "sex scandal". Reynolds ended up losing his job because someone he appointed mishandled a child abuse case. Sound familiar?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Even if you have pivoted from your initial claim that Reynolds somehow took responsibility, (he didn't he tried vainly to get Labour to put it aside and allow him continue) you are proving the point here.

    Once upon a time, impropriety was likely to damage or bring down a government.

    Not any more. Especially if there is a strong in the polls opposition in the wings. That's a matter of concern.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Yes, indeed, mishandling a child sex abuse case was once grounds for resignation by a leader, even if they weren't involved directly in the mishandling of the case. MLMD is proof on more than one occasion that this has changed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,532 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Reynolds didn't resign because of that.
    He resigned because he couldn't get another party to forget it. He took zero responsibility.

    Your disingenuousness is patently transparent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,295 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    So what is the story about the Russian spy in the Dail? Are they still there and if so Who is it? I have a fair idea but don't want you say.

    I could be miles off or I could be right.

    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,197 ✭✭✭eire4


    From what I have read the Russian agent is still in place.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,506 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    They’re a hetero male, opposition, probably a senator and probably not SF from the hints. Still there and still unannounced, but also never provided anything useful to Russia



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,295 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    That's not good. I wonder what they are doing about it?

    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,506 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    If they have no access to anything useful, nothing probably



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