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Ireland Team Talk XII: Farrell's First Fifteen

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 149 ✭✭thePigeon_




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,095 ✭✭✭CMcsporty


    ok

    I can have an opinion and it also not transpiring!

    Care to also contribute a guess?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,889 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It is absolutely not a question of "if" Prendergast will get ahead of Ross, he already is. There is an exceptionally slim chance that Ross might get back ahead of him, but I fail to see how in practice.

    Farrell targeted that SA tour and was incredibly focused on winning. He did not bring a player who was one injury away from a key role in the matchday 23 for fun or some nebulous concept of development. I would be genuinely flabbergasted if Sam doesn't start against Fiji.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 106 ✭✭lonester99


    Id have Devine in for Murphy, he'll be claiming the starting jersey now that hes back fit, Also would like to see slightly more continuity from emerging ireland, with Maybe Culhane/Kendellen in for prendergast or Timoney - Culhanes been very impressive. Otoole is also under pressure from Aungier



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 149 ✭✭thePigeon_


    Absolutely entitled to an opinion, I just think it’s going to miss the mark.

    Taking my stab at it. Arg game is a bit iffy and depends a lot on how Frawley goes this weekend.

    v Mun 10.Frawley 22. Harry

    v Con 10.Prendergast 22.Ross

    v Lions 10.Frawley 22.Prendergast 26th Oct

    v NZ 10.Crowley 22.Frawley

    v Arg 10. Frawley 22.Crowley

    v Fiji 10. Prendergast 22.Frawley 23rd Nov 

    v Ulster 10. RossB 22.HarryB 29th Nov

    v Aus 10. Frawley 22.Crowley / maybe Prendergast 30th Nov



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,413 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    I like Devine, and think he's a good rugby player, but his pass isn't good enough yet IMO, especially off his left side. Ben Murphy has a beautiful pass off either hand, and also plays that kind of bridge pass (where he's sitting back a little from the ruck and linking play wide - something both JGP and Casey are excellent at) really well too.

    Connacht have a fascinating battle at 9 - because the reality is the likeliest of the three Connacht 9s (i'm excluding Reilly) to be in the Irish squad is Caolin Blade - he was on the bench (and did well) against SA in July.

    I think it's really hard to overlook Ben Murphy's exceptional form though.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,889 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    This strikes me as a more likely scenario alright. I don't see the point of giving Crowley all 3 major AI matches, and if Farrell is serious about Frawley he will give him one of Aus or Arg.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 106 ✭✭lonester99


    Agree also, I just value Devines JBP esque ability to pick and draw before passing in the same relaxed lackadaisical fashion that jgp makes so effective for leinster and ireland. It keeps the momentum and continuity in attack so much more effectively then passing straigh off the base as the defensive line is forced to hold longer. I think that skill is a harder one to come by and overtime divines passing will improve. Murphy does have a nice pass and tidy game and would have no objections if he gets the nod, just think with Divines particular skill set and ceiling is a lot higher.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,413 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    I hope it's the case Devine's passing improves - there's almost no excuse for it not to anymore, but I remember watching Luke McGrath playing for Michael's, or Ireland U20 or Leinster A and thinking "wow, what a rugby player, if he can just sort out his pass he'll be a 50 capper for Ireland" - and that was probably close to 12 or 13 years ago, and nothing improved. Obviously McGrath still had a great career, but I think not having an elite pass is limiting for a scrum half now at the highest level (as it should).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 106 ✭✭lonester99


    Ye Luke mcgrath makes for tough viewing these days, but Devines passing is far better than Mcgraths is and hes far less error prone. Also mcgrath doesnt have the floaty pick of the base style that JBP and Devine both have



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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,095 ✭✭✭CMcsporty


    I dont know how you can be SO sure Prendergast is ahead of Ross based on SA tour.

    Yes Ross wasn't picked to tour but could have been on the next flight out if anything happened to Crowley or Frawley in the 1st Test.*

    Just like Doak and Heffernan were called up after the first test. They linked up with the squad when they moved down to Durban on the Monday of the 2nd Test.

    Development on that tour wasn't or isn't a nebulous concept for Prendergast. He needed it. Just like he needed the EI tour.

    "Flabbergasted" if he doesn't start v Fiji? Ok. I wouldn't be but I'd also be delighted to see it.

    I think Frawley has earned the right (with AF) to start v Fiji and maybe also Arg.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,095 ✭✭✭CMcsporty


    Prepare to be wrong

    !!

    Frawley is not starting both v Aus & Arg with Crolwey only starting the 1 game v NZ.

    IF Prendergast is picked ahead of both CF and JC it'll be the incumbent no.10, Crowley, who'll start 2 other games.

    Sure who knows!!

    Frawley has only ever started 1 game for Ireland. At 15 v Wales this year.

    He will be given at least 1 start at 10 in Nov. Maybe 2.

    2nd start might be v Aus, he's born in Sydney…..who knows…



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,889 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Well, part of my certainty is my own view of what would be best colouring things. But given how seriously Farrell was taking that tour (and just how much the win clearly meant to them), I simply don't believe that his primary strategy for a potential injury to one of two key players was to fly someone out on a long haul flight to join up late with the squad to then play ahead of the player who was out there already. Doak and Heffernan were called out because you need 3 hookers and 3 scrumhalves and neither made the matchday 23 for the second test. Is anyone seriously saying either of those players are "actually" ahead of the ones that travelled ahead of them?

    If Frawley has "earned the right" to a start, it would be utterly pointless at this stage of his career for it to be against Fiji. He has performed against the World Champions in their backyard, why bother? Playing in a helter skelter unstructured game at 10 won't tell us anything new. He will start against Aus or Arg. Prendergast has significantly more experience at this stage than Crowley did when he was called into the AI squad two years ago and it is incredibly obvious that the coaching team are heavily invested in him.

    Ultimately it would be giant flaming, monumental waste of time to start anyone except Prendergast against Fiji.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,095 ✭✭✭CMcsporty


    Ok there is allot in that I'm not in fully in agreement with. I'd just like to reiterate the lack of gametime Frawley has at 10. I could be wrong bit i think he only played 20mins of the two* Tests at 10 v SA. *(I think Frawley replaced Osborne at 15 in 1st test)

    Starting an International at 10 is never pointless. Especially when he has never done so.

    It wouldn't be a waste of anybody's time if its not Prendergast v Fiji. Even Prendergasts! He has LOADS of time.

    And so do Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,070 ✭✭✭50HX


    The John Cooney inclusion debate is firmly put to bed then i see😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,413 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    I'd have him in the Scotland squad, but don't see any more Irish caps in his future.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,007 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Prendergast has significantly more experience at this stage than Crowley did when he was called into the AI squad two years ago

    I'm not sure if that's accurate Podge, is it? I'd say they're reasonably comparable, and agree I expect Prendergast to start vs Fiji, but would be surprised if he had significantly more experience than Crowley had?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,889 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Well I'm counting the SA tour as fairly significant experience in the grand scheme of things but he has about 50% more provincial minutes not including either respective EI tour. I'd consider that reasonably significant though it's low enough either way (480 vs 700ish from memory)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,413 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    At this present time - they have remarkably similar level of appearances, starts and minutes, though Prendergast has a chance to be higher if he gets some gametime between now and November, which he absolutely should.

    Jack Crowley - when selected on the bench against Fiji in November 2022 had had 7 starts for Munster (6 at 10, 1 at 15), 19 total appearances for 732 total minutes.

    Crowley's starts game against Ospreys, Ulster, Castres (in Europe), Dragons, Lions, Leinster (at 15) and Ulster again.

    Sam Prendergast has, as of today, 7 starts for Leinster, 19 games and 696 total minutes.

    Prendergast started against the Lions, Bulls, Scarlets, Ulster, Stormers, Connacht and Edinburgh.

    Crowley was about 2 months shy of his 23rd birthday when he debuted, Prendergast will be a year younger if he debuts in November.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,007 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    I just had a quick look, and I think Crowley had ~700 mins too before the AI's? Pretty comparable, but ya Prendergast's time in camp stands to him.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,889 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    My memory is clearly failing me so. I went through the numbers back before the summer and thought they had been pretty even then but sam had played more since. Mea culpa



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,095 ✭✭✭CMcsporty


    Any Idea how many Starts Frawley has had at 10 for Leinster his entire career?

    Last few seasons he's started only 4 incl Benetton last week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,007 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    It'd be interesting to see how many minutes he has there from the bench too, but that'd be super difficult to figure out…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,819 ✭✭✭Dubinusa


    Ben Murphy will make this squad. He's been great. I think Milne might also get into the wider squad. Based on the 3 rounds of league play the best players have been Deegan, Conan, Ben Murphy, and Coombes. Others who've been fairly good, Forde, Gus McCarthy and Clarkson. Of course, this means nothing really.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,413 ✭✭✭FtD v2


    I had a look there. I've captured games where he came off the bench to directly replace the 10, but have probably missed a handful of games where he started elsewhere and was moved to 10.

    Overall - by my reckoning he's had 13 starts (23% of total starts) at 10 across the past 8 seasons (including this one), has played in 25 games there (26% of total games), for a total of c. 1,226 minutes (27% of total mins).

    It's massively front loaded though - 18 of his 25 games at 10 came in his first three seasons, when he got 8 of his 13 starts and 73% of all the mins he's gotten at 10.

    He had three seasons in the middle of his career - 20/21 (0 starts, 0 apps, 0 mins at 10), 21/22 (0 starts, 0 apps, 0 mins at 10) and 22/23 (1 game, 1 app, 44 mins at 10), where he wasn't seen as a 10 at all arguably, but it did increase again a bit last season.

    He started 2 European games last year at 10 (v Sale and v Stade Francais, and moved to 10 during the Munster game in the Aviva, the La Rochelle game in LAR and the Toulouse final.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 149 ✭✭thePigeon_


    I'm prepared 😂

    Like I said I think the Argentina game is iffy. Regardless though, my two thoughts are:

    I don't see how it's so inconceivable that Frawley could overtake Crowley by that stage. Maybe not likely but it's possible.

    And more importantly, this isn't the 6 nations and Farrell might want to experiment. There's going to be two outhalves in the squad anyway. If there isn't a whole lot between them what's the harm in giving Frawley some extra time in the saddle. Maybe Farrell will want some consistency between the NZ and Argentina games, but I think it's possible that he gives them 1 each there with Frawley almost auditioning for a starting place against Australia.

    The objective is obviously winning all 4 games, but on top of that the ideal situation would be to come away with 2 live options to start in the 6 nations. Crowley started all the 6 nations games, twice away to SA and will start the NZ game - we know what he can do. If we can swap him out and still beat Argentina and Australia, it's a good thing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,660 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Would Zac Ward be in with a shout for a call up? Thought he did well enough on the EI tour.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,889 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Yeah I thought he was great, though I was worried about him making the conversion to XVs at provincial level. I think that is firmly boxed off but not sure he should expect an international call up just yet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,750 ✭✭✭ersatz


    Honestly its happy days for Ireland where we have 3 relatively new options (Frawley has been around but not with the ten focus he has now) at ten where a couple years ago we had none that gave any confidence. No slight on RB saying that, he just plays a very different game than what Ireland need and work best with. Ross is a controlling, steady, possession oriented, territorial and kicking out half. He is boilerplate Munster playing behind a great pack and while its ironic to say it, Munster probably would have been better served recruiting him over Carbery all those year ago. RB will remain at the periphery for Ireland because he is a consistently excellent player who can be relied on but I can see Frawley pushing him out of the top 2 or 3 spots. No idea what will happen at Leinter, other than assuming Leo won't make up his mind about any of this.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,660 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Honestly surprised Ross hasn't looked to go to the Premiership, or been poached by Stu or Rog. He'd do brilliantly at that level, actually probably be an upgrade on Pollard for Leicester for example.



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