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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

1814815817819820943

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,926 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    I would not totally agree about it not being of benefit to buyers. As its targets at those that do not own a house at present mainly only FTB are availing of it. People who already own a property cannot draw the grant therefore it fairy hard for trader uppers to get it. While investors can buy the property , refurbish the house and draw the grant if they rent it for 5 years there is little appetite for it. Although I see a development in a village where a empty pub and another two houses next to it are starting to be refurbished

    On the ESB it not a strictly 100% correct. Heating may have been left on a low level to prevent dampness. An affidavit from vendors where owners were in a nursing home or elsewhere

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Going back to the linked article, commencement notice is a notice of intention which this year removed some significant costs. There is no obligation on a completion date infered from a commencement notice, therefore assuming 40k completions this year by the researcher is a poor firecast



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I'm pretty sure this figure is as a result of a small sample size but this is scandalous in a constituency where FG nearly scooped 50% of the vote.

    In no way is this sustainable and FFG need to be kicked out before the country is ruined again by property



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,926 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    There is an obligation for a completion day at present it's mid 2025 if you have not the house complete by then you are libel for the fees AFAIK.

    I posed that it looks like the government target of 33k woukd be exceeded along with nunbers coming out of the refurbishment grant

    The big question is this partially due to the loss of cheaper rental property that have been sold. Probably not completely but LL with very low rental yields are exiting or leaving the property empty.

    TThe RTB should be able to prosecute where LL in RPZ exceed the standard rise in rent allowed. They have to be notified of any increases.

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The applicants were a rush to qualify for the waiver, with the waiver extended the rush will be relaxed. It'll be like planning permission with only a fraction progressing to build

    Short term the refurbishment grant is an incentive to leave property empty without a significant tax on it, also it's paid after the work is done so it assists those that may not need it

    Trapped landlords on low rents leaving was highly predictable particularly in Limerick as it was one of the last cities to recover from the last crash. Rents approaching Dublin rates in Limerick is a massive risk to jobs in the locality as many employers had reasnoble accommodation costs as a big factor in locating there. Most Limerick jobs require people to be present so WFH does not provide an escape

    State needs to immediately move away from grants for purchasing to rentals open to every income level with rent set at a % of income prioritising not the social housing list but people that need to be present at there workplace 5 days a week

    We are jeopardising everything with our current housing policy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Out of control. 1 sector allowed to do so much damage to the economy aided by the government.

    That same sector should be working in a symbiotic relationship that derives benefits for both. Instead housing is a parasite on the economy

    These properties were given concessions on standards to aide affordability for students

    Absolutely scandalous



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I see your point, but tell that to the folks who were only able to buy because of HTB, because they couldnt raise the deposit without it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Did you see the car parked outside the digital recreation of the social housing development. The owner must be the person collecting the rents



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    Probably is 🤣.

    The country is encouraging scum from other countries. Why do we need Chinese in Limerick. They have plenty of properties in their own country. The government should ban Chinese buyers here.

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Without their funding, would those properties be built?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Youve roughly 15,000 we'll paid jobs within 10 minute walk of that location. Area crying out for new supply

    Why can't Ireland build it from our sovereign wealth fund and collect the rent and reinvest



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    What's future well-being and social cohesion of Ireland and the Irish people worth when we have pension funds to fatten up!?



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Again, though some see them as the Devil incarnate, the reality is that many developments would still be fields if it wasn’t for institutional/overseas investment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭extra-ordinary_


    That's more than likely nonsense, how did we ever manage before now? So, in a market that has absolute incredible demand for product, you're saying that no products will get produced (and money made), unless we give special taxation breaks to international investors?



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    If it is as you say, nonsense, why are so many developments over the last 10 yrs forward funded by investors while Irish developers struggled to obtain finance?

    The demand is obvious, the source of finance, less so.

    How did we manage before now? Banks like Anglo handed out huge loans to developers which helped to almost break our banking system. Now we have a huge population increase, higher numbers of higher income earners, and banks that were less willing to lend to developers. All the conditions for investors looking to profit by providing finance to developers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    A medical device research facility in Limerick cant get sufficient engineers domestically and are bringing them in from abroad with the carrot if 1 months stay in local hotel.

    After the month is up they are coming back to HR as they can't get accommodation



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,035 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Because the room is too hot, the solution is to turn off the heating, now the room is too cold.

    The banks were saved to ensure the finance was there to fund the infrastructure the country needed. If they are not allowed reasnobly to lend, what was the point of saving them. Adjust the heating to the room temperature, not turn it off



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  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The banks were saved to prevent a catastrophic collapse in our financial system/day to day banking, not just to fund future construction projects for private developers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,095 ✭✭✭PeadarCo


    Because any modern economy needs a functioning banking system. That's why they were saved. Take it away we wouldn't have a housing crisis because we would have mass emigration.

    As a result of the crash the ECB and Irish Central bank(ICB) have learnt their lesson. Outside finance is required because if the ECB and ICB do their job Irish banks will never be allowed to be as exposed to the Irish property market again. The fact investors from outside the state are required isn't news and has been obvious for a number of years. It's also not a bad thing. It spreads the risk outside the state and means if things do go bad we don't end up having to bail out the banks again. We also had a huge hole in the government finances due to an over reliance on property related taxes. Remember that hole in the government finances ended up costing more than the bank bail out.

    Remember property can be a very illiquid asset when things go wrong. Check out 2008-2012 for an idea of how illiquid it can be. It's naturally a risky asset to invest in at least compared to other investment types that are more liquid. Any half decent regulator and government needs to factor that in. The Irish banking crisis is a lesson when the government and regulator don't heed basic financial facts.

    All you are advocating is for Irish banks and state to repeat the mistakes of the early 2000's. The current housing crisis is partly a legacy of those mistakes. There wasn't the money in the private economy to build houses and it would have been political suicide to build houses in an era of ghost estates. Go back a decade plus on this forum and you will see the sentiment at the time. As a result subsequent governments have been playing catch up.

    Now that's not to say things couldn't be done to free up banking capital to lend but the main one would be politically very unpopular. That is making it a lot easier to repossess houses of people who default on their mortgages. Do that and you reduce the risk premium associated with Irish mortgages. That would reduce the amount of capital reserves required from domestic Irish banks and would encourage foreign banks to enter the Irish mortgage market. This would increase the amount of money available to build houses. However making it easier to evict people who don't pay their mortgages is unlikely to happen any time soon.

    Building houses isn't all about money, you need skilled workers, improve the speed at which developments get planning permission etc etc. If you don't have enough workers and the other elements sorted more money will just mean higher prices at least in the short term.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    I suspect Ireland's very low payroll taxation thresholds also come as a shock for a lot of them. Dublin is simply not worth moving to for anything less than €100k.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,139 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    What type of septic tank treatment unit is he going with?, 5000 grand seems good value, there must be great soakage there.

    Not the best drainage around where I am in the NW and the councils requesting seriously expensive treatment units with peat modules, all in all costs could run close to 15,000+.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    There may be delays on building those houses :

    CONSTRUCTION sites will be hit by strikes next week after talks between employers and a union representing plumbers, fitters, welders and apprentices over a travel allowance broke down this morning.

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    I did notice the other day jobs in financial services advertised in Valentia Spain. Recruiter looking to recruit here with relocation package on offer. Wonder if this is due to the fact that there is no shortage of accommodation in Spain, good solid spacious too.

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Indeed. And don't forget that in this market with incredible demand the buyers of the product need subsidies too.

    So you've got the financiers, the producers and the buyers of this product for which there is incredible demand and scarce supply all requiring incentives to participate in the market.

    And if anybody suggests that something seems a bit odd about that, the response is that they don't understand basic economics!



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Which part are you struggling with?

    Incentives in markets are nothing new or odd.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭The Student


    If we extend your premise of basic economics then you will also accept the impact of supernormal profits and how they attract other suppliers.

    You will also agree that the sales price is a combination of input costs and a margin.

    Logic would suggest suppliers would supply before price falls either as a result of interest rises, recession, job lossess etc.

    Remember lands value is dictated by the value it holds aspart of the finished product.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Possibly correct. However, without those same institutions and investors, would the need for those fields to be anything other than empty even exist?



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