Russia-Ukraine War

Based on recent comments from the UK, there is a line of thought among military leadership that expects to be in direct conflict with Russia within 3 years irrespective of the outcome in Ukraine. Western politicians currently seem to prefer conducting the war from a distance, through someone else, through investing money and so on, but at the moment they are not ready for direct conflict. Why would Russia be putting that number of men in Ukraine?, that is a huge logistics operation. The Russian leadership are probably anticipating the longer the Ukraine campaign drags on without significant victories, the more likely the direct conflict becomes.

What does victory look like for the Russians given the current state of their army and economy? 690,000 personnel suggests they are preparing for a break in the lines by stretching the Ukrainians, they can push their army through rapidly and get behind the Ukrainian defense lines which collapse.

The only thing I don't get about the thought of direct conflict with Russia possibly in 3 years is Russia won't be in a position for it. It will take them probably about 10 years to get their army back into a proper shape to be trained and armed to be in a position to fight Nato. I sometimes wonder do these generals just say this to get more funding for their own army which is fine.

Well lads,

This is interesting, let's get more confirmation

Your figures don't seem to include the armed forces of Ukraine which have 900,000 active soldiers according to this source:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1296573/russia-ukraine-military-comparison/

This puts some putin fan boy predictions of swelling of moskovyte terrorist numbers in Ukraine leading to imminent collapse in the defensive lines of the armed forces of Ukraine in a bit more perspective in my opinion. As the attacking force putin's terrorists are likely to be sustaining multiple times the losses being sustained by Ukrainian forces so it seems to me that any numbers advantage putin might think he has now will not be sustained into the conflict in the longer term.

Isn't Slovakia producing and selling artillery shells for Ukraine?

Hungary on the other hand they had this coming.

It's even more messed up when you consider that Hungary and Slovakia export electricity to Ukraine with Hungary claiming to provide as high as 42% of Ukraine's consumption.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/slovakia-hungary-threaten-ukraine-with-court-fight-over-blocked-oil-2024-07-24/

So pro-Russian Hungary, is providing Ukraine with electricity, some of which was generated using Russian oil, that was piped through Ukraine, who they invaded 2 years ago.

organs deteriorate rapidly from deceased unless kept artificially alive. The question is, would the Nazi’s do it from live patients? Sure they would… so, would the Russians? Same answer.

You would think someone who is involved with US military like yourself know better than to compare the sizes of third world militaries with ever older Soviet era equipment against modern NATO forces

Didn’t Iraq have a much larger number of men than all of NATO?

And that’s before we get to the elephant in the room, since when are any Russian figures and statistics on anything to be trusted?

Saying all that, IMHO fear of Russia is good (as long as it doesn’t paralyse countries into inaction like Germany in 2022), fear will drive countries to continue helping Ukraine, fear will continue to increase military budgets and industrial capacity and output, something that Russia can not hope to match.

Russian Central Bank today has raised the interest rate from 16% to 18%.

Many aren't "troops", they are taxi drivers and impoverished people who have been handed rifles and 2 weeks training. Some haven't even received the training.

Quantity is still a threat, but offensively they aren't very good. It's also putting a massive burden on Russia's finances, which are taking a heavy hit despite all their made-up economic statistics desperately trying to prove otherwise. Sorry to pour cold water on your badly hidden excitement at Russia prevailing.

2023 Pentagon accounting error discovered. Ukraine please collect an additional 6 billion in additional military hardware.

Russia is spending the guts of €6bn per MONTH on the war in Ukraine. You'd be deluded to think this is in any way sustainable.

Yes, apparently, there is no procedure for ejecting undesirable members who continually act on behalf of unfriendly foreign governments as we are now seen all too frequently, but article 7 allows for suspension of voting rights for violating EU principles. And this can and would effectively end that country's participation in EU affairs,but is not officially kicking them out of the EU as such. A change in EU Law needs to be introduced. It should have been foreseen from day 1, but with future EU enlargement on the cards, it needs to be legislated for now.

Orban now planning to flood EU with Russian immigrants and saboteurs