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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,750 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Electricity generation using diffuse and unreliable sources is easy when you engage in magic thinking. Here is something something else, this is what happens to electricity demand and wind solar generation when the dunkelflaute sets in across Western and central Europe, happens every Winter sometimes lasting for 2 weeks and it's bitterly cold. It does not matter how many solar panels or wind turbines installed, they don't work under those conditions.

    image.png


    Wind turbine generation in this country can and does occasionally turn negative. This is why a backup system is needed, the capacity factor for solar in Ireland is ~10%, Wind capacity factor over a years ~30% and it varies massively across seasons and day to day. This is why your electricity bill will never be cheap, the more unreliable generation that is put on the grid the more complex and expensive it becomes to operate and manage.

    image.png

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Costs seem to vary greatly for wind generation depending on the source. This one I believe I quoted earlier and I will again and before anyone checks it is recent 2024 not 2022 as in the link. Quotes 1.3 million per MW for wind generation, that gives 1.3 Bn for 1GW and taking that further would result in 48Bn cost.

    https://weatherguardwind.com/how-much-does-wind-turbine-cost-worth-it/

    I'm sure our grid will need upgrading in any case and thsi will cost and we may benefit from EU money in such a strategic EU project.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Hence the need for greater interconnectness in the EU. Also the existing French Nuclear generation may be useful.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 852 ✭✭✭gossamerfabric


    A low cost carrier has price sensitive customers so doubling the cost of the ticket reduces demand and service must be scaled back but your hidden motive is now clearer for all to see...you think you have found a service with an inelastic demand curve which can be milked to finance still more eco-boondoggles.

    The take away here is that the greens are a party of unlimited taxation.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,490 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    That's for simple wind turbines themselves. What about the array cables?

    What about the grid infrastructure? Near shore requires an offshore platform, transformers, AC cables, reactive power compensation, as well as boats to do marine surveys and maintenance. You won't get much of the 37GW within the near shore distances (10GW max) so it's further out you'll need to go and then you are into the world of HVDC. Basically, you need a Celtic Interconnector (€1.6Bn) for every 700MW. Your costs won't be long adding up!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Perhaps but much improvement is needed anyway. What is the alternative?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    So not a single verifiable figure from you after all the waffle and attempts to denegate those of other posters you spoofer.

    I do not know the journalist that article is credited to, but whoever she is I imagine her copy was barely legible due to laughter tear stains. I particulary enjoyed "The projected costs to households and businesses are based on modelling which predicts the technology cost of offshore wind will halve in price and that other countries will help with construction costs"

    Weeks before the price of offshore went through the roof we had posters on here, and on other threads, assuring us that due to "economy of scale" the costs were going to halve. Modelling is basically crystal ball gazing and has been shown to be as accurate. The part of that I really enjoyed, but I hope she put it in for a laugh, is that "other countries will help with constuction costs" If not then somebody in government has either lost their mind or they have become desperate seeing the cost of this insanity.

    In fairness to the journalist she did pull herself together to point out that the State`s entire capital budget is around 15 Bn, so the cost capital costs of turbines, hydrogen add-ons, grid upgrade and port upgrades would not be far short of 20 years of our entire capital budget. And that is without the further 2 years of our entire capital budget it would cost for cables to export this mythical energy. But again in fairness she did point it that it was a nonsense as did @machiavellianme, as well as pointing out that French nuclear is cheaper than the renewables we would have to offer. If those cables are going to do anything it will be to import French nuclear just to keep the lights on.

    She also rubbished the myth that Ryan and greens have been attempting to sell as part of their energy clusterfcuk making any sense of us becoming this world leader in hydrogen where Europe would be lining up to buy it from us.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    I have shown the figures from sites you may not believe but I don't accept the 200Bn figure. You must remember that even if the costs are large it will still be spent over many years and will pay back. Even China is going with wind generation.

    Why wouldn't te EU help? They have in the past and they would be looking for carbon free energy too. Anyway the project is going ahead and there must be economies of scale eventually. What is the alternative to burn fossil fuels ad infinitum?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Denmark is also moving to a green wind powered future less reliant on fossil fuels that can be stopped by th elikes of Putin on a whim.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,750 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    What is the alternative? You cannot decouple from fossil fuels without dramatic falls in your standard of living, anyone insisting otherwise is laying the groundwork for a year zero dictatorship, whether they realise it, year zero is the logical outcome of "climate justice", an authoritarian system that imposes equality on the masses by restricting their access to energy.

    The future will be fossil fuels + whatever else is viable, transitions will happen over a hundred years. If you are interested take the time to read this from Vaclav Smil. I'm only half way through it at present, he goes through the numbers.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    You haven`t shown anything from a credible verifiable source wheras I have provided you with two such sources, yet you do not believe them. Facts are you posted a load of waffle on offshore costs and when called on it you have nothing.

    The costs aren`t simply large they are suicidally financially unviable for a country with a population of 5 million and would leave us bankrupt long before completion. And what branch of economics dictates that there must be economy of scale eventually ?

    Try looking for a loan from your bank and when the manager tells you your product is financially unviable, tell him economy of scale will sort that out and see how that works out for you. The last time on here greens assured us that economy of scale would halve the cost of offshore costs rose by 60 - 70%

    Did you read the article you posted. If you did then why would the E.U. help as they will neither need our electricity as they are either generating their own cheaper, or getting cheaper nuclear from France and most probably Sweden. The same applies for the nonsense Ryan and green were peddling on hydrogen.

    China are not as dumb as we are putting all their eggs in a wind basket.

    Screenshot 2024-06-17 at 23-04-22 Nuclear reactors under construction worldwide 2023 Statista.png

    They already have 55GW of nuclear, those 21 will add 24GW and they plan to add a further 70 that will add another 88 GW. Times to build, 5 -7 years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,074 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    This is nutty.

    This scheme will cost a fortune. The only tangible benefit? We'll have a few new species of bird 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    Because it’s snake oil and there are multiple reports of costs going up greatly 50-70% in last year with companies on verge of bankruptcy, not helped by zero interest rate tap drying out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,011 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    Very few, if any, of previous "nature" related schemes on a wide scale have worked in this country. This will be no different. But, same as other schemes, the landowner will carry the blame. Good news is that many wind farms built on peatlands will now be under water, buildings on flood plains will be tore down to reverse the damage done to date



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    ”will now be underwater”

    Ah so that’s how government reaches 37GW offshore wind 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Good point on flooding peatlands that are homes to wind farms. Do that and leave them there would be inviting another Ballybofey and Derrybrien.

    I`m not that familiar with those previous nature related schemes, but the old REPS schemes did at least appear to me to have done some good, but this new ACRES seems to be a total mess with the Department all over the place and unless a farmer has fairly substantial acreage the cost of becoming involved compared to what he or she would get from it after all the hassle would not be worth their while.

    To me this deal in the twilight days between two E.U. parliaments is very shoody and doesn`t say a lot for the E.U. as regards democracy. Especially when you read that "It had been expected one or two member states might be convinced to change positions, but could publicly not do so until after the European elections earlier this month".

    No naming of those countries in that article, so it makes me wonder who are these countries that changed their stance because their E.U. election showed a greater support for a green agenda than was there before that election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,256 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    Newstalk just reporting that Ryan is to stand down as leader of the party today. More to follow.

    On the Indo site too..

    https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/eamon-ryan-to-step-down-as-green-party-leader/a737848337.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 414 ✭✭Danny healy ray




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    He was useful in driving the Green Party into the ground and somehow managing to become even more hated than Sinn fein



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,011 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    I've a wind farm on peatland. I'm looking forward to claiming whatever compensation there is for closing the drains. Should be a good laugh!

    REPs was good, ACRES a shambles. The project in the Burren was excellent, but the dept. decided it wasn't and now that too is a shambles. There's been many others that have shown little to any improvements as per their goals, apart from devaluing land areas and causing issues for people living there (such as planning rejections for home upgrades, etc). Not to mention the farmer community who are obliged to improve infrastructure but are prevented from doing so, thus making them non compliant in multiple schemes now.

    The deal done yesterday was a joke. To me it stinks of the old parliament ramming it through. It should have been left to the new parliament to progress. It wouldn't have even passed if the Austrian minister hadn't gone on a solo run in opposition to the federalised regions of Austria and her coalition partners in government.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42 mammychicken


    And Eamonn is off into the sunset on his bike……….on with ya



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,332 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    if you're a green voter he hasn't been useless at all though, did what he said he'd do, something very rare in politics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,750 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Figured, once FF members claimed his portfolio was too big the knives are out for him, the Greens have become a roadblock in government. The consequences of them being in government will be felt for the rest of the decade.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    All that doesn't mean we shouldn't continue to build wind power. What about the benefits and the massive savings in oil/gas burned over say 20 years? Another point the anti-wind people like you convieniently forget is the massive carbon penalties we will be forces to pay up to 8 billion a year simple maths would show costs over 100 Billions, a long way to pay for whatever it costs. Add to that the cost pf oil/gas we are talking about a saving of tens of billions more!

    It really makes sense overall. Not even counting the environmental benefits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Pity to see him go. Must have been hard suffering all that abuse. Ms Martin is the replacement now I guess.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    no carbon with nuclear, yet again one needs to point out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    So we will never now get an official answer as to how much his daft 37 GW offshore cost the Irish people who already have highest energy bills in world due to his policies



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,727 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    I think this thread shows there is no clear answer, yet. However at our current rate of oil consumption alone we will spend about 85 Bn over the next 20 years! Unless it is replaced.

    Based on 145,000 barrels of oil a day as per net figures, a big if it stays that way, likely to go up if nothing is done..

    Based on 80 dollars a barrel, a big if.. probably rise over 20 years.

    https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/ireland/oil-consumption



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