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Donald Trump discussion Thread IX (threadbanned users listed in OP)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,331 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    That seems to be a proven point with House Republican conference chair Elise Stefanik on her appearance on NBC’s Meet the Press on Sunday. During her interview with Kristin Welker, Ms Stefanik was asked whether she views the violent attack on Congress as a “tragic” day for America, and whether she believed that those responsible should be prosecuted. Ms Stefanik dodged the question, instead responding that she had “concerns about the treatment of January 6 hostages” and citing Congress’s duty to perform oversight.

    Was she parroting Trump or he her, or was it a prepared position for both of them to be reading from the same page....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,133 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Hostages? Seems an odd line to take since Trump has previously expressed that he dislikes those that are taken hostage! So they are now basically calling those people losers



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,041 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    It's dancing around terrified of getting primaried or having Trump bad mouth them.

    In the same interview she refused to confirm that she would confirm the results of the election next year if Trump lost.

    It's playing to an audience of one and it's utterly pathetic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,331 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I understand, from the media giving Trump a platform to speak to his chosen audience, that he has declined to sign the Illinois ballot loyalty oath promising that he will not advocate the overthrown of the Government, despite having signed the oath on two previous occasions.

    Alongside his comments about the US Civil War that a deal could have been negotiated between both sides to avoid it and Lincoln would not have been heard about, it's fairly obvious that he is seeking "atta-boy" calls from his fanbase while trying to keep them from wavering in loyalty to him and returning to the big R Party.

    He may be getting desperate about the Insurrectionist tag on his collar, afraid that the judges will say NO to his pleas not to deprive him of getting his name on the ballot papers around the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,331 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I must not read too much into the question from one of the judges to his lawyer if Trump could face prosecution after ordering Seal 6 to assassinate a political rival under his understanding of presidential immunity, and the lawyers QUALIFIED [only if he were first impeached and convicted by congress and senate] ANSWER.

    Interesting question from a judge to a lawyer representing a former president appealing the decision of another judge. The judge did not use the word "domestic" when referencing a political rival.....

    One question following another: it'd be interesting to find out if it was this a one-off from the judge or was it on a list the judges thought about ahead of the hearing?

    It's a good thing that US presidents can only serve two terms now....

    Post edited by aloyisious on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,331 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    How much does Chris Christie's withdrawal from the GOP nomination race assist Nikki Haley in the % race V Trump? Looking at an Irish TV current affairs show last night, it was suggested that it would help her, especially in her home state.

    One item raised by the US pundit on the show [just as it ended] was Trump's recent [negotiation would have prevented the war] mention of the Civil War issue. The pundit said the war is still an issue to citizens of South Carolina and Trump probably used it to offset the support Haley would probably get from her state's fellow citizens.

    I had looked at Trump and the Civil War mention online by online media outlets wondering where he was coming from on it. The media outlets were giving him an F on the history knowledge score but maybe there is a canny backroom person in his campaign who knows what matters to voters in some states, despite what some online media would have the public think.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,041 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Christie dropping out doesn't really help that much , he was polling in the low single digits so not much to share out and she's currently 25+ points behind Trump in SC.

    Losing her home State by that sort of margin would be utterly catastrophic for any hopes she might hold of being a genuine challenger.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,254 ✭✭✭ilkhanid


    it seems Republican voters in some states are still living in the 19th century in their minds...which must account for the profusion of confederate battle flags at Trump rallies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,533 ✭✭✭combat14


    interesting to see trump is 5/4 vs biden 9/4 on ladbrokes to win election



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 23,001 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    That’s because Trump is leading in most battle ground states and has been for a year.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Respectfully, betting odds tell us nothing, only what random people are throwing their money on. They're easily manipulated at the best of times, even if as @Brian? not Trump has been leading various states for a while.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 23,001 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    The betting odds are influenced by the polls, in a small way.


    Odds are based on money laid, during the 2020 cycle there was a lot of money lost on Trump n

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,331 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Nov 5th will tell whom is more disliked by GOP voters: Trump or Biden. If it's Biden, then Trump might win [depending on the Democrat Party turnout for their candidate]. If there are enough GOP voters who are willing to risk harming their party by turning up their noses at Trump on voting day over his handling of the party's future since 2015, Biden [if the Democrat voters turn out in numbers large enough to guarantee success in the W/H and the other elections, might be a happier man.

    The nominee list, including the independents, will have lowered by then.

    There's also the known unknown results of the vote by an elite group in Washington which will send people into a tizzy across the US long before the ballot papers are printed for use by the voters.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 23,001 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    The Dems will vote for Biden, GOP will vote for Trump. That’s entirely predictable.


    it’s the 30% in the middle that decide.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,557 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    But keep in mind Trump has been doing his whole "2020 was stolen" spiel as well which has gone down well with his followers; I can easily see his followers go "Well they stole it in 2020 so they'll simply do the same again in 2024 so why bother to vote as nothing will change anyway". Because suddenly Trump has to explain how this time they will not be able to "cheat" somehow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,781 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien




  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 23,001 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    I have no faith they’ll stay home. What’s worse is they’ll be out there “insuring the integrity of the vote”, i.e. intimidating minority voters.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,331 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Trump excels in telling porkies to the public, it's like X amount of them suffer from Stockholm-syndrome. I'm in Dublin having a natter with a barber over topics as one does and the subject changes to him. She say's her mother, a Dub living in Dublin [neither a US citizen, nor voter] swears by Trump, believes everything he says is truthful.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,048 ✭✭✭beggars_bush


    Well that says more about Dubs than anything else



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,660 ✭✭✭McFly85


    If he does somehow manage to get the nomination election day will be messy to say the least. The seeds of distrust have been down for years and some MAGA types will be looking for anything they decide themselves to be cheating.

    In terms of raw numbers though, I still can’t see him getting elected. While he’s a great motivator for his republican base, he’s also a great motivator for dem voters to get out and ensure he doesn’t win, like 4 years ago.

    I hope it doesn’t come to that though, even him being the candidate could do untold damage to the American political system.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,781 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    I think this is why Hailey beats Biden. There will be a huge drive to keep Trump out, less so for Hailey. (I can see the same opposition to RDS as Trump)

    I know what the polls say, but I still can't see the unaligned middle ground voting for Trump, but Trump's opposition will absolutely be whipped into a frenzy if he's nominated.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,041 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Barring the Federal invocation of the 14th Amendment , Trump will be the GOP candidate that's a done deal. Even more so following the under performance of both Haley and DeSantis in Iowa.

    No matter what happens , Trump will claim massive fraud occurred.

    If he loses , it's fraud

    If he wins but doesn't sweep the boards , It's Fraud.

    If he wins , but they lose the House and/or Senate - It's Fraud.

    And the GOP voters will believe him without question or need for anything remotely related to evidence.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,478 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Trump had a massive win in Iowa - he got 50,000 votes with just over 50% of the votes cast in a minus 40 degree blizzard in a tiny state, They were not votes cast as in an election but indications in a town hall meeting. The non-Trump voters fled directly after casting their votes. So an unfriendly atmosphere which would give one an idea there was oppression from Trump voters.

    If he has 50% of GOP voters supporting him, will the other 50% hold their noses to vote for him?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,020 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    The majority of Nikki Haley voters won't give him their "second choice" and vote for Biden instead

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna133821



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,331 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    When it comes to Trump's claims of vote-fraud being used to deny him the 2020 election, it's worth keeping in mind that he made the same claim that year about the 2016 GOP Iowa caucuses [held four years earlier] as he had lost the GOP caucus vote then in that state to Ted Cruz. It was GOP fraud against him back then in 2016, not Democrat fraud.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,331 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    The [slightly] unamusing thing for the GOP is that Trump got 50% of the caucus vote and that the other 50% failed to vote for him, so a similar act on ballot-filling day in Nov would be reflected in the final tally as forwarded to Congress for certification. The loss of the election wont be down to fraud by the Dems but by GOP vote-suicide [as it were]. Even 30% would be sufficient, non-shows would also be reflected. All the Dems will have to do is rally the troops for ballot-filing day.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 23,001 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    2 pieces of sobering data. More people approve of Trump than Biden




    But balancing that new, Biden has pulled ahead of Trump again in Pa

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,041 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    "I'm not happy with Biden" is not the same as "I will vote for Trump instead" thankfully.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 23,001 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    Aye that's true. But "I approve of Donald Trump" is far too high for my liking.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,204 ✭✭✭political analyst


    Dan Rivers says that Trump has vowed to exact revenge on his political enemies.

    But the US Constitution has checks and balances to prevent a president from doing that, doesn't it?

    "Trump: the Return?" is on ITV1 tonight at 9.



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